• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predictive Value of a Positive test

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Estimation of Predictive Value of a Positive Test from a Screening Test

  • Shin, Hyun Chul;Park, Sang Gue;Kim, Yong Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.567-574
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    • 2003
  • The estimation problem of predictive value of a positive test(PVP), which is assessing the accuracy of a screening test is considered. Score methods discussed by Gart and Nam(1988) are proposed for constructing confidence interval for PVP. The simulation studies are conducted in evaluating the proposed methods and existing approximate ones.

Clinical Usefulness of 14C-Urea Breath Test for the Diagnosis of H. pylori Infection (H. pylori 감염 진단 시 14C-요소호기검사의 임상적 유용성)

  • Kim, Yoon-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2007
  • Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection is common in korea and high incidence at gastric ulcer and duodenal ulcer. $^{14}C-urea$ breath test ($^{14}C-UBT$) is regarded as a highly reliable and non-invasive method for the diagnosis of H. pylori infection. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the diagnositc performance of a new and rapid $^{14}C-UBT$, which was equipped with Geiger-Muller counter and compared the results with those obtained by gastroduodenoscopic biopsies (GBx). One hundred sixty-eight patients (M : F = 118 : 50) underwent $^{14}C-UBT$, rapid urease test (CLO test), and GBx. The results of $^{14}C-UBT$ were classified as positive (>50 cpm), borderline (25$^{14}C-UBT$ or CLO test results with GBx as a glod standard. In the assessment of the presence of H. pylori infection, the $^{14}C-UBT$ global performance yielded positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy of 93.3% and 83.3%, respectively. However, the CLO test had performance yielded positive predictive value, negative predictive value and accuracy of 76.9%, 50.0%, respectively. In this study $^{14}C-UBT$ is a highly accurate, simple and non-invasive method or the diagnosis of follow up H. pylori infection.

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Empty Can Test for Diagnosis of Supraspinatus Tear - Compare with Arthroscopic Finding - (극상근 파열에 대한 Empty Can Test의 진단적 가치 - 관절경 소견과 비교 -)

  • Moon Young Lae;You Jea Won;Kim Dong Hui
    • Clinics in Shoulder and Elbow
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.13-16
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    • 2001
  • Object: To determine the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of an empty can test for diagnosing supraspinatus tendon tear. Methods: We reviewed 146 patients who have shoulder pain with limited active range of motion. We evaluated patients according to empty can test. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for supraspinatus test was estimated using arthroscopic evaluation. Results: A hundred and twenty-four of 127 cases with positive empty can test had supraspinatus tendon tear. Of 19 samples with negative empty can test, 15 had no supraspinatus tear. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for the empty can test were 97.6%, 83.3%, 97.6%, and 78.9%, respectively. Conclusions: Empty can test was found to have a high sensitivity and good positive predictive value in identifying the tear of rotator cuff tendon. We concluded that empty can test of the shoulder is a reliable diagnostic method which could be used for the diagnosis of rotator cuff tear.

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Reliability of Stool Antigen Tests: Investigation of the Diagnostic Value of a New Immunochromatographic Helicobacter pylori Approach in Dyspeptic Patients

  • Korkmaz, Huseyin;Findik, Duygu;Ugurluoglu, Ceyha;Terzi, Yuksel
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.657-660
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    • 2015
  • Background: A diagnosis of H. pylori infection can be made by invasive or non-invasive methods. Several noninvasive diagnostic tests based on the detection of H. pylori stool antigen (HpSA) have been developed. The Genx H. pylori stool antigen card test is a new rapid, non-invasive test that is based on monoclonal immunochromatographic assay. The aim of this study was to determine its sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy for diagnosing H. pylori infection in adult patients. Materials and Methods: A total of 162 patients were included in the study. A gastric biopsy was collected for histopathology and rapid urease testing. Stool specimens for HpSA testing were also collected. Patients were considered H. pylori positive if two invasive tests (histological and rapid urease tests) were positive. Results: Using the reference test, 50.6% of the samples were positive for H. pylori infection. The Genx H. pylori antigen test was positive in 19.7% of patients. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and diagnostic accuracy of the Genx H. pylori antigen test were 51.6%, 96.0%, 88.8%, 76.1%, and 79.0%, respectively. Conclusions: The Genx H. pylori stool antigen card test is a new non-invasive method that is fast and simple to perform but provides less reliable results.

Femoral Condyle Cut-off Sign - New Indirect Sign of Radiologic Finding in Knee with Discoid Lateral Meniscus - (대퇴 외과 절삭 징후(cut-off sign) - 원판형 외측 반월상 연골 예에서 나타나는 새로운 단순 방사선 소견 -)

  • Ha Chul-Won;Sung Ki-Sun;Park Jae-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Arthroscopy Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.215-219
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    • 2003
  • Purpose : To report the 'condylar cut-off sign', a new radiographic sign in knees with discoid lateral meniscus and to report the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the sign to elucidate the diagnostic significance of the sign for discoid meniscus. Materials and Methods : Fifty knees with complete discoid lateral meniscus and fifty normal knees formed the basis of this study. All of them were arthroscopically confirmed fer the discoid or normal lateral meniscus. The authors developed a method to measure the length of the medial and lateral condylar were compare and analyzed. Results : Tile average ratio was 0.716 in the discoid meniscus group, and 0.902 in the normal group. The stastistical analysis by the T-test revealed the t-value -11.13(p<0.0001). Stastistical analysis by chi-square test using cut point 0.8, also showed significant difference between the two groups, with $76\%$ sensitivity, $100\%$ specificity, $100\%$ positive predictive predictive value and $81\%$ negative predictive value. The 'condylar cut-off sign' was readily detectable in all cases of discoid lateral meniscus, suggesting that the cut off sign could serve as a simple and reliable radiographic sign fur the diagnosis of discoid meniscus. Conclusion : The condylar cut-off sign on the Tunnel view of simple radiography of the knee can serve as a good sign for the diagnosis of discoid lateral meniscus, with $100\%$ positive predictive value.

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A NEW SYSTEM OF VISUAL PRESENTATION OF ANALYSIS OF TEST PERFORMANCE: THE 'DOUBLE-RING' DIAGRAM

  • Stefadouros Miltiadis A.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1994.02b
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    • pp.142-149
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    • 1994
  • Substitution of graphic representation for extensive lists of numerical statistical data is highly desirable by both editors and readers of medical journals, faced with an exploding abundance of contemporary medical literature. A novel graphic tool. the 'double-ring diagram', is described herein which permits visual representation of information regarding certain statistical variables used to describe the performance of a test or physical sign in the diagnosis of a disease. The diagram is relatively easy to construct on the basis of a number of primary data such as the prevalence and the true positive, true negative. false positive and false negative test results. These values are reflected in the diagram along with the values of other statistical variables derived from them. such as the sensitivity. specificity, predictive values for positive and negative test result. and accuracy. This diagram may be useful in visualizing a test's performance and facilitating visual comparison of performance of two or more tests.

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Study on the Clinical Validity of Sperm Penetration Assay (Sperm Penetration Assay의 임상적 타당성에 관한 연구)

  • Pang, Myung-Geol;Oh, Sun-Kyung;Shin, Chang-Jae;Kim, Jung-Gu;Moon, Shin-Yong;Chang, Yoon-Seok;Lee, Jin-Yong
    • Clinical and Experimental Reproductive Medicine
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1993
  • The present study was designed to test the validity of the semen analysis(S/A) and the sperm penetration assay(SPA) as a prognostic indicator of male fertility in 123 patients undergoing in vitro fertilization(IVF). We attempted to correlate the traditional semen parameters or the extent of sperm penetration in SPA with the results of human IVF rate or cleavage rate. Poor correlation was found between the results of S/A and human IVF rate(sensitivity, 80.6% ;specificity, 46.7%; positive predictive value, 91.6%;negative predictive value, 25%). Conversely, good correlation was found between the results of SPA and human IVF rate(sensitivity, 100% ; specificity, 80% ;positive predictive value, 97.3% ;negative predictive value, 100%). Our results corroborate the conclusion that SPA can be a valuable tool as a prognostic indicator of male fertilizing ability.

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Biceps Load Test: A Test of SLAP lesion in the Recurrent Anterior Dislocation of the Shoulder (이두건 부하 검사(Biceps Load Test): 견관절 재발성 전방 탈구시 SLAP 병변 진단의 새로운 검사방법)

  • Kim Seung-Ho;Ha Kwon-Ick;Han Kye-Young
    • Clinics in Shoulder and Elbow
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.78-82
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    • 1998
  • The following will describe a method of evaluating the SLAP lesion in the recurrent anterior dislocation of the shoulder. We have named it the biceps load test. The biceps load test is performed with the patient in the supine position and the arm to be examined is abducted 90/sup°/, and the forearm is in the supinated position. First, the anterior apprehension test is performed. When the patient become apprehensive, the patient is allowed active flexion of the elbow, while the examiner resists elbow flexion. If the apprehension is relieved or diminished, the test is negative. If aggravated or unchanged, the test is positive. A prospective study was performed, in which 75 patients who were diagnosed as having recurrent unilateral anterior instability of the shoulder underwent the biceps load test and arthroscopic examination. The biceps load test showed negative results in 64 of these patients, of which the superior labral-biceps complex was intact'in 63 cases and only I shoulder revealed a type n SLAP lesion. E]even patients with a positive test were confirmed to have type n SLAP lesions. A positive biceps load test represents an unstable SLAP lesion in a patient with recurrent anterior dislocation of the shoulder. The biceps load test is a reliable test for evaluating the SLAP lesion in the recurrent anterior dislocation of the shoulder(sensitivity: ,9] .7%, specificity: 100%, positive predictive value: 1.00 and negative predictive value: 0.98). Biceps contraction increases the torsional rigidity ?of the glenohumeral joint and long head of biceps tendan act as internal rotator of the shoulder in the abducted and externally rotated position. These stabilize the shoulder in abduction and external rotation position in the biceps load test.

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Cytohistopathologic Comparative Study of Aspiration Biopsy Cytology from Various Sites (흡인세포검사의 세포-병리학적 검색)

  • Park, Hyo-Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Cytopathology
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.8-19
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    • 1991
  • A statistical analysis of the diagnostic value for 244 aspiration biopsy cytology(ABC) among a total 1,043 cases from various sites was performed. ABC, using diagnostic terminology similar to that of a surgical pathology reports, was compared to the final tissue diagnosis. For the entire series, a sensitivity of 91.8%, a specificity of 99.3%, a positive predictive value of 98.9%, a negative predictive value of 94,8%, and an efficacy of the test of 96.3% were shown. There were 8 false negative and 1 false positive diagnosis. The diagnostic accuracy was 89.8%. Those results indicate that the ABC is a considerably highly accurate procedure that should be routinely employed.

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Usefulness of Tuberculin Test in Adult Patients with Suspected Pulmonary Tuberculosis (폐결핵이 의심되는 성인 환자에서 투베르쿨린 검사의 유용성)

  • Kang, Eun Hae;Koh, Won-Jung;Kwon, O Jung;Kim, Kyung Chan;Lee, Byoung-Hoon;Hwang, Jung Hye;Suh, Gee Young;Chung, Man Pyo;Kim, Hojoong;Lee, Kyung Soo
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.56 no.3
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    • pp.268-279
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    • 2004
  • Background : The tuberculin skin test has been used to diagnose latent tuberculosis infection, but is not widely used to diagnose or exclude pulmonary tuberculosis. The objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic utility of the tuberculin test in diagnosing and excluding pulmonary tuberculosis, and differentiating pulmonary tuberculosis from nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) pulmonary disease, when a sputum acid-fast bacilli (AFB) smear was positive. Material and Methods : From October 2002 to August 2003, among all the inpatients of the Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine at Samsung Medical Center, 258 patients with clinical suspicion of pulmonary tuberculosis were enrolled and underwent a tuberculin test. Results : 156 males and 102 females were included, with a mean age of 57.5 years. The final diagnoses included lung cancer in 89 cases (34.5%), pulmonary tuberculosis in 59 cases (22.9%), bacterial pneumonia in 33 cases (12.8%) and NTM pulmonary disease in 24 cases (9.3%). The positive tuberculin test rate was higher in the tuberculosis than non-tuberculosis group; 81.4 (48/59) vs. 42.4% (81/199). (p<0.001). In 208 patients with a negative sputum AFB smear, the result of the tuberculin test was positive in 69.4% (25/36) of the tuberculosis group and in 44.8% (77/172) of the non-tuberculosis group (p=0.007), so a positive result of the tuberculin test could predict pulmonary tuberculosis with 69.4% sensitivity, 55.2% specificity, a 24.5% positive predictive value and a 89.6% negative predictive value. In 50 patients with a positive sputum AFB smear, the positive rates of the tuberculin test were 83.9% (26/31) in tuberculosis group and 21.1% (4/19) in NTM pulmonary disease group (p<0.001), so a positive result of the tuberculin skin test could predict pulmonary tuberculosis with 83.9% sensitivity, 78.9% specificity, a 86.7% positive predictive value and a 75.0% negative predictive value. Conclusion : The tuberculin test could be useful in excluding pulmonary tuberculosis when the sputum AFB smear is negative, and to differentiate pulmonary tuberculosis from NTM pulmonary disease when the sputum AFB smear is positive.