• 제목/요약/키워드: Price.Economic

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The Impact of Crude Oil Prices on Macroeconomic Factors in Korea

  • Yoon, Il-Hyun
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine how Korea's macroeconomic factors, such as GDP, CPI, Export, Import, Unemployment rate and USD/KRW exchange rate, are affected by the oil price shocks. Design/methodology/approach - This study used monthly and quarterly time-series data of each variable for the period 1983 to 2022, consisting of two sub-periods, to employ Granger causality test and GARCH method in order to identify the role of the oil price movement in macroeconomic factors in Korea. Findings - Korea's currency rate to the US dollar is negatively correlated with the price change of crude oil while the GDP change is positively correlated with the price change of crude oil with strong relationship between Export and Import in particular. The exchange rate and GDP growth are believed to be not correlated with the oil price change for the pre-GFC period. According to the Granger causality test, the price change in crude oil has a causal impact on CPI, Export and Import while other factors are relatively slightly affected. Transmission effect from the oil price to Export is found and there also exists volatility spillover from oil price to economic variables under examination. Comparing two sub-periods, CPI and Export volatility responds negatively to shocks in the oil price for the pre-GFC period while volatility of CPI and Unemployment reacts positively to the oil price shocks for the post-GFC period. Research implications or Originality - The findings of this study could be helpful for both domestic and international investors to build their portfolio for the risk management since rising WTI price can be interpreted as a result of global economic growth and ensuing increase in the worldwide demand of the crude oil. Consequently, the national output is expected to increase and the currency is also expected to be strong in the long run.

시범 새우양식장의 경제적 타당성 연구 (Economic Feasibility of a Hypothetical Shrimp Farm a Combination of Semi-Closed Raceways and Ponds)

  • 이재후
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 1982
  • This study involves a blending of intensive and extensive shrimp culture techniques for a hypothetical shrimp farm which uses a combination of heated raceway nurseries and extensive grow-out ponds per year. The present value method of economic analysis is used to determine economic feasibility. The biological data in this reports were obtained from published or personal communications from leaders in the field of shrimp aquaculture. The proposed system showed economic feasibility using the present value method with discount rates of 10% and 12%. The most profitable scenario, the culture of three crops of Penaeus vannamei showed a 1.26 year payback period and 120% annual average rate of return. The breakeven price was $1.25/1b., which is $1.52 less than the market price of $2.77. Breakeven production was 724 1bs/acre, which is 8761bs. less than the assumed 1,600 1bs/acre. All other scenarios 1.2 and 3 crops for P. stylirostris and P. setiferus showed economic feasibility also.

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주택용 지열히트펌프 시스템의 용량 변화에 대한 경제성 비교 분석 (Economic Analysis of Various Residential Geothermal Heat Pump System Capacities)

  • 이충국;서승직;김진상
    • 한국지열·수열에너지학회논문집
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2011
  • Geothermal heat pumps are known as the most efficient and environment-friendly heating and cooling system, and are also gaining acceptance in buildings. Building energy simulation program, EnergyPlus is used to calculate the energy consumption of residential buildings. This simulated energy consumption is essential for accurate economic analysis. Residential buildings with geothermal heat pumps have complex energy price structure. Electricity rates for residential buildings increase rapidly as the monthly use increases. This complex energy price structure makes the economic analysis complicated. The purpose of this study is to conduct economic comparison of residential geothermal heat pumps and provide a feasible approach in finding their economically feasible capacity.

감태 양식사업의 경제성 분석 (Economic Analysis of Ecklonia cava Aquaculture Business)

  • 강석규
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제44권2호
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    • pp.69-81
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the economic validity of Ecklonia cava aquaculture business for raising fishing people's revenue. The results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the production of Ecklonia cava is estimated about 251 ton or more in Jeju. Second, the distribution structure of Ecklonia cava is not established, but Ecklonia cava is traded much more through bio or processing corporation than through fisheries cooperative like other marine plants. Third, the price of Ecklonia cava should be at least 1,729 won per kilogram under 4.04% of capital cost for economic feasibility of Ecklonia cava aquaculture business. Finally, the results of sensitivity analysis show that there is economic feasibility of Ecklonia cava aquaculture business when the price of Ecklonia cava is more 2,500 won per kilogram and the capital cost is under 8.0%.

투기과열지역의 공간패턴 모형화 (Modeling Spatial Patterns of an Overheated Speculation Area)

  • 손학기
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.104-116
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    • 2008
  • 투기과열지역은 투기의 발생 가능성이 높은 지역으로, 각종 부동산대책의 주요 대상이 된다. 본 연구에서는 부동산 가격변동의 공간패턴을 모형화함으로써 투기과열지역의 공간패턴을 제안하고자 한다. 부동산 가격은 합리적 또는 적응적 소유자 수요자의 경계행위에 의해서 결정되고, 가격변동의 공간패턴은 이들의 경제행위 경향에 의해서 형성된다고 모형화하였다. 일정 지역에 적응적 소유자와 수요자가 다수인 경우, 이 지역은 타 지역에 비해 가격상승 폭이 높고 주변 부동산과 가격상승이 동시에 일어나는 가격변동 핫스팟 패턴으로 정의하였다. 투기과열지역은 최대의 미래 기대이익을 얻고자하는 적응적 소유자와 수요자에 의해서 형성되기 때문에 이 지역의 공간패턴은 가격변동 핫스팟 패턴으로 정의할 수 있었다.

소비자물가지수의 시계열모형 연구 (Analysis of time series models for consumer price index)

  • 이훈자
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.535-542
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    • 2012
  • 소비자물가지수는 국가의 중요한 경제 척도 중의 하나이다. 본 연구에서는 4개 도시, 서울, 부산, 대구, 광주지역의 소비자물가지수를 연구하였다. 자료는 모두 통계청에서 발췌하였고, 기간은 1998년-2011년 월별자료이며, 시계열분석 기법인 자기회귀오차모형으로 분석하였다. 소비자물가 분석을 위한 설명변수는 9가지 경제변수인 경기동행지수, 미국환욜, 생산자물가지수, 원유수입단가, 원유수입물량, 국제경상수지, 수입물가지수, 실업율, 화폐통화량을 사용하였다. 분석 결과, 자기회귀오차모형으로 각 지역별 소비자물가지수를 46%-52% 정도 설명할 수 있다.

The Effect of Non-Oil Diversification on Stock Market Performance: The Role of FDI and Oil Price in the United Arab Emirates

  • BANERJEE, Rachna;MAJUMDAR, Sudipa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2021
  • UAE has rapidly developed into one of the leading global financial hubs, with significant transformations in its stock exchanges. In its attempt at economic diversification in the last two decades, the country has also taken a lead in the GCC region in introducing extensive reforms to attract FDI to the Emirates. However, oil price volatilities have posed a significant challenge to all oil-exporting countries. The main aim of this study is to explore the impact of economic diversification and oil price on the UAE stock market. The study applies Granger Causality and Vector Autoregressive Model on monthly Abu Dhabi stock exchange index, Dubai Fateh crude oil spot price, and FDI inflows during 2001-19. The short-term interbank rate has been included as a monetary policy variable. The results show a substantial difference between the two phases of reforms. Oil price and Abu Dhabi stock index show bidirectional relationship during 2001-09 but no causality was found during 2010-19. Furthermore, the second phase was characterized by unidirectional causation from FDI to ADX index. This study highlights FDI inflows as a key driver of stock market performance during the last decade and emphasizes the success of the intense reforms in the UAE initiated for the diversification of its economy.

A Future Economic Model: A Study of the Impact of Food Processing Industry, Manufacturers and Distributors in a Thai Context

  • Maliwan SARAPAB;Duangrat TANDAMRONG
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권7호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study attempted to analyze the impacts of the backward linkage and output multipliers, and investigate the price fluctuation and the price forecast amongst the manufacturing sectors associated with food processing industrial output of Thailand. Research design, data and methodology: The Thailand Input-Output table with a size of 180 x 180 sectors from 2005, 2010, and 2015 was utilized while the secondary data of the time series from January 2002 to December 2021 were processed via a multiplicative model and Box-Jenkins model. Results: The backward linkage analysis indicates that canning and preserving of the meat sector majorly utilized the factors of production from the slaughtering sector; canning and preservation of fish and other seafoods sector largely used those factors from the ocean and coastal fishing sector; and the sugar sector used those of the sugarcane sector. Notably, the output multiplier analysis indicated that output multipliers of those 3 manufacturing sectors were highly increased; meanwhile the price fluctuation continually existed in all forms. Besides, the price forecast suggested that prices of chicken and sugarcane tended to be higher; whereas, the price of shrimp was unstable. Conclusions: Food processing industry contains the favorable components to be one of the industries of the future of Thailand.

Tackling Privacy Paradox : Protecting Right to Self-determination of Personal Information by Estimating the Economic Value of Personal Information and Visualizing the Price

  • Lim, Sejoon
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.244-259
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    • 2021
  • The economic value of personal information has its importance as an objective measure of valuation in commercial, legal, and policy areas. Until recently, however, personal information subjects have not properly recognized the economic value of personal information, which has led to the inability to exercise the right to self-determination of personal information by unconsciously agreeing to the terms and conditions of personal information service without recognizing the value of personal information provided to the service provider when subscribing to a specific service. Therefore, we will examine the methodologies for calculating the economic value of personal information and the practical guarantee of the right to self-determination of personal information and analyze the economic value of personal information through a survey. Also, we would like to propose various ways for the subject of personal information with limited cognitive resources to visually accept the economic value of personal information required by the terms and conditions and suggest the optimal visualization of personal information economic value to exercise the right to self-determination of personal information. To do so, in this paper, we have conducted two survey experiments to estimate the economic value of personal information. Based on the price of personal information by category retrieved from surveys, we have visualized the price of personal information in various forms and asked respondents to choose the optimal infographic that best represents the value of personal information visually. As a result, we have proposed an optimal usage of the infographic to 'nudge' information subjects about their right to self-determination of personal information, therefore opening the possibility of diminishing privacy paradox.

적조 대응 육상양식장 운영방안 및 경제적 타당성 분석 (Analysis of Operational Plan and Economical Validity in Aquacultural for Contingency Red Tide)

  • 이광남
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제47권3호
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    • pp.35-52
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyzed economic feasibility of aquacultural construction which of large-scale. The results of the economic analysis, cage cultural and water recycling cultural by post-water treatment were analyzed that NPV is 2,083,685 thousand won and -14,105,896 thousand won and B/C ratio is 0.590 and 0.855, respectively. These were shown economic infeasibility. But, running water culture by pre-water treatment(small scale) and running water culture by pre-water treatment(large scale) were analyzed that the one is 5,555,747 thousand won and 15,048,589 thousand won and the other is 1,154 and 1,1221, respectively. these were shown economic feasibility. In addition, measurement of B/C ratio through a sensitivity analysis on running water cultural by pre-water treatment(small scale) and running water cultural by pre-water treatment(large scale) is economic feasibility in all cases. However, these were analyzed when the selling price was falling to 20 percent, it has shown economic infeasibility and when the selling price rises to 20 percent, water recycling culture by post-water treatment has economic feasibility. The significance of the study analyzed a sensibility as well as economic feasibility by methods and scales. It is expected that used as basic materials when constructing and operating of land aquaculture in order to minimize the damage from natural disasters.