• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population migration

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Development a Estimate Model of Migration Using Cohort-Survival Model (집단 생잔 모형을 이용한 인구이동모델 개발)

  • Han, Yi-Cheol;Lee, Jeong-Jae;Jung, Nam-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.456-460
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a estimation model of migration with only population data using the cohort-survival model which has been used for forecasting future population. The fluctuation of population can be bisected to the natural change which can be occurred by birth and death and the social change which means migration. The factors of the social change are usually very important for establishing rural policies. However, researches using migration data has limitations because the usage of them are restricted. For verifying a estimation model of migration, comparing estimated population in 2000 year and migration quantity between 1996 and 2000 of 25 gu with real values, using population data and death ratio from 1995 to 2000 of the 25 gu in Seoul. Result shows a reliable data that R-square of forecating population model is 0.9755 and migration is 0.9180. So these model are worth to estimate a population and migration quantity to restricted migration data.

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Migration Characteristics by the Regional Population Scale and Network Analysis of Population Movement Rate (인구 규모별 인구이동 특성과 인구이동률 네트워크 분석)

  • Lee, Jimin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2018
  • In countries and regions population plays an important role. Recently the importance of population migration increased as population growth slowed. Researches on population migration are mainly focused on the analysis of the population movement factors and the regional structure analysis using the network analysis method. Analysis of regional structure through population movement is not enough to explain the phenomenon of migration of small cities and rural regions. In this study, to overcome the limit of previous studies the characteristics of the population movement rate according to the size of the population were analyzed. Also network analysis using the population movement OD (Origin and Destination) and population movement rate OD were conducted and the results of them were compared. As the results of analysis by the regional population scale, the population movement by population size showed a big difference in the areas with more than 100 thousand people and less than 100 thousand people. Migration to the outside of the province was the most frequent in regions with 30,000~50,000 people. The population migration rate network analysis result showed that the new area with large population inflow capacity was identified, which could not be found in the population movement network analysis because population movement number is small. The population movement rate irate is expected to be used to identify the central regions of the province and to analyze the difference in resident attractiveness.

The Migration Scheme between Groups in the Multi-population Genetic Algorithms (다개체군 유전자 알고리즘의 집단간 이주 기법)

  • 차성민;권기호
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2000.11c
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    • pp.9-12
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    • 2000
  • Genetic algorithm is a searching method which based on the law of the survival of the fittest. Multi-population Genetic Algorithm is a modified form of Genetic Algorithm, which was devised for covering the defect of general genetic algorithm. The core of multi-population genetic algorithm is said to be the migration schemes. The fitness-based migration scheme and the random migration scheme are currently used. In this paper, a new migration scheme, ‘the migration scheme between groups’, is suggested, and compared to the general two migration schemes.

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Analysis of the Spatio-temporal Migration and Degree Centrality of Migration Network (지역 간 시계열 인구이동의 정량적 특징 분석 및 인구이동 네트워크의 연결중심성 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Oh, Yun-Gyeong
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.5
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we visualized the regional migration in Korea from 2001 to 2015 using the Chord diagram which can represents amount of migration and flows at the same time. In addition, we constructed a migration network and analyzed the degree centrality of each region for identifying the main regions linking to various regions. In 2001~2005, most of population moved into Geonggi from various regions. However, the capital function was transferred to Sejong in 2011~2015, and population moving into Sejong and Chungnam was increased significantly. The main outflow of population in migration network were shown at the regions in Jeonbuk and Gyeongbuk province in 2001~2004, and recently the regions in Gyeongnam, Gyeonggi, and Seoul were identified as the main nodes in terms of outflow of population. We also focused on migration in rural area through degree centrality, and cord diagram in Chungnam, Jeonbuk, and Jeonnam where include the representative crop area. In 2015. there was the significant increase of migration from Gyeonggi to Chungnam, and internal migration within Jeonbuk increased rather than cross-border migration. In addition, migration from Jeonam to capital area decreased in 2015 but migration among cities within Jeonman increased. In particular, Yesan-gun showed the significant migration to other cities in Jeonnam. Population is necessary to develop community and sustain economic growth in rural regions. Therefore, migration is important for the transfer of manpower. The strength of this study is to approach the temporal change of migration from the viewpoint on quantitative and structural characteristics.

Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) for Age-Specific Migration Characteristics : A Case Study on Daegu Metropolitan City (연령별 인구이동 특성에 대한 탐색적 공간 데이터 분석 (ESDA) : 대구시를 사례로)

  • Kim, Kam-Young
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.590-609
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of the study is to propose and evaluate Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis(ESDA) methods for examining age-specific population migration characteristics. First, population migration pyramid which is a pyramid-shaped graph designed with in-migration, out-migration, and net migration by age (or age group), was developed as a tool exploring age-specific migration propensities and structures. Second, various spatial statistics techniques based on local indicators of spatial association(LISA) such as Local Moran''s $I_i$, Getis-Ord ${G_i}^*$, and AMOEBA were suggested as ways to detect spatial dusters of age-specific net migration rate. These ESDA techniques were applied to age-specific population migration of Daegu Metropolitan City. Application results demonstrated that suggested ESDA methods can effectively detect new information and patterns such as contribution of age-specific migration propensities to population changes in a given region, relationship among different age groups, hot and cold spot of age-specific net migration rate, and similarity between age-specific spatial clusters.

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The implementation of the Multi-population Genetic Algorithm using Fuzzy Logic Controller

  • Chun, Hyang-Shin;Kwon, Key-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.80-83
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    • 2003
  • A Genetic algorithm is a searching algorithm that based on the law of the survival of the fittest. Multi-population Genetic Algorithms are a modified form of genetic algorithm. Therefore, experience with fuzzy logic and genetic algorithm has proven to be that a combination of them can efficiently make up for their own deficiency. The Multi-population Genetic Algorithms independently evolve subpopulations. In this paper, we suggest a new coding method that independently evolves subpopulations using the fuzzy logic controller. The fuzzy logic controller has applied two fuzzy logic controllers that are implemented to adaptively adjust the crossover rate and mutation rate during the optimization process. The migration scheme in the multi-population genetic algorithms using fuzzy logic controllers is tested for a function optimization problem, and compared with other group migration schemes, therefore the groups migration scheme is then performed. The results demonstrate that the migration scheme in the multi-population genetic algorithms using fuzzy logic controller has a much better performance.

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Migration Decision-Making Process-Synthesis of Macrolevel and Microlevel Perspectives (거주지 이동에 관한 모형의 설정-거시적 접근과 미시적 접근의 결합)

  • 정기원
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.30-42
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    • 1989
  • This study develops a model of migration decision-making process, with identifying macrolevel and microlevel factors affecting the process. The model includes some sequential stages : to be dissatisfied with current residential area, intend to move, collect information about alternative destinations, select destination, decide to move, and make actual migration. The macrolevel factors included in the model are environmental, socioeconomic, cultural, and demographic characteristics of the current residence and alternative destinations. The microlevel factors are psychological, socioeconomic, and demographic characteristics of the individual. The effects of the macrolevel and microlevel factors on each stage of migration decision-making process are identified from the previous studies on migration. This study has both theoretical and practical implications. The theoretical contribution will be in the area of integrating the ecological and the individual level perspectives of migration by identifying the macrolevel and microlevel effects on migration decision-making process. This study also has implications for theoretical frameworks guiding empirical analysis of migration behavior of the individuals, and for policies aimed at redistributing population.

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International Cooperation of Uzbekistan in Labor Migration

  • Abdukhalimovna, Kadirova Zulaykho
    • Asia Pacific Journal of Business Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2020
  • Uzbekistan has been gradually integrating into the world economy since gaining its independence back in 1991. The need to integrate stems from the desire to advance the national economy and social well-being of population through importing advanced technologies or stimulating exports. However, opening up the country also meant exposure to increase in the mobility of its human capital. As a result, Uzbekistan has witnessed labor migration in and out of the country in the past couple of decades, driven by various causes, which is having inevitable social and economic implications for the country. Intensifying processes in contemporary international labor market make migration as a mechanism, which has a back-to-back impact onto and from economic development of a country. From developing countries' perspective, international labor migration is an instrument for reducing tension in national labor markets, decreasing high rates of unemployment and expanding sources of income. From developed countries' perspective, international labor migration helps solve demographic problems like decreasing number of population, aging of population and shortage of labor force. Thus, this processes turned into a mechanism or a system, which is not possible to ignore. Uzbekistan, in particular, is increasing its participation in the international labor market due to its high rates of population growth and young population.

Analysis of The Relationship Between Pattern of Migration and Inequality of Population in Rural Areas - Based on the Eups and Myeons in Chungbuk - (농촌지역 인구이동 유형과 인구 불균형성 간의 연관성 분석 - 충북 읍면지역 중심으로 -)

  • Rui Qu;Sang-Hyun Lee;Zaewoong Rhee;Seung-jong Bae;Sungyun Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the possible relationship between population migration and population inequality in rural areas. This study conducted a case study on the eup·myeon(rural)areas in Chungcheongbuk-do. First, the population migration was divided into four patterns, and the characteristics of population migration in rural areas were analyzed based on the net migration. The analysis results showed that there was serious migration between rural areas, and the population in rural areas mainly moved out to urban areas within the province, but the urban population outside the province moved out to rural areas. The main areas of population inflows included areas such as Deoksan-eup, Jincheon-gun, Osong-eup and Ochang-eup, Cheongju-si. Second, the Theil index was used to quantitatively analyze the level of population inequality between rural areas. The Theil index of the population aged 0~14 increased from 0.38 to 0.53, that of population aged 15-64 increased from 0.22 to 0.30, and that of population aged over 65 increased from 0.07 to 0.09, indicating an increase in population inequality. Finally, due to the continued large-scale inflows of population into Osong-eup and Ochang-eup, the Theil index of total population in Cheongju-si increased from 0.13 in 2009 to 0.23 in 2020, which meant that the level of population inequality had increased. Similarly, due to the continued large population inflows into Deoksan-eup, the Theil index of total population in Jincheon-gun increased from 0.14 in 2009 to 0.18 in 2020, which meant that the level of population inequality had increased. In conclusion, large-scale population inflows into specific areas will lead to an increase in the level of population inequality.

Analysis of Spatial Structures and Central Places of Gwangju and Jeonnam Region using Social Network Analysis (사회네트워크 분석을 이용한 광주 전남지역의 공간 구조 변화 및 중심지 분석)

  • Lee, Jimin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.43-54
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    • 2017
  • When an age of low growth and population decline, population migration plays an important role in spatial structure of region. There have been many researches on migration and regional spatial structure. The purpose of this study is to examine the changes of Gwangju and Jeonnam region's spatial structure and central area using social network analysis methods. For analysis it was used that population and migration data and passenger OD(Origin and Destination) travel data released by Statistics Korea and Korea Transport Database(KTDB). Using Gephi 0.8.2, migration and passenger OD networks were visualized, and this describe network flow and density. The results of the network centrality analysis show that the most populated village is not always network center though population mass is an important factor of central places. The average eigenvector centrality of 2010 migration is the lowest during 2005-2015, and it means few regions have high centralities. When comparing migration and travel networks, travel data is more effective than migration data in determining the central location considering spatial functions.