• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.1659-1673
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• 2019

Android platform provides In-app Billing service for purchasing valuable items inside mobile applications. However, it has become a major target for attackers to achieve valuable items without actual payment. Especially, application developers suffer from automated attacks targeting all the applications in the device, not a specific application. In this paper, we propose a novel scheme detecting automated attacks with probabilistic tests. The scheme tests the signature verification method in a non-deterministic way, and if the method was replaced by the automated attack, the scheme detects it with very high probability. Both the analysis and the experiment result show that the developers can prevent their applications from automated attacks securely and efficiently by using of the proposed scheme.

• Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.11-15
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• 1986

In this paper, we consider the validity of a human probabilistic learning model applied to the perdiction of errors associated with the absolute identification of tones. It is shown that the probabilistic learning model describes the human error process adequately. The model parameters are estimated by two methods which are the method of maximum likelihood, and the method of mement. The MLE version of the model has the better predictive power but the ME version is more readily obtainable and may be more practical.

• Journal of Information Management
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.34-52
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• 1990

The probabilistic reasoning method using Bayesian theory is studied to use uncertain or incomplete knowledge in ways that take the uncertainty into account. This method presented for knowledge acquisition process of expert system to evaluate certainty degree of input knowledge.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.35 no.3
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• pp.71-78
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• 1998

Recently, modern long-stroke diesel engines with small number of cylinders have been installed for energy saving and simpler maintenance. These kinds of low speed diesel engine produce large torsional vibration in the shafting, which induces the excessive vibratory stresses in the shafting and large propeller thrust variation. This thrust variation excites vibrations of the shafting and superstructure in the longitudinal direction. Up to now the deteriministic analysis of coupled vibration of marine shafting system has been performed. In this paper probabilistic analysis method of the marine diesel propulsion shafting system under coupled axial and torsional vibrations is presented. For the purpose of this work, the torsional and axial vibration excitations of engine and propeller are assumed to be probabilistic while the lateral excitation is assumed to be deterministic. The probabilistic analysis is based on a response surface and Monte-Carlo simulation. Numerical results based on the proposed method are compared with results calculated using the conventional deterministic analysis method. The results obtained make it clear that the proposed method gives a substantial increase in information about shafting behaviour as compared with the deterministic method.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.9 no.6
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• pp.57-68
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• 2009

Recently, damage scale of human-induced disaster is sharply increased but its occurrences and damages are so uncertain that it is hard to construct a resonable response & mitigation plan for infrastructures. Therefore, the needs for a advanced risk management technique based on a probabilistic and stochastic risk evaluation theory is increased. In this study, these evaluation methods were investigated and a advanced disaster risk evaluation method, which is based on the probabilistic or stochastic risk assessment theory and also is a quantitative evaluation technique, was suggested. With this method, the safety changes as the result of fire damage management for recent 40 years was analyzed. And the result was compared with that of Japan. Through the consilience of the traditional risk assessment method and this method, a stochastical estimation technique for the uncertainty of future disaster's damage could support a cost-effective information for a resonable decision making on disaster mitigation.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.26 no.9
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• pp.15-24
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• 2010

Because the thickness and depth of consolidation layer vary at every location, the consolidation settlement and time have to be evaluated spatially. Also, for a rational evaluation of the uncertainty of the spatial distribution of consolidation settlement and time, it is necessary to adopt a probabilistic method. In this study, mean and standard deviation of consolidation settlement and time of whole analysis region are evaluated by using the spatial distribution of consolidation layer which is estimated from ordinary kriging and statistics of soil properties. Using these results and probabilistic method, the area that needs adopting the prefabricated vertical drain as well as raising the ground level for balancing the final design ground level is determined. It is observed that such areas are influenced by the variability of soil properties. The design procedure and method presented in this paper can be used in the decision making process for a geotechnical engineering design.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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• v.54 no.8
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• pp.418-428
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• 2005

In this paper, a new probabilistic generation modeling method which can address the characteristics of changed electricity industry is proposed. The major contribution of this paper can be captured in the development of a probabilistic generation modeling considering generator maintenance outage and in the classification of market demand into multiple demand clusters for the applications to electricity markets. Conventional forced outage rates of generators are conceptually combined with maintenance outage of generators and, consequently, effective outage rates of generators are newly defined in order to properly address the probabilistic characteristic of generation in electricity markets. Then, original market demands are classified into several distinct demand clusters, which are defined by the effective outage rates of generators and by the inherent characteristic of the original demand. We have found that generators have different effective outage rates values at each classified demand cluster, depending on the market situation. From this, therefore, it can be seen that electricity markets can also be classified into several groups which show similar patterns and that the fundamental characteristics of power systems can be more efficiently analyzed in electricity markets perspectives, for this classification can be widely applicable to other technical problems in power systems such as generation scheduling, power flow analysis, price forecasts, and so on.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.49 no.6
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• pp.93-101
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• 2007

In general, geotechnical properties have many uncertain aspects, thus probabilistic analysis have been used to consider these aspects. It is, however, quite difficult to select an appropriate target probability for a certain structure or construction process. In this study, minimum expected cost design method based on probabilistic analysis is suggested for design of vertical drains generally used to accelerate consolidation in soft clayey soils. A sensitivity analysis is performed to select the most important uncertain parameters for the design of vertical drains. Monte Carlo simulation is used in sensitivity analysis and probabilistic analysis. Total expected cost, defined as the sum of initial cost and expected additive cost, varies widely with variation of input parameters used in design of vertical drain systems. And probability of failure to get the minimum total expected cost varies under the different design conditions. A minimum value of total expected cost is suggested as a design value in this study. The proposed design concept is applicable to unit construction process because this approach is to consider the uncertainties using probabilistic analysis and uncertainties of geotechnical properties.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.12 no.10
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• pp.4952-4975
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• 2018

An induced hesitant linguistic aggregation operator is investigated in the paper, in which, hesitant fuzzy linguistic evaluation values are associated with probabilistic information. To deal with these hesitant fuzzy linguistic information, an induced hesitant fuzzy linguistic probabilistic ordered weighted averaging (IHFLPOWA) operator is proposed, monotonicity, boundary and idempotency of IHFLPOWA are proved. Then andness, orness and the entropy of dispersion of IHFLPOWA are analyzed, which are used to characterize the weighting vector of the operator, these properties show that IHFLPOWA is extensions of the induced linguistic ordered weighted averaging operator and linguistic probabilistic aggregation operator. In this paper, IHFLPOWA is utilized to gather linguistic information and create fuzzy ontologies, and a movie fuzzy ontology as an illustrative case study is used to show the elaboration of the proposed method and comparison with the existing linguistic aggregation operators, it seems that the IHFLPOWA operator is an useful and alternative operator for dealing with hesitant fuzzy linguistic information with probabilistic information.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.54 no.3
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• pp.55-63
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• 2012

Soil properties are not random values which is represented by mean and standard deviation but show spatial correlation. Especially, soils are highly variable in their properties and rarely homogeneous. Thus, the accuracy and reliability of probabilistic analysis results is decreased when using only one random variable as design parameter. In this paper, to consider spatial variability of soil property, one-dimensional random fields of coefficient of consolidation ($C_v$) were generated based on a Karhunen-Loeve expansion. A Latin hypercube Monte Calro simulation coupled with finite difference method for Terzaghi's one dimensional consolidation theory was then used to probabilistic analysis. The results show that the failure probability is smaller when consider spatial variability of $C_v$ than not considered and the failure probability increased when the autocorrelation distance increased. Thus, the uncertainty of soil can be overestimated when spatial variability of soil property is not considered, and therefore, to perform a more accurate probabilistic analysis, spatial variability of soil property needed to be considered.