• 제목/요약/키워드: Probabilistic environment

검색결과 286건 처리시간 0.026초

Development of a Computer Code for Low-and Intermediate-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal Safety Assessment

  • Park, J.W.;Kim, C.L.;Lee, E.Y.;Lee, Y.M.;Kang, C.H.;Zhou, W.;Kozak, M.W.
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2004
  • A safety assessment code, called SAGE (Safety Assessment Groundwater Evaluation), has been developed to describe post-closure radionuclide releases and potential radiological doses for low- and intermediate-level radioactive waste (LILW) disposal in an engineered vault facility in Korea. The conceptual model implemented in the code is focused on the release of radionuclide from a gradually degrading engineered barrier system to an underlying unsaturated zone, thence to a saturated groundwater zone. The radionuclide transport equations are solved by spatially discretizing the disposal system into a series of compartments. Mass transfer between compartments is by diffusion/dispersion and advection. In all compartments, radionuclides ate decayed either as a single-member chain or as multi-member chains. The biosphere is represented as a set of steady-state, radionuclide-specific pathway dose conversion factors that are multiplied by the appropriate release rate from the far field for each pathway. The code has the capability to treat input parameters either deterministically or probabilistically. Parameter input is achieved through a user-friendly Graphical User Interface. An application is presented, which is compared against safety assessment results from the other computer codes, to benchmark the reliability of system-level conceptual modeling of the code.

Improving Durability Performance of Reinforced Concrete Structures with Probabilistic Analysis

  • Ferreira, Rui Miguel
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2008
  • In recent years, much research work has been performed on durability design and long-term performance of concrete structures in marine environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability design has been shown to provide a more realistic basis for the analysis. This approach has been successfully applied to several new concrete structures, where requirements for a more controlled durability and service life have been specified. For reinforced concrete structures in a marine environment, it is commonly assumed that the dominant degradation mechanism is the corrosion of the reinforcement due to the presence of chlorides. The design approach is based on the verification of durability limit states, examples of which are: depassivation of reinforcement, cracking and spalling due to corrosion, and collapse due to cross section loss of reinforcement. With this design approach the probability of failure can be determined as a function of time. In the present paper, a probability-based durability performance analysis is used in order to demonstrate the importance of the durability design approach of concrete structures in marine environments. In addition, the sensitivity of the various durability parameters affecting and controlling the durability of concrete structures in a marine environment is studied. Results show that the potential of this approach to assist durability design decisions making process is great. Based the crucial information generated, it is possible to prolong the service life of structures while simultaneously optimizing the final design solution.

불확실성 정보가 맥주배송게임 기반의 공급사슬 수행도에 미치는 영향 평가 : 기상정보 사례를 중심으로 (The Effect of Uncertain Information on Supply Chain Performance in a Beer Distribution Game-A Case of Meterological Forecast Information)

  • 이기광;김인겸;고광근
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.139-158
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    • 2007
  • Information sharing is key to effective supply chain management. In reality, however, it is impossible to get perfect information. Accordingly, only uncertain information can be accessed in business environment, and thus it is important to deal with the uncertainties of information in managing supply chains. This study adopts meteorological forecast as a typical uncertain information. The meteorological events may affect the demands for various weather-sensitive goods, such as beer, ices, clothes, electricity etc. In this study, a beer distribution game is modified by introducing meterological forecast information provided in a probabilistic format. The behavior patterns of the modified beer supply chains are investigated. for two conditions using the weather forecast with or without an information sharing. A value score is introduced to generalize the well-known performance measures employed in the study of supply chains, i.e.. inventory, backlog, and deviation of orders. The simulation result showed that meterological forecast information used in an information sharing environment was more effective than without information sharing, which emphasizes the synergy of uncertain information added to the information sharing environment.

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검측비용을 고려한 PC박스 거더의 신뢰성 분석 (Reliability Analysis of Prestress Concrete Box Girder Bridges Considering Inspection Cost)

  • ;정민철;공정식
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2010년도 정기 학술대회
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    • pp.476-479
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    • 2010
  • In recent years, the deterioration of infrastructures is especially considered. In prestress concrete bridges, one of the important mechanisms of deterioration is the corrosion of the post-tensioned tendon due to environmental agents. In this study, the reliability analysis is performed for a prestress concrete box girder bridge under the pitting corrosion attack with considering the inspection and failure cost. The variation of life-time performance depending on inspection methods have to be quantified. The inspection methods with different accuracy of corrosion detection are presented and applied for model of reliability analysis. The computer program for analysis reliability index of the structure as well as updating process is obtained. An existing bridge is applied for illustrating the influence of inspection cost on the behaviors of structure. Subsequently, the benefit of inspection has shown to predict the time to failure of structure.

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Prediction of RC structure service life from field long term chloride diffusion

  • Safehian, Majid;Ramezanianpour, Ali Akbar
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.589-606
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    • 2015
  • It is well-documented that the major deterioration of coastal RC structures is chloride-induced corrosion. Therefore, regional investigations are necessary for durability based design and evaluation of the proposed service life prdiction models. In this paper, four reinforced concrete jetties exposed to severe marine environment were monitored to assess the long term chloride penetration at 6 months to 96 months. Also, some accelerated durability tests were performed on standard samples in laboratory. As a result, two time-dependent equations are proposed for basic parameters of chloride diffusion into concrete and then the corrosion initiation time is estimated by a developed probabilistic service life model Also, two famous service life prediction models are compared using chloride profiles obtained from structures after about 40 years in the tidal exposure conditions. The results confirm that the influence of concrete quality on diffusion coefficients is related to the concrete pore structure and the time dependence is due to chemical reactions of sea water ions with hydration products which lead a reduction in pore structure. Also, proper attention to the durability properties of concrete may extend the service life of marine structures greater than fifty years, even in harsh environments.

Specified Object Tracking Problem in an Environment of Multiple Moving Objects

  • Park, Seung-Min;Park, Jun-Heong;Kim, Hyung-Bok;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.118-123
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    • 2011
  • Video based object tracking normally deals with non-stationary image streams that change over time. Robust and real time moving object tracking is considered to be a problematic issue in computer vision. Multiple object tracking has many practical applications in scene analysis for automated surveillance. In this paper, we introduce a specified object tracking based particle filter used in an environment of multiple moving objects. A differential image region based tracking method for the detection of multiple moving objects is used. In order to ensure accurate object detection in an unconstrained environment, a background image update method is used. In addition, there exist problems in tracking a particular object through a video sequence, which cannot rely only on image processing techniques. For this, a probabilistic framework is used. Our proposed particle filter has been proved to be robust in dealing with nonlinear and non-Gaussian problems. The particle filter provides a robust object tracking framework under ambiguity conditions and greatly improves the estimation accuracy for complicated tracking problems.

블록체인을 이용하여 다층 네트워크를 확장한 확률 기반의 IoT 관리 모델 (Probability-based IoT management model using blockchain to expand multilayered networks)

  • 정윤수
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2020
  • 최근 LTE보다 빠른 속도와 안정을 가진 5G 기술에 대한 기대감이 증가하고 있는 가운데 5G 통신 보안에 대한 관심이 증가하고 있다. 그러나, 5G는 현재까지 이질적인 영역이 서로 포함되어 있어서 보안 영역에 대한 문제들을 아직 완벽하게 지원하고 있지 않다. 본 논문은 5G 환경에서 IoT 장치의 인증을 블록체인에 적용한 확률 기반의 IoT 관리모델을 제안한다. 제안 모델은 IoT 장치의 인증을 확률적 이론과 물리적 구조를 효율적으로 융합하기 위해서 n 계층의 IoT 사용자를 n+1 계층과 n-1 계층의 관리자가 쌍방향 인증이 이루어지도록 2개의 랜덤키를 역으로 사용한다. 제안 모델은 5G 환경의 IoT 사용자에 대한 인증을 확률적 기반으로 IoT 정보를 계층화시킨 후 IoT 정보를 가중치에 적용하여 그룹핑된 IoT 정보를 블록체인으로 연결한다. 또한, 제안 모델은 5G 네트워크를 계층화된 다층 네트워크로 분할하기 때문에 기존 블록체인보다 향상된 기능을 가진다.

PHT와 최소자승법을 이용한 효율적인 실시간 점선차선 추적 (An Efficient Method for Real-Time Broken Lane Tracking Using PHT and Least-Square Method)

  • 쉬수단;이창우
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:컴퓨팅의 실제 및 레터
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.619-623
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    • 2008
  • 차선검출시스템은 지능형 차량 시스템의 중요한 요소이다. 차선검출 시, 주변 환경과 날씨의 변화 때문에 차선검출은 다양한 어려움에 직면하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 차선검출 및 추적을 위해 다양한 환경에서도 안정적으로 동작하는 간단하면서 효율적인 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법에서는 차선을 추적하고 차선의 기울기를 수정하기 위해 확률적 허프 변환(Probabilistic Hough Transform, PHT)과 최소자승법(Least-square method, LSM)를 이용한다. 일반적으로 차량의 내부에 설치된 카메라로부터 획득된 영상은 영상의 하단부분에서 차선이 비교적 뚜렷이 나타나고, 주변의 간섭을 적게 받는다는 가정 하에 제안된 방법에서는 차선검출 및 추적의 효율성을 증대시키기 위해 영상의 하단부분에 관심의 대상이 되는 두 개의 영역을 설정한다. 제안된 방법의 효율성을 입증하기 위해 정지영상과 비디오영상을 사용하여 실험하였고, 실험결과 제안된 방법이 강건하고, 신뢰성있는 결과를 얻었음을 보였다.

Fuzzy methodology application for modeling uncertainties in chloride ingress models of RC building structure

  • Do, Jeongyun;Song, Hun;So, Seungyoung;Soh, Yangseob
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.325-343
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    • 2005
  • Chloride ingress is a common cause of deterioration of reinforced concrete located in coastal zone. Modeling the chloride ingress is an important basis for designing reinforced concrete structures and for assessing the reliability of an existing structure. The modeling is also needed for predicting the deterioration of a reinforced structure. The existing deterministic solution for prediction model of corrosion initiation cannot reflect uncertainties which input variables have. This paper presents an approach to the fuzzy arithmetic based modeling of the chloride-induced corrosion of reinforcement in concrete structures that takes into account the uncertainties in the physical models of chloride penetration into concrete and corrosion of steel reinforcement, as well as the uncertainties in the governing parameters, including concrete diffusivity, concrete cover depth, surface chloride concentration and critical chloride level for corrosion initiation. There are a lot of prediction model for predicting the time of reinforcement corrosion of structures exposed to chloride-induced corrosion environment. In this work, RILEM model formula and Crank's solution of Fick's second law of diffusion is used. The parameters of the models are regarded as fuzzy numbers with proper membership function adapted to statistical data of the governing parameters instead of random variables of probabilistic modeling of Monte Carlo Simulation and the fuzziness of the time to corrosion initiation is determined by the fuzzy arithmetic of interval arithmetic and extension principle. An analysis is implemented by comparing deterministic calculation with fuzzy arithmetic for above two prediction models.

탄산화와 균열을 고려한 전력구 콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 수명 예측 (Probabilistic Estimation of Service Life of Box Culvert for Power Transmission Considering Carbonation and Crack Effect)

  • 우상균;이윤
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2014
  • 최근 전력 전송을 위해 지하에 건설되는 전력구 구조물이 증가함에 따라, 이러한 구조물의 수명 연장은 매우 중요한 문제로 대두되고 있다. 현재까지의 현장 및 실험결과들은 콘크리트 내부의 철근이 콘크리트 피복의 탄산화 현상에 의해 부식될 수 있음을 보이고 있으며, 이러한 탄산화에 의한 철근의 부식은 구조물 주변의 높은 이산화탄소 농도에 의해 빈번히 발생할 가능성을 내포하고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 실제 전력구 현장에서의 철근 깊이와 탄산화 깊이를 측정한 결과를 바탕으로 우리나라의 전력구 콘크리트 구조물에 대한 탄산화 위험도를 평가하였다. 현장 데이터를 기반으로 철근 주변에서의 탄산화에 의한 전력구의 사용수명을 평가하였으며, 이를 위해 확률론적 방법인 몬테카를로 기법을 적용하였다. 또한 균열을 유발한 시험체에 대한 탄산화 촉진 실험을 수행하여, 그 실험결과를 바탕으로 균열을 고려한 경우의 전력구의 사용수명을 수치적으로 평가하고 분석하였다.