• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction range expansion

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Analytical model of expansion for electric arc furnace oxidizing slag-containing concrete

  • Shu, Chun-Ya;Kuo, Wen-Ten;Juang, Chuen-Ul
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.937-950
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    • 2016
  • This study applied autoclave expansion and heat curing to accelerate the hydration of concrete and investigated how these methods affect the expansion rate, crack pattern, aggregate size effect, and expansion of electric arc furnace oxidizing slag (EOS)-containing concrete. An expansion prediction model was simulated to estimate the expansion behavior over a long period and to establish usage guidelines for EOS aggregates. The results showed that the EOS content in concrete should range between 20% and 30% depending on the construction conditions, and that coarse aggregates with a diameter of ${\geq}4.75-mm$ are not applicable to construction engineering. By comparison, aggregates with a size of 1.18-0.03 mm resulted in higher expansion rates; these aggregates can be used depending on the construction conditions. On Day 21, the prediction model attained a coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of at least 0.9.

Development of a Starting Time Prediction Model for a Small Gas Turbine Engine (소형가스터빈엔진 시동시간 예측모델 개발)

  • Jun, Yong-Min;Choi, Jong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2011.11a
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    • pp.985-987
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    • 2011
  • This paper includes a development of a starting time prediction model for a derivative engine. For this derivative engine design, a new map expansion method, Modified Pump Scaling Law(MPS), has been applied and expand the maps to sub-idle range. From loss characteristics of the reference engine, loss models for the derivative engine have been developed considering different pressure, temperature, and engine configurations. Starting time predictions of the derivative engine shows preferable results comparing test results.

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Experimental study on the condensation of sonic steam in the underwater environment

  • Meng, Zhaoming;Zhang, Wei;Liu, Jiazhi;Yan, Ruihao;Shen, Geyu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.987-995
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    • 2019
  • Steam jet condensation is of great importance to pressure suppression containment and automatic depressurization system in nuclear power plant. In this paper, the condensation processes of sonic steam jet in a quiescent subcooled pool are recorded and analyzed, more precise understanding are got in direct contact condensation. Experiments are conducted at atmospheric pressure, and the steam is injected into the subcooled water pool through a vertical nozzle with the inner diameter of 10 mm, water temperature in the range of $25-60^{\circ}C$ and mass velocity in the range of $320-1080kg/m^2s$. Richardson number is calculated based on the conservation of momentum for single water jet and its values are in the range of 0.16-2.67. There is no thermal stratification observed in the water pool. Four condensation regimes are observed, including condensation oscillation, contraction, expansion-contraction and double expansion-contraction shapes. A condensation regime map is present based on steam mass velocity and water temperature. The dimensionless steam plume length increase with the increase of steam mass velocity and water temperature, and its values are in the range of 1.4-9.0. Condensation heat transfer coefficient decreases with the increase of steam mass velocity and water temperature, and its values are in the range of $1.44-3.65MW/m^2^{\circ}C$. New more accurate semi-empirical correlations for prediction of the dimensionless steam plume length and condensation heat transfer coefficient are proposed respectively. The discrepancy of predicted plume length is within ${\pm}10%$ for present experimental results and ${\pm}25%$ for previous researchers. The discrepancy of predicted condensation heat transfer coefficient is with ${\pm}12%$.

Characterization of Thermal Expansion Coefficients of Carbon/Epoxy Composite for Temperature Variation (탄소섬유 복합재료의 온도변화에 대한 열팽창계수 특성 변화 규명)

  • 김주식;윤광준
    • Composites Research
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1999
  • The change of the coefficients of thermal expansion(CTE) of Carbon/Epoxy was investigated for the temperature variation and a prediction model for the change of CTE was proposed. Elastic properties and CTEs in the principal material directions were measured in the range of room temperature to cure temperature and characterized as functions of temperature. By applying the characterized properties to the classical lamination theory, a computational method to predict the change of CTEs of a general laminate for temperature variation was proposed. the coefficients of thermal expansion of laminates with various stacking sequences were measured and compared with those predicted. Good agreements between the predicted results and the experimental data show that the c hanges of CTEs of a general laminate for temperature variation can be predicted well by using the proposed method.

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Evaluation of Heat Waves Predictability of Korean Integrated Model (한국형수치예보모델 KIM의 폭염 예측 성능 검증)

  • Jung, Jiyoung;Lee, Eun-Hee;Park, Hye-Jin
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.277-295
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    • 2022
  • The global weather prediction model, Korean Integrated Model (KIM), has been in operation since April 2020 by the Korea Meteorological Administration. This study assessed the performance of heat waves (HWs) in Korea in 2020. Case experiments during 2018-2020 were conducted to support the reliability of assessment, and the factors which affect predictability of the HWs were analyzed. Simulated expansion and retreat of the Tibetan High and North Pacific High during the 2020 HW had a good agreement with the analysis. However, the model showed significant cold biases in the maximum surface temperature. It was found that the temperature bias was highly related to underestimation of downward shortwave radiation at surface, which was linked to cloudiness. KIM tended to overestimate nighttime clouds that delayed the dissipation of cloud in the morning, which affected the shortage of downward solar radiation. The vertical profiles of temperature and moisture showed that cold bias and trapped moisture in the lower atmosphere produce favorable conditions for cloud formation over the Yellow Sea, which affected overestimation of cloud in downwind land. Sensitivity test was performed to reduce model bias, which was done by modulating moisture mixing parameter in the boundary layer scheme. Results indicated that the daytime temperature errors were reduced by increase in surface solar irradiance with enhanced cloud dissipation. This study suggested that not only the synoptic features but also the accuracy of low-level temperature and moisture condition played an important role in predicting the maximum temperature during the HWs in medium-range forecasts.

Predicting the Invasion Pathway of Balanus perforatus in Korean Seawaters

  • Choi, Keun-Hyung;Choi, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Il-Hoi;Hong, Jae-Sang
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2013
  • The European Common Barnacle Balanus perforatus Brugiere (Crustacea, Cirripedia) has been introduced into the east coast of Korea, presumably via the ballast water of ships. The species has since been spreading along both the northern and southern coast to the east, most likely due to alongshore currents. We predicted the potential range expansion of Balanus perforatus in Korean waters using Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Prediction (GARP), an environmental niche modeling technique. The results show that much of the southern coastal waters of Korea could be colonized by the spread of the nonindigenous species, but that the west coast is unlikely to be invaded. More sampling on the west coast would enhance the predictability of the model. To our knowledge, this is the first report of its kind for predicting marine nonindigenous species in Korean waters using GARP modeling.

A Study on the Prediction of Fatigue Crack Initiation Life of Hole Expansion Plate (홀 확장 판재의 피로균열 발생수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 이동석;이준현
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.129-135
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    • 2003
  • The fatigue life of a structure can be enhanced by improving the mechanical and metallurgical aspects to strengthen the material around regions of high stress. Coldworking of holes in structures is one of the mechanical methods of strengthening material. The material for this research is A12024-T351 which is used for the primary member or aircraft. Specimens were tested under constant amplitude loading and residual stresses measured by X-ray diffraction technique. Fatigue crack initiation life was evaluated by a strain-life equation which was considered initial residual stress and residual stress relaxation exponent as a function of the strain amplitude. The predictions on fatigue crack initiation life were compared with experimental results. A wide range of discrepancies between them was found.

Server Performance Improvement with Predicted Range of Agent Movement (이동 범위 예측을 통한 온라인 서버 성능 향상 기법)

  • Kim, Yong-O;Shin, Seung-Ho;Kang, Shin-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • The performance of server becomes important issues in online game with the online game market expansion. This paper proposes a method of improving performance to decrease synchronized packets for each entity's informations in game. Our method provides adapted solution of reconstructing spatial subdivision to reduce a load of movement between boundary regions using prediction of entity's movement range and disabled regions where entity can not move to. It is shown through the experiments that proposed method outperforms existing method in terms of processing quantity of packets.

Comparison of Spinal Canal Expansion Following Cervical Laminoplasty Based on the Preoperative Lamina Angle : A Simulation Study

  • Jung, Jong-myung;Jahng, Anthony L.;Hyun, Seung-Jae;Kim, Ki-Jeong;Jahng, Tae-Ahn
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.64 no.2
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    • pp.229-237
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    • 2021
  • Objective : Expansion in the spinal canal area (SCA) after laminoplasty is one of the critical factors to relieve the preoperative symptoms. No previous study has compared the increases in SCA achieved by open-door laminoplasty (ODL) and double door laminoplasty (DDL) according to the preoperative lamina angle (LA). This study was designed to clarify the relationship between the laminoplasty opening angle (OA)/laminoplasty opening size (OS) and increases in the SCA following ODL and DDL according to the preoperative LA using a simulation model. Methods : The simulation model was constructed and validated by comparing the clinical data of 64 patients who had undergone C3-C6 laminoplasty (43 patients with ODL and 21 patients with DDL). SCA expansion was predicted with a verified simulation model at various preoperative LAs (from 28° to 32°) with different OAs (40° to 44°) and OSs (10 mm to 14 mm) recruited from patient data. Results : The constructed simulation model was validated by comparing clinical data and revealed a very high degree of correlation (r=0.935, p<0.001). In this validated model, at the same OA, the increase in SCA was higher following ODL than following DDL in the usual LA (p<0.05). At the same OS, the increase in SCA was slightly larger following DDL than following ODL, but the difference was not significant (p>0.05). The difference was significant when the preoperative LA was narrower or much wider. Conclusion : Based on clinical data, a simulation model was constructed and verified that could predict increases in the SCA following ODL and DDL. When applying this model, prediction in SCA increase using the OS parameter was more practical and compatible with clinical data. Both laminoplasties achieved enough SCA, and there was no significant difference between them in the usual range.

COMPARISON OF LINEAR AND NON-LINEAR NIR CALIBRATION METHODS USING LARGE FORAGE DATABASES

  • Berzaghi, Paolo;Flinn, Peter C.;Dardenne, Pierre;Lagerholm, Martin;Shenk, John S.;Westerhaus, Mark O.;Cowe, Ian A.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.1141-1141
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    • 2001
  • The aim of the study was to evaluate the performance of 3 calibration methods, modified partial least squares (MPLS), local PLS (LOCAL) and artificial neural network (ANN) on the prediction of chemical composition of forages, using a large NIR database. The study used forage samples (n=25,977) from Australia, Europe (Belgium, Germany, Italy and Sweden) and North America (Canada and U.S.A) with information relative to moisture, crude protein and neutral detergent fibre content. The spectra of the samples were collected with 10 different Foss NIR Systems instruments, which were either standardized or not standardized to one master instrument. The spectra were trimmed to a wavelength range between 1100 and 2498 nm. Two data sets, one standardized (IVAL) and the other not standardized (SVAL) were used as independent validation sets, but 10% of both sets were omitted and kept for later expansion of the calibration database. The remaining samples were combined into one database (n=21,696), which was split into 75% calibration (CALBASE) and 25% validation (VALBASE). The chemical components in the 3 validation data sets were predicted with each model derived from CALBASE using the calibration database before and after it was expanded with 10% of the samples from IVAL and SVAL data sets. Calibration performance was evaluated using standard error of prediction corrected for bias (SEP(C)), bias, slope and R2. None of the models appeared to be consistently better across all validation sets. VALBASE was predicted well by all models, with smaller SEP(C) and bias values than for IVAL and SVAL. This was not surprising as VALBASE was selected from the calibration database and it had a sample population similar to CALBASE, whereas IVAL and SVAL were completely independent validation sets. In most cases, Local and ANN models, but not modified PLS, showed considerable improvement in the prediction of IVAL and SVAL after the calibration database had been expanded with the 10% samples of IVAL and SVAL reserved for calibration expansion. The effects of sample processing, instrument standardization and differences in reference procedure were partially confounded in the validation sets, so it was not possible to determine which factors were most important. Further work on the development of large databases must address the problems of standardization of instruments, harmonization and standardization of laboratory procedures and even more importantly, the definition of the database population.

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