• 한국농공학회지
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• 제40권2호
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• pp.140-147
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• 1998

Since a structure carries out its given functions and purposes while it is always resisting against the external load, the capacity of the resistance in the structure within the range that will not collapse the structure itself becomes the important factor in the design of the structures. Therefore, many suggestions were proposed and noted for determining method of the collapse load. Some of the methods from the suggestions have been commonly used due to the considerations on their distinctive advantages such as the compactness of the conceptions and the convenience in the computation. However, in case when the variation becomes huge in the materials and load, the results would carry(have or contain) many uncertain elements. On the other hand, load incremental method which regards the characteristics of the probability must be more attainable method even though it might complicate the calculation. This study intends to develop a finite element model that uses the probabilistic load incremental method to estimate the collapse load, and also to compare the result of the analysis with the linear load incremental method and Turkstra's Rule.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.177-188
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• 2024

The fatigue-induced sequential failure of a structure having structural redundancy requires system-level analysis to account for stress redistribution. System reliability-based design optimization (SRBDO) for preventing fatigue-initiated structural failure is numerically costly owing to the inclusion of probabilistic constraints. This study incorporates the Branch-and-Bound method employing system reliability Bounds (termed the B³ method), a failure-path structural system reliability analysis approach, with a metaheuristic optimization algorithm, namely grey wolf optimization (GWO), to obtain the optimal design of structures under fatigue-induced system failure. To further improve the efficiency of this new optimization framework, an additional bounding rule is proposed in the context of SRBDO against fatigue using the B³ method. To demonstrate the proposed method, it is applied to complex problems, a multilayer Daniels system and a three-dimensional tripod jacket structure. The system failure probability of the optimal design is confirmed to be below the target threshold and verified using Monte Carlo simulation. At earlier stages of the optimization, a smaller number of limit-state function evaluation is required, which increases the efficiency. In addition, the proposed method can allocate limited materials throughout the structure optimally so that the optimally-designed structure has a relatively large number of failure paths with similar failure probability.

• 항공우주시스템공학회지
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• 제13권5호
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• pp.72-78
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• 2019

전투기 흡입구 덕트 구조물 설계에 중요한 하중조건으로 흡입구 해머쇼크 조건이 있다. 엔진 압축기 내부유동의 갑작스런 감소에 의하여 큰 압력의 해머쇼크가 발생하게 된다. 압축충격파인 흡입구 해머쇼크 해석을 위한 전통적인 방법은 극단적인 조건들의 조합을(최대 속도, 해수면, 저온 대기) 이용하였지만, 90년대 이후 확률론적 방법을 통해 적절한 해머쇼크 설계압력을 제시한 논문들이 발표되었다. 이를 참고로 본 연구는 한국공군의 비행운용데이터를 활용하여 흡입구 해머쇼크 압력을 확률론적으로 접근하였고, 이를 통해 전통적인 방법 대비 약 30 % 감소된, 흡입구 설계용 해머쇼크 압력을 해석하였다.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제30권4A호
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• pp.343-352
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• 2010

최근에 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 정량적인 사용수명과 장기적인 성능을 확보하고 예측하기 위해서 확률론적인 내구성 해석 및 설계를 수행하는 연구가 많이 진행되고 있다. 이와 관련하여 콘크리트 구조물에 확률론적 내구성 설계 개념을 도입되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 통계적인 자료를 이용하여 Fick의 첫 번째 법칙에 근거한 탄산화 예측 모델에 적용하였으며, 이를 이용하여 확률론적 내구성 해석을 수행하였다. 이 예측모델에 관련된 설계변수인 $CO_2$ 확산계수, 대기중의 $CO_2$ 농도, $CO_2$ 흡착량, 시멘트 수화도 등의 영향을 검토하였다. 확률론에 기초한 탄산화 예측모델은 여러 환경에 위치한 콘크리트 구조물에 모니터링 자료를 이용하여 탄산화 깊이와 잔존수명을 예측하였다. 그 결과로 본 연구에서 합리적인 탄산화 예측모델을 이용한 적용 방법은 탄산화 콘크리트 구조물의 내구성 확보 및 구조물의 손상 개시시기를 예측하고 구조물을 유지 관리하기 위한 유연한 의사결정을 할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.389-398
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• 2018

The seismic isolation system makes a structure isolated from ground motions to protect the structure from seismic events. Seismic isolation techniques have been implemented in full-scale buildings and bridges because of their simplicity, economic effectiveness, inherent stability and reliability. As for the responses of an isolated structure due to seismic events, it is well known that the most uncertain aspects are the seismic loading itself and structural properties. Due to the randomness of earthquakes and uncertainty of structures, seismic response distributions of an isolated structure are needed when evaluating the seismic fragility assessment (or probabilistic seismic safety assessment) of an isolated structure. Seismic response time histories are useful and often essential elements in its design or evaluation stage. Thus, a large number of non-linear dynamic analyses should be performed to evaluate the seismic performance of an isolated structure. However, it is a monumental task to gather the design or evaluation information of the isolated structure from too many seismic analyses, which is impractical. In this paper, a new methodology that can evaluate the seismic fragility assessment of an isolated structure is proposed by using stochastic response database, which is a device that can estimate the seismic response distributions of an isolated structure without any seismic response analyses. The seismic fragility assessment of the isolated nuclear power plant is performed using the proposed methodology. The proposed methodology is able to evaluate the seismic performance of isolated structures effectively and reduce the computational efforts tremendously.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제31권5호
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• pp.381-392
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• 2020

Despite that the failure of sign structure may not have disastrous consequence, its sheer number still ensures the need for rigorous safety standard to regulate their maintenance and construction. During its service life, a sign structure is subject to extensive wind load, sometimes well over its permissible design load. A fragility analysis of a sign structure offers a tool for rational decision making and safety evaluation by using a probabilistic framework to consider the various sources of uncertainty that affect its performance. Wind fragility analysis was used to determine the performance of sign structure based on the performance of its connection components. In this study, basic wind fragility concepts and data required to support the fragility analysis of the sign structure such as sign panel's parameters, connection component's parameters, as well as wind load parameters were presented. Fragility and compound fragility analysis showed disparity between connection component. Additionally, reinforcement of the connection system was introduced as an example of the utilization of wind fragility results in the retrofit decision making.

• 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국정밀공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.690-693
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• 2005

In this paper, probabilistic distribution of fatigue life of chassis component is determined statistically by applying the design of experiments and the Pearson system. To construct $p-\varepsilon-N$ curve, the case that fatigue data are random variables is attempted. Probabilistic density function(p.d.f) for fatigue life is obtained by design of experiment and using this p.d.f fatigue reliability about any aimed fatigue life can be calculated. Lower control arm and rear torsion bar of chassis component are selected as examples for analysis. Component load histories, which are obtained by multi-body dynamic simulation for Belsian load history, are used. Finite element analysis are performed using commercial software MSC Nastran and fatigue analysis are performed using FE Fatigue. When strain-life curve itself is random variable, probability density function of fatigue life has very little difference from log-normal distribution. And the case of fatigue data are random variables, probability density functions are approximated to Beta distribution. Each p.d.f is verified by Monte-Carlo simulation.

• 한국복합재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국복합재료학회 2000년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.245-248
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• 2000

Modern aircraft composite structures are designed using a damage tolerance philosophy. This design philosophy envisions sufficient strength and structural integrity of the aircraft to sustain major damage and to avoid catastrophic failure. The only reasonable way to treat on the same basis all the conditions and uncertainties participating in the design of damage tolerant composite aircraft structures is to use the probability-based approach. Therefore, the model has been developed to assess the probability of structural failure (POSF) and associated risk taking into account the random mechanical loads, random temperature-humidity conditions, conditions causing damages, as well as structural strength variations due to intrinsic strength scatter, manufacturing defects, operational damages, temperature-humidity conditions. The model enables engineers to establish the relationship between static/residual strength safety margins, production quality control requirements, in-service inspection resolution and criteria, and POSF. This make possible to estimate the cost associated with the mentioned factors and to use this cost as overall criterion. The methodology has been programmed into software.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제35권3호
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• pp.203-215
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• 2021

Current industrial practices and approaches are simplified and do not describe the actual behavior of plated elements of offshore topside structures for safety design due to fires. Therefore, it is better to make up for the defective methods with integrated fire safety design methods based on fire resistance characteristics such as residual strength capacity. This study numerically investigates the residual strength of steel stiffened panels exposed to hydrocarbon jet fire. A series of nonlinear finite element analyses (FEAs) were carried out with varying probabilistic selected exposures in terms of the jet fire location, side, area, and duration. These were used to assess the effects of exposed fire on the residual strength of a steel stiffened panel on a ship-shaped offshore structure. A probabilistic approach with a feasible fire location was used to determine credible fire scenarios in association with thermal structural responses. Heat transfer analysis was performed to obtain the steel temperature, and then the residual strength was obtained for the credible fire scenarios under compressive axial loading using nonlinear FEA code. The results were used to derive closed-form expressions to predict the residual strength of steel stiffened panels with various exposure to jet fire characteristics. The results could be used to assess the sustainability of structures at risk of exposure to fire accidents in offshore installations.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.176-183
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• 2008

본 논문에서는 세 가지 모형(Owen 모형, Van der Meer & Janssen 모형, Hedges & Reis 모형)을 적용하여 월파의 확률적 평가를 수행하였다. 건설중인 부산 신항 방파제의 월파 확률 예측 값을 도출하는 데에 있어서 Hedges & Reis 모형이 월파에 의한 방파제 파괴 확률분석과 Level II와 Level III 신뢰성 해석을 이용하는 것으로 적합하여 건설비용의 절감을 위하여 파괴가능성이 낮은 월파의 천단고를 제안하였다.