• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction algorithms

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Prediction of tunneling parameters for ultra-large diameter slurry shield TBM in cross-river tunnels based on integrated algorithms

  • Shujun Xu
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2024
  • The development of shield-driven cross-river tunnels in China is witnessing a notable shift towards larger diameters, longer distances, and higher water pressures due to the more complex excavation environment. Complex geological formations, such as fault and karst cavities, pose significant construction risks. Real-time adjustment of shield tunneling parameters based on parameter prediction is the key to ensuring the safety and efficiency of shield tunneling. In this study, prediction models for the torque and thrust of the cutter plate of ultra-large diameter slurry shield TBMs is established based on integrated learning algorithms, by analyzing the real data of Heyan Road cross-river tunnel. The influence of geological complexities at the excavation face, substantial burial depth, and high water level on the slurry shield tunneling parameters are considered in the models. The results reveal that the predictive models established by applying Random Forest and AdaBoost algorithms exhibit strong agreement with actual data, which indicates that the good adaptability and predictive accuracy of these two models. The models proposed in this study can be applied in the real-time prediction and adaptive adjustment of the tunneling parameters for shield tunneling under complex geological conditions.

A study on the Prediction Performance of the Correspondence Mean Algorithm in Collaborative Filtering Recommendation (협업 필터링 추천에서 대응평균 알고리즘의 예측 성능에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seok-Jun;Lee, Hee-Choon
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.85-103
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the performance of collaborative filtering recommender algorithms for better prediction accuracy of the customer's preference. The accuracy of customer's preference prediction is compared through the MAE of neighborhood based collaborative filtering algorithm and correspondence mean algorithm. It is analyzed by using MovieLens 1 Million dataset in order to experiment with the prediction accuracy of the algorithms. For similarity, weight used in both algorithms, commonly, Pearson's correlation coefficient and vector similarity which are used generally were utilized, and as a result of analysis, we show that the accuracy of the customer's preference prediction of correspondence mean algorithm is superior. Pearson's correlation coefficient and vector similarity used in two algorithms are calculated using the preference rating of two customers' co-rated movies, and it shows that similarity weight is overestimated, where the number of co-rated movies is small. Therefore, it is intended to increase the accuracy of customer's preference prediction through expanding the number of the existing co-rated movies.

Method of Analyzing Important Variables using Machine Learning-based Golf Putting Direction Prediction Model (머신러닝 기반 골프 퍼팅 방향 예측 모델을 활용한 중요 변수 분석 방법론)

  • Kim, Yeon Ho;Cho, Seung Hyun;Jung, Hae Ryun;Lee, Ki Kwang
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • Objective: This study proposes a methodology to analyze important variables that have a significant impact on the putting direction prediction using a machine learning-based putting direction prediction model trained with IMU sensor data. Method: Putting data were collected using an IMU sensor measuring 12 variables from 6 adult males in their 20s at K University who had no golf experience. The data was preprocessed so that it could be applied to machine learning, and a model was built using five machine learning algorithms. Finally, by comparing the performance of the built models, the model with the highest performance was selected as the proposed model, and then 12 variables of the IMU sensor were applied one by one to analyze important variables affecting the learning performance. Results: As a result of comparing the performance of five machine learning algorithms (K-NN, Naive Bayes, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Light GBM), the prediction accuracy of the Light GBM-based prediction model was higher than that of other algorithms. Using the Light GBM algorithm, which had excellent performance, an experiment was performed to rank the importance of variables that affect the direction prediction of the model. Conclusion: Among the five machine learning algorithms, the algorithm that best predicts the putting direction was the Light GBM algorithm. When the model predicted the putting direction, the variable that had the greatest influence was the left-right inclination (Roll).

Combining genetic algorithms and support vector machines for bankruptcy prediction

  • Min, Sung-Hwan;Lee, Ju-Min;Han, In-Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.179-188
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    • 2004
  • Bankruptcy prediction is an important and widely studied topic since it can have significant impact on bank lending decisions and profitability. Recently, support vector machine (SVM) has been applied to the problem of bankruptcy prediction. The SVM-based method has been compared with other methods such as neural network, logistic regression and has shown good results. Genetic algorithm (GA) has been increasingly applied in conjunction with other AI techniques such as neural network, CBR. However, few studies have dealt with integration of GA and SVM, though there is a great potential for useful applications in this area. This study proposes the methods for improving SVM performance in two aspects: feature subset selection and parameter optimization. GA is used to optimize both feature subset and parameters of SVM simultaneously for bankruptcy prediction.

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Design and Implementation of Malicious URL Prediction System based on Multiple Machine Learning Algorithms (다중 머신러닝 알고리즘을 이용한 악성 URL 예측 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Kang, Hong Koo;Shin, Sam Shin;Kim, Dae Yeob;Park, Soon Tai
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.23 no.11
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    • pp.1396-1405
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    • 2020
  • Cyber threats such as forced personal information collection and distribution of malicious codes using malicious URLs continue to occur. In order to cope with such cyber threats, a security technologies that quickly detects malicious URLs and prevents damage are required. In a web environment, malicious URLs have various forms and are created and deleted from time to time, so there is a limit to the response as a method of detecting or filtering by signature matching. Recently, researches on detecting and predicting malicious URLs using machine learning techniques have been actively conducted. Existing studies have proposed various features and machine learning algorithms for predicting malicious URLs, but most of them are only suggesting specialized algorithms by supplementing features and preprocessing, so it is difficult to sufficiently reflect the strengths of various machine learning algorithms. In this paper, a system for predicting malicious URLs using multiple machine learning algorithms was proposed, and an experiment was performed to combine the prediction results of multiple machine learning models to increase the accuracy of predicting malicious URLs. Through experiments, it was proved that the combination of multiple models is useful in improving the prediction performance compared to a single model.

Partial AUC maximization for essential gene prediction using genetic algorithms

  • Hwang, Kyu-Baek;Ha, Beom-Yong;Ju, Sanghun;Kim, Sangsoo
    • BMB Reports
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.41-46
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    • 2013
  • Identifying genes indispensable for an organism's life and their characteristics is one of the central questions in current biological research, and hence it would be helpful to develop computational approaches towards the prediction of essential genes. The performance of a predictor is usually measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). We propose a novel method by implementing genetic algorithms to maximize the partial AUC that is restricted to a specific interval of lower false positive rate (FPR), the region relevant to follow-up experimental validation. Our predictor uses various features based on sequence information, protein-protein interaction network topology, and gene expression profiles. A feature selection wrapper was developed to alleviate the over-fitting problem and to weigh each feature's relevance to prediction. We evaluated our method using the proteome of budding yeast. Our implementation of genetic algorithms maximizing the partial AUC below 0.05 or 0.10 of FPR outperformed other popular classification methods.

Machine learning-based prediction of wind forces on CAARC standard tall buildings

  • Yi Li;Jie-Ting Yin;Fu-Bin Chen;Qiu-Sheng Li
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.355-366
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    • 2023
  • Although machine learning (ML) techniques have been widely used in various fields of engineering practice, their applications in the field of wind engineering are still at the initial stage. In order to evaluate the feasibility of machine learning algorithms for prediction of wind loads on high-rise buildings, this study took the exposure category type, wind direction and the height of local wind force as the input features and adopted four different machine learning algorithms including k-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) and extreme gradient (XG) boosting to predict wind force coefficients of CAARC standard tall building model. All the hyper-parameters of four ML algorithms are optimized by tree-structured Parzen estimator (TPE). The result shows that mean drag force coefficients and RMS lift force coefficients can be well predicted by the GBRT algorithm model while the RMS drag force coefficients can be forecasted preferably by the XG boosting algorithm model. The proposed machine learning based algorithms for wind loads prediction can be an alternative of traditional wind tunnel tests and computational fluid dynamic simulations.

Fast Motion Estimation Algorithm Based on Thresholds with Controllable Computation (계산량 제어가 가능한 문턱치 기반 고속 움직임 예측 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Jong-Nam
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.84-90
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    • 2019
  • Tremendous computation of full search or lossless motion estimation algorithms for video coding has led development of many fast motion estimation algorithms. We still need proper control of computation and prediction quality. In the paper, we suggest an algorithm that reduces computation effectively and controls computational amount and prediction quality, while keeping prediction quality as almost the same as that of the full search. The proposed algorithm uses multiple thresholds for partial block sum and times of counting unchanged minimum position for each step. It also calculates the partial block matching error, removes impossible candidates early, implements fast motion estimation by comparing times of keeping the position of minimum error for each step, and controls prediction quality and computation easily by adjusting the thresholds. The proposed algorithm can be combined with conventional fast motion estimation algorithms as well as by itself, further reduce computation while keeping the prediction quality as almost same as the algorithms, and prove it in the experimental results.

Comparative characteristic of ensemble machine learning and deep learning models for turbidity prediction in a river (딥러닝과 앙상블 머신러닝 모형의 하천 탁도 예측 특성 비교 연구)

  • Park, Jungsu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2021
  • The increased turbidity in rivers during flood events has various effects on water environmental management, including drinking water supply systems. Thus, prediction of turbid water is essential for water environmental management. Recently, various advanced machine learning algorithms have been increasingly used in water environmental management. Ensemble machine learning algorithms such as random forest (RF) and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) are some of the most popular machine learning algorithms used for water environmental management, along with deep learning algorithms such as recurrent neural networks. In this study GBDT, an ensemble machine learning algorithm, and gated recurrent unit (GRU), a recurrent neural networks algorithm, are used for model development to predict turbidity in a river. The observation frequencies of input data used for the model were 2, 4, 8, 24, 48, 120 and 168 h. The root-mean-square error-observations standard deviation ratio (RSR) of GRU and GBDT ranges between 0.182~0.766 and 0.400~0.683, respectively. Both models show similar prediction accuracy with RSR of 0.682 for GRU and 0.683 for GBDT. The GRU shows better prediction accuracy when the observation frequency is relatively short (i.e., 2, 4, and 8 h) where GBDT shows better prediction accuracy when the observation frequency is relatively long (i.e. 48, 120, 160 h). The results suggest that the characteristics of input data should be considered to develop an appropriate model to predict turbidity.

Comparative Analysis for Real-Estate Price Index Prediction Models using Machine Learning Algorithms: LIME's Interpretability Evaluation (기계학습 알고리즘을 활용한 지역 별 아파트 실거래가격지수 예측모델 비교: LIME 해석력 검증)

  • Jo, Bo-Geun;Park, Kyung-Bae;Ha, Sung-Ho
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.119-144
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    • 2020
  • Purpose Real estate usually takes charge of the highest proportion of physical properties which individual, organizations, and government hold and instability of real estate market affects the economic condition seriously for each economic subject. Consequently, practices for predicting the real estate market have attention for various reasons, such as financial investment, administrative convenience, and wealth management. Additionally, development of machine learning algorithms and computing hardware enhances the expectation for more precise and useful prediction models in real estate market. Design/methodology/approach In response to the demand, this paper aims to provide a framework for forecasting the real estate market with machine learning algorithms. The framework consists of demonstrating the prediction efficiency of each machine learning algorithm, interpreting the interior feature effects of prediction model with a state-of-art algorithm, LIME(Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation), and comparing the results in different cities. Findings This research could not only enhance the academic base for information system and real estate fields, but also resolve information asymmetry on real estate market among economic subjects. This research revealed that macroeconomic indicators, real estate-related indicators, and Google Trends search indexes can predict real-estate prices quite well.