• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parameter Calibration

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Development and Implementation of a 2-Phase Calibration Method for Gravity Model Considering Accessibility (접근성 지표를 도입한 중력모형의 2단계 정산기법 개발 및 적용)

  • CHOI, Sung Taek;RHO, Jeong Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.393-404
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    • 2015
  • Gravity model has had the major problem that the model explains the characteristics of travel behavior with only deterrence factors such as travel time or cost. In modern society, travel behavior can be affected not only deterrence factors but also zonal characteristics or transportation service. Therefore, those features have to be considered to estimate the future travel demand accurately. In this regard, there are two primary aims of this study: 1. to identify the characteristics of inter-zonal travel, 2. to develop the new type of calibration method. By employing accessibility variable which can explain the manifold pattern of trip, we define the zonal travel behavior newly. Furthermore, we suggest 2-phase calibration method, since existing calibration method cannot find the optimum solution when organizing the deterrence function with the new variables. The new method proceeds with 2 steps; step 1.estimating deterrence parameter, step 2. finding balancing factors. The validation results with RMSE, E-norm, C.R show that this study model explains the inter-zonal travel pattern adequately and estimate the O/D pairs precisely than existing gravity model. Especially, the problem with estimation of short distance trip is overcomed. In conclusion, it is possible to draw the conclusion that this study suggests the possibility of improvement for trip distribution model.

Multi-variable and Multi-site Calibration and Validation of SWAT for the Gap River Catchment (갑천유역을 대상으로 SWAT 모형의 다 변수 및 다 지점 검.보정)

  • Kim, Jeong-Kon;Son, Kyong-Ho;Noh, Jun-Woo;Jang, Chang-Lae;Ko, Ick-Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.10 s.171
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    • pp.867-880
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    • 2006
  • Hydrological models with many parameters and complex model structures require a powerful and detailed model calibration/validation scheme. In this study, we proposed a multi-variable and multi-site calibration and validation framework for the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model applied in the Gap-cheon catchment located downstream of the Geum river basin. The sensitivity analysis conducted before main calibration helped understand various hydrological processes and the characteristics of subcatchments by identifying sensitive parameters in the model. In addition, the model's parameters were estimated based on existing data prior to calibration in order to increase the validity of model. The Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients and correlation coefficient were used to estimate compare model output with the observed streamflow data: $R_{eff}\;and\;R^2$ ranged 0.41-0.84 and 0.5-0.86, respectively, at the Heuduck station. Model reproduced baseflow estimated using recursive digital filter except for 2-5% overestimation at the Sindae and Boksu stations. Model also reproduced the temporal variability and fluctuation magnitude of observed groundwater levels with $R^2$ of 0.71 except for certain periods. Therefore, it was concluded that the use of multi-variable and multi-site method provided high confidence for the structure and estimated parameter values of the model.

SWAT model calibration/validation using SWAT-CUP III: multi-site and multi-variable model analysis (SWAT-CUP을 이용한 SWAT 모형 검·보정 III: 다중 관측 지점 및 변수를 고려한 분석)

  • Cho, Younghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1143-1157
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    • 2020
  • In this study, a criteria for the SWAT model calibration method in SWAT-CUP which considers multi-site and multi-variable observations was presented. For its application, the SWAT model was simulated using long-term observed flow, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration data in Yongdam study watershed, investigating the hydrological runoff characteristics and water balance in the water cycle analysis. The model was calibrated with different parameter values for each sub-watershed in order to reflect the characteristics of multiple observations through one-by-one calibration, appropriate settings of model simulation run/iteration number (1,000 simulation runs in the first iteration and then 500 simulation runs for the following iterations), and executions of partial and all run in SWAT-CUP. The flow simulation results of watershed outlet point, ENS 0.85, R2 0.87, and PBIAS -7.6%, were compared with the analysis results (ENS 0.52, R2 0.54, and PBIAS -22.4%) applied in the other batch (i.e., non one-by-one) calibration approach and showed better performances of proposed method. From the simulation results of a total of 15 years, it was found that the total runoff (streamflow) and evapotranspiration rates from precipitation are 53 and 39%, and the ratio of surface runoff and baseflow (i.e., sum of lateral and return flow, and recharge deep aquifer) are 35 and 65%, respectively, in Yongdam watershed. In addition, the analytical amount of available water (i.e., water yield), including the total annual streamflow (daily average 21.8 m3/sec) is 6.96 billion m3 per year (about 540 to 900 mm for sub-watersheds).

X-Ray Fluorescence Analysis of Iron and Titanium in Iron Ores by Dilution Parameter Method (희석 파라미터법에 의한 철광석 중 철과 티탄의 X-선 형광분석)

  • Young Sang Kim;Lee Chong Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.183-189
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    • 1981
  • Iron and titanium, the major constituents in iron ores, were X-ray spectrometrically determined by using the dilution parameter method. A standard and samples possessing a similar composition were diluted with the diluent $ZrO_2$ to their proper respective ratios. After measuring the intensity of the fluorescent X-ray, the dilution parameter was calculated from the following equation. $Pa=\frac{\frac{I_{as}}{(I_{as})_d}}{D-1}{^{-1}}$The dilution parameters were used to correct the difference between the matrix effect of the standard and that of the sample. The content of the major constituents was calculated, without using any standard calibration curves, from the following equation;$W_a=W_a^*{\cdot}{\frac{I_as}{I_{as}^*}{\cdot}\frac{P_a^*}{P_a}$where asterisks indicate the standard. The results agreed with those of the wet analysis within 2% of relative error, and the precision of the experiment was also tolerably good.

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Applicability Comparison of Transmission Line Parameter Extraction Methods for Busbar Distribution Systems

  • Hasirci, Zeynep;Cavdar, Ismail Hakki;Ozturk, Mehmet
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.586-593
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    • 2017
  • Modeling busbar distribution system as a transmission line is an important subject of power line communication in the smart grid concept. This requires extraction of busbar RLGC parameters, accurately. In this study, a comparison is made between conventional and modified method for the aspect of optimum RLGC parameters extraction in the 1 MHz to 50 MHz frequency band. The usefulness of these methods is shown both in time and frequency-domain analysis. The frequency-domain analyzes show that the inherent power of modified method can eliminate the errors especially due to the discontinuities arise in conventional method. This makes the modeling approach of modified method more advantageous for the busbars due to its robustness against disturbances in the S-parameters measurements which cannot be eliminated with the calibration procedure. On the other hand, time-domain simulations show that the transmission line representation of the modified method is closer to physical reality by handling causality issues.

Kalman Filter Estimation of the Servo Valve Effective Orifice Area for a Auxiliary Power Unit (보조 동력장치용 서보밸브 유효 오리피스 면적의 칼만필터 추정)

  • Zhang, J.F.;Kim, C.T.;Jeong, H.S.
    • Transactions of The Korea Fluid Power Systems Society
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2007
  • Flow rate is one of the important variables for precise motion control and detection of the faults and fluid loss in many hydraulic components and systems. But in many cases, it is not easy to measure it directly. The orifice area of a servo valve by which the fluid flows is one of key factors to monitor the flow rate. In this paper, we have constructed an estimation algorithm for the effective orifice area by using the model of a servo valve cylinder control system and Kalman filter algorithm. Without geometry information about the servo valve, it is shown that the effective orifice area can be estimated by using only displacement and pressure data corrupted with noise. And the effect of the biased sensor data and system parameter errors on the estimation results are discussed. The paper reveals that sensor calibration is important in accurate estimation and plausible parameter data such as oil bulk modulus and actuator volume are acceptable for the estimation without any error. The estimation algorithm can be used as an useful tool for detecting leakage, monitoring malfunction and/or degradation of the system performance.

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SI Engine Closed-loop Spark Advance Control Using Cylinder Pressure (실린더 압력을 이용한 SI엔진의 페루프 점화시기 제어에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Seung-Beom;Yun, Pal-Ju
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.24 no.9 s.180
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    • pp.2361-2370
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    • 2000
  • The introduction of inexpensive cylinder pressure sensors provides new opportunities for precise engine control. This paper presents a control strategy of spark advance based upon cylinder pressure of spark ignition engines. A location of peak pressure(LPP) is the major parameter for controlling the spark timing, and also the UP is estimated, using a multi-layer feedforward neural network, which needs only five pressure sensor output voltage samples at -40˚, -20˚, 0˚, 20˚, 40˚ after top dead center. The neural network plays an important role in mitigating the A/D conversion load of an electronic engine controller by increasing the sampling interval from 10 crank angle(CA) to 20˚ CA. A proposed control algorithm does not need a sensor calibration and pegging(bias calculation) procedure because the neural network estimates the UP from the raw sensor output voltage. The estimated LPP can be regarded as a good index for combustion phasing, and can also be used as an MBT control parameter. The feasibility of this methodology is closely examined through steady and transient engine operations to control individual cylinder spark advance. The experimental results have revealed a favorable agreement of individual cylinder optimal combustion phasing.

Constraints on cosmology and baryonic feedback by the combined analysis of weak lensing and galaxy clustering with the Deep Lens Survey

  • Yoon, Mijin;Jee, M. James;Tyson, Tony
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.41.1-41.1
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    • 2018
  • We constrain cosmological parameters by combining three different power spectra measured from galaxy clustering, galaxy-galaxy lensing, and cosmic shear using the Deep Lens Survey (DLS). Two lens bins (centered at z~0.27 and 0.54) and two source bins (centered at z~0.64, and 1.1) containing more than one million galaxies are selected to measure the power spectra. We re-calibrate the initial photo-z estimation of the lens bins by matching with SHELS and PRIMUS and confirm its fidelity by measuring a cross-correlation between the bins. We also check the reliability of the lensing signals through the null tests, lens-source flipping and cross shear measurement. Residual systematic errors from photometric redshift and shear calibration uncertainties are marginalized over in the nested sampling during our parameter constraint process. For the flat LCDM model, we determine S_8=sigma_8(Omega_m/0.3)^0.5=0.832+-0.028, which is in great agreement with the Planck data. We also verify that the two independent constraints from the cosmic shear and the galaxy clustering+galaxy-galaxy lensing measurements are consistent with each other. To address baryonic feedback effects on small scales, we marginalize over a baryonic feedback parameter, which we are able to constrain with the DLS data alone and more tightly when combined with Planck data. The constrained value hints at the possibility that the AGN feedback in the current OWLS simulations might not be strong enough.

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Quantitative risk assessment for wellbore stability analysis using different failure criteria

  • Noohnejad, Alireza;Ahangari, Kaveh;Goshtasbi, Kamran
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.281-293
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    • 2021
  • Uncertainties in geomechanical input parameters which mainly related to inappropriate data acquisition and estimation due to lack of sufficient calibration information, have led wellbore instability not yet to be fully understood or addressed. This paper demonstrates a workflow of employing Quantitative Risk Assessment technique, considering these uncertainties in terms of rock properties, pore pressure and in-situ stresses to makes it possible to survey not just the likelihood of accomplishing a desired level of wellbore stability at a specific mud pressure, but also the influence of the uncertainty in each input parameter on the wellbore stability. This probabilistic methodology in conjunction with Monte Carlo numerical modeling techniques was applied to a case study of a well. The response surfaces analysis provides a measure of the effects of uncertainties in each input parameter on the predicted mud pressure from three widely used failure criteria, thereby provides a key measurement for data acquisition in the future wells to reduce the uncertainty. The results pointed out that the mud pressure is tremendously sensitive to UCS and SHmax which emphasize the significance of reliable determinations of these two parameters for safe drilling. On the other hand, the predicted safe mud window from Mogi-Coulomb is the widest while the Hoek-Brown is the narrowest and comparing the anticipated collapse failures from the failure criteria and breakouts observations from caliper data, indicates that Hoek-Brown overestimate the minimum mud weight to avoid breakouts while Mogi-Coulomb criterion give better forecast according to real observations.

Comparing Prediction Uncertainty Analysis Techniques of SWAT Simulated Streamflow Applied to Chungju Dam Watershed (충주댐 유역의 유출량에 대한 SWAT 모형의 예측 불확실성 분석 기법 비교)

  • Joh, Hyung-Kyung;Park, Jong-Yoon;Jang, Cheol-Hee;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.9
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    • pp.861-874
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    • 2012
  • To fulfill applicability of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, it is important that this model passes through a careful calibration and uncertainty analysis. In recent years, many researchers have come up with various uncertainty analysis techniques for SWAT model. To determine the differences and similarities of typical techniques, we applied three uncertainty analysis procedures to Chungju Dam watershed (6,581.1 $km^2$) of South Korea included in SWAT-Calibration Uncertainty Program (SWAT-CUP): Sequential Uncertainty FItting algorithm ver.2 (SUFI2), Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE), Parameter Solution (ParaSol). As a result, there was no significant difference in the objective function values between SUFI2 and GLUE algorithms. However, ParaSol algorithm shows the worst objective functions, and considerable divergence was also showed in 95PPU bands with each other. The p-factor and r-factor appeared from 0.02 to 0.79 and 0.03 to 0.52 differences in streamflow respectively. In general, the ParaSol algorithm showed the lowest p-factor and r-factor, SUFI2 algorithm was the highest in the p-factor and r-factor. Therefore, in the SWAT model calibration and uncertainty analysis of the automatic methods, we suggest the calibration methods considering p-factor and r-factor. The p-factor means the percentage of observations covered by 95PPU (95 Percent Prediction Uncertainty) band, and r-factor is the average thickness of the 95PPU band.