• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive value

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EVALUATION OF CLINICAL METHODS IN THE DIAGNOSIS OF TEMPOROMANDIBULAR JOINT DISORDERS: A COMPARISON STUDY WITH MAGNETIC RESONANCE IMAGING (측두하악관절 장애에 대한 임상진단의 유효성 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Wook;Shin, Sung-Soo;Kim, Jong-Sik;Kim, Ki-Young;Kim, Yoon-Ji;Hong, Soon-Min;Cheon, Se-Hwan;Park, Yang-Ho;Choi, Won-Cheul;Park, Jun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.367-374
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: The diagnostic relevancies and characteristics and of clinical methods in the diagnosis of internal derangement(ID) were tested by comparing the results of them with those of magnetic resonance imaging(MRI). Methods: 75 patients(150 temporomandibular joints; TMJs), who were suspected to have ID by clinical diagnoses, were included. Clinical diagnoses including mouth opening pathway and TMJ sound were conducted and MRI takings were done. Accuracies, sensitivities, specificities, positive predictive values, and negative predictive values of clinical diagnosis, mouth opening pathway, and TMJ sound were calculated by comparing with diagnoses with MRIs. Results: Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of clinical diagnosis were 59.3%, 83%, 49%, 81%, and 51%. They were 59%, 82%, 25%, 73%, and 35% for mouth opening pathways. Although deviation was somewhat accurate for representing disc displacement with reduction(ADDWR), other discrepancies on opening pathways were not clinically relevant. Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of clicking sounds were 85%, 49%, 78%, 85%, and 37%. TMJs with crepitus were only three. But all TMJs with crepitus were diagnosed to have disc displacement without reduction(ADDWOR). Conclusion: When compared with diagnoses with MRIs, clinical diagnoses for ID were not so accurate. But they were suitable for screening tests for ID. Opening pathways and TMJ sounds were not so relevant in the diagnoses of IDs and so it was concluded that considerations for other factors must be included in the diagnoses of IDs.

Artificial Neural Network System in Evaluating Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis of Squamous Cell Carcinoma (편평세포암종 임파절 전이에 대한 인공 신경망 시스템의 진단능 평가)

  • Park Sang-Wook;Heo Min-Suk;Lee Sam-Sun;Choi Soon-Chul;Park Tae-Won;You Dong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Oral and Maxillofacial Radiology
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.149-159
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    • 1999
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to evaluate cervical lymph node metastasis of oral squamous cell carcinoma patients by MRI film and neural network system. Materials and Methods: The oral squamous cell carcinoma patients(21 patients. 59 lymph nodes) who have visited SNU hospital and been taken by MRI. were included in this study. Neck dissection operations were done and all of the cervical lymph nodes were confirmed with biopsy. In MR images. each lymph node were evaluated by using 6 MR imaging criteria(size. roundness. heterogeneity. rim enhancement. central necrosis, grouping) respectively. Positive predictive value. negative predictive value. and accuracy of each MR imaging criteria were calculated. At neural network system. the layers of neural network system consisted of 10 input layer units. 10 hidden layer units and 1 output layer unit. 6 MR imaging criteria previously described and 4 MR imaging criteria (site I-node level II and submandibular area. site II-other node level. shape I-oval. shape II-bean) were included for input layer units. The training files were made of 39 lymph nodes(24 metastatic lymph nodes. 10 non-metastatic lymph nodes) and the testing files were made of other 20 lymph nodes(10 metastatic lymph nodes. 10 non-metastatic lymph nodes). The neural network system was trained with training files and the output level (metastatic index) of testing files were acquired. Diagnosis was decided according to 4 different standard metastatic index-68. 78. 88. 98 respectively and positive predictive values. negative predictive values and accuracy of each standard metastatic index were calculated. Results: In the diagnosis of using single MR imaging criteria. the rim enhancement criteria had highest positive predictive value (0.95) and the size criteria had highest negative predictive value (0.77). In the diagnosis of using single MR imaging criteria. the highest accurate criteria was heterogeneity (accuracy: 0.81) and the lowest one was central necrosis (accuracy: 0.59). In the diagnosis of using neural network systems. the highest accurate standard metastatic index was 78. and that time. the accuracy was 0.90. Neural network system was more accurate than any other single MR imaging criteria in evaluating cervical lymph node metastasis. Conclusion: Neural network system has been shown to be more useful than any other single MR imaging criteria. In future. Neural network system will be powerful aiding tool in evaluating cervical node metastasis.

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Comparison of Diagnostic Accuracies of Serum HE-4 Levels and 3D Power Doppler Angiography Parameters between Benign Endometrial Pathologies and Endometrial Cancer

  • Erenel, Hakan;Bese, Tugan;Sal, Veysel;Demirkiran, Fuat;Arvas, Macit
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.2507-2511
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    • 2016
  • Purpose: To study the diagnostic accuracies of serum human epididymis protein 4 (HE-4) levels, virtual organ computer-aided analysis (VOCAL) parameters and endometrial volume in endometrial cancer cases. Materials and Methods: One hundred and seven patients (37 with endometrial cancer and 70 with benign endometrial pathology) were included in this study. VOCAL parameters and serum HE-4 levels were compared between the groups. Results: Area under the curve (AUC) values were 0.702, 0.658, 0.706 for vascularization index (VI), the flow index (FI) and the vascularization flow index (VFI), respectively. A cut off value of 0.568 for VI demonstrated 70% sensitivity, 72% specificity, 56% positive predictive value (PPV) and a81% negative predictive value (NPV). A cut off value of 25.8 for showed a senitivith of 70% and a specificity of 58% with aPPV of 46% and NPV of 78%, and with a cut off value of 0.12 for VFI 70%, 69%, 54% and 81%, respectively. The area under the curve for HE-4 was 0.814. A cut off value of 458 pmol/L was predictive of malignancy with 86% sensitivity and 63% specificity. Conclusions: VOCAL parameters and serum HE-4 levels were statistically significantly higher in the endometrial cancer patients. Serum HE-4 levels provided a greater sensitivity compared to power doppler angiography for predicting malignancy or benign endometrial pathology.

Surgical Perspective of T1799A BRAF Mutation Diagnostic Value in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

  • Brahma, Bayu;Yulian, Erwin Danil;Ramli, Muchlis;Setianingsih, Iswari;Gautama, Walta;Brahma, Putri;Sastroasmoro, Sudigdo;Harimurti, Kuntjoro
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2013
  • Background: Throughout Indonesia, thyroid cancer is one of the ten commonest malignancies, with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) in our hospital accounting for about 60% of all thyroid nodules. Although fine needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) is the most reliable diagnostic tool, some nodules are diagnosed as indeterminate and second surgery is common for PTC. The aim of this study was to establish the diagnostic value and feasibility of testing the BRAF T1799A mutation on FNA specimens for improving PTC diagnosis. Materials and Methods: This prospective study enrolled 95 patients with thyroid nodules and future surgery planned. Results of mutational status were compared with surgical pathology diagnosis. Results: Of the 70 cases included in the final analysis, 62.8% were PTC and the prevalence of BRAF mutation was 38.6%. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) for BRAF mutation analysis were 36%, 100%, 100% and 48%, respectively. With other data findings, nodules with "onset less than 5 year" and "hard consistency" were proven as diagnostic determinants for BRAF mutation with a probability of 62.5%. This mutation was also a significant risk factor for extra-capsular extension. Conclusions: Molecular analysis of the BRAF T1799A mutation in FNAB specimens has high specificity and positive predictive value for PTC. It could be used in the selective patients with clinical characteristics to facilitate PTC diagnosis and for guidance regarding extent of thyroidectomy.

Empirical Analysis of 3 Statistical Models of Hospital Bankruptcy in Korea (병원도산 예측모형의 실증적 비교연구)

  • 이무식;서영준;양동현
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 1999
  • This study was conducted to investigate the predictors of hospital bankruptcy in Korea and to examine the predictive power for 3 types of statistical models of hospital bankruptcy. Data on 17 financial and 4 non-financial indicators of 30 bankrupt and 30 profitable hospitals in 1. 2, and 3 years before bankruptcy were obtained from the hospital performance databank of Korea Institute of Health Services Management. Significant variables were identified through mean comparison of each indicator between bankrupt and profitable hospitals, and the predictive power of statistical models of hospital bankruptcy were compared. The major findings are as follows. 1. Nine out of 21 indicators - fixed ratio, quick ratio, operating profit to total assets, operating profit to gross revenue, normal profit to total assets,normal profit to gross revenue, net profit to gross revenue, inventories turnrounds, and added value per adjusted patient - were found to be significantly predictitive variables in Logit and Probit models. 2. The predicdtive power of discriminant model of hospital bankruptcy in 1. 2, and 3 years before bankruptcy were 85.4, 79.0, and 83.8% respectively. With regard to the predictive power of the Logit model of hospital bankruptcy, they were 82.3, 75.8, and 80.6% respectively, and of the Probit model. 87.1. 80.6, and 88.7% respectively. 3. The predictive power of the Probit model of hospital bankruptcy is better than the other two predictive models.

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A Study on Method for Screening of Hypercalciuria in Children (소아에서 소변 Na/K 비를 통한 칼슘 배설량 예측)

  • Ko Han Seong;Choi Jeong Hoon;Choi Byoung Min;Yoo Kee Hwan;Hong Young Sook;Lee Joo Won;Kim Soon Kyum
    • Childhood Kidney Diseases
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2000
  • Purpose. Urinary calcium excretion using a 24-hr urine colledtion has been used for the diagnosis of hypercalciuria up to now. But It takes a lot of time and costs much. We have investigated on a more simple method for screening of hypercalciuria in children. Methods: We had retrospectively analyzed sodium, potassium, calcium and creatinine in spot urine of eighty-four patients with urinary symptoms from May 1998 to July 1998 in Korea university Guro hospital and compared the urinary Ca/Cr ratio with the Nin ratio. Using a urinary Nan ratio >2.68 as a cutoff value in predicting the occurrence of hypercalciuria, we measured its sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and the negative predictive value. Results: A direct relationship was found between urinary Na/K and Ca/Cr ratio (r=0.496, P<0.001, Ca/Cr : Na/K x 0.0167+0.061). Using a urinary Na/K ratio >2.68 as a cutoff value in predicting the occurrence of hypercalciuria, its sensitivity was found to be $100\%$ and its specificity $54.5\%$. The positive predictive value was $37.5\%$ and the negative predictive value $100\%$. Conclusions : Spot urine Na/K ratio is a valuable test for the screening of hypercalciuria in children.

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High Performance Current Controller for Sparse Matrix Converter Based on Model Predictive Control

  • Lee, Eunsil;Lee, Kyo-Beum;Lee, Young Il;Song, Joong-Ho
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1138-1145
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    • 2013
  • A novel predictive current control strategy for a sparse matrix converter is presented. The sparse matrix converter is functionally-equivalent to the direct matrix converter but has a reduced number of switches. The predictive current control uses a model of the system to predict the future value of the load current and generates the reference voltage vector that minimizes a given cost function so that space vector modulation is achieved. The results show that the proposed controller for sparse matrix converters controls the load current very effectively and performs very well through simulation and experimental results.

A Design of Condition Monitoring System for Predictive Maintenance

  • Jeong, Hai-Sung;Kim, Heung H.;Sang K. Yun;Elsayed A. Elsayed
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.57-71
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    • 2001
  • Global competition to increase production output and to improve quality is spurring manufacturing companies to use condition monitoring and fault diagnostic systems for predictive maintenance. As monitoring, testing, and measuring techniques develop, predictive control of components and complete systems have become more practical and affordable. In this article, we will consider the computer based data acquisition system for condition monitoring and the condition parameter analysis techniques for fault detection and diagnostics in the machinery and briefly discuss reliability prediction and the limit value determination in condition monitoring.

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Predictive factors of symptomatic radiation pneumonitis in primary and metastatic lung tumors treated with stereotactic ablative body radiotherapy

  • Kim, Kangpyo;Lee, Jeongshim;Cho, Yeona;Chung, Seung Yeun;Lee, Jason Joon Bock;Lee, Chang Geol;Cho, Jaeho
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Although stereotactic ablative body radiotherapy (SABR) is widely used therapeutic technique, predictive factors of radiation pneumonitis (RP) after SABR remain undefined. We aimed to investigate the predictive factors affecting RP in patients with primary or metastatic lung tumors who received SABR. Materials and Methods: From 2012 to 2015, we reviewed 59 patients with 72 primary or metastatic lung tumors treated with SABR, and performed analyses of clinical and dosimetric variables related to symptomatic RP. SABR was delivered as 45-60 Gy in 3-4 fractions, which were over 100 Gy in BED when the ${\alpha}/{\beta}$ value was assumed to be 10. Tumor volume and other various dose volume factors were analyzed using median value as a cutoff value. RP was graded per the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events v4.03. Results: At the median follow-up period of 11 months, symptomatic RP was observed in 13 lesions (12 patients, 18.1%), including grade 2 RP in 11 lesions and grade 3 in 2 lesions. Patients with planning target volume (PTV) of ${\leq}14.35mL$ had significantly lower rates of symptomatic RP when compared to others (8.6% vs. 27%; p = 0.048). Rates of symptomatic RP in patients with internal gross tumor volume (iGTV) >4.21 mL were higher than with ${\leq}4.21mL$ (29.7% vs. 6.1%; p = 0.017). Conclusions: The incidence of symptomatic RP following treatment with SABR was acceptable with grade 2 RP being observed in most patients. iGTV over 4.21 mL and PTV of over 14.35 mL were significant predictive factors related to symptomatic RP.

Predictive and Prognostic Biomarkers for Patients Treated with Anti-EGFR Agents in Lung Cancer: A Systemic Review and Meta-Analysis

  • Wang, Ying;Qu, Xiao;Shen, Hong-Chang;Wang, Kai;Liu, Qi;Du, Jia-Jun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.4759-4768
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    • 2015
  • Background: Several studies have investigated predictive and prognostic biomarkers for patients treated with anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) agents in lung cancer. However, the conclusion is controversial. Materials and Methods: A meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the associations of mutant K-ras, PIK3CA and PTEN deficiency with the efficacy of anti-EGFR agents in lung cancer. The primary endpoint was objective response rate (ORR). The secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Results: A total of 61 studies were included in the final meta-analysis. The result showed that K-ras mutation was a good predictor for ORR (RR=0.42, 95%CI, 0.33-0.55, p=0.000) and an effective prognostic marker for OS (HR=1.37, 95%CI, 1.15-1.65, p=0.001) and PFS (HR=1.33, 95%CI, 1.05-1.69, p=0.019). However, PTEN deficiency or PIK3CA mutation did not show any significance predictive value for ORR (PTEN, RR=0.82, 95%CI, 0.56-1.19, p=0.286; PIK3CA, RR=1.08, 95%CI, 0.17-6.66, P=0.938). And PTEN deficiency or expression of PIK3CA did not show significance prognostic value for OS (PTEN, HR=0.88, 95%CI, 0.31-2.46,P=0.805; PIK3CA, HR=0.79, 95%CI: 0.23-2.68, P=0.706). Conclusions: Our meta-analysis showed that K-ras mutation may be an effective predictor in lung cancer patients treated with anti-EGFR agents. Whereas, the predictive and prognostic value of PTEN deficiency and PIK3CA mutation need to be further investigated.