• Title/Summary/Keyword: Policy index

Search Result 1,464, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

The Connectedness between Categorical Policy Uncertainty Indexes and Volatility Index in Korea, Japan and the US (한국, 일본, 미국의 정책별 불확실성 지수와 변동성지수 간의 연계성)

  • Hangyong Lee; Sea-Gan Oh
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.319-330
    • /
    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the connectedness between categorical economic policy uncertainty (monetary, fiscal, trade and foreign exchange policy uncertainty) indexes and option-implied volatility index in Korea, Japan and the US. Design/methodology/approach - This paper employs the Diebold-Ylmaz (2012) model based on a VAR and generalized forecast error variance decomposition. This paper also conducts regression analyses to investigate whether the volatility indexes are explained by categorical policy uncertainty indexes. Findings - First, we find the total connectedness is stronger in Korea and Japan relative to the US. Second, monetary, fiscal, and foreign exchange policy uncertainty indexes are connected to each other but trade policy uncertainty index is not. Third, the volatility index in Japan and the US is mainly associated with monetary policy uncertainty while the volatility index in Korea is explained by fiscal policy uncertainty index. Research implications or Originality - To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the connectedness among categorical policy uncertainty indexes and the volatility index in Korea, Japan, and the US. The empirical results on the connectedness suggest that transparent policy and communication with the market in one type of policy would reduce the uncertainty in other policies.

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Korean Economy : Focusing on Distribution Industry Stock Market

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Lee, Hyun-Ho;Lee, Chang-Min
    • Journal of Distribution Science
    • /
    • v.15 no.12
    • /
    • pp.41-51
    • /
    • 2017
  • Purpose - This study proposes the impact of the US and Korean economic policy uncertainty on macroeconomy, and its effect on Korea. The economic policy uncertainty index of the US and Korea is used to represent the economic policy uncertainty on Korean economy. Research design, data, and methodology - In this paper, we collect the eight variables to find out the interrelationship among the US and Korean economic policy uncertainty index of the US and macroeconomic indicators during 1990 to 2016, and use Vector Error Correction Model. Result - The distribution industry stock index in Korea is influenced by the economic policy uncertainty index of the US rather than of Korea. All variables are related negatively to the economic policy uncertainty index of the US and Korea from Vector Error Correction Model. This study shows that the economic policy uncertainty index of the US and Korea has the dynamic relationships on the Korean economy. Conclusions - A higher economic policy uncertainty shows a greater economy recession of a country. Finally, the economic policy uncertainty of the Korea has an intensive impact on Korea economy. Particularly, the economic policy uncertainty of the US has a strong impact on distribution industry stock market in Korea.

Analyzing the Customers' Intentions of Purchasing Weather Index Insurance (지수형 날씨보험 가입의향에 대한 분석)

  • Park, Ki-Jun;Hwang, Jin-Tae;Cho, Jae-Rin;Kim, Baek-Jo;Kim, In-Gyum
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.171-180
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study provides the empirical results of the customers' necessity and intentions of purchasing weather index insurance using survey of asking the customers' recognition about weather insurance. In this article, we discovered that not only the customers' past experience of loss but also the extent of damage and the effects that change in weather would have on their firm are positively related to an intention to purchase weather index insurance. In addition, the level of premiums was significantly higher for the highly-intended group of willing to purchase weather index insurance than the comparison group.

The Impact of Asian Economic Policy Uncertainty : Evidence from Korean Housing Market

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.43-51
    • /
    • 2018
  • We study the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of Asian four countries such as Korea, Japan, Hong Kong, and China on housing market returns in Korea. Also, we document the relationship between the EPU index of those four countries and the housing market including macroeconomic indicators in Korea. The EPU index of those four countries has significantly a negative effect on the housing purchase price index, housing lease price index in Korea. The EPU index in Korea and Japan has significantly a negative effect on the CPI. The EPU index in only Japan has significantly a negative effect on the PPI. The EPU index in Hong Kong and Korea has significantly a negative effect but the EPU index in China significantly has a positive effect on the stock price index in construction industry. The EPU index in only Korea has significantly a negative effect the stock price index in banking industry. This study shows the EPU index of the Korea has the negative relationships on the housing market economy rather than other countries by VECM. And this study has an important evidence of the spillover of several macroeconomic indicators in Korea for the EPU index of the Asian four countries.

A Study on the Development of Policy Communication Index between Korean Government and People: Focused on the Comparison of Policy Types (한국 정부-국민 간 정책소통지수개발 연구: 정책유형별 비교를 중심으로)

  • Cha, Hee Won;Kim, Su-Jin
    • (The) Korean Journal of Advertising
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.57-90
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study is aimed at articulating the policy communication concept and developing the policy communication index between the Korean government and the public. Theoretically guided by dialogic communication theory, two step research was employed. In the first stage, the elements of policy communication were derived through literature review and in-depth interviews. In the second stage, online survey was conducted for the general public and reliability and validity were secured through confirmatory factor analysis and structural equation model analysis. The finalized policy communication index has two dimensions of mutuality and openness. The mutuality has six sub dimensions and the openness has three sub dimensions. The level of mutuality and openness of the policy communication index differed according to the policy type. In the cultural policy, which represents the traits of distribution policy, the degree of mutuality was strong, but the degree of openness was important in communication of education policy, which represents the traits of redistribution policy. This study is meaningful as an empirical study that verifies and suggests the influence of the policy communication index in the context of the policy communication and practical applicability to strategic public relations by understanding the dimensions of policy communication.

Macro-Economic Factors Affecting the Vietnam Stock Price Index: An Application of the ARDL Model

  • DAO, Hoang Tuan;VU, Le Hang;PHAM, Thanh Lam;NGUYEN, Kim Trang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.9 no.5
    • /
    • pp.285-294
    • /
    • 2022
  • Using the ARDL approach, this study examined the impact of macro factors on Vietnam's stock market in the short and long run from 2010 to 2021. The State Bank of Vietnam and the International Monetary Fund provided time series data for this study. Research results show that in the long run, money supply and exchange rate respectively affect the stock market. The money supply had a positive effect on the VN-Index, while the exchange rate showed the opposite effect. However, the study did not find a relationship between world oil price and interest rates on VN-Index in the long run. On the other hand, in the short term, there are relationships between variables; specifically, interest rates and exchange rates have a negative impact on the VN-Index, while the world oil price and the fluctuation of money supply M2 of the previous one and two months showed an impact in the same direction on this index. The differences in the regression results on the impact of exchange rate and oil price on the VN-Index compared to previous studies come from the characteristics of Vietnam's stock market, with the large capitalization of companies in the oil and gas sector, and the structure of Vietnam's economy with export heavily depends on FDI sector.

Effects of Real Estate Policy on Apartment Price Index in Seoul (부동산 정책에 따른 서울시 아파트 가격지수 변화방향에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Song-Hee;Lee, Hyun-Jeong
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
    • /
    • 2011.04a
    • /
    • pp.285-289
    • /
    • 2011
  • he purpose of this study is to assess the effects of real estate policy on apartment price index in Seoul. To meet the research goal, this research reviewed real estate policy of the government from January of 1986 to August of 2010, and then it collected monthly apartment price index in 25 local districts of Seoul from January of 2003 to August of 2010. After 25 districts were grouped into 2 areas (14 districts in Gangnam and 11 districts in Gangbuk), the data of two areas were analyzed by using the SAS program, Cluster analysis with Ward method showed 3 clusters on each area, and with 6 clusters in total, the effects of real estate policy in the period were examined by using residual analysis. The analysis indicated two major shocks (one was from May to October of 2003, and the other was from March of 2006 to January of 2007), and the results showed that the intervention of government in the market had the asymmetric effects in bullish and bearish times. It implies that the market volatility is substantially influenced by irrational sentiments. Thus, it's suggested to devise the consumer sentiment index suitable in real estate market.

  • PDF

Comparison of OECD Nations through a Comprehensive Evaluation Index for Low-Carbon Green Growth

  • Yoo, Eui Sun;Park, Sung Hyun;Lee, Min Hyung
    • STI Policy Review
    • /
    • v.1 no.2
    • /
    • pp.51-68
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper compares OECD nations by developing a comprehensive evaluation index that examines the efforts and achievements of countries toward Low-Carbon Green Growth. The input-process-output of a Low-Carbon Society system is in dynamic competition with that of a High-Carbon Society system. The model used in this study of the comprehensive evaluation index for Low-Carbon Green Growth was comprised of Large indices such as Input, Process, and Output. The Input and Output consisted of 'Social-economic' and 'Physical-ecological' Middle indices while the Process was made up of 'Stimulation mechanisms' and 'Participation of stakeholders and Knowledge flow' Middle indices. In order to calculate the comprehensive evaluation index, our model gave a weight to each indicator/index and applied a weighted arithmetic mean. Korea ranked $15^{th}$ out of 30 OECD nations in the comprehensive evaluation that analyzed Input ($14^{th}$), Process ($18^{th}$), and Output ($17^{th}$). The top five nations were Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark, Germany, and France; while Japan was $8^{th}$ and the USA $26^{th}$.

A Study about the Real Estate' Policy Impact on house prices (Focusing on the time series analysis and regression) (부동산정책이 주택가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (시계열분석과 회귀분석 중심으로))

  • Ko, Pill-Song;Park, Chang-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.205-213
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study was to analyze the past regime's real estate policy and the time-series data on real estate price index from 1986 to 2009 in 24 years. Also, the real estate index and macroeconomic variables, the impact on house price index variable conducted to regression analysis and to analyze whether and how much is affected. Analyzed as follows: First, Korea's real estate policy was the post-policy and the past regime's real estate policy was inconsistent with each other. Second, in the normal phase whenever real estate issues, the measures of the strengthening regulation and of the economic recovery were only to repeat periodically. Third, the timing and means of policy enforcement was an inappropriate and Real estate market was getting worse at the time whenever a real estate policies performed. Fourth, The apartments prices index of the housing types rose the highest and were the most popular for 24 years. Increase or decrease the amount of the price index for apartments, Roh Tae-woo(65.0%) - Kim Dae-jung (42.5%) - Roh Moo-hyun (32.8%) were in order. Fifth, the results of the regression analysis carried out: The impact on housing prices among independent variables were followed by Cap Construction- one per capita income - Housing consumer price index - Accompanying Composite Index - Trailing Composite Index - Home subscription Subscriber account - Leading Composite Index.