• 제목/요약/키워드: Predictive ability

검색결과 303건 처리시간 0.024초

Predictive analyses for balance and gait based on trunk performance using clinical scales in persons with stroke

  • Woo, Youngkeun
    • Physical Therapy Rehabilitation Science
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2018
  • Objective: This study aimed to predict balance and gait abilities with the Trunk Impairment scales (TIS) in persons with stroke. Design: Cross-sectional study. Methods: Sixty-eight participants with stoke were assessed with the TIS, Berg Balance scale (BBS), and Functional Gait Assessment (FGA) by a therapist. To describe of general characteristics, we used descriptive and frequency analyses, and the TIS was used as a predictive variable to determine the BBS. In the simple regression analysis, the TIS was used as a predictive variable for the BBS and FGA, and the TIS and BBS were used as predictive variables to determine the FGA in multiple regression analysis. Results: In the group with a BBS score of >45 for regression equation for predicting BBS score using TIS score, the coefficient of determination ($R^2$) was 0.234, and the $R^2$ was 0.500 in the group with a BBS score of ${\leq}45$. In the group with an FGA score >15 for regression equation for predicting FGA score using TIS score, the $R^2$ was 0.193, and regression equation for predicting FGA score using TIS score, the $R^2$ was 0.181 in the group of FGA score ${\leq}15$. In the group of FGA score >15 for regression equation for predicting FGA score using TIS and BBS score, the $R^2$ was 0.327. In the group of FGA score ${\leq}15$ for regression equation for predicting FGA score using TIS and BBS score, the $R^2$ was 0.316. Conclusions: The TIS scores are insufficient in predicting the FGA and BBS scores in those with higher balance ability, and the BBS and TIS could be used for predicting variables for FGA. However, TIS is a strong predictive variable for persons with stroke who have poor balance ability.

Comparative Molecular Field Analysis of Caspase-3 Inhibitors

  • Sathya, B.;Madhavan, Thirumurthy
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.166-172
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    • 2014
  • Caspases, a family of cysteinyl aspartate-specific proteases plays a central role in the regulation and the execution of apoptotic cell death. Activation of caspases-3 stimulates a signaling pathway that ultimately leads to the death of the cell. Hence, caspase-3 has been proven to be an effective target for reducing the amount of cellular and tissue damage. In this work, comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA) was performed on a series of 3, 4-dihydropyrimidoindolones derivatives which are inhibitors of caspase-3. The best predictions were obtained for CoMFA model ($q^2=0.676$, $r^2=0.990$). The predictive ability of test set ($r^2_{pred}$) was 0.688. Statistical parameters from the generated QSAR models indicated the data is well fitted and have high predictive ability. Our theoretical results could be useful to design novel and more potent caspase-3 derivatives.

Comparative Molecular Similarity Indices Analysis of Caspase-3 Inhibitors

  • Babu, Sathya;Madhavan, Thirumurthy
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2014
  • Caspases, a family of cysteinyl aspartate-specific proteases plays a central role in the regulation and the execution of apoptotic cell death. Activation of caspases-3 stimulates a signaling pathway that ultimately leads to the death of the cell. Hence, caspase-3 has been proven to be an effective target for reducing the amount of cellular and tissue damage. In this work, comparative molecular similarity indices analysis (CoMSIA) was performed on a series of 3,4-dihydropyrimidoindolones derivatives which are inhibitors of caspase-3. The best predictions were obtained for CoMSIA model ($q^2$ = 0.586, $r^2$ = 0.955). The predictive ability of test set ($r^2_{pred}$) was 0.723. Statistical parameters from the generated QSAR models indicated the data is well fitted and have high predictive ability. Our theoretical results could be useful to design novel and more potent caspase-3 derivatives.

유아의 단어읽기 능력 예측변수 : 연령 집단별, 단어 유형별 분석 (Predictors of Preschoolers' Reading Skills : Analysis by Age Groups and Reading Tasks)

  • 최나야;이순형
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate predictors concerning preschoolers' ability to read words, in terms of their sub-skills of alphabet knowledge, phonological awareness, and phonological processing. Fourteen literacy sub-tests and three types of reading tasks were administered to 289 kindergartners aged 4 to 6 in Busan. The main results are as follows. Sub-skills that predicted reading ability varied with children's age. Irrespective of children's age groups, knowledge of consonant names and digit naming speed commonly explained the reading of real words. In contrast, skills of syllable deletion and phoneme substitution and knowledge of alphabet composition principles were related to only 4-year-olds' reading skills. Exclusively included was digit memory in predicting 5-year-olds' reading abilities, and knowledge of vowel sounds in 6-year-olds' reading skills. The type of reading task also influenced reading ability. A few common variables such as knowledge of consonant names and vowel sounds, digit naming speed, and phoneme substitution skill explained all types of word reading. Syllable counting skills, however, had predictive value only for the reading of real words. Phoneme insertion skills and digit memory had predictive value for the reading of pseudo words and low frequency letters. Likewise, knowledge of consonant sounds and vowel stroke-adding principles were significant only for the reading of low frequency letters.

Premature Ejaculation and Erectile Dysfunction in Iranian Prostate Cancer Patients

  • Lin, Chung-Ying;Burri, Andrea;Pakpour, Amir H
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.1961-1966
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    • 2016
  • Background: To investigate the prevalence of premature ejaculation (PE) and erectile dysfunction (ED) in a sample of patients with prostate cancer and to determine the utility of the previously suggested cutoffs of the Premature Ejaculation Diagnostic Tool (PEDT) for the diagnosis of PE and that of International Index of Erectile Function (IIEF-5) for ED. Materials and Methods: A total of 1,202 men with prostate cancer were invited from urology clinics at the universities of Iran, Tehran, Qazvin, Ahvaz, Guilan and Tabriz. Clinical characteristics were collected through medical records. PE and ED diagnoses were made by trained urologists. In addition to the clinical diagnoses, PE and ED were measured through self-report using the PEDT and the IIEF-5. Questionnaire cutoff scores were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and confirmed by predictive ability using logistic regression. Results: The prevalence of PE was 63.7% and that of ED was 66.2%. Prevalences of PE decreased and that of ED increased with advanced TNM stages. According to ROC, the suggested cutoff for the PEDT to diagnose a PE was ${\geq}11$ (sensitivity=0.988, 1-specificity=0.084, and predictive ability=0.914) and ${\leq}17$ for the IIEF-5 (sensitivity=0.966, 1-specificity=0.031, and predictive ability=0.967). Conclusions: Prevalence of sexual problems was high in prostate cancer patients in Iran, therefore oncologists should take into account these potential problems when deciding on treatment modalities.

가정환경변인과 아동의 사회적 능력간의 관계 : 인과 모형 분석 (The Relationship of Home Environments to Children's Social Development : Analysis of a Causal Model)

  • 장영애
    • 아동학회지
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.17-44
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    • 1987
  • The study examined the characteristics of the relationship of home environment variables and children's social development. Two studies were conducted ; Study I examined (1) the correlation of home environment variables and children's social ability and (2) the predictability of home environment variables for children's social ability by children's age. Study II investigated the causal relationship among the variables which are supposed to affect children's social ability. The subjects of this study were 240 children at age four, six and eight attending nursery schools, kindergartens and elementary schools and their mothers. Instruments included the Inventory of Home Stimulation (HOME), the Inventory of Sociodemographic Variables, social maturation scale, and the social-emotional developmental rating scale. The results obtained from this study were as follows : 1) Home environment variables had a positive correlation with children's social development at age four and six, but at age eight, only HOME variables had a significant positive correlation with children's social development. 2) The home environmental variables that significantly predicted children's social development differed according to children's age. That is, play materials, economic status of the home, and parent education were predictive of children's social development at age four, while parent's education, fostering maturity and independence, and play materials were predictive at age six. Fostering maturity and independence, aspects of physical environment, and economic status of the home were predictive at age eight. 3) The causal model of home environment effect on children's social development was formulated by exogenous variables (parent education and economic status of the home) and endogenous variables (direct stimulation, indirect stimulation and the emotional climate of the home). 4) The results of the analysis of the causal model showed that the variables that have a direct effect on children's social development differed according to children's age. That is, direct stimulation had more effect on children's social development at earlier ages, and indirect stimulation had more effect on children's social development at later ages. Among socio-demographic variables, parent's education was most closely related to children's social development. The amount of variance that explained children's social development decreased with increase in children's age.

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이자율 스프레드의 경기 예측력: 문헌 서베이 및 한국의 사례 분석 (Predicting Economic Activity via the Yield Spread: Literature Survey and Empirical Evidence in Korea)

  • 윤재호
    • 경제분석
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.1-47
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 이자율 스프레드 혹은 이자율 스프레드의 각 구성요소인 기대 스프레드와 기간 프리미엄의 경기 예측력에 관한 1990년대 이후 선행연구를 서베이하고, 한국의 국고채 현물이자율 데이터를 이용하여 이자율 스프레드 및 각 구성요소의 산업생산 증가율, 소비자물가 상승률, 생산갭 등에 대한 예측력에 관한 실증분석을 수행하였다. 먼저 주로 미국 경제를 대상으로 한 선행 연구들을 서베이한 결과 이자율 스프레드는 주요 경제변수들에 대하여 유의한 예측력을 갖고 있으나 1980년대 중반 이후 인플레이션 타깃팅 강화 경향 등에 따라 이자율 스프레드의 경기 예측력이 저하되고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 다음으로 한국 데이터를 대상으로 산업생산 증가율, 소비자물가 상승률, 생산갭 등에 대한 이자율 스프레드 및 각 구성요소의 예측력을 분석한 결과, 특히 이자율 스프레드의 구성요소 중 기간 프리미엄이 유의한 예측력을 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 이자율 스프레드를 이용하여 표본외 분석을 수행한 결과, 예측방정식이 구조적으로 불안정한 것으로 나타났으며, 특히 산업생산지수 예측에 있어서 이자율 스프레드의 분해가 유의한 기여를 하는 것으로 나타났다.

Predictive modeling algorithms for liver metastasis in colorectal cancer: A systematic review of the current literature

  • Isaac Seow-En;Ye Xin Koh;Yun Zhao;Boon Hwee Ang;Ivan En-Howe Tan;Aik Yong Chok;Emile John Kwong Wei Tan;Marianne Kit Har Au
    • 한국간담췌외과학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.14-24
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    • 2024
  • This study aims to assess the quality and performance of predictive models for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM). A systematic review was performed to identify relevant studies from various databases. Studies that described or validated predictive models for CRCLM were included. The methodological quality of the predictive models was assessed. Model performance was evaluated by the reported area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Of the 117 articles screened, seven studies comprising 14 predictive models were included. The distribution of included predictive models was as follows: radiomics (n = 3), logistic regression (n = 3), Cox regression (n = 2), nomogram (n = 3), support vector machine (SVM, n = 2), random forest (n = 2), and convolutional neural network (CNN, n = 2). Age, sex, carcinoembryonic antigen, and tumor staging (T and N stage) were the most frequently used clinicopathological predictors for CRCLM. The mean AUCs ranged from 0.697 to 0.870, with 86% of the models demonstrating clear discriminative ability (AUC > 0.70). A hybrid approach combining clinical and radiomic features with SVM provided the best performance, achieving an AUC of 0.870. The overall risk of bias was identified as high in 71% of the included studies. This review highlights the potential of predictive modeling to accurately predict the occurrence of CRCLM. Integrating clinicopathological and radiomic features with machine learning algorithms demonstrates superior predictive capabilities.

A neural-based predictive model of the compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete

  • Kao, Chih-Han;Wang, Chien-Chih;Wang, Her-Yung
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.457-465
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    • 2017
  • The Taiwanese liquid crystal display (LCD) industry has traditionally produced a huge amount of waste glass that is placed in landfills. Waste glass recycling can reduce the material costs of concrete and promote sustainable environmental protection activities. Concrete is always utilized as structural material; thus, the concrete compressive strength with a variety of mixtures must be studied using predictive models to achieve more precise results. To create an efficient waste LCD glass concrete (WLGC) design proportion, the related studies utilized a multivariable regression analysis to develop a compressive strength waste LCD glass concrete equation. The mix design proportion for waste LCD glass and the compressive strength relationship is complex and nonlinear. This results in a prediction weakness for the multivariable regression model during the initial growing phase of the compressive strength of waste LCD glass concrete. Thus, the R ratio for the predictive multivariable regression model is 0.96. Neural networks (NN) have a superior ability to handle nonlinear relationships between multiple variables by incorporating supervised learning. This study developed a multivariable prediction model for the determination of waste LCD glass concrete compressive strength by analyzing a series of laboratory test results and utilizing a neural network algorithm that was obtained in a related prior study. The current study also trained the prediction model for the compressive strength of waste LCD glass by calculating the effects of several types of factor combinations, such as the different number of input variables and the relevant filter for input variables. These types of factor combinations have been adjusted to enhance the predictive ability based on the training mechanism of the NN and the characteristics of waste LCD glass concrete. The selection priority of the input variable strategy is that evaluating relevance is better than adding dimensions for the NN prediction of the compressive strength of WLGC. The prediction ability of the model is examined using test results from the same data pool. The R ratio was determined to be approximately 0.996. Using the appropriate input variables from neural networks, the model validation results indicated that the model prediction attains greater accuracy than the multivariable regression model during the initial growing phase of compressive strength. Therefore, the neural-based predictive model for compressive strength promotes the application of waste LCD glass concrete.

산사태 발생예측을 위한 지형분류기법의 비교평가 (Evaluating Geomorphological Classification Systems to Predict the Occurrence of landslides in Mountainous Region)

  • 이수연;정관용;박수진
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제50권5호
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    • pp.485-503
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 산지에서 지형분류기법을 이용하여 산사태 발생을 예측하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 Catena, Topographic Position Index(TPI), 그리고 Geomorphons 방법을 적용하였다. 연구지역은 가평군, 횡성군, 김천시, 여주시/이천시이며, 2001부터 2014년까지 군단위로 수집된 산사태 자료를 사용하였다. Catena 방법은 분류기준자가 명확하며, 지역 간 분류기준자의 객관화와 비교가 가능하고, 분류된 결과를 직관적으로 이해할 수 있다. 반면 지형분석 및 통계분석 절차가 까다로우며 자동화가 어려워 일반인이 쉽게 사용하기 힘들다는 단점이 존재한다. TPI와 Geomorphons 방법의 경우 분류절차가 간단하고, GIS에서 이용할 수 있는 프로그램이 개발되어 일반인이 쉽게 사용할 수 있다. 하지만 계산하는 방안의 크기에 따라 결과에 큰 차이를 보이고, 사용하는 지형단위가 형태적인 특성에 한정되어 지표에서 나타나는 지형형성작용과의 공간적 연결성이 비교적 낮다는 단점이 존재한다. 이 세 지형분류방법 간 호환성이 낮게 나타나, 지형분류방법이 보다 보편적으로 사용되기 위해서는 지형 단위에 대해 통일된 개념 규정이 필요하다. 각 지형분류법이 산사태를 예측하는 정도를 평가하기 위해 산사태 발생지 중 차지하는 비중이 높은 상위 50%의 지형단위를 선택한 뒤, 지형단위에서 나타나는 산사태 발생비율을 계산하여 '산사태 예측력(Predictive Ability)'이라고 정의하였다. '산사태 예측력'에 의해 구분되는 지형이 전체 지역 면적에서 차지하는 비율을 '취약지 면적(Vulnerable Area Ratio)'이라고 규정하였다. 종합적인 판단을 위해 산사태 예측력을 산사태취약지역으로 나누어 점수화한 결과, Catena 방법의 적합성이 가장 높게 나타났다.

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