• 제목/요약/키워드: Prediction#4

검색결과 6,581건 처리시간 0.032초

스미스 예측기와 그레이 예측 방법을 적용한 시간 지연이 있는 비 가시 환경에서의 원격로봇제어 (Teleoperation by using Smith prediction and Grey prediction with a Time-delay in a Non-visible Environment)

  • 정재훈;김덕수;이장명
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2016
  • A new prediction scheme has been proposed for the robust teleoperation in a non-visible environment. The positioning error caused by the time delay in the non-visible environment has been compensated for by the Smith predictor and the sensory data have been estimated by the Grey model. The Smith predictor is effective for the compensation of the positioning error caused by the time delay with a precise system model. Therefore the dynamic model of a mobile robot has been used in this research. To minimize the unstable and erroneous states caused by the time delay, the estimated sensor data have been sent to the operator. Through simulations, the possibility of compensating the errors caused by the time delay has been verified using the Smith predictor. Also the estimation reliability of the measurement data has been demonstrated. Robust teleoperations in a non-visible environment have been performed with a mobile robot to avoid the obstacles effective to go to the target position by the proposed prediction scheme which combines the Smith predictor and the Grey model. Even though the human operator is involved in the teleoperation loop, the compensation effects have been clearly demonstrated.

Experimental investigation of creep and shrinkage of reinforced concrete with influence of reinforcement ratio

  • Sun, Guojun;Xue, Suduo;Qu, Xiushu;Zhao, Yifeng
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.211-218
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    • 2019
  • Predictions about shrinkage and creep of concrete are very important for evaluating time-dependent effects on structural performance. Some prediction models and formulas of concrete shrinkage and creep have been proposed with diversity. However, the influence of reinforcement ratio on shrinkage and creep of concrete has been ignored in most prediction models and formulas. In this paper, the concrete shrinkage and creep with different ratios of reinforcement were studied. Firstly, the shrinkage performance was tested by the 10 reinforced concrete beams specimens with different reinforcement ratios for 200 days. Meanwhile, the creep performance was tested by the 5 reinforced concrete beams specimens with different ratios of reinforcement under sustained load for 200 days. Then, the test results were compared with the prediction models and formulas of CEB-FIP 90, ACI 209, GL 2000 and JTG D 62-2004. At last, based on ACI 209, an improved prediction models and formulas of concrete shrinkage and creep considering reinforcement ratio was derived. The results from improved prediction models and formulas of concrete shrinkage and creep are in good agreement with the experimental results.

추천 시스템을 위한 단계적 평가치 예측 방안 (A Stepwise Rating Prediction Method for Recommender Systems)

  • 이수정
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.183-188
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    • 2021
  • 협력 필터링 기반의 추천 시스템은 현재 다양한 분야의 상업용 시스템의 필수불가결한 기능으로서, 사용자들이 선호할만한 상품을 맞춤형으로 제공해 주는 유용한 서비스이다. 그러나, 사용자들의 평가 데이타가 불충분할 경우 선호상품의 예측이 부정확할 우려가 크다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 단점을 해결하기 위하여 단계적으로 상품의 평가치를 예측하는 방안을 제시한다. 각 단계에 해당하는 예측 방법의 적용 조건을 만족하지 못할 경우 다음 단계의 방법을 적용한다. 제안 방법의 성능 평가를 위해, 공개 데이터셋을 활용한 실험을 진행하였으며, 제안 방법은 여러 전통적 유사도 척도를 도입한 협력 필터링 시스템의 예측 성능과 정밀도 성능을 크게 향상시켰고, 평가데이터 희소성 해결을 위한 기존 방식들의 성능을 능가하는 결과를 보였다.

시프트 시그모이드 분류함수를 가진 로지스틱 회귀를 이용한 신입생 중도탈락 예측모델 연구 (A Study of Freshman Dropout Prediction Model Using Logistic Regression with Shift-Sigmoid Classification Function)

  • 김동형
    • 디지털산업정보학회논문지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2023
  • The dropout of university freshmen is a very important issue in the financial problems of universities. Moreover, the dropout rate is one of the important indicators among the external evaluation items of universities. Therefore, universities need to predict dropout students in advance and apply various dropout prevention programs targeting them. This paper proposes a method to predict such dropout students in advance. This paper is about a method for predicting dropout students. It proposes a method to select dropouts by applying logistic regression using a shift sigmoid classification function using only quantitative data from the first semester of the first year, which most universities have. It is based on logistic regression and can select the number of prediction subjects and prediction accuracy by using the shift sigmoid function as an classification function. As a result of the experiment, when the proposed algorithm was applied, the number of predicted dropout subjects varied from 100% to 20% compared to the actual number of dropout subjects, and it was found to have a prediction accuracy of 75% to 98%.

기상 및 기후의 수치예측에 대한 슈퍼컴퓨터의 역할 (Role of Supercomputers in Numerical Prediction of Weather and Climate)

  • 박선기
    • 대기
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.19-23
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    • 2004
  • Progresses in numerical prediction of weather and climate have been in parallel with those of computing resources, especially the development of supercomputers. Advanced techniques in numerical modeling, computational schemes, and data assimilation cloud not have been practically achieved without the aid of supercomputers. With such techniques and computing powers, the accuracy of numerical forecasts has been tremendously improved. Supercomputers are also indispensible in constructing and executing the synthetic Earth system models. In this study, a brief overview on numerical weather / climate prediction, Earth system modeling, and the values of supercomputing is provided.

Predicting Organic Matter content in Korean Soils Using Regression rules on Visible-Near Infrared Diffuse Reflectance Spectra

  • Chun, Hyen-Chung;Hong, Suk-Young;Song, Kwan-Cheol;Kim, Yi-Hyun;Hyun, Byung-Keun;Minasny, Budiman
    • 한국토양비료학회지
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.497-502
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    • 2012
  • This study investigates the prediction of soil OM on Korean soils using the Visible-Near Infrared (Vis-NIR) spectroscopy. The ASD Field Spec Pro was used to acquire the reflectance of soil samples to visible to near-infrared radiation (350 to 2500 nm). A total of 503 soil samples from 61 Korean soil series were scanned using the instrument and OM was measured using the Walkley and Black method. For data analysis, the spectra were resampled from 500-2450 nm with 4 nm spacing and converted to the $1^{st}$ derivative of absorbance (log (1/R)). Partial least squares regression (PLSR) and regression rules model (Cubist) were applied to predict soil OM. Regression rules model estimates the target value by building conditional rules, and each rule contains a linear expression predicting OM from selected absorbance values. The regression rules model was shown to give a better prediction compared to PLSR. Although the prediction for Andisols had a larger error, soil order was not found to be useful in stratifying the prediction model. The stratification used by Cubist was mainly based on absorbance at wavelengths of 850 and 2320 nm, which corresponds to the organic absorption bands. These results showed that there could be more information on soil properties useful to classify or group OM data from Korean soils. In conclusion, this study shows it is possible to develop good prediction model of OM from Korean soils and provide data to reexamine the existing prediction models for more accurate prediction.

Accuracy of predictive equations for resting metabolic rate in Korean athletic and non-athletic adolescents

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Kim, Myung-Hee;Kim, Gwi-Sun;Park, Ji-Sun;Kim, Eun-Kyung
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.370-378
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    • 2015
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Athletes generally desire changes in body composition in order to enhance their athletic performance. Often, athletes will practice chronic energy restrictions to attain body composition changes, altering their energy needs. Prediction of resting metabolic rates (RMR) is important in helping to determine an athlete's energy expenditure. This study compared measured RMR of athletic and non-athletic adolescents with predicted RMR from commonly used prediction equations to identify the most accurate equation applicable for adolescent athletes. SUBJECTS/METHODS: A total of 50 athletes (mean age of $16.6{\pm}1.0years$, 30 males and 20 females) and 50 non-athletes (mean age of $16.5{\pm}0.5years$, 30 males and 20 females) were enrolled in the study. The RMR of subjects was measured using indirect calorimetry. The accuracy of 11 RMR prediction equations was evaluated for bias, Pearson's correlation coefficient, and Bland-Altman analysis. RESULTS: Until more accurate prediction equations are developed, our findings recommend using the formulas by Cunningham (-29.8 kcal/day, limits of agreement -318.7 and +259.1 kcal/day) and Park (-0.842 kcal/day, limits of agreement -198.9 and +196.9 kcal/day) for prediction of RMR when studying male adolescent athletes. Among the new prediction formulas reviewed, the formula included in the fat-free mass as a variable [$RMR=730.4+15{\times}fat-free\;mass$] is paramount when examining athletes. CONCLUSIONS: The RMR prediction equation developed in this study is better in assessing the resting metabolic rate of Korean athletic adolescents.

소형챔버법을 이용한 휘발성유기화합물(VOCs) 방출특성 및 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Emission Characteristics and Prediction of VOCs (Volatile Organic Compounds) using Small Chamber Method)

  • 방승기;손장열;이광호
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2004
  • In this study, the measurement system was developed for the measurement of pollutants from building materials, and specimens were made with concrete, gypsum board, mortar and wall paper. Characteristics of VOCs and TVOC concentration and Emission Factor as a function of time were assessed, and the conclusion was drawn as follows. (1) From predicting TVOC concentration decrease of specimen 7 with the wall paper attached to the concrete, the graph may become linear by converting the value of y-axis into the log function, and the prediction equation can be expressed as $y=34906{\ast}e^{-0.0093{\ast}time}$. Moreover, chi-square value was 0.83 which is relatively high value, indicating that TVOC concentration can be properly predicted if the same materials are used indoors. (2) From predicting VOCs Emission Factor decrease of specimen 7, the prediction equation can be expressed as $EF=15111{\ast}e^{-0.0093{\ast}time}$, and chi-square value was 0.83. (3) From predicting TVOC concentration decrease of specimen 7, prediction equation can be considered to be $y=254323{\ast}(1-e^{-0.1046{\ast}time})$, and chi-square was 0.994 which is significantly high value, indicating that indoor TVOC concentration can be properly predicted if the same materials are used indoors. Furthermore, the prediction of concentration decrease using cumulative value of hourly measured concentration is considered to be more accurate than that using just hourly measured value directly. (4) From predicting Emission Factor decrease with cumulative hourly data of Emission Factor, chi-square appeared to be higher than that by just using hourly data of Emission Factor directly. Therefore, the prediction of Emission Factor with cumulative hourly data can provide more reliable prediction equation than the case by using just hourly concentration directly.

인트라 예측의 Semi-Diagonal을 EHD 에지 정보로 맵핑하는 방법 (A Method for Mapping Semi-Diagonal of Intra Prediction to Edge Information of MPEG-7 EHD)

  • 권용광
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회 2012년도 제46차 하계학술발표논문집 20권2호
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    • pp.87-88
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    • 2012
  • Because intra prediction modes in H.264 are determined by the brightness continuity between neighboring blocks, they can be used as a method for extracting edge information in the compression domain. However, if we just consider 9 intra prediction modes in H.264 as 9 different edge directions, we have the following two problems. First, intra prediction modes tend to yield too many edge blocks, generating unnecessary edge information. Second, we may not need all 9 directional edges (including the DC type) in H.264 intra prediction modes. For example, the EHD (edge histogram descriptor) in MPEG-7 defines only 4 directional edge types, namely horizontal, vertical, diagonal (HVD) edges with $0^{\circ}$, $90^{\circ}$, $45^{\circ}$, and $135^{\circ}$. Here, semi-diagonal (SD) edge types with $112.5^{\circ}$, $157.5^{\circ}$, $22.5^{\circ}$, and $67.5^{\circ}$ in the intra prediction modes in H.264 are not used. In this paper. we prepose a method that removes unnecessary edges from the intra prediction modes by utilizing the total average coefficient of 4x4 blocks in each slice and assign SD edges to HVD (horizontal, vertical, diagonal, $0^{\circ}$, $90^{\circ}$, $45^{\circ}$, $135^{\circ}$) edges by the contextual information of the neighboring blocks. Experimental results show that the edges determined by the proposed method in the compression domain are comparable to those of the previous edge detection methods in the spatial domain.

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Two Overarching Teleconnection Mechanisms Affecting the Prediction of the 2018 Korean Heat Waves

  • Wie, Jieun;Moon, Byung-Kwon
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.511-519
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    • 2022
  • Given the significant social and economic impact caused by heat waves, there is a pressing need to predict them with high accuracy and reliability. In this study, we analyzed the real-time forecast data from six models constituting the Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction project, to elucidate the key mechanisms contributing to the prediction of the recent record-breaking Korean heat wave event in 2018. Weekly anomalies were first obtained by subtracting the 2017-2020 mean values for both S2S model simulations and observations. By comparing four Korean heat-wave-related indices from S2S models to the observed data, we aimed to identify key climate processes affecting prediction accuracy. The results showed that superior performance at predicting the 2018 Korean heat wave was achieved when the model showed better prediction performance for the anomalous anticyclonic activity in the upper troposphere of Eastern Europe and the cyclonic circulation over the Western North Pacific (WNP) region compared to the observed data. Furthermore, the development of upper-tropospheric anticyclones in Eastern Europe was closely related to global warming and the occurrence of La Niña events. The anomalous cyclonic flow in the WNP region coincided with enhancements in Madden-Julian oscillation phases 4-6. Our results indicate that, for the accurate prediction of heat waves, such as the 2018 Korean heat wave, it is imperative for the S2S models to realistically reproduce the variabilities over the Eastern Europe and WNP regions.