• 대한수의학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.259-263
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• 2007

The choice of input distribution in quantitative risk assessments modeling is of great importance to get unbiased overall estimates, although it is difficult to characterize them in situations where data available are too sparse or small. The present study is particularly concerned with accommodation of uncertainties commonly encountered in the practice of modeling. The authors applied parametric and non-parametric bootstrap simulation methods which consist of re-sampling with replacement, in together with the classical Student-t statistics based on the normal distribution. The implications of these methods were demonstrated through an empirical analysis of trade volume from the amount of chicken and pork meat imported to Korea during the period of 1998-2005. The results of bootstrap method were comparable to the classical techniques, indicating that bootstrap can be an alternative approach in a specific context of trade volume. We also illustrated on what extent the bias corrected and accelerated non-parametric bootstrap method produces different estimate of interest, as compared by non-parametric bootstrap method.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.75-80
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• 1994

Parametric estimators of two parameter exponential distribution in the presence of unidentified outliers are proposed, and the means and variances of the estimators are obtained as the exact forms.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제31권6호
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• pp.677-692
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• 2018

최근 2017년 우리나라 합계출산율은 1.05명로 2005년 1.08명 수준으로 회귀하는 현상을 보이고 있다. 1.05명은 인구대체선(2.1명), 안전선(1.5명)과도 거리가 먼 초저출산 수준이고 마치 초저출산 덫에 빠질 우려가 있다. 이에 합계출산율의 합리적인 예측과 이를 통한 출산정책에 유용한 자료를 제공하는 것은 그 어느 때 보다도 중요하다. 그 동안 다양한 통계적 방법으로 합계출산율 추이를 예측하였는데, 데이터 완비성이 높고 품질이 좋은 경우 모형 접근인 모수적 방법, 데이터 추이가 단절되거나 변동이 심한 경우 평활과 가중치를 적용한 비모수적 방법, 데이터 부족과 품질 등으로 선진국의 출산율 3단계 전이현상을 참고하여 이들의 사전분포를 활용하는 베이지안 방법 등이 적용되어 왔다. 본 연구는 최근 변동이 심한 우리나라 출산율에 모수, 비모수, 그리고 베이지안 방법을 적용하여 추정과 예측을 실시하고 도출된 결과 비교를 통해 적합성과 타당성 측면에서 어떤 방법이 합리적인지 모색하고자 한다. 분석결과 합계출산율 예측값 순위는 통계청 합계출산율이 가장 높고, 베이지안, 모수, 비모수 순으로 나타났다. 2017년 TFR 1.05명 수준을 감안할 때 모수, 비모수모형으로 도출된 합계출산율 예측값이 합리적이다. 또한 출산율 자료완비성이 높고 품질이 우수할 경우 계산 효율성과 적합도 관점에서 모수적 추정과 예측 접근 방법이 타 방법보다 우수한 것으로 도출되었다.

• International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.84-92
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• 2008

Free-form shapes which were once considered as an aesthetic feature are now an important functional requirement. CNC industries are looking for a compact solution for reproducing free-form shapes as conventional interpolation models are inadequate, The parametric curve interpolator developed in the last decade has clearly emerged as favorite among its contemporaries in recent years, At present intense research has been done on parametric curve interpolators and interesting developments are reported. Out of the various parametric representations for curves and surfaces, NURBS has been standardized and widely used in free-form shape design. This paper presents a review of various methods of parametric interpolation for NURBS and discusses the salient features, problems and solutions. Recent approaches on variable feedrate interpolation, parameter compensation are also reviewed and research trends are addressed finally.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제16권18호
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• pp.8567-8571
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• 2016

Background: The Cox model is known as one of the most frequently-used methods for analyzing survival data. However, in some situations parametric methods may provide better estimates. In this study, a Weibull parametric model was employed to assess possible prognostic factors that may affect the survival of patients with breast cancer. Materials and Methods: We studied 438 patients with breast cancer who visited and were treated at the Cancer Research Center in Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences during 1992 to 2012; the patients were followed up until October 2014. Patients or family members were contacted via telephone calls to confirm whether they were still alive. Clinical, pathological, and biological variables as potential prognostic factors were entered in univariate and multivariate analyses. The log-rank test and the Weibull parametric model with a forward approach, respectively, were used for univariate and multivariate analyses. All analyses were performed using STATA version 11. A P-value lower than 0.05 was defined as significant. Results: On univariate analysis, age at diagnosis, level of education, type of surgery, lymph node status, tumor size, stage, histologic grade, estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and lymphovascular invasion had a statistically significant effect on survival time. On multivariate analysis, lymph node status, stage, histologic grade, and lymphovascular invasion were statistically significant. The one-year overall survival rate was 98%. Conclusions: Based on these data and using Weibull parametric model with a forward approach, we found out that patients with lymphovascular invasion were at 2.13 times greater risk of death due to breast cancer.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.176-181
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• 2011

A role of cost modeler is that of facilitating design process by the systematic application of cost factors so as to maintain sensible and economic relationships between cost, quantity, utility and appearance. These relationships help to achieve the client's requirements within an agreed budget. The purpose of this study is to develop a parametric cost estimating model for the early design stage by using the multi-dimensional system of OLAP (On-line Analytical Processing) based on the case of quantity data related to architectural design features. The parametric cost estimating models have been adopted to support decision making in the early design stage. These models typically use a similar instance or a pattern of historical case. In order to effectively use this type of data model, it is required to set data classification and prediction methods. One of the methods is to find the similar class in line with attribute selection measure in the multi-dimensional data model. Therefore, this research is to analyze the relevance attribute influenced by architectural design features with the subject of case-based quantity data used for the parametric cost estimating model. The relevance attributes can be analyzed by Analytical Characterization. It helps determine what attributes to be included in the OLAP multi-dimension.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제29권6호
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• pp.641-653
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• 2022

Penalized least squares methods are important tools to simultaneously select variables and estimate parameters in linear regression. The penalized maximum likelihood can also be used for the same purpose assuming that the error distribution falls in a certain parametric family of distributions. However, the use of a certain parametric family can suffer a misspecification problem which undermines the estimation accuracy. To give sufficient flexibility to the error distribution, we propose to use the symmetric log-concave error distribution with LASSO penalty. A feasible algorithm to estimate both nonparametric and parametric components in the proposed model is provided. Some numerical studies are also presented showing that the proposed method produces more efficient estimators than some existing methods with similar variable selection performance.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.1243-1251
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• 2010

임상시험을 시행하는 경우 위약을 신약과 비교하는 경우가 대다수이다. 기존에 독립인 두 모 집단의 표본수를 계산하는 방법으로 모수적 방법에서는 t검정을 이용하였고, 비모수적 방법에서는 Wilcoxon 순위합검정 (Wilcoxon, 1945)을 이용하였다. 본 논문에서는 Orban과 Wolfe (1982)가 제안한 선형위치통계량의 검정법과, Kim (1994)이 선형위치통계량에 기초하여 계산한 검정력의 결과를 이용하여 표본수 구하는 방법을 제안한다. 또한 앞서 제안한 방법의 표본수를 기존의 Wilcoxon 순위합검정을 이용하여 Wang 등 (2003)이 제안한 공식을 이용한 표본수, 그리고 모수적 방법을 이용한 t검정의 표본수와 비교하였다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제56권8호
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• pp.3097-3111
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• 2024

Since the level 2 PSA of OPR-1000 was the requirement for regulatory purposes, Cs-137 release estimation was contained as the Nuclear Safety Act of ROK in which the Cs-137 release frequency exceeding 100 TBq was determined to happen less than 1.0E-6 per year after the Fukushima Daiichi Accident. However, Cs-137 release estimation from the conventional level 2 PSA of OPR-1000 provided uncertainty due to dominant accident sequence consideration. Thus, this study aimed to develop systematic methods through the overall framework to quantify realistic uncertainty concerns of radioactive material release using sensitivity and uncertainty analysis methods and apply them to OPR-1000. This framework helped to quantify confidential value for the Cs-137 release under the BEPU approach using both parametric and non-parametric methods to cover both realistic and conservative points. Uncertainty propagation analysis showed the unexpected uncertainty increase of Cs-137 release exceeding 100 TBq. The non-parametric uncertainty analysis provided higher conservative concerns for safety than the realistic concerns in terms of economics when compared with the parametric uncertainty analysis. Wilks' uncertainty analysis showed the importance to consider conservative Cs-137 release in order to reach the higher safety need. Sensitivity analysis showed reasonable relationships between engineering safety parameters with the Cs-137 release.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제49권2호
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• pp.182-188
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• 2012

The hull form design technique for high speed power boat based on the parametric design method is presented in this paper. While the design methods of conventional vessels that are currently in use have been well developed in various aspects from existing database. However, an easy and simple design program for high speed power boats needs to be provided for the relatively small boat builders who are in lack of experience and skilled manpower. This paper presents a parametric design technique which is aimed to provide an easier creation of a new model by inputting several parameters, such as angles and lengths, which correlate with hydrodynamics characteristic for high speed boats. The paper also introduces the prototype program developed to design power boat with parametric design technique.