• KIEAE Journal
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.57-64
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• 2010

Electric energy is indispensible of the development of the industrial and living sector. Among the energy sectors, the building area shares 20% of the produced electric power in Korea. As we plan to supply the apartment, we need to forecast the required amount of the electric energy and supply the infrastructure to apartment for the lighting, cooling. Nonetheless, it is not easy to forecast the required amount of the electric energy, considering the management aspect, building physical aspect and social-geographic aspect. In this paper, it studied the estimation model of the electric energy, reflecting the affecting variables such as total area, number of household, geography and so on. The estimation model is proposed in 3-types which explained in central heating, individual heating and district heating, and each type have two estimation model, reflecting the affecting variable and corelation between variables to eliminate the muticolinearity. The unit of electric energy consumption per area and year is similar in three heating type and the results are as follows; the central heating is $34.446kWh/yr{\cdot}m^2$, individual type is $35.756446kWh/yr{\cdot}m^2$ and district heating is $34.285446kWh/yr{\cdot}m^2$.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회/대한산업공학회 2005년도 춘계공동학술대회 발표논문
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• pp.798-805
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• 2005

Estimating the effects of price increase on a company's sales is important task faced by managers. If consumer has prior information on price increase or expect it, there would be stockpiling and subsequent drops in sales. In addition, consumer can suppress demand in the short run. Above factors make the sales dynamic and unstable. We develop a time series model to evaluate the sales patterns with stockpiling and short term suppression of demand and also propose a forecasting procedure. For estimation, we use panel data and extend the model to Bayesian hierarchical structure. By borrowing strength across cross-sectional units, this estimation scheme gives more robust and reasonable result than one from the individual estimation. Furthermore, the proposed scheme yields improved predictive power in the forecasting of hold-out sample periods.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제24권11호
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• pp.1443-1450
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• 2015

Wastewater treatment plant(WWTP) has been recognized as a high energy consuming plant. Usually many WWTPs has been operated in the excessive operation conditions in order to maintain stable wastewater treatment. The energy required at WWTPs consists of various subparts such as pumping, aeration, and office maintenance. For management of energy comes from process operation, it can be useful to operators to provide some information about energy variations according to the adjustment of operational variables. In this study, multiple regression analysis was used to establish an energy estimation model. The independent variables for estimation energy were selected among operational variables. The $R^2$ value in the regression analysis appeared 0.68, and performance of the electric power prediction model had less than ${\pm}5%$ error.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.157-167
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• 2006

Estimating the effects of price increase on a company's sales is important task faced by managers. If consumer has prior information on price increase or expects it, there would be stockpiling and subsequent drops in sales. In addition, consumer can suppress demand in the short run. These factors make the sales dynamic and unstable. In this paper we develop a time series model to evaluate the sales patterns with stockpiling and short-term suppression of demand and also propose a forecasting procedure. For estimation, we use panel data and extend the model to Bayesian hierarchical structure. By borrowing strength across cross-sectional units, this estimation scheme gives more robust and reasonable result than one from the individual estimation. Furthermore, the proposed scheme yields improved predictive power in the forecasting of hold-out sample periods.

• 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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• 전력전자학회 2010년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.600-601
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• 2010

This paper presents the superheater dynamic modeling and parameter estimation for the thermal plant boiler. The temperature control is closely related to the power plant efficiency and boiler life. The dynamic modeling of the superheater and desuperheater is essentially needed and developed by using the heat balance principle. The simulated model outputs are well matched with the actual ones. It is expected that the proposed model is useful for the temperature controller design.

• 한국자동차공학회논문집
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• 제17권3호
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• pp.29-34
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• 2009

Diesel particulate filter (DPF) has been developed to optimize engine out emission, especially particulate matter (PM). One of the main important factors for developing the DPF is estimation of soot mass being accumulated inside the DPF. Evaluation of pressure drop over the DPF is a simple way to estimate the accumulated soot mass but its accuracy is known to be limited to certain vehicle operating conditions. The method to compensate drawback is adoption of integrating time history of the engine out PM and burning soot. Present study demonstrates current status of the soot estimation methods including the results from the engine test benches and vehicles.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.161-169
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• 2006

Load representation has a significant impact on power system analysis and control results. In this paper, composite load models are developed based on on-line measurement data from a practical power system. Three types of static-dynamic load models are derived: general ZIP-induction motor model, Exponential-induction motor model and Z-induction motor model. For the dynamic induction motor model, two different third-order induction motor models are studied. The performances in modeling real and reactive power behaviors by composite load models are compared with other dynamic load models in terms of relative mismatch error. In addition, numerical consideration of ill-conditioned parameters is addressed based on trajectory sensitivity. Numerical studies indicate that the developed composite load models can accurately capture the dynamic behaviors of loads during disturbance.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1990년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부
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• pp.239-243
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• 1990

This paper presents a algorithm to improve accuracy and reliability in state estimation of contaminated bad data. The conventional algorithms for detection of bad data confront the problems of excessive memory requirements and long computation time. In order to overcome measurement compensation approach is proposed to reduce computation time and partitioned measurement error model has the advantage of remarkable reduction in computation time and memory requirements in estimated error computation. The proposed algorithm has been tested for IEEE sample systems, which shows its applicability to on-line power systems.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1999년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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• pp.868-870
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• 1999

In this paper we obtain a discrete mathmatical model of a Boiler control system from expermental data, we find appropriate input signal and parameter estimation algorithm for identification of the Boiler control system in power plant. Under these conditions experimental data are collected from real system and parameters are estimated by the Recursive Least Square algorithm. The computer simulation results show the parameter estimation algorithm for identification and the effectiveness of controller design of the Boiler control system.

• 대한전기학회논문지
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• 제40권2호
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• pp.144-153
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• 1991

This paper presents an algorithm to improve accuracy and reliability in the state estimation of contaminated bad data. The conventional algorithms for detection of bad data have the problems of excessive memory requirements and long computation time. In order to overcome these problems, a measurement compensation approach is proposed to reduce computation time, and the partitioned measurement error model has the advantage of remarkable reduction in computation time and memory requirements in estimated error computation. The proposed algorithm has been tested for IEEE sample systems, which shows its applicability to on-line power systems.