• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prediction Analysis

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A Study on Parent -and StepParent- Figure Percieved by Korean Children with the Knowledge about the related Fairytables (동화내용을 인지한 아동이 지각한 친부모상 및 계부모상의 차이 -콩쥐팥쥐, 장화홍련, 신데렐라 및 백설공주를 중심으로)

  • 유안진
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.291-303
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    • 1996
  • Generally fairytales are recognized as very effective educational materials. However, some of them includes negative prejudices on stepparents, especially stepmother. These contents are very harmful to development and adjustment of children in remarried families. Moreover, not so many studies have been done that even the results were insufficient to not only practical but also academical needs. Therefore this study purposed to investigate the parent -and stepparent- figures perceived by children with the knowledge about the related fairytales. Specific research problems are as follows; 1. How many children do know the contents of the 4 related fairytales such as Snow Whit, Sindellera, Kongjui Patjui and Changwha Honglyun? 2. What are the parent -figures perceived by the children with the knowledge about the 4 traditional fairytales? 3. What are the stepparent- figures of the subjects? 4. Is the children's sex the statistically significant variable in their parent -and stepparent- figures? 5. Is the children's age the statistically significant variable in their parent -and stepparent- figures? 6. Is the their parents' educational level the statistically significant variable in their parent -and stepparent- figures? 175 boys and girls of age -9 and- 11 were selected from 2 primary schools in Seoul. All of them were from normal families. As the steadyselling books, 18 fairytales were chosen by 7 booksellers of large scale bookstores in Seoul. And then by 10 teachers and 10 literay persons, 4 Korean and foreign traditional fairytales were seleced at last. The questionaire of 5 subareas was developed and used as the research tools, in which include 40 items. SPSS/pc program were used for data analysis for frequency, percentile, mean, and t-test. The followings are the findings with cronbach α=.80 and .94 parent -and stepparent- figures respectively. 1)The contents of the 4 tradional fairytales were read already or wellknown, even if the children who didn't. 2)The subjects showed very positive their own parent-figures such as sweet, lovely, reliable, and true or good person. 3)The subjects showed very negative stepparent-figures in contrast. 4)They showed significant sex difference(p<0.5) in their own parent-figures. And girls were more positive than boys who were a little more positive(on insignifficant level) than girls in stepmother-figures. 5)All the subjects had positive parent-figures and negative stepparent-figures. 6)Their parents education level was no significant variable in the prediction of their parent -and stepparent- figures.

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Design of an Optimal Adaptive Filter for the Cancellation of M-wave in the EMG Controlled Functional Electrical Stimulation for Paralyzed Individuals (마비환자의 근전도제에기능적전기자극을 위한 M-wave 제거용 최적적응필터 설계)

  • Yeom Hojoon;Park Youngcheol;Lee Younghee;Yoon Youngro;Shin Taemin;Yoon Hyoungro
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.479-487
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    • 2004
  • Biopotential signals have been used as command in systems using electrical stimulation of motor nerves to restore movement after an injury to the central nervous system (CNS). In order to use the voluntary EMG (electromyography) among the biopotentials as a control signal for the electrical stimulation of the same muscle for CNS injury patients, it is necessary to remove M-wave of having high magnitude from raw data. We designed an optimal filter for removing the M-wave and preserving the voluntary EMG and showed that the optimal filter is eigen filter. We also proved that the previous method using the prediction error filter(PEF) is a suboptimal filtering in the sense of preserving the voluntary EMG. On basis of the data obtained from a model for M-wave and voluntary EMG and from actual CNS injury patients, with false-positive rate analysis, the proposed adaptive filter showed a very promising performance in comparison with previous method.

Analysis of the Sea Condition on the Patrol Ship Cheonan Sinking Waters (천안호 침몰해역의 해상조건 분석)

  • Kim, Kang-Min;Lee, Joong-Woo;Kim, Kyu-Kwang;Kwon, So-Hyung;Lee, Hyung-Ha
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.349-354
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    • 2010
  • Cheonan, Republic of Korea Navy patrol ship sank had happened by an unknown incident in the vicinity of Baekryeongdo southwest 1.6km(1 mile) sea at 21:45 on March 26, 2010. In terms of coastal researcher's point of view, it is meaningful to provide the sea condition of basic data necessary for search and rescue, more detailed predictions and inference data through the numerical simulations. Thus, in this study, we investigated the weather, wave, tide, tidal current, bottom soil conditions, and suspended sediment are investigated at the coast of Baekryeong-Daechung islands. And based on these data, the characteristics of sea conditions were analyzed. The tidal period at the time of incident corresponds between neap tide to mean tide. Until April 3-4 after March 26, the date of incident, the strongest velocity was progressed towards the spring tide. Thus, it was considered to be difficult to search and rescue operations. Also, because the ebb tide was in progress during 21:00 to 22:00, mass transport seems to be prevailed to the southeast. In particular, as the sudden turbulence due to the irregular topography existed was anticipated, we had carried out particle tracking experiment. From this experiment, depending on the situation of flow, the initial movement of the particles were directed to the southeast but it turned out moving towards the offshore based on the long term prediction. Through this result, it is considered that the scope of the search operation should be expanded towards the open sea.

Climate Change and Urban Air Temperature Increase in Korean Peninsula (기후변화와 한반도 도시지역의 기온 증가)

  • Oh, Sung-Nam;Ju, Ok-Jung;Moon, Yung-Su;Lee, Kyoo-Seock
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2010
  • One of the most obvious climatic manifestations of urbanization in Korea is a trend towards higher air temperature. The trends of long-term annual temperature generally well describe the warming of urban areas. The increase of air temperature in urban area has been observed to the present since the meteorological observations in Korea began. The objective of this study is to explore the actual increase and the regional long-term trends of air temperature attributed to urbanization in the Korean Peninsula. Therefore, temperatures of the selected urban areas were compared with that of the surrounding rural areas, with the results varying by the application of the estimates of each region. The second objective is to separate the long-term trend of surface air temperature of global warming from urbanization and to find the actual temperature increase from urbanization in Korean peninsula. For the data analysis, daily air temperatures observed by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) during between from 1961 and 2005 were used at five rural sites and cities. The re-analyzed surface air temperatures by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) was also carried out to compare the result from the observed air temperature in the Korean climate domain. In this study, the urban areas in Korea showed high increase rate of air temperature with $0.4^{\circ}C$ per decade during past 50 year period, while rural sites as Chupungryung with the $0.2^{\circ}C$ decadal increase rate. The analyses reflect that the urban area shows the high rate of temperature increase with $1.39^{\circ}C$ of regression value at the urban area, Seoul, and $0.43^{\circ}C$ at the rural site, Chupungnyeong during the period of 30 years. The temperature increas due to the urbanization only showed the increase range between $0.44^{\circ}C$ and $0.86^{\circ}C$, and the observed decrease in diurnal temperature range at five urban areas during the 30 years period.

Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Models and Evaluation of Their Application on Agricultural Lands in Korea (토양 온실가스 배출 예측 모델 분석 및 국내 농경지 적용성 평가)

  • Hwang, Wonjae;Park, Minseok;Kim, Yong-Seong;Cho, Kijong;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Hyun, Seunghun
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2015
  • Greenhouse gas (GHG) emission from agricultural lands is recognized as one of important factors of global warming. The objective of this short communication was to evaluate the applicability of different soil GHG emission prediction models on agricultural systems in Korea. Four models, namely, DNDC, DAYCENT, EXPERT-N and COUP, were selected and the basic structure (e.g., components and sub-model), input variables, and output variables were compared. In particular, the availability and compilation of essential input variables were assessed. Major input variables needed for operating these predictive models were found to be available through database systems established by national organizations such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, the Korean Soil Information System, and the Rural Development Administration. However, in order to apply these models in Korea, it was necessary to calibrate and validate each of the models for the domestic landscape settings and climate conditions. In addition, field data of long-term monitoring of GHG emission from agricultural lands are limited and therefore should be measured.

Selection of Quality Indicator to Predict the Shelf-life of Milk (UHT, LTLT) during Distribution (시유(UHT, LTLT)의 유통 중 품질예측을 위한 품질지표 선정)

  • Kim, Ji-Young;Kim, Jong-Hoon;Kim, Byeong-Sam
    • Journal of Dairy Science and Biotechnology
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 2011
  • The changes in pH, titratable acidity, chromaticity, total count, coliform group and organoleptic properties of the whole market milks (UHT, LTLT) that sold currently on the domestic market were stored after their production at 0, 10, 20, 30 and $40^{\circ}C$ to predict their quality during distribution, and examined prior to the analysis on the correlation of their quality properties and organoleptic preference level and discovery of optimal quality indicator. The investigation of correlation between pH, acidity and preference level of milks depending on respective storage temperature showed significant correlation (p<0.01) for the milk stored at 10, 20, 30 and $40^{\circ}C$, and the higher temperature was directly proportional to the higher correlation coefficient. The correlation between total count and preference level for LTLT milk stored at 0, 10, 20, 30 and $40^{\circ}C$ showed high correlation coefficient at every high temperature condition respectively as R=0.81, R=0.91, R=0.96, R=0.90 & R=0.99, and the correlation coefficients were also significant level for the UHT milk irrespective of their storage temperature except $0^{\circ}C$. Accordingly, the changes in total colonies turned out to be suitable to be the quality indicator for the quality prediction of the milk on the distribution.

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Comparative molecular similarity indices analyses (CoMSIA) and hologram quantitative structure activity relationship (HQSAR) on the fungicial activity of 2-N-benzyl-5-phenoxy-3-isothiazolone derivatives against phytophthora blight fungus (고추역병균에 대한 2-N-benzyl-5-Phenoxy-3-isothiazolone 유도체의 살균활성에 관한 비교분자 유사성 지수분석(CoMSIA)과 홀로그램 구조-활성 관계(HQSAR))

  • Sung, Nack-Do;Kim, Ki-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Pesticide Science
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2002
  • Two different QSAR methods, the comparative molecular similarity indices analyses (CoMSIA) and hologram quantitative structure activity relationship (HQSAR) are studied for the fungicidal activities ($pI_{50}$) of 2-N-benzyl-5-phenoxy-3-isothiazolone derivatives against sensitive (SPC: 95CC7105) and resisitive (RPC: 95CC7303) phytophthora blight fungus (Phytaphthora capsici). According to the findings from these QSAR investigation, the cross-validation value, $q^2$ and Pearson correlation coefficient, $r^2$ in the two methods were CoMSIA: RPC; $q^2=0.675,\;r^2=0.942$, SPC; $q^2=0.350,\;r^2=0.876$ and HQSAR: RPC; $q^2=0.519,\;r^2=0.869$, SPC; $q^2=0.483,\;r^2=0.990$, respectively. Therefore, the two models of comparative statistical significance were obtained. From the CoMSIA contour maps, the important factors for selective fungicidal activity against RPC are to be expected that the lower hydrophobic and not bulkiness substituent as hydrogen bonding acceptor have to introduce to meta and para-position (C1-C6) on the phenoxy moiety. And the results of prediction suggest that HQSAR method showed higher fungicidal activity than CoMSIA method.

Prediction Model of Endurance Time to Isotonic Contraction Exercise for Biceps Brachii using Multiple Regression Analysis with Personal Factors and Anthropometric Data (신체측정치수를 적용하여 다중회귀 분석을 통한 위팔두갈래근 등장성 운동의 근지구력시간 예측모델 연구)

  • Jeong, Ju-Young;Lee, Sang-Sik
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.178-186
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    • 2015
  • Endurance time is very important indicator to estimate muscle fatigue. In the case of measuring endurance time directly, it is dangerous for subject to perform a test until the point of failure to main time force. Therefore, this paper presents the model to estimate endirance time using indirect measurements such as personal factors and anthropometrical data. Previous studies had shown that personal factors such as gender and age were not related to endurance time, but recently studies have shown that it is estimated by using independent variable or predictor such as GTA (Gravitational Torque of the horizontal, stretched arm) and MVC (Maximum Voluntary Contraction). The present study investigated variables to estimate endurance time using personal factors and anthrometrical data during isotonic contractions. Twenty five healthy subject volunteered for this study, and performed three test sessions of isotonic contraction exercises at 10~50% respectively. Afterward the correlation coefficient and p-values were compared among regression models using personal factors and anthropometrical data. The results demonstrated that multi-regression model had significant coefficient of correlation, and was useful estimate endurance time.

Effects of Thermal Properties and Water Retention Characteristics of Permeable Concrete Pavement on Surface Temperature (투.보수성 시멘트 콘크리트 포장의 열물성 및 수분보유특성이 표면온도에 미치는 영향)

  • Ryu Nam-Hyang;Yoo Byung-Rim
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.34 no.1 s.114
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    • pp.21-36
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    • 2006
  • This study was undertaken to analyze the effects of pavement thermal properties and water retention characteristics on the surface temperature of the gray permeable cement concrete pavement during the summer. Following is a summary of major results. 1) The hourly surface temperature of pavement could be well predicted with a heat transfer model program that incorporated the input data of major meteorological variables including solar radiation, atmospheric temperature, dew point, wind velocity, cloudiness and the evaporation rate of the pavements predicted by the time domain reflectometry (TDR) method. 2) When the albedo was changed to 0.5 from an arbitrary starting condition of 0.3, holding other variables constant, the peak surface temperature of the pavement dropped by 11.5%. When heat capacity was changed to $2.5\;kJm^{-3}K^{-1}\;from\;1.5\;kJm^{-3}K^{-1}$, surface temperature dropped by 8.0%. When daily evaporation was changed to 1 mm from 2 mm, temperature dropped by 5.7%. When heat conductivity was changed to $2.5\;Wm^{-1}K^{-1}\;from\;1.5\;Wm^{-1}K^{-1}$, the peak surface temperature of the pavement fell by 1.2%. The peak pavement surface temperature under the arbitrary basic condition was $24.46^{\circ}C$ (12 a.m.). 3) It accordingly became evident that the pavement surface temperature can be most effectively lowered by using materials with a high albedo, a high heat capacity or a high evaporation at the pavement surface. The glare situation, however, is intensified by raising of the albedo, moreover if reflected light is absorbed into surrounding physical masses, it is changed into heat. It accordingly became evident that raising the heat capacity and the evaporative capacity may be the moot acceptable measures to improve the thermal characteristics of the pavement. 4) The sensitivity of the surface temperature to major meteorological variables was as follows. When the daily average temperature changed to $0^{\circ}C\;from\;15^{\circ}C$, holding all other variables constant, the peak surface temperature of the pavement decreased by 56.1 %. When the global solar radiation changed to $200\;Wm^{-2}\;from\;600\;Wm^{-2}$, the temperature of the pavement decreased by 23.4%. When the wind velocity changed to $8\;ms^{-1}\;from\;4\;ms^{-1}$, the temperature decreased by 1.4%. When the cloudiness level changed to 1.0 from 0.5, the peak surface temperature decreased by 0.7%. The peak pavement surface temperature under the arbitrary basic conditions was $24.46^{\circ}C$ (12 a.m.)

Analysis of Regional Antecedent Wetness Conditions Using Remotely Sensed Soil Moisture and Point Scale Rainfall Data (위성토양수분과 지점강우량을 이용한 지역 선행습윤조건 분석)

  • Sunwoo, Wooyeon;Kim, Daeun;Hwang, Seokhwan;Choi, Minha
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.587-596
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    • 2014
  • Soil moisture is one of the most important interests in hydrological response and the interaction between the land surface and atmosphere. Estimation of Antecedent Wetness Conditions (AWC) which is soil moisture condition prior to a rainfall in the basin should be considered for rainfall-runoff prediction. In this study, Soil Wetness Index (SWI), Antecedent Precipitation Index ($API_5$), remotely sensed Soil Moisture ($SM_{rs}$), and 5 days ground Soil Moisture ($SM_{g5}$) were selected to estimate the AWC at four study area in the Korean Peninsula. The remotely sensed soil moisture data were taken from the AMSR-E soil moisture archive. The maximum potential retention ($S_{obs}$) was obtained from direct runoff and rainfall using Soil Conservation Service-Curve Number (SCS-CN) method by rainfall data of 2011 for each study area. Results showed the great correlations between the maximum potential retention and SWI with a mean correlation coefficient which is equal to -0.73. The results of time length representing the time scale of soil moisture showed a gap from region to region. It was due to the differences of soil types and the characteristics of study area. Since the remotely sensed soil moisture has been proved as reasonable hydrological variables to predict a wetness in the basin, it should be continuously monitored.