• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power Usage Prediction

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Deep Learning-Based Smart Meter Wattage Prediction Analysis Platform

  • Jang, Seonghoon;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2020
  • As the fourth industrial revolution, in which people, objects, and information are connected as one, various fields such as smart energy, smart cities, artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, unmanned cars, and robot industries are becoming the mainstream, drawing attention to big data. Among them, Smart Grid is a technology that maximizes energy efficiency by converging information and communication technologies into the power grid to establish a smart grid that can know electricity usage, supply volume, and power line conditions. Smart meters are equient that monitors and communicates power usage. We start with the goal of building a virtual smart grid and constructing a virtual environment in which real-time data is generated to accommodate large volumes of data that are small in capacity but regularly generated. A major role is given in creating a software/hardware architecture deployment environment suitable for the system for test operations. It is necessary to identify the advantages and disadvantages of the software according to the characteristics of the collected data and select sub-projects suitable for the purpose. The collected data was collected/loaded/processed/analyzed by the Hadoop ecosystem-based big data platform, and used to predict power demand through deep learning.

Potential Revenue Prediction Method of ESS using Lithium-ion Battery (리튬이온 배터리를 이용한 에너지저장장치 시스템의 잠재수익 산출 기법)

  • Won, Il-Kuen;Kim, Do-Yun;Jang, Young-Hee;Choo, Kyung-min;Hong, Sung-woo;Won, Chung-Yuen
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2016.07a
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    • pp.423-424
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    • 2016
  • Recently, the mass production of Energy storage system (ESS) is actively perform around world. Energy storage system is a technique that stores power to energy storage device to supply energy into grid and load at peak-load. Therefore, the efficient energy management is available by using ESS system. The life of Lithium-ion battery is varied corresponding to the power usage, especially selected depth of discharge (DOD). The lifetime of battery is the one of the most issue of the ESS system because of its stability and reliability. Therefore, lifetime management of battery and power converter of ESS module is required. In this paper, the battery lifetime management method estimating residual power and lifetime of lithium ion battery of ESS system is proposed. Also, total avenue prediction of ESS system is simulated considering the total lifetime of battery.

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Prediction of Power Consumptions Based on Gated Recurrent Unit for Internet of Energy (에너지 인터넷을 위한 GRU기반 전력사용량 예측)

  • Lee, Dong-gu;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Sim, Is-sac;Hwang, Yu-Min;Kim, Sooh-wan;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.120-126
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    • 2019
  • Recently, accurate prediction of power consumption based on machine learning techniques in Internet of Energy (IoE) has been actively studied using the large amount of electricity data acquired from advanced metering infrastructure (AMI). In this paper, we propose a deep learning model based on Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) as an artificial intelligence (AI) network that can effectively perform pattern recognition of time series data such as the power consumption, and analyze performance of the prediction based on real household power usage data. In the performance analysis, performance comparison between the proposed GRU-based learning model and the conventional learning model of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) is described. In the simulation results, mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE), forecast skill score, normalized root mean square error (RMSE), and normalized mean bias error (NMBE) are used as performance evaluation indexes, and we confirm that the performance of the prediction of the proposed GRU-based learning model is greatly improved.

Study on Energy Efficiency Improvement in Manufacturing Core Processes through Energy Process Innovation (에너지 프로세스 혁신을 통한 제조 핵심 공정의 에너지 효율화 방안 연구)

  • Sang-Joon Cho;Hyun-Mu Lee;Jin-Soo Lee
    • Journal of Advanced Technology Convergence
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2023
  • Globally, there is a collaborative effort to achieve global carbon neutrality in response to climate change. In the case of South Korea, greenhouse gas emissions are rapidly increasing, presenting an urgent situation that requires resolution. In this context, this study developed a thermal energy collection device named a 'steam trap' and created an AI model capable of predicting future electricity usage by collecting energy usage data through steam traps. The average accuracy of electricity usage prediction with this AI model was 96.7%, demonstrating high precision. Consequently, the AI model enables the prediction and management of days with high electricity consumption and identifies which facilities contribute to elevated power usage. Future research aims to optimize energy consumption efficiency through efficient equipment operation using anomaly detection in steam traps and standardizing energy management systems, with the ultimate goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Applicability of the Solar Irradiation Model in Preparation of Typical Weather Data Considering Domestic Climate Conditions (표준기상데이터 작성을 위한 국내 기후특성을 고려한 일사량 예측 모델 적합성 평가)

  • Shim, Ji-Soo;Song, Doo-Sam
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.467-476
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    • 2016
  • As the energy saving issues become one of the important global agenda, the building simulation method is generally used to predict the inside energy usage to establish the power-saving strategies. To foretell an accurate energy usage of a building, proper and typical weather data are needed. For this reason, typical weather data are fundamental in building energy simulations and among the meteorological factors, the solar irradiation is the most important element. Therefore, preparing solar irradiation is a basic factor. However, there are few places where the horizontal solar radiation in domestic weather stations can be measured, so the prediction of the solar radiation is needed to arrive at typical weather data. In this paper, four solar radiation prediction models were analyzed in terms of their applicability for domestic weather conditions. A total of 12 regions were analyzed to compare the differences of solar irradiation between measurements and the prediction results. The applicability of the solar irradiation prediction model for a certain region was determined by the comparisons. The results were that the Zhang and Huang model showed the highest accuracy (Rad 0.87~0.80) in most of the analyzed regions. The Kasten model which utilizes a simple regression equation exhibited the second-highest accuracy. The Angstrom-Prescott model is easily used, also by employing a plain regression equation Lastly, the Winslow model which is known for predicting global horizontal solar irradiation at any climate regions uses a daily integration equation and showed a low accuracy regarding the domestic climate conditions in Korea.

Electric power consumption predictive modeling of an electric propulsion ship considering the marine environment

  • Lim, Chae-og;Park, Byeong-cheol;Lee, Jae-chul;Kim, Eun Soo;Shin, Sung-chul
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.765-781
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    • 2019
  • This study predicts the power consumption of an Electric Propulsion Ship (EPS) in marine environment. The EPS is driven by a propeller rotated by a propulsion motor, and the power consumption of the propeller changes by the marine environment. The propulsion motor consumes the highest percentage of the ships' total power. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the power consumption and determine the power generation capacity and the propeller capacity to design an efficient EPS. This study constructs a power estimation simulator for EPS by using a ship motion model including marine environment and an electric power consumption model. The usage factor that represents the relationship between power consumption and propulsion is applied to the simulator for power prediction. Four marine environment scenarios are set up and the power consumed by the propeller to maintain a constant ship speed according to the marine environment is predicted in each scenario.

A Study of Non-Intrusive Appliance Load Identification Algorithm using Complex Sensor Data Processing Algorithm (복합 센서 데이터 처리 알고리즘을 이용한 비접촉 가전 기기 식별 알고리즘 연구)

  • Chae, Sung-Yoon;Park, Jinhee
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.199-204
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we present a home appliance load identification algorithm. The algorithm utilizes complex sensory data in order to improve the existing NIALM using total power usage information. We define the influence graph between the appliance status and the measured sensor data. The device identification prediction result is calculated as the weighted sum of the predicted value of the sensor data processing algorithm and the predicted value based on the total power usage. We evaluate proposed algorithm to compare appliance identification accuracy with the existing NIALM algorithm.

Comparison of Power Consumption Prediction Scheme Based on Artificial Intelligence (인공지능 기반 전력량예측 기법의 비교)

  • Lee, Dong-Gu;Sun, Young-Ghyu;Kim, Soo-Hyun;Sim, Issac;Hwang, Yu-Min;Kim, Jin-Young
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.161-167
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    • 2019
  • Recently, demand forecasting techniques have been actively studied due to interest in stable power supply with surging power demand, and increase in spread of smart meters that enable real-time power measurement. In this study, we proceeded the deep learning prediction model experiments which learns actual measured power usage data of home and outputs the forecasting result. And we proceeded pre-processing with moving average method. The predicted value made by the model is evaluated with the actual measured data. Through this forecasting, it is possible to lower the power supply reserve ratio and reduce the waste of the unused power. In this paper, we conducted experiments on three types of networks: Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) and we evaluate the results of each scheme. Evaluation is conducted with following method: MSE(Mean Squared Error) method and MAE(Mean Absolute Error).

Prediction of Energy Consumption in a Smart Home Using Coherent Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA Model

  • Magdalene, J. Jasmine Christina;Zoraida, B.S.E.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2022
  • Technology is progressing with every passing day and the enormous usage of electricity is becoming a necessity. One of the techniques to enjoy the assistances in a smart home is the efficiency to manage the electric energy. When electric energy is managed in an appropriate way, it drastically saves sufficient power even to be spent during hard time as when hit by natural calamities. To accomplish this, prediction of energy consumption plays a very important role. This proposed prediction model Coherent Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA (CWKMCA) enhances the weighted k-means clustering technique by adding weights to the cluster points. Forecasting is done using the ARIMA model based on the centroid of the clusters produced. The dataset for this proposed work is taken from the Pecan Project in Texas, USA. The level of accuracy of this model is compared with the traditional ARIMA model and the Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA Model. When predicting,errors such as RMSE, MAPE, AIC and AICC are analysed, the results of this suggested work reveal lower values than the ARIMA and Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA models. This model also has a greater loglikelihood, demonstrating that this model outperforms the ARIMA model for time series forecasting.

Mid- and Short-term Power Generation Forecasting using Hybrid Model (하이브리드 모델을 이용하여 중단기 태양발전량 예측)

  • Nam-Rye Son
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.26 no.4_2
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    • pp.715-724
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    • 2023
  • Solar energy forecasting is essential for (1) power system planning, management, and operation, requiring accurate predictions. It is crucial for (2) ensuring a continuous and sustainable power supply to customers and (3) optimizing the operation and control of renewable energy systems and the electricity market. Recently, research has been focusing on developing solar energy forecasting models that can provide daily plans for power usage and production and be verified in the electricity market. In these prediction models, various data, including solar energy generation and climate data, are chosen to be utilized in the forecasting process. The most commonly used climate data (such as temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, solar radiation, and wind speed) significantly influence the fluctuations in solar energy generation based on weather conditions. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid forecasting model by combining the strengths of the Prophet model and the GRU model, which exhibits excellent predictive performance. The forecasting periods for solar energy generation are tested in short-term (2 days, 7 days) and medium-term (15 days, 30 days) scenarios. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms the conventional Prophet model by more than twice in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and surpasses the modified GRU model by more than 1.5 times, showcasing superior performance.