• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic damage

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Probabilistic seismic assessment of RC box-girder bridges retrofitted with FRP and steel jacketing

  • Naseri, Ali;Roshan, Alireza Mirzagoltabar;Pahlavan, Hossein;Amiri, Gholamreza Ghodrati
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.359-379
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    • 2020
  • Due to susceptibility of bridges in the past earthquakes, vulnerability assessment and strengthening of bridges has gained a particular significance. The objective of the present study is to employ an analytical method for the development of fragility curves, as well as to investigate the effect of strengthening on the RC box-girder bridges. Since fragility curves are used for pre-and post-earthquake planning, this paper has attempted to adopt the most reliable modeling assumptions in order to increase the reliability. Furthermore, to acknowledge the interaction of soil, abutment and pile, the effect of different strengthening methods, such as using steel jacketing and FRP layers, the effect of increase in the bridge pier diameter, and the effect of vertical component of earthquake on the vulnerability of bridges in this study, a three-span RC box-girder bridge was modeled in 9 different cases. Nonlinear dynamic analyses were carried out on the studied bridges subjected to 100 ground motion records via OpenSEES platform. Therefore, the fragility curves were plotted and compared in the four damage states. The results revealed that once the interaction of soil and abutment and the vertical component of the earthquake are accounted for in the calculations, the median fragility is reduced, implying that the bridge becomes more vulnerable. It was also confirmed that steel jackets and FRP layers are suitable methods for pier strengthening which reduces the vulnerability of the bridge.

A Fundamental Study on the Database of Response History for Historical Earthquake Records on the Korean Peninsula (한반도 과거 지진기록에 대한 응답이력 데이터베이스 구축 기초 연구)

  • Choi, Inhyeok;Ahn, Jae-Kwang;Kwak, Dongyoup
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.821-831
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    • 2019
  • The 9.12 earthquake (2016.9.12., ML=5.8) and Pohang (2017.11.15., ML=5.4) caused social and economic damage, resulting in a greater public interest in earthquakes than in the past. In the U.S., Japan and Chile, which have high frequency of earthquakes, infrastructure facilities are already managed based on probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) and ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) to prepare for and respond to seismic disasters. In South Korea, the aforementioned PSHA and GMPE models have been developed independently through individual researchers. However, the limited disclosure of basic data, calculation methods, and final results created during the model development poses a problem of deploying new data without updating the earthquake that occurs every year. Therefore, this paper describes how to create flatfile, which is the basic data of GMPE, and how to process for seismic waves, and how to create intensity measures.

Maintenance of the Sea-crossing Bridge for Ship Collision Problems (선박충돌 문제에 대한 해상교량의 유지관리)

  • Bae, Yong-Gwi;Lee, Seong-Lo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.56-64
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    • 2016
  • Damage of sea-crossing bridge by ship collision is related to estimate frequencies of overloading due to impact, and bridge accordingly must be designed to satisfy related acceptance criteria. Another important aspect is the management on increment of collision risk during the service period. In this study, related plan, main span length, air draft clearance and collision risk are analyzed for the interim assessment of Incheon Bridge focusing on the ship collision problem. In particular, for the increment of collision risk, the optimized navigation speed is proposed by reviewing the research findings and navigation guidelines etc. as a temporary expedient. Also basic procedure for reasonable prediction of target vessel and passage is established and probabilistic prediction method to embrace the uncertainty of the prediction is proposed as a fundamental solution. It is necessary to conduct further research on collision risk management and promptly carry out interim assessments of other marine bridges.

Application of Risk-Informed Methods to In-Service Piping Inspection in Framatome Type Nuclear Power Plants (프라마톰형 원전의 배관 가동중검사에 리스크 정보를 활용한 기법 적용)

  • Kim, Jin-Hoi;Lee, Jeong-Seok;Yun, Eun-Sub
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.311-317
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    • 2014
  • The Pressurized water reactor owners group (PWROG) developed and applied a risk-informed in-service inspection (RI-ISI) program, as an alternative to the existing ASME Section XI' sampling inspection method. The RI-ISI programs enhance overall safety by focusing inspections of piping at high safety significance (HSS) locations where failure mechanisms are likely to be present. Additionally, the RI-ISI program can reduce nondestructive evaluation (NDE) exams, man-rem exposure for inspectors, and inspection time, among other benefits. The RI-ISI method of in-service piping inspection was applied to 3 units (KSNPs: Korea standard nuclear power plants) and is being deployed to the other units. In this paper, the results of RI-ISI for a Framatome type (France CPI) nuclear power plant are presented. It was concluded that application of RI-ISI to the plant could enhance and maintain plant safety, as well as provide the benefits of greater reliability.

Estimation of optimal runoff hydrograph using radar rainfall ensemble and blending technique of rainfall-runoff models (레이더 강우 앙상블과 유출 블랜딩 기법을 이용한 최적 유출 수문곡선 산정)

  • Lee, Myungjin;Kang, Narae;Kim, Jongsung;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.221-233
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the flood damage by the localized heavy rainfall and typhoon have been frequently occurred due to the climate change. Accurate rainfall forecasting and flood runoff estimates are needed to reduce such damages. However, the uncertainties are involved in guage rainfall, radar rainfall, and the estimated runoff hydrograph from rainfall-runoff models. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to identify the uncertainty of rainfall by generating a probabilistic radar rainfall ensemble and confirm the uncertainties of hydrological models through the analysis of the simulated runoffs from the models. The blending technique is used to estimate a single integrated or an optimal runoff hydrograph by the simulated runoffs from multi rainfall-runoff models. The radar ensemble is underestimated due to the influence of rainfall intensity and topography and the uncertainty of the rainfall ensemble is large. From the study, it will be helpful to estimate and predict the accurate runoff to prepare for the disaster caused by heavy rainfall.

Application of risk analysis and assessment considering tunnel stability and environmental effects in tunnel design (터널 안정성 및 환경성을 고려한 위험도 평가기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Young-Geun;Kim, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2008
  • Recently, because of the various factors by uncertainty of underground, the risks in tunnelling have been occurred increasingly. Therefore, it is very important to estimate and control the risks considering geotechnical conditions for tunnel stability and environmental problems by tunnel construction. In this study, the risk analysis for tunnel stability was carried out by classifying the risk factors such as ground support capacity, ground settlement, the inflow of groundwater into the tunnel and the damage by the earthquake. Also, the risk assessment for the environmental problems was performed by calculating the vibration and noise by blasting and the drawdown of the groundwater level caused by tunnel construction. Each risk factor was evaluated quantitatively based on the probabilistic and statistic technique, then it was analyzed the distribution characteristic along overall tunnel site. Finally, it was evaluated that how much each risk factor influences on the construction cost with a period for tunnel construction, so it is possible to perform reasonable tunnel design which was capable of minimizing the risks in the tunnel construction.

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Development of Multi-hazard Fragility Surface for Liquefaction of Levee Considering Earthquake Magnitude and Water Level (수위와 지진을 고려한 제방의 액상화에 대한 복합재해 취약도 곡면 작성)

  • Hwang, Ji-Min;Cho, Sung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2018
  • Soil liquefaction is one of the types of major seismic damage. Soil liquefaction is a phenomenon that can cause enormous human and economic damages, and it must be examined before designing geotechnical structures. In this study, we proposed a practical method of developing a multi-hazard fragility surface for liquefaction of levee considering earthquake magnitude and water level. Limit state for liquefaction of levee was defined by liquefaction potential index (LPI), which is frequently used to assess the liquefaction susceptibility of soils. In order to consider the uncertainty of soil properties, Monte Carlo Simulation based probabilistic analysis was performed. Based on the analysis results, a 3D fragility surface representing the probability of failure by soil liquefaction as a function of the ground motion and water level has been established. The prepared multi-hazard fragility surface can be used to evaluate the safety of levees against liquefaction and to assess the risk in earthquake and flood prone areas.

Effect of Near- and Far-Fault Earthquakes for Seismic Fragility Curves of PSC Box Girder Bridges (PSC 상자형교의 지진취약도 곡선에 대한 근거리 및 원거리 지진의 영향)

  • Jin, He-Shou;Song, Jong-Keol
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 2010
  • Seismic fragility curves of structures represent the probability of exceeding the prescribed structural damage state for a given various levels of ground motion intensity, such as peak ground acceleration (PGA). This means that seismic fragility curves are essential to the evaluation of structural seismic performance and assessments of risk. Most of existing studies have not considered the near- and far-fault earthquake effect on the seismic fragility curves. In order to evaluate the effect of near- and far-fault earthquakes, seismic fragility curves for PSC box girder bridges subjected to near- and far-fault earthquakes are calculated and compared. The seismic fragility curves are strongly dependent on the earthquake characteristics such as fault distance. This paper suggests that the effect of near- and far-fault earthquakes on seismic fragility curves of PSC box girder bridge structure should be considered.

Analysis of Landslide and Debris flow Hazard Area using Probabilistic Method in GIS-based (GIS 기반 확률론적 기법을 이용한 산사태 및 토석류 위험지역 분석)

  • Oh, Chae-Yeon;Jun, Kye-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.172-177
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    • 2012
  • In areas around Deoksan Li and Deokjeon Li, Inje Eup, Inje Gun, located between $38^{\circ}2^{\prime}55^{{\prime}{\prime}}N$ and $38^{\circ}5^{\prime}50^{{\prime}{\prime}}N$ in latitude and $128^{\circ}11^{\prime}20^{{\prime}{\prime}}E$ and $128^{\circ}18^{\prime}20^{{\prime}{\prime}}E$ in longitude, large-sized avalanche disasters occurred due to Typhoon Ewiniar in 2006. As a result, 29 people were dead or missing, along with a total of 37.25 billion won of financial loss(Gangwon Province, 2006). To evaluate such landslide and debris flow risk areas and their vulnerability, this study applied a technique called 'Weight of Evidence' based on GIS. Especially based on the overlay analysis of aerial images before the occurrence of landslides and debris flows in 2005 and after 2006, this study extracted 475 damage-occurrence areas in a shape of point, and established a DB by using such factors as topography, hydrologic, soil and forest physiognomy through GIS. For the prediction diagram of debris flow and landslide risk areas, this study calculated W+ and W-, the weighted values of each factor of Weight Evidence, while overlaying the weighted values of factors. Besides, the diagram showed about 76% in prediction accuracy, and it was also found to have a relatively high correlationship with the areas where such natural disasters actually occurred.

An Empirical Estimation Procedure of Concrete Compressive Strength Based on the In-Situ Nondestructive Tests Result of the Existing Bridges (공용중 교량 비파괴시험 결과에 기반한 경험적 콘크리트 압축강도 추정방법의 제안)

  • Oh, Hong-Seob;Oh, Kwang-Chin
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2016
  • Rebound hammer test, SonReb method and concrete core test are most useful testing methods for estimate the concrete compressive strength of deteriorated concrete structures. But the accuracy of the NDE results on the existing structures could be reduced by the effects of the uncertainty of nondestructive test methods, material effects by aging and carbonation, and mechanical damage by drilling of core. In this study, empirical procedure for verifying the in-situ compressive strength of concrete is suggested through the probabilistic analysis on the 268 data of rebound and ultra-pulse velocity and core strengths obtained from 106 bridges. To enhance the accuracy of predicted concrete strength, the coefficients of core strength, and surface hardness caused by ageing or carbonation was adopted. From the results, the proposed equation by KISTEC and the estimation procedures proposed by authors is reliable than previously suggested equation and correction coefficient.