• 제목/요약/키워드: Probabilistic damage

검색결과 289건 처리시간 0.025초

지진위험도평가 방법을 이용한 내진성능관리 의사결정 (Decision Making of Seismic Performance Management Using Seismic Risk Assessment)

  • 김동주;최지혜;김병화
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.329-339
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    • 2019
  • The strategy for the management of earthquakes is shifting from post recovery to prevention; therefore, seismic performance management requires quantitative predictions of damage and the establishment of strategies for initial responses to earthquakes. Currently, seismic performance evaluation for seismic management in Korea consists of two stages: preliminary evaluation and detailed evaluation. Also, the priority of seismic performance management is determined in accordance with the preliminary evaluation. As a deterministic method, preliminary evaluation quantifies the physical condition and socio-economic importance of a facility by various predetermined indices, and the priority is decided by the relative value of the indices; however, with the deterministic method it is difficult to consider any uncertainty related to the return-year, epicenter, and propagation of seismic energy. Also this method cannot support tasks such as quantitative socio-economic damage and the provision of data for initial responses to earthquakes. Moreover, indirect damage is often greater than direct damage; therefore, a method to quantify damage is needed to enhance accuracy. In this paper, a Seismic Risk Assessment is used to quantify the cost of damage of road facilities in Pohang city and to support decision making.

콘크리트 표면차수벽형 석괴댐의 지진 취약도 평가 (Evaluation of Seismic Fragility of Concrete Faced Rockfill Dam)

  • 백종민;박두희;윤지남;최병한
    • 한국지반신소재학회논문집
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 지반진동 강도에 따른 콘크리트 표면차수벽 석괴댐(CFRD)의 확률론적 피해예측을 위하여 취약도 함수를 개발하였다. 댐의 손상평가에 널리 사용되는 지표인 댐마루 침하량을 손상지수로 사용하여 경미(Minor), 중간(Moderate), 심각(Severe) 손상수준을 정의하였다. 침하량은 댐 표준단면에 대한 비선형 동적 수치해석을 통하여 계산하였다. 수치해석 모델은 원심모형시험결과와 비교하여 정확성을 검증하였다. 취약도 곡선은 대수정규분포함수로 나타내어 최대지반가속도를 기준으로 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 도출된 취약도 곡선은 댐의 실시간 피해예측에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

교량의 건전성 모니터링을 위한 효율적인 접근방법 (Effective Approaches for Structural Health Monitoring of Bridges)

  • Jong-Jae, Lee;Chung-Bang, Yun
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2004년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2004
  • Two-step identification approach for effective bridge health monitoring is proposed to alleviate the issues associated with many unknown parameters faced in the real structures and to improve the accuracy in the estimate results. It is suitable for on-line monitoring scheme, since the damage assessment is not always needed to be carried out whereas the alarming for damages is to be continuously monitored. In the first step for screening potential damaged members, damage indicator method based on modal strain energy, probabilistic neural networks and the conventional neural networks using grouping technique are used and then the conventional neural network technique is utilized for damage assessment on the screened members in the second step. The proposed methods are verified through a field test on the northern-most span of old Hannam Grand Bridge.

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SOLAS 손상복원성 규정(Harmonized SDS) 변경에 따른 설계 영향 검토 (A Research of the New Harmonized Requirements of SOLAS for Subdivision and Damage Stability)

  • 이선택;권오익;염천환
    • 대한조선학회 특별논문집
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    • 대한조선학회 2006년도 특별논문집
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2006
  • Recently, the Session of MSC $80^{th}$ has adopted the new harmonized requirements of damage stability for Passenger, Ro-Ro Passenger ship and Ory Cargo ship based on the probabilistic analyzing method reflecting the study of IMO for more than ten years. This paper introduces what have been changed in the SOLAS requirements about SDS (Subdivision and Damage Stability) and the results of investigation for design effects according to the new rules.

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소방설비 작동신뢰성 기반 건축용도별 화재리스크 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Analysis of Fire Risk for each Building Usage Based on the Reliability of Operation of Fire Protection System)

  • 진승현;김혜원;서동구;권영진
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2020년도 봄 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.113-114
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    • 2020
  • In the design and maintenance of buildings, identifying the degree of damage in the event of a fire is an important factor in fire prevention and fire safety design. In order to predict fire damage, safety measures should be established by predicting the nature of evacuation according to fire, smoke and in-house characteristics, and the effects of the operation of fire safety facilities should also be considered, but in Korea, the risk analysis due to the operation of fire safety facilities is insufficient. Accordingly, this study uses fire statistics and sprinkler inspection data to analyze the degree of fire damage caused by the operation of sprinkler facilities in a probabilistic manner.

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도로교 콘크리트 바닥판의 합리적인 수명 평가 및 예측시스템 개발 (Development of Probabilistic Prediction System for Remaining Life of Reinforced Concrete Bridge Decks)

  • 오병환;최영철;이준혁
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2002년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.637-640
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    • 2002
  • The deterioration of RC deck slabs has been a serious problem and high portion of budget has been a spent for repair and strengthening of deck slab. The concrete deck slabs are subject to direct application of vehicle loading and accumulation of fatigue damage. Besides, various environmental causes. In this paper, an probabilistic study is carried out to predict exact load effects and structural capacity of deck slab during its service life, and estimate an appropriate remaining life of deck slab. To achieve this purpose the live load model is developed using by influence line including deterioration of deck slab, and deterioration model of bridge deck slab is developed. In addition, the fatigue life of reinforced concrete deck slabs considering corrosion of reinforcement are estimated based on experimental formula. This study will help rational decisions for the management and repair of reinforced concrete deck slabs.

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회전기기 볼베어링의 외륜 결함 검출 기법 연구 (Study on Detection Technique for Outer-race Fault of the Ball Bearing in Rotary Machinery)

  • 정래혁;이병곤;이도환
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2010
  • Ball bearings are one of main components that support the rotational shaft in high speed rotary machinery. So, it is very important to detect the incipient faults and fault growth of bearing since the damage and failure of bearing can cause a critical failures or accidents of machinery system. In the past, many researchers mainly performed to detect the bearing fault using traditional method such as wavelet, statistics, envelope etc in vibration signals. But study on the detection technique for bearing fault growth has a little been performed. In this paper, we verified the possibility for monitoring of fault growth and detection of fault size in bearing outer-race by using the envelope powerspectrum and probabilistic density function from measured vibration signals.

Insights from the KNGR Preliminary Level 1 Probabilistic Safety Assessment

  • Na, Jang-Hwan;Oh, Hae-Cheol;Oh, Seung-Jong
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1998년도 춘계학술발표회논문집(1)
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    • pp.862-868
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    • 1998
  • Korean Next Generation Reactor(KNGR) is a standardized evolutionary Advanced Light Water Reactor design under development Korea Power Company(KEPCO). It incorporates design enhncements such as active and passive advanced design features(ADFs) to increase the plant safety. A Preliminary level 1 Probabilistic Safety Assessment(PSA) has been performed for KNGR to examine the effect of these safety features. The preliminary PSA result shows that it meets the KNGR safety goal on core damage frequency(CDF). The result of this safety assessment shows that the four-train safety systems, and the ADFs such as Passive Secondary Cooling System (PSCS) contributes greatly to the reduction the CDF. Furthermore, several design changes are made or proposed for detailed review based on the PSA insights.

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소외전원상실사고 빈도수 분석을 통한 원전 신뢰도 검토기준 (Review Criteria for Reliability from Analysis of LOOP frequency in NPPs)

  • 문수철;김건중
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제62권3호
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    • pp.300-305
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    • 2013
  • LOOP(Loss of Offsite Power) and SBO(Station Blackout) events have been occurring in nuclear power plants should be reviewed and be controlled on important electrical equipments by professional engineer to prevent and to safety improvement from safety assessment and reliability analysis report. LOOP and SBO occasionally happened by internal or external causes. This paper contained that LOOP frequency in the United States NPPs and in the domestic NPPs have compared and analyzed data by the past lessons and probabilistic statistics. Additionally will be installed MG(Mobile Generator) according to the lessons of Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan, which CDF(Core Damage Frequency) and LOOP frequency have reconsidered. And this paper proposed to reduce reliability criteria using PSA(Probabilistic Safety Analysis).

Reliability over time of wind turbines steel towers subjected to fatigue

  • Berny-Brandt, Emilio A.;Ruiz, Sonia E.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.75-90
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    • 2016
  • A probabilistic approach that combines structural demand hazard analysis with cumulative damage assessment is presented and applied to a steel tower of a wind turbine. The study presents the step by step procedure to compare the reliability over time of the structure subjected to fatigue, assuming: a) a binomial Weibull annual wind speed, and b) a traditional Weibull probability distribution function (PDF). The probabilistic analysis involves the calculation of force time simulated histories, fatigue analysis at the steel tower base, wind hazard curves and structural fragility curves. Differences in the structural reliability over time depending on the wind speed PDF assumed are found, and recommendations about selecting a real PDF are given.