• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.25 no.7
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• pp.851-857
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• 2019

This study is about ship horsepower prediction of machine learning method using the big data of ship. Currently, new ships use the ISO15016 method to predict external environmental resistance through mathematical equations but due to complicated equations and requires many input variables so it is less applicable to be used in ship. In this recent research, we propose a model capable of predicting ship performance with high performance using SVM (Support Vector Machine) algorithm which shows excellent performance in recent prediction and recognition. The proposed predictive model has the advantage of being able to predict better performance than ISO15016 only if secured big data is used. In this study, we compared the ISO15016 technique and the SVM algorithm-based horsepower analysis method using the 178K bulk carrier's voyage data to reduce ship model data preparation, which is a disadvantage of ISO15016, and improve inaccurate horsepower prediction performance.

• Quality Improvement in Health Care
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.164-175
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• 2003

Objectives: To evaluate the performance of models to predict AMI patients death using severity adjustment measures in Korea. Methods: Medical records of 861 patients treated by AMI in 7 general hospitals during 1996 and 1997 were reviewed by trained nurses. We measured the severity of patients by APACHE III, MedisGroups, CSI and DS. Using each severity method a predictive mortality for each patient was calculated from a logistic regression model including the severity score. The statistical performance of each severity method model was evaluated by using c-statistics and R2. For each hospital, z scores compared actual and expected mortality rates. Results: The overall in-hospital mortality was 14.5%, ranged from 10.0% to 22.2%. The distributions of severity scores for each method was significantly different by hospitals. The four severity-adjusted models to predict AMI patients death varied in their statistical performance for discrimination power of patients death. Order of Severity-adjusted mortality rates and z scores by four severity measures was different. Conclusion: Severity-adjusted mortality rates of AMI patients might be applied as an indicator for hospital performance evaluation in Korea. Because different severity methods frequently produce different impressions about relative hospital performance, more studies has to be done to use it as quality indicator and more attention should be paid to select appropriate severity measures.

• 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2000.12a
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• pp.345-350
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• 2000

The heat produced by the fission in the fuel of HANARO, 30 MW research reactor, is transferred from the primary cooling water to the secondary cooling water through heat exchangers, and the heat absorbed by the secondary cooling water is released into the atmosphere by the 33 MW cooling tower which is a mechanical induced draft and counter flow type. If the outlet temperature of cooling tower exceeds 33 of due to the loss of the cooling tower performance under reactor operation above $50\%$ of the full power, the reactor power should be reduced to half of the full power for safe operation. Therefore, the cooling capability of cooling tower should be maintained for the reactor to be normally operated. To predict the capability of cooling tower for full power reactor operation of 30 MW, the performance test of cooling tower was done at the reactor present power of 24 MW and the capability was respectively evaluated by characteristics and performance curves methods in accordance with the Code of Cooling Tower Institute of U.S.A. to confirm the reliability of evaluation. As a result, it was confirmed, through the results of each evaluation, that the cooling capability of cooling tower meets the design required heat load. Also, the equations of the performance and the characteristics curves of the cooling tower, based on the collected data during this performance test, was obtained for developing the calculation program to predict the cooling capability during reactor operation.

• Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.59-64
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• 2012

The correlation between hydrologic performance design parameters of small hydro power(SHP) sites and rainfall condition have been analyzed for major river systems. The model, which can predict flow duration characteristic of stream, was developed to estimate the inflow caused from rainfall. And another model to predict hydrologic performance for SHP plants is established. Based on the models developed in this study, the hydrologic performance characteristics for SHP sites have been analyzed. The results show that the hydrologic performance characteristics of SHP sites have some difference between the river systems. Especially, the specific design flowrate and specific output of SHP sites located on North Han river and Nakdong river systems have large difference compared with other river systems. It was found that the hydrologic performance design parameters such as specific design flowrate and specific output were affected by rainfall condition in basin area of SHP sites.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.60 no.2
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• pp.267-276
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• 2022

Modelling the energy release performance of energetic material combustion in closed systems is of fundamental importance for aerospace and defense application. In particular, to compensate for the disadvantage of the combustion of single energetic material and maximize the benefits, a method of combusting the mixed energetic materials is used. However, since complicated heat transfer occurs when the energetic material is combusted, it is difficult to theoretically predict the combustion performance. Here, we suggest a theoretical model to estimate the energy release performance of mixed energetic material based on the model for the combustion performance of single energetic material. To confirm the effect of parameters on the model, and to gain insights into the combustion characteristics of the energetic material, we studied parameter analysis on the reaction temperature and the characteristic time scales of energy generation and loss. To validate the model, model predictions for mixed energetic materials are compared to experimental results depending on the amount and type of energetic material. The comparison showed little difference in maximum pressure and the reliability of the model was validated. Finally, we hope that the suggested model can predict the energy release performance of single or mixed energetic material for various types of materials, as well as the energetic materials used for validation.

• Tribology and Lubricants
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• v.39 no.3
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• pp.102-110
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• 2023

This study aims to quantify the variation in the performance of a tilting pad journal bearing (TPJB) owing to the elastic deformation of its pad. To this end, we first defined a parameter, "elastic preload", and predicted the changes in the performance of the TPJB, as a function of the preload amount. We used the iso-viscosity Reynolds equation, which ignores the temperature rise due to viscous shear in thin films, and the resultant thermal deformation of the bearing structure. We employed a three-dimensional finite element model to predict the elastic deformation of the bearing pad, and a transient analysis, to converge to a static equilibrium condition of the flexible pads and journal. Conducting a modal coordinate transformation helped us avoid heavy computational issues arising from a mesh refinement in the three-dimensional finite element pad model. Moreover, we adopted the Hertzian contact model to predict the elastic deformation at the pivot location. With the aforementioned overall strategy, we predicted the performance changes owing to the elastic deformation of the pad under varying load conditions. From the results, we observed an increase in the preload due to the pad elastic deformation.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2001.06a
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• pp.105-108
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• 2001

In this paper, we suggest more precise performance analysis method of turbo interleavers based on two criteria; performance bounds like Union Bound and weight frequency of codewords. In order to present our new method, we employ block, pseudo random, and so-called prime interleavers in compliance of 3GPP standard, respectively. 3GPP complied turbo encoder, decoder, and AWGN channel are implemented by using MATLAB for our performance analysis. According to our analysis, both criteria should be taken into account coincidently to predict the performance of newly designed interleavers.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.103-110
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• 2018

This study introduces the supervised committee fuzzy model as a hybrid fuzzy model to predict compressive strength (CS) of geopolymers prepared from alumina-silica products. For this purpose, more than 50 experimental data that evaluated the effect of $Al_2O_3/SiO_2$, $Na_2O/Al_2O_3$, $Na_2O/H_2O$ and Na/[Na+K] on (CS) of geopolymers were collected from the literature. Then, three different Fuzzy Logic (FL) models (Sugeno fuzzy logic (SFL), Mamdani fuzzy logic (MFL), and Larsen fuzzy logic (LFL)) were adopted to overcome the inherent uncertainty of geochemical parameters and to predict CS. After validating the model, it was found that the SFL model is superior to MFL and LFL models, but each of the FL models has advantages to predict CS. Therefore, to achieve the optimal performance, the supervised committee fuzzy logic (SCFL) model was developed as a hybrid method to combine the benefits of individual FL models. The SCFL employs an artificial neural network (ANN) model to re-predict the CS of three FL model predictions. The results also show significant fitting improvement in comparison with individual FL models.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.6 no.9
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• pp.437-444
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• 2017

Although many studies tried to predict movie revenues in the last decade, the main focus is still to learn an efficient forecast model to fit the box-office revenues. However, the previous works lack the analysis about why the prediction errors occur, and no method is proposed to reduce the errors. In this paper, we consider the prediction error comes from the competition between the movies that are released in the same period. Our purpose is to analyze the competition value for a movie and to predict how much it will be affected by other competitors so as to improve the performance of movie box-office prediction. In order to predict the competition value, firstly, we classify its sign (positive/negative) and compute the probability of positive sign and the probability of negative sign. Secondly, we forecast the competition value by regression under the condition that its sign is positive and negative respectively. And finally, we calculate the expectation of competition value based on the probabilities and values. With the predicted competition, we can adjust the primal predicted box-office. Our experimental results show that predictive competition can help improve the performance of the forecast.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.393-398
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• 2010

The variation of inflow at stream and hydrologic performance for small scale hydro power (SSHP) plants due to variation of inflow have been studied. The model, which can predict flow duration characteristic of stream, was developed to analyze the variation of inflow caused from rainfall condition. And another model to predict hydrologic performance for SSHP plants is established. Monthly inflow data measured at Andong dam for 32 years were analyzed. The existing SSHP plant located in upstream of Andong dam was selected and analyzed hydrologic performance characteristics. The predicted results from the developed models in this study show that the data were in good agreement with measured results of long term inflow at Andong dam and the existing SSHP plant. Inflow and ideal hydro power potential had increased greatly in recent years, however, these did not lead annual energy production increment of existing SSHP plant. As a results, it was found that the models developed in this study can be used to predict the primary design specifications and inflow of SSHP plants effectively.