• Title/Summary/Keyword: Predicted residual

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Outlier Detection Diagnostic based on Interpolation Method in Autoregressive Models

  • Cho, Sin-Sup;Ryu, Gui-Yeol;Park, Byeong-Uk;Lee, Jae-June
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.283-306
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    • 1993
  • An outlier detection diagnostic for the detection of k-consecutive atypical observations is considered. The proposed diagnostic is based on the innovational variance estimate utilizing both the interpolated and the predicted residuals. We adopt the interpolation method to construct the proposed diagnostic by replacing atypical observations. The perfomance of the proposed diagnositc is investigated by simulation. A real example is presented.

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Study on the Fast Predication of the Wind-Driven Current in the Sachon Bay (사천만에서 취송류의 신속예측에 관한 연구)

  • 최석원;조규대;김동선
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.309-318
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    • 1999
  • In order to fast predict the wind-driven current in a small bay, a convolution method in which the wind-driven current can be generated only wih the local wind is developed and applied in the Sachon Bay. The root mean square(rms) ratio defined as the ratio of the rms error to the rms speed is 0.37. The rms ratio is generally less than 0.2, except for all the mouths of Junju Bay and Namhae-do and in the region between Saryang Island and Sachon. The spatial average of the recover rate of kinetic energy(rrke) is 87%. Thus, the predicted wind-driven current by the convolution model is in a good agreement with the computed one by the numerical model. The raio of the difference between observed residual current (Vr) and predicted wind-driven current (Vc) to a residual current, that is, (Vr-Vc)/Vr shows 56%, 62% at 2 moorings in the Sachon Bay.

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Residual Settlement Behavior in Soft Ground Improved by PBD during Operating Facilities (PBD공법이 적용된 연약지반에서 운용 중인 시설물의 잔류침하거동)

  • Kang, Gichun;Kim, Taehyung;Jeong, Choonggi
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.15 no.8
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2014
  • The Plastic Board Drain is used to improve soft soils deposited in container terminal area at a port. This paper describes settlement behavior of soft ground in this area from PBD installation to the time of operating facilities. Previous researches focused on soil improvement effect of PBD, that is, the settlement occurred during ground improvement period. The residual settlement occurred during operating the facility is very important from the maintenance and management point of view. However, the study of this residual settlement has been rarely conducted. In this study, by analyzing the measured settlement data obtained from the container terminal area at the port, it was verified that the residual settlement induced during operating facilities occurred in a layer with PBD improvement. In addition, by comparison the settlement predicted by a numerical analysis with the settlement measured in the field, it was confirmed that the actual settlement is in the range of predicted settlement.

Chlorine Residual Prediction in Drinking Water Distribution System Using EPANET (EPANET을 이용한 상수도 관망의 잔류염소 거동 예측)

  • 유희종;김주원;정효준;이홍근
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.8-15
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    • 2003
  • In this study, chlorine dose at water storage tank was predicted to meet the recommended guideline for free chlorine residual in drinking water distribution system, using EPANET which is a computer program that performs extended Period simulation of hydraulic and water quality behavior within pressurized pipe networks. The results may be summarized as follows. The decay of chlorine residual by season varied considerably in the following order; in summer ($25^{\circ}C$) > spring and fall (15$^{\circ}C$) > winter (5$^{\circ}C$). For re-chlorination at water storage tank by season, season-varying chlorine dose was required at its maximum of 1.00 mg/l in summer and minimum of 0.40 mg/l in winter as free chlorine residual. The decay of chlorine residual through out the networks increased with water age spent by a parcel of water in the network except for some points with low water demand. In conclusion, the season-varying chlorine dose as well as the monitoring of water quality parameters at the some points which showed high decay of chlorine residual may be necessary to deliver the safe drinking water.

Estimation of Residual Stress Distribution for Pressurizer Nozzle of Kori Nuclear Power Plant Considering Safe End (고리 원전 가압기 노즐 용접부 잔류응력 예측 시 안전단 고려가 이종 금속 용접부 잔류응력 분포에 미치는 영향)

  • Song, Tae-Kwang;Bae, Hong-Yeol;Chun, Yun-Bae;Oh, Chang-Young;Kim, Yun-Jae;Lee, Kyoung-Soo;Park, Chi-Yong
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.32 no.8
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    • pp.668-677
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    • 2008
  • In nuclear power plants, ferritic low alloy steel nozzle was connected with austenitic stainless steel piping system through alloy 82/182 butt weld. Accurate estimation of residual stress for weldment is important in the sense that alloy 82/182 is susceptible to stress corrosion cracking. There are many results which predict residual stress distribution for alloy 82/182 weld between nozzle and pipe. However, nozzle and piping system usually connected through safe end which has short length. In this paper, residual stress distribution for pressurizer nozzle of Kori nuclear power plant was predicted using FE analysis, which consideded safe end. As a result, existing residual stress profile was redistributed and residual stress of inner surface was decreased specially. It means that safe end should be considered to reduce conservatism when estimating the piping system.

Residual strength capacity of fire-exposed circular concrete-filled steel tube stub columns

  • Alhatmey, Ihssan A.;Ekmekyapar, Talha;Alrebeh, Salih K.
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.485-507
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    • 2018
  • Concrete-Filled Steel Tube (CFST) columns are an increasingly popular means to support great compressive loads in buildings. The residual strength capacity of CFST stub columns may be utilized to assess the potential damage caused by fire and calculate the structural fire protection for least post-fire repair. Ten specimens under room conditions and 10 specimens under fire exposure to the Eurocode smouldering slow-growth fire were tested to examine the effects of diameter to thickness D/t ratio and reinforcing bars on residual strength capacity, ductility and stiffness of CFST stub columns. On the other hand, in sixteen among the twenty specimens, three or six reinforcing bars were welded inside the steel tube. The longitudinal strains in the steel tube and load-displacement relationships were recorded throughout the subsequent compressive tests. Corresponding values of residual strength capacity calculated using AISC 360-10 and EC4 standards are presented for comparison purposes with the experimental results of this study. The test results showed that after exposure to $750^{\circ}C$, the residual strength capacity increased for all specimens, while the ductility and stiffness were slightly decreased. The comparison results showed that the predicted residual strength using EC4 were close to those obtained experimentally in this research.

Analysis of 3-D residual Stresses Due to Shape Memory Effects (형상기억효과에 따른 3차원 잔류응력의 해석)

  • 김홍건
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.42-46
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    • 1999
  • The strengthening of a metal matrix composite(MMC) by the shape memory effect(SME) of dispersed TiNi particles was theoretically studied. An analytical model was constructed for the prediction of the average residual stress(<$\delta$>m) on the base of the Eshelby's equivalent inclusion method. The analysis was performed on the TiNi particle/Al metal matrix composites with varying volume fractions and prestrains of the particle. The residual stress caused by the shape memory of predeformed fillers has been predicted to contribute significantly to the strengthening of this composite.

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Prediction of the Constitutive Properties of Metal from Laser Peening Simulation (레이저 피닝 시뮬레이션을 통한 금속재료의 물성치 예측)

  • Yeo, In Kyu;Lim, Hyun Taek;Lim, Jong Bin;Jeong, Sung Ho
    • Laser Solutions
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.15-19
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    • 2013
  • For numerical simulation of the deformation and residual stress development in metals during laser peening, the constitutive equations describing material behavior at various strain rates and plastic properties at high strain rate impact conditions are prerequisite. However, these parameters are often unknown for various engineering materials. In this study, the parameters of Johnson-Cook constitutive equation of duplex stainless steel were determined by comparing the residual stress profile predicted by numerical simulation using trial values and the measured residual stress profile with x-ray diffraction.

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Analysis of Temperature Distribution and Residual Stress in Deposition Process of Metal Droplet by Using Laser Beam (레이저를 이용한 금속액적 적층시 온도분포와 잔류응력 해석)

  • Yun Jin-Oh;Yang Young-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.22 no.3 s.168
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    • pp.187-193
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    • 2005
  • The temperature distribution of the deposited droplet was predicted by using the finite element analysis and it was assumed that the droplet was axisymmetrical model. The analysis of residual stress was performed with the temperature data, which is obtained from the result. Axisymmetric droplet is deposited three times to consider the actual phenomenon of droplet deposition. The analysis of the temperature distribution is respectively performed whenever the axisymmetric droplet is laminated and the residual stresses of the laminated axisymmetric droplet are calculated with the value of the temperature distribution.

A multi Step Cure Process to Prevent Residual Bubbles in LED Encapsulation Silicone Resin (LED Encapsulation 실리콘의 기포잔류방지를 위한 Step 경화공정 연구)

  • Song, M.J.;Kim, H.K.;Yoon, G.S.;Kim, K.H.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.101-106
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    • 2012
  • Generally, rapid cure reaction of LED encapsulation silicone resin causes serious defects in cured resin products such as warpage, residual bubbles, and reduced wettablility. In order to prevent residual bubbles in silicone resin, the step cure process was examined in the present paper. Three kinds of step cure processes were applied, and bubble-free phenomenon was observed. Most of the bubbles were removed under $70^{\circ}C$, the minimum temperature for activating cure reaction. In addition, degree of cure(DOC) and temperature distribution were predicted by using FEM analysis of heat transfer. It was concluded that maintaining cure temperature which provide a DOC under 0.5~0.6 effectively reduces residual bubbles.