• 제목/요약/키워드: Probabilistic Method.

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Dynamic and reliability analysis of stochastic structure system using probabilistic finite element method

  • Moon, Byung-Young;Kang, Gyung-Ju;Kang, Beom-Soo;Cho, Dae-Seung
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2004
  • Industrial structure systems may have nonlinearity, and are also sometimes exposed to the danger of random excitation. This paper proposes a method to analyze response and reliability design of a complex nonlinear structure system under random excitation. The nonlinear structure system which is subjected to random process is modeled by finite element method. The nonlinear equations are expanded sequentially using the perturbation theory. Then, the perturbed equations are solved in probabilistic methods. Several statistical properties of random process that are of interest in random vibration applications are reviewed in accordance with the nonlinear stochastic problem.

경계요소법을 이용한 평면변형율요소의 확률해석 (Probability Analysis of Plane Strain Element using Boundary Element Method)

  • 전정배;윤성수;박진선;이형렬
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권4호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study is intended to analyze stresses using the boundary element method and probability analysis for agricultural structure. Loads and material properties are an important factor when analyzing the structure. Until now, designing structure, loads and material properties are applied deterministic value. However, load and material properties involve uncertainties due to those change probabilistic and deterministic methods could not consider uncertainties. To solve these problems, the reliability analysis based on probability properties scheme was developed. Reliability analysis is easy to approach to analysis frame structure, however it has limitation when solving plane stress strain problems a kind of agricultural structures. The BEM (Boundary Element Method) is able to analysis plane strain problems by boundary conditions. Thus, this study applied boundary element method to analysis plane strain problem, load and material properties as a probabilistic value to calculate the analytical model using Monte Carlo simulations were developed.

확률 타부 탐색법을 이용한 수화력 계통의 경제운용 (Hydro-Thermal Optimal Scheduling Using Probabilistic Tabu Search)

  • 김형수;박준호
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2002년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.76-79
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we propose a Probabilistic Tabu Search(PTS) method for hydro-thermal scheduling. Hydro scheduling has many constraints and very difficult to solve the optimal schedule because it has many local minima. To solve the problem effectively, the proposed method uses two procedures, one is Tabu search procedure that plays a role in local search, and the other is Restarting procedure that enables to diversify its search region. To adjust parameters such as a reducing rate and initial searching region, search strategy is selected according to its probability after Restarting procedure. In order to show the usefulness of the proposed method, the PTS is applied on two cases which have dependent hydro plants and compared to those of other method. The simulation results show it is very efficient and useful algorithm to solve the hydro-thermal scheduling problem.

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Probabilistic Structural Integrity Assessment of a Reactor Vessel Under Pressurized Thermal Shock

  • Kim, Ji-Ho;Kim, Yong-Wan;Kim, Tae-Wan;Hyung-Huh;Kim, Jong-In
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2000
  • A probabilistic integrity analysis method is presented for a reactor vessel under pressurized thermal shock(PTS) based on Monte Carlo simulation. This method can be applied to the structural integrity assessment of a reactor vessel subjected to pressurized thermal shock where the coolant temperature transient cannot be expressed explicitly as a time function. An axially or circumferentially oriented infinite length surface crack is assumed to be in the beltline weld region of the rector vessel's inside surface. The random variables are the initial crack depth, neutron fluence on the vessel's inside surface, the copper and nickel content of the vessel materials, R $T_{NDT}$ , $K_{IC}$ , and K/aub la/. The reliability of a sample reactor vessel under PTS is assessed quantitatively and the influence of the amount of neutron fluence is also examined by applying the present method.sent method.

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The Study of FACTS Impacts for Probabilistic Transient Stability

  • Kim Hyung-Chul;Kwon Sae-Hyuk
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.129-136
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes a probabilistic evaluation for the transient stability of electrical power systems incorporating FACTS devices. The uncertainties of the fault location and relay operation time play important keys in power system instability evaluation. The TCSC and SVC are employed for the reduction of system instability probability. This method is demonstrated by the WSCC test system and the results are compared with and without FACTS by means of Monte Carlo simulation.

피로크랙 진전수명의 확율특성에 관한 연구(III) - 크랙진전속도의 불확정성 평가수법 - (A Study on the Probabilistic Nature of Fatigue Crack Propagation Life(III) - A Method for Uncertainty Evaluation of Crack Propagation Rate -)

  • 윤한용
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.1635-1639
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구에서는 제1보에서의 수법을 이용하여 초기크랙길이의 분포를 고려한 재료의 불확정성 평가수법을 제시하고자 한다.

결합확률 데이타 연관 필터에서의 표적 초기화 (Track initiation for joint probabilistic data association filter)

  • 김학용;박용환;황익호;서진헌
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1992년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 19-21 Oct. 1992
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    • pp.141-146
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    • 1992
  • Joint probabilistic data association filter(JPDAF) for multi-target tracking was developed for real-time implementation, while it abandoned an algorithm for track initiation. In this paper, we propose three features for track initiation that can be adapted to the JPDA filter. In addition, with the proposed approaches, the performance of track maintenance is evaluated in the case of tracks being near. To eliminate the abundant false tracks, we exploit the simple method using the state error covariances. Simulations are performed to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed approaches.

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A Penalized Principal Components using Probabilistic PCA

  • Park, Chong-Sun;Wang, Morgan
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2003년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2003
  • Variable selection algorithm for principal component analysis using penalized likelihood method is proposed. We will adopt a probabilistic principal component idea to utilize likelihood function for the problem and use HARD penalty function to force coefficients of any irrelevant variables for each component to zero. Consistency and sparsity of coefficient estimates will be provided with results of small simulated and illustrative real examples.

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PROBABILISTIC APPROACH ON SEISMOGENIC POTENTIAL OF A FAULT

  • Chang, Chun-Joong
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제43권5호
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    • pp.437-446
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    • 2011
  • Siting criteria for nuclear power plants require that faults be characterized as to their potential for generating earthquakes, or that the absence of the potential for these occurrences be demonstrated. Because the definition of active faults in Korea has been applied by the deterministic method, which depends on the numerical age of fault movement, the possibility of inherent uncertainties exists in determining the maximum earthquake from the fault sources for seismic design. In an attempt to overcome these problems this study suggests new criteria and a probabilistic quantitative diagnostic procedure that could estimate whether a fault is capable of generating earthquakes in the near future.

실시간 시스템 분석을 위한 확률 명세 방법 (A Formal Probabilistic Specification Method for Analysis of Real Time Systems)

  • 장은민;이철;이문근
    • 한국정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정보과학회 2002년도 봄 학술발표논문집 Vol.29 No.1 (B)
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    • pp.424-426
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    • 2002
  • PATM(Probabilistic Abstract Timed Machine) [1]은 시스템의 진행 중 다양한 환경 요인에 의해 발생하는 불확실성을 명세하기 위해 개발된 정형 명세 기법이다. PATM으로 명세한 시스템은 도달성 그래프를 분석하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 다양한 물리적 환경 요소를 고려하여 시스템을 분석하는 과정에서 발생하는 실행모델의 복잡도를 줄이기 위한 방법을 제시한다.

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