• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2009.05a
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• pp.417-424
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• 2009

For a construction project to progress smoothly, effective cost estimation is vital, particularly in the conceptual and schematic design stages. In these early phases, despite the fact that initial estimates are highly sensitive to changes in project scope, owners require accurate forecasts which reflect their supplying information. Thus, cost estimators need effective estimation strategies. Practically, parametric cost estimates are the most commonly used method in these initial phases, which utilizes historical cost data (Karshenas 1984, Kirkham 2007). Hence, compilation of historical data regarding appropriate cost variance governing parameters is a prime requirement. However, precedent practice of data mining (data preprocessing) for denoising internal errors or abnormal values is needed before compilation. As an effort to deal with this issue, this research proposed a statistical methodology for data preprocessing and verified that data preprocessing has a positive impact on the enhancement of estimate accuracy and stability. Moreover, Statistically Preprocessed data Based Parametric (SPBP) cost models are developed based on multiple regression equations and verified their effectiveness compared with conventional cost models.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.641-653
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• 2022

Penalized least squares methods are important tools to simultaneously select variables and estimate parameters in linear regression. The penalized maximum likelihood can also be used for the same purpose assuming that the error distribution falls in a certain parametric family of distributions. However, the use of a certain parametric family can suffer a misspecification problem which undermines the estimation accuracy. To give sufficient flexibility to the error distribution, we propose to use the symmetric log-concave error distribution with LASSO penalty. A feasible algorithm to estimate both nonparametric and parametric components in the proposed model is provided. Some numerical studies are also presented showing that the proposed method produces more efficient estimators than some existing methods with similar variable selection performance.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.51 no.2
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• pp.219-233
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• 2016

In social science fields, statistical models are used almost exclusively for causal explanation, and explanatory modeling has been a mainstream until now. In contrast, predictive modeling has been rare in the fields. Hence, we focus on constructing the predictive non-parametric model, instead of the explanatory model. Gangnam-gu, Seoul was chosen as a study area and we collected single-family house sales data sold between 2011 and 2014. We applied non-parametric models proposed in machine learning area including generalized additive model(GAM), random forest, multivariate adaptive regression splines(MARS) and support vector machines(SVM). Models developed recently such as MARS and SVM were found to be superior in predictive power for house price estimation. Finally, spatial autocorrelation was accounted for in the non-parametric models additionally, and the result showed that their predictive power was enhanced further. We hope that this study will prompt methodology for property price estimation to be extended from traditional parametric models into non-parametric ones.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.519-526
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• 2019

Response dimension reduction in a sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) context has been widely ignored until Yoo and Cook (Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 53, 334-343, 2008) founded theories for it and developed an estimation approach. Recent research in SDR shows that a semi-parametric approach can outperform conventional non-parametric SDR methods. Yoo (Statistics: A Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics, 52, 409-425, 2018) developed a semi-parametric approach for response reduction in Yoo and Cook (2008) context, and Yoo (Journal of the Korean Statistical Society, 2019) completes the semi-parametric approach by proposing an unstructured method. This paper theoretically discusses and provides insightful remarks on three versions of semi-parametric approaches that can be useful for statistical practitioners. It is also possible to avoid numerical instability by presenting the results for an orthogonal transformation of the response variables.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.29 no.5
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• pp.615-627
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• 2022

Principal Fitted Component (PFC) is a semi-parametric sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) method, which is originally proposed in Cook (2007). According to Cook (2007), the PFC has a connection with other usual non-parametric SDR methods. The connection is limited to sliced inverse regression (Li, 1991) and ordinary least squares. Since there is no direct comparison between the two approaches in various forward regressions up to date, a practical guidance between the two approaches is necessary for usual statistical practitioners. To fill this practical necessity, in this paper, we newly derive a connection of the PFC to covariance methods (Yin and Cook, 2002), which is one of the most popular SDR methods. Also, intensive numerical studies have done closely to examine and compare the estimation performances of the semi- and non-parametric SDR methods for various forward regressions. The founding from the numerical studies are confirmed in a real data example.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.14 no.7
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• pp.1-8
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• 2009

In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. The optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement is generally accepted. The Bayesian parametric inference of model using log Poisson execution time employ tool of Markov chain(Gibbs sampling and Metropolis algorithm). In a numerical example by T1 data was illustrated. make out estimating software optimal release time from the maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian parametric estimation.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.81-87
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• 2000

One of the most important quantities in reliability theory is the expected number of renewals of a system during a given interval. This quantity, the renewal function, is used to determine the optimal preventive maintenance policy and to estimate the cost of a warranty. In this paper we study a parametric approach for a renewal function. The simulation study is presented to compare the relative performance of the introduced estimators of a renewal function. And we show that the proposed parametric estimator performs well.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.155-162
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• 1999

This paper is concerned with the empirical Bayes estimation of one of the two shape parameters(${\theta}$) in the Burr(${\beta},\;{\theta}$) type XII failure model based on type-II censored data. We obtain the bootstrap empirical Bayes confidence intervals of ${\theta}$ by the parametric bootstrap introduced by Laird and Louis(1987). The comparisons among the bootstrap and the naive empirical Bayes confidence intervals through Monte Carlo study are also presented.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.301-314
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• 2002

For autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models, robust unit root tests are developed using M-estimators. The tests are parametric in the sense ARMA parameters are estimated jointly with unit roots. A Monte-Carlo experiment reveals superiority of the parametric tests over the semipararmetric tests of Lucas (1995a) in terms of both empirical sizes and powers.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.425-445
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• 2015

Parametric identification of structures is one of the important aspects of structural health monitoring. Most of the techniques available in the literature have been proved to be effective for structures with small degree of freedoms. However, the problem becomes challenging when the structure system is large, such as bridge structures. Therefore, it is highly desirable to develop parametric identification methods that are applicable to complex structures. In this paper, the LSE based techniques will be combined with the substructure approach for identifying the parameters of a cable-stayed bridge with large degree of freedoms. Numerical analysis has been carried out for substructures extracted from the 2-dimentional (2D) finite element model of a cable-stayed bridge. Only vertical white noise excitations are applied to the structure, and two different cases are considered where the structural damping is not included or included. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach is capable of identifying the structural parameters with high accuracy without measurement noises.