• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.27 no.2
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• pp.179-186
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• 2017

Technology forecasting is predict future trend and state of technology by analyzing the results so far of developing technology. In general, a patent has novel information about the result of developed technology, because the exclusive right of technology included in patent is protected for a time period by patent law. So many studies on the technology forecasting using patent data analysis has been performed. The patent keyword data widely used in patent analysis consist of occurred frequency of the keyword. In most previous researches, the continuous data analyses such as regression or Box-Jenkins Models were applied to the patent keyword data. But, we have to apply the analytical methods of discrete data for patent keyword analysis because the keyword data is discrete. To solve this problem, we propose a patent analysis methodology using Bayesian Poisson discrete model. To verify the performance of our research, we carry out a case study by analyzing the patent documents applied by Apple until now.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.227-240
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• 2011

New concepts and ideas often result from extensive recombination of existing concepts or ideas. Both researchers and developers build on existing concepts and ideas in published papers or registered patents to develop new theories and technologies that in turn serve as a basis for further development. As the importance of patent increases, so does that of patent analysis. Patent analysis is largely divided into network-based and keyword-based analyses. The former lacks its ability to analyze information technology in details while the letter is unable to identify the relationship between such technologies. In order to overcome the limitations of network-based and keyword-based analyses, this study, which blends those two methods, suggests the keyword network based analysis methodology. In this study, we collected significant technology information in each patent that is related to Light Emitting Diode (LED) through text mining, built a keyword network, and then executed a community network analysis on the collected data. The results of analysis are as the following. First, the patent keyword network indicated very low density and exceptionally high clustering coefficient. Technically, density is obtained by dividing the number of ties in a network by the number of all possible ties. The value ranges between 0 and 1, with higher values indicating denser networks and lower values indicating sparser networks. In real-world networks, the density varies depending on the size of a network; increasing the size of a network generally leads to a decrease in the density. The clustering coefficient is a network-level measure that illustrates the tendency of nodes to cluster in densely interconnected modules. This measure is to show the small-world property in which a network can be highly clustered even though it has a small average distance between nodes in spite of the large number of nodes. Therefore, high density in patent keyword network means that nodes in the patent keyword network are connected sporadically, and high clustering coefficient shows that nodes in the network are closely connected one another. Second, the cumulative degree distribution of the patent keyword network, as any other knowledge network like citation network or collaboration network, followed a clear power-law distribution. A well-known mechanism of this pattern is the preferential attachment mechanism, whereby a node with more links is likely to attain further new links in the evolution of the corresponding network. Unlike general normal distributions, the power-law distribution does not have a representative scale. This means that one cannot pick a representative or an average because there is always a considerable probability of finding much larger values. Networks with power-law distributions are therefore often referred to as scale-free networks. The presence of heavy-tailed scale-free distribution represents the fundamental signature of an emergent collective behavior of the actors who contribute to forming the network. In our context, the more frequently a patent keyword is used, the more often it is selected by researchers and is associated with other keywords or concepts to constitute and convey new patents or technologies. The evidence of power-law distribution implies that the preferential attachment mechanism suggests the origin of heavy-tailed distributions in a wide range of growing patent keyword network. Third, we found that among keywords that flew into a particular field, the vast majority of keywords with new links join existing keywords in the associated community in forming the concept of a new patent. This finding resulted in the same outcomes for both the short-term period (4-year) and long-term period (10-year) analyses. Furthermore, using the keyword combination information that was derived from the methodology suggested by our study enables one to forecast which concepts combine to form a new patent dimension and refer to those concepts when developing a new patent.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.4
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• pp.719-728
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• 2016

In this paper, we analyzed IoT patent data using the social network analysis of keyword community network in patents related to Internet of Things technology. To identify the difference of IoT patent trends between Korea and USA, 100 Korea patents and 100 USA patents were collected, respectively. First, we first extracted important keywords from IoT patent abstracts using the TF-IDF weight and their correlation and then constructed the keyword network based on the selected keywords. Second, we constructed a keyword community network based on the keyword community and performed social network analysis. Our experimental results showed while Korea patents focus on the core technologies of IoT (such as security, semiconductors and image process areas), USA patents focus on the applications of IoT (such as the smart home, interactive media and telecommunications).

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.179-187
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• 2020

In a social environment where population aging is rapidly progressing, the healthcare service market is growing fast with the increasing interest in health and quality of life based on rising income levels and the evolution of technology. In this study, after keywords were extracted from Korean and US patent data published on KIPRIS from 2000 to October 2019, frequency analysis, time series analysis, and keyword network analysis were performed. Through this, the change of technology trends were identified, which keywords related to healthcare was shifted from traditional medical words to ICT words. In addition, although the keywords in Korean patents are 55% similar to those in the US, they show an absolute gap in patent production volume. In the next study, we will analyze various data such as domestic and international research and can obtain meaningful implications in the global market on the identified keywords.

• Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.139-149
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• 2013

As the importance of technology forecasting while countries and companies manage the R&D project is growing bigger, the methodology of technology forecasting has been diversified. One of the forecasting method is patent analysis. This research proposes quick forecasting process of emerging technology based on keyword approach using text mining. The forecasting process is following: First, the term-document matrix is extracted from patent documents by using text mining. Second, emerging technology keyword are extracted by analyzing the importance of word from utilizing mean values and standard deviation values of the term and the emerging trend of word discovered from time series information of the term. Next, association between terms is measured by using cosine similarity. finally, the keyword of emerging technology is selected in consequence of the synthesized result and we forecast the emerging technology according to the results. The technology forecasting process described in this paper can be applied to developing computerized technology forecasting system integrated with various results of other patent analysis for decision maker of company and country.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.27 no.8
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• pp.143-149
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• 2022

Since patent documents contain detailed results of research and development technologies, many studies on various patent analysis methods for effective technology analysis have been conducted. In particular, research on quantitative patent analysis by statistics and machine learning algorithms has been actively conducted recently. The most used patent data in quantitative patent analysis is technology keywords. Most of the existing methods for analyzing the keyword data were models based on the Gaussian probability distribution with random variable on real space from negative infinity to positive infinity. In this paper, we propose a model using gamma probability distribution to analyze the frequency data of patent keywords that can theoretically have values from zero to positive infinity. In addition, in order to determine the regression equation of the gamma-based regression model, two-mode network is constructed to visualize the technological association between keywords. Practical patent data is collected and analyzed for performance evaluation between the proposed method and the existing Gaussian-based analysis models.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.860-885
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• 2005

This study relates to develop a quantitative method through which promising technology-based business items can be discovered and selected. For this study, we utilized patent trend analysis, technology-industry concordance analysis, and keyword co-occurrence analysis of US patents. By analyzing patent trends and technology-industry concordance, we were able to find out the emerging industry trends : prevalence of bio industry, service industry, and B2C business. From the direct and co-occurrence analysis of newly discovered patent keywords in the year, 2000, 28 promising business item candidates were extracted. Finally, the promising item candidates were prioritized using 4 business attractiveness determinants; market size, product life cycle, degree of the technological innovation, and coincidence with the industry trends. This result implicates that reliable discovery and selection of promising technology-based business items can be performed by a quantitative, objective and low- cost process using knowledge discovery method from patent database instead of peer review.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.1273-1284
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• 2016

In this paper, we analyzed the patents on machine learning using keyword network analysis and clique analysis. To construct a keyword network, important keywords were extracted based on the TF-IDF weight and their association, and network structure analysis and clique analysis was performed. Density and clustering coefficient of the patent keyword network are low, which shows that patent keywords on machine learning are weakly connected with each other. It is because the important patents on machine learning are mainly registered in the application system of machine learning rather thant machine learning techniques. Also, our results of clique analysis showed that the keywords found by cliques in 2005 patents are the subjects such as newsmaker verification, product forecasting, virus detection, biomarkers, and workflow management, while those in 2015 patents contain the subjects such as digital imaging, payment card, calling system, mammogram system, price prediction, etc. The clique analysis can be used not only for identifying specialized subjects, but also for search keywords in patent search systems.

• Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.251-257
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• 2018

As the use of big data is necessary for increasing business value, the size of the big data market is getting bigger. Accordingly, it is important to apply competitive patents in order to gain the big data market. In this study, we conducted the patent analysis based keyword network to analyze the trend of big data patents. The analysis procedure consists of big data collection and preprocessing, network construction, and network analysis. The results of the study are as follows. Most of big data patents are related to data processing and analysis, and the keywords with high degree centrality and between centrality are "analysis", "process", "information", "data", "prediction", "server", "service", and "construction". we expect that the results of this study will offer useful information in applying big data patent.

• Journal of Information Technology and Architecture
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• v.9 no.3
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• pp.323-331
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• 2012

With the advancement of the area of knowledge and information, Intellectual Property, especially, patents have captured attention more and more emergent. The increasing need for efficient way of patent information search has been essential, but the prevailing patent search engines have included too many noises for the results due to the Boolean models. This has occasioned too much time for the professional experts to investigate the results manually. In this paper, we reveal the differences between the conventional document search and patent search and analyze the limitations of existing patent search. Furthermore, we propose a specialized in patent search, so that the relationship between the keywords within each document and their significance within each patent document search keyword can be identified. Which in turn, the keywords and the relationships have been appointed a ranking for this patent in the upper ranks and the noise in the data sub-ranked. Therefore this approach is proposed to significantly reduce noise ratio of the data from the search results. Finally, in, we demonstrate the superiority of the proposed methodology by comparing the Kipris dataset.