• Title/Summary/Keyword: Potential risk

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A Study on the Development the Maritime Safety Assessment Model in Korea Waterway

  • Park, Young-Soo;Kim, Jong-Sung;Aydogdu, Volkan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.567-574
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    • 2013
  • Although Korea coastal area has the increasing potential marine accident due to frequent ship's encounter, increased vessel traffic and large vessel, there is no specific model to evaluate the navigating vessel's risk considering the domestic traffic situation. The maritime transport environmental assessment is necessary due to the amended maritime traffic law. However, marine safety diagnosis is now carried out by foreign model. In this paper, therefore, we suggest a domestic traffic model reflecting the characteristics of korea coastal area and navigator's risk as we named PARK(Potential Assessment of Risk) model. We can evaluate the subjective risk by establishing the model and model output into maritime risk exposure system. To evaluate this model's effectiveness, we used ship handling simulation and applied, analyzed collision accident which occurred in korea coastal area. And also, we applied integrated to an ECDIS program for monitoring traffic risk of vessels with real time based AIS data and apply to evaluate traffic risk in busan harbor waterway. As a result, we could evaluate busan harbor waterway risk effectively.

Analysis of Potentioal Risk of Tuberculosis Using Socioeconomic Indicators - Focused on 8 Cities in Chungcheongnam-do - (사회·경제적 지표를 활용한 결핵의 잠재적 위험도 분석 - 충청남도 8개 시를 대상으로-)

  • Park, Keunoh
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: In this study, potential demographic, social, and economic factors causing tuberculosis were identified, and eight cities in South Chungcheong Province were compared and analyzed with the IPA method. Method: The factors potentially affecting the prevalence of tuberculosis were categorized demographically, socially, and economically, and selected through brainstorming. Furthermore, potential factors affecting tuberculosis were derived using the revised IPA. Based on this analysis, areas with a potential risk of tuberculosis were classified, and the following policy implications were suggested. Result: The analysis found the three cities of Nonsan, Boryeong, and Gongju to have the highest potential risk of tuberculosis, and the frequency of potential risk factors in the above three cities to be 6 or more. Thus, an urgent policy response to prevent tuberculosis in these regions is required. Conclusion: According to the results of this study, it is necessary to take potential risk factors into account when promoting tuberculosis prevention policies and projects in South Chungcheong Province.

An Unsafe Practice Analysis considering Potential Risk to Foreign Construction Laborers in Korea

  • Shin, Yoonseok
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.441-449
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the number of accidents reported involving foreign laborers has risen, and the need to prevent accidents at construction sites has become more urgent. It has been found that 90 percent of construction accidents are caused by unsafe work practices, and various studies have been conducted on these practices with the aim of preventing accidents at construction sites. However, the tendency with previous studies was to average the results of survey responses, and as a result it is impossible to consider the potential risk of how many foreign laborers feel unsafe in relation with the unsafe practices. Therefore, in this study, importance-performance analysis (IPA) was improved in order to assess the potential risk of the unsafe practices of foreign laborers at construction sites in Korea. To verify the applicability of the improved IPA, a survey was carried out, and then the results were compared with those of the IPA. Through the use of the improved IPA, unsafe practices that were not found in the previous IPA but have potential risk were identified. The method proposed in this study is expected to contribute to the prevention of construction accidents of foreign workers by enabling a more efficient management.

토양증기추출공정 중 오염물의 거동평가기법에 관한 연구

  • 조현정;권태순;양중석;양지원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2003.09a
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    • pp.354-355
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    • 2003
  • In this study, a risk-based cleanup approach using the leaching potential was suggested for the soil vapor extraction (SVE) process. A multi-component model was adopted with local equilibrium assumption (LEA), and Raoult's law was applied to estimate the leaching potential for BTEX. Finally, a risk analysis was conducted based on the leaching pontential calculated. To complete the feasibility of this approach, more investigations and discussions will be required in future.

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Toxicity of Nanomaterials and Strategy of Risk Assessment (나노물질의 독성과 위해성평가 전략)

  • Park, Kwang-Sik
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.20 no.4 s.51
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    • pp.259-271
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    • 2005
  • Engineered nanoparticles exhibit a variety of unique and tunable chemical and physical properties. These unique properties make the nanoparticles central components and widespread potential applications in nanoindustry. However, the potential toxicities of nanoparticles have not been fully evaluated. Recently, the impacts of nanoparticles to human and environment became the emerging issue of toxicology. In this article, physicochemical properties and toxicities of carbon nanotube, fullerene, quantum dots, and other types of nanomaterials were reviewed and the strategy of risk assessment were suggested based on the frame of chemical assessment.

An Application of FSA Methodology to Hatchway Watertight Integrity of Bulk Carriers (살물선의 화물창 덮개부 수밀 건전성에 대한 공식안전평가의 적용)

  • Eun-Chang Lee;Jae-Ohk Lee;In-Cheol Yeo;Young-Soon Yang
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2000
  • This study was a part of FSA study which was initiated by IMO and was applied to hatchway watertight integrity of bulk carriers. Hazards which were involved in high risk level were identified as follows. Ship Operation out of Design Criteria(Hatch Coaming Damage) and Poor Maintenance & Inspection(Securing Arrangement Damage). The potential risk was calculated by risk analysis and risk control option was made to reduce potential risk. The potential risk was about U$60,000/ship-year and could be reduced to about U$30,000/ship-year by applying RCO 1(Advanced system directly related to Hatchway Security). In addition, effectiveness of RCOs was shown by cost benefit assessment.

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Assessment of seismic risk of a typical RC building for the 2016 Gyeongju and potential earthquakes

  • Jee, Hyun Woo;Han, Sang Whan
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.337-351
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    • 2021
  • On September 12, 2016, the Gyeongju earthquake occurred in the south-eastern region of the Korean peninsula. The event was ranked as the largest magnitude earthquake (=5.8) since instrumental recording was started by the Korean Metrological Administration (KMA) in 1978. The objective of this study is to provide information obtained from the 2016 Gyeongju earthquake and to propose a procedure estimating seismic risk of a typical old RC building for past and potential earthquakes. Ground motions are simulated using the point source model at 4941 grid locations in the Korean peninsula that resulted from the Gyeongju earthquake and from potential future earthquakes with the same hypocenter considering different soil conditions. Nonlinear response history analyses are conducted for each grid location using a three-story gravity-designed reinforced concrete (RC) frame that most closely represents conventional old school and public buildings. Then, contour maps are constructed to present the seismic risk associated with this building for the Gyeongju earthquake and potential future scenario earthquakes. These contour maps can be useful in the development of a mitigation plan for potential earthquake damage to school and public buildings at all grid locations on the Korean peninsula.

Association Between Atrial Fibrillation and the Risk of Dementia in the Korean Elderly: A 10-Year Nationwide Cohort Study

  • Nah, Min-Ah;Lee, Kyeong Soo;Hwang, Tae-Yoon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.53 no.1
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 2020
  • Objectives: The objective of this study was to determine the effect of atrial fibrillation (AF) on the risk of dementia in the Korean elderly. Methods: A 10-year retrospective cohort study was conducted using the National Health Insurance Service-Senior Cohort database. We excluded those who were under 65 years of age as of January 2006 (n=46 113), those who were diagnosed with dementia between 2002 and 2005 (n=9086), and those with a history of stroke prior to AF diagnosis (n=8392). We used a Cox proportional hazards model with a time-varying covariate to determine whether AF is associated with the risk of dementia after adjusting for potential confounders. Results: In univariable Cox regression, the hazard ratio (HR) of dementia according to AF status was 1.28 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23 to 1.33). After adjusting for potential confounders, AF was found to increase the risk of dementia (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.17), Alzheimer dementia (HR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.17), and vascular dementia (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.03 to 1.18). In patients diagnosed with AF, the incidence of dementia was lower (HR, 0.50; 95% CI, 0.47 to 0.52) in patients who were treated with oral anticoagulants. Conclusions: Investigating the potential risk factors of dementia in an aged society is important. We found a slightly higher risk of dementia in those with AF than in those without AF, and we therefore concluded that AF is a potential risk factor for dementia.

Pilot study on risk factors associated with caseous lymphadenitis and its seasonal prevalence in the Korean native goat

  • Jaylord M. Pioquinto;Md. Aftabuzzaman;Edeneil Jerome Valete;Hector Espiritu;Seon-Ho Kim;Su-Jeong Jin;Gi-chan Lee;A-Rang Son;Myunghwan Jung;Sang-Suk Lee;Yong-Il Cho
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Service
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.255-262
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    • 2023
  • Caseous lymphadenitis (CLA) is an endemic but not well-studied disease of Korean native goats (KNG) in Korea. Corynebacterium pseudotuberculosis is the causative agent of the contagious and chronic CLA found in goats. This study aimed to validate the potential risk factors associated with CLA and assess its seasonal prevalence to mitigate this disease in KNG. Data were collected through a questionnaire from four high- and four low-prevalence farms randomly selected based on a prior investigation. The monthly assessments of CLA were conducted in a goat abattoir located in Jeonnam Province, Korea, to evaluate its seasonal prevalence. The associated risk factors for CLA in KNG herds imply that herd size, scratching against pillars, pipes, or walls in the herd, and disinfection of goat herds are potential risk factors for CLA (P<0.05). The type of floor and entry of new goats into the herd, which are potential risk factors, affected CLA prevalence in the KNG herd (P<0.2). The prevalence of CLA in KNG was significantly higher in spring (29.34%) than in autumn (14.61%), summer (15.31%), and winter (19.48%) (P<0.05). Based on the risk factor assessment, attention should be to establishing accurate preventive measures by avoiding these identified potential risk factors.

Suggestion of Risk Assessment Methodology for Decommissioning of Nuclear Power Plant (원자력발전소 해체 위험도 평가 방법론 개발)

  • Park, ByeongIk;Kim, JuYoul;Kim, Chang-Lak
    • Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.95-106
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    • 2019
  • The decommissioning of nuclear power plants should be prepared by quantitative and qualitative risk assessment. Radiological and non-radiological hazards arising during decommissioning activities must be assessed to ensure the safety of decommissioning workers and the public. Decommissioning experiences by U.S. operators have mainly focused on deterministic risk assessment, which is standardized by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory commission (NRC) and focuses only on the consequences of risk. However, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has suggested an alternative to the deterministic approach, called the risk matrix technique. The risk matrix technique considers both the consequence and likelihood of risk. In this study, decommissioning stages, processes, and activities are organized under a work breakdown structure. Potential accidents in the decommissioning process of NPPs are analyzed using the composite risk matrix to assess both radiological and non-radiological hazards. The levels of risk for all potential accidents considered by U.S. NPP operators who have performed decommissioning were estimated based on their consequences and likelihood of events.