• Title/Summary/Keyword: Paper Deviation

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Alternative robust estimation methods for parameters of Gumbel distribution: an application to wind speed data with outliers

  • Aydin, Demet
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.383-395
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    • 2018
  • An accurate determination of wind speed distribution is the basis for an evaluation of the wind energy potential required to design a wind turbine, so it is important to estimate unknown parameters of wind speed distribution. In this paper, Gumbel distribution is used in modelling wind speed data, and alternative robust estimation methods to estimate its parameters are considered. The methodologies used to obtain the estimators of the parameters are least absolute deviation, weighted least absolute deviation, median/MAD and least median of squares. The performances of the estimators are compared with traditional estimation methods (i.e., maximum likelihood and least squares) according to bias, mean square deviation and total mean square deviation criteria using a Monte-Carlo simulation study for the data with and without outliers. The simulation results show that least median of squares and median/MAD estimators are more efficient than others for data with outliers in many cases. However, median/MAD estimator is not consistent for location parameter of Gumbel distribution in all cases. In real data application, it is firstly demonstrated that Gumbel distribution fits the daily mean wind speed data well and is also better one to model the data than Weibull distribution with respect to the root mean square error and coefficient of determination criteria. Next, the wind data modified by outliers is analysed to show the performance of the proposed estimators by using numerical and graphical methods.

Analyzing Operation Deviation in the Deasphalting Process Using Multivariate Statistics Analysis Method

  • Park, Joo-Hwang;Kim, Jong-Soo;Kim, Tai-Suk
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.858-865
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    • 2014
  • In the case of system like MES, various sensors collect the data in real time and save it as a big data to monitor the process. However, if there is big data mining in distributed computing system, whole processing process can be improved. In this paper, system to analyze the cause of operation deviation was built using the big data which has been collected from deasphalting process at the two different plants. By applying multivariate statistical analysis to the big data which has been collected through MES(Manufacturing Execution System), main cause of operation deviation was analyzed. We present the example of analyzing the operation deviation of deasphalting process using the big data which collected from MES by using multivariate statistics analysis method. As a result of regression analysis of the forward stepwise method, regression equation has been found which can explain 52% increase of performance compare to existing model. Through this suggested method, the existing petrochemical process can be replaced which is manual analysis method and has the risk of being subjective according to the tester. The new method can provide the objective analysis method based on numbers and statistic.

AN INTEGRATED PROCESS CONTROL PROCEDURE WITH REPEATED ADJUSTMENTS AND EWMA MONITORING UNDER AN IMA(1,1) DISTURBANCE WITH A STEP SHIFT

  • Park, Chang-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.381-399
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    • 2004
  • Statistical process control (SPC) and engineering process control (EPC) are based on different strategies for process quality improvement. SPC re-duces process variability by detecting and eliminating special causes of process variation, while EPC reduces process variability by adjusting compensatory variables to keep the quality variable close to target. Recently there has been need for an integrated process control (IPC) procedure which combines the two strategies. This paper considers a scheme that simultaneously applies SPC and EPC techniques to reduce the variation of a process. The process model under consideration is an IMA(1,1) model with a step shift. The EPC part of the scheme adjusts the process, while the SPC part of the scheme detects the occurrence of a special cause. For adjusting the process repeated adjustment is applied according to the predicted deviation from target. For detecting special causes the exponentially weighted moving average control chart is applied to the observed deviations. It was assumed that the adjustment under the presence of a special cause may increase the process variability or change the system gain. Reasonable choices of parameters for the IPC procedure are considered in the context of the mean squared deviation as well as the average run length.

Design and Implementation of a Novel Frequency Modulation Circuit using Phase Locked Loop Synthesizer (PLL 주파수 합성기를 이용한 새로운 주파수 변조 회로 설계 및 제작)

  • 양승식;이종환;염경환
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.599-607
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, using phase locked loop(PLL) synthesizer, we introduce a novel but simple and low cost frequency modulation(FM) circuit of a flat peak frequency deviation fur modulation signal whose frequency covers from outside to inside of the loop-bandwidth of PLL. The FM circuit was basically designed to compensate an amount of feedback of the loop filter in PLL. The circuit also includes the capability of the adjustment of peak frequency deviation and of blocking the intereference with the loop filter. The designed circuit was successfully implemented and showed the flat frequency deviation as expected in the design. In addition, the novel measurement method of the wideband FM modulation index is suggested verified With the suggest measurement, it can be successfully shown the designed circuit has the expected frequency deviation.

Prediction of Thermal Load Distribution and Temperature of the Superheater in a Tangentially Fired Boiler (접선 연소식 보일러의 최종 과열기 열부하 분포 및 튜브 온도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ho-Young;Sea, Sang-Il
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.478-485
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    • 2008
  • The extreme steam temperature deviation experienced in the superheater of a tangentially fired boiler can seriously affect its economic and safe operation. This temperature deviation is one of the main causes of boiler tube failures. The steam temperature deviation is mainly due to the thermal load deviation in the lateral direction of the superheater. The thermal load deviation consists of several causes. One of the causes is the non-uniform heat flow distribution of burnt gas on the superheater tube system. This distribution is very difficult to measure in situ using direct experimental techniques. So, we need thermal load model to estimate the tube temperature. In this paper, we propose a thermal load distribution model by using CFD analysis and plant data. We successfully predict the tube temperature and the steam flow rate in a final superheater system from the thermal load model and one dimensional heat-flow system analysis. The proposed model and analysis method would be valuable in preventing the frequent tube failure of the final superheater tubes.

Study of Morphology and Physical Properties of Indian Mallow(Abutilon avicennae Gaertner) Fibers by Image Analyzer (화상분석기를 이용한 어저귀 섬유의 형태학적 특성과 물성연구)

  • 정선화;조남석
    • Journal of Korea Technical Association of The Pulp and Paper Industry
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2003
  • A kind of image analysis system is used to investigate the structural features of the papers made from Indian mallow. The screen mark on the paper was identified and analyzed. The dusts, shives and fiber bundles were manifested and calculated. In the aspect of Indian mallow hanji's surface characteristics analyzed by an Image analyzer, the average of gray level and its standard deviation hanji from the woody core were rather lower than of bast fiber pulp because of better sheet formation of the formers. Hower. high brightness hanji showed high value of gray level. The sheet formation and paper opacity were increased with the decrease of standard deviation of gray level. From these results, gray level measurement could be used to predict the paper opacity as well as sheet formation.

Robust Speech Enhancement Based on Soft Decision Employing Spectral Deviation (스펙트럼 변이를 이용한 Soft Decision 기반의 음성향상 기법)

  • Choi, Jae-Hun;Chang, Joon-Hyuk;Kim, Nam-Soo
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.222-228
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a new approach to noise estimation incorporating spectral deviation with soft decision scheme to enhance the intelligibility of the degraded speech signal in non-stationary noisy environments. Since the conventional noise estimation technique based on soft decision scheme estimates and updates the noise power spectrum using a fixed smoothing parameter which was assumed in stationary noisy environments, it is difficult to obtain the robust estimates of noise power spectrum in non-stationary noisy environments that spectral characteristics of noise signal such as restaurant constantly change. In this paper, once we first classify the stationary noise and non-stationary noise environments based on the analysis of spectral deviation of noise signal, we adaptively estimate and update the noise power spectrum according to the classified noise types. The performances of the proposed algorithm are evaluated by ITU-T P. 862 perceptual evaluation of speech quality (PESQ) under various ambient noise environments and show better performances compared with the conventional method.

Sheet Formation Properties of Morus Hanji (뽕나무 한지의 지합특성)

  • Yi, Il-Roh;Cho, Nam-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Technical Association of The Pulp and Paper Industry
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    • v.38 no.3 s.116
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 2006
  • This study was carried out to investigate the sheet formation properties of Morus Hanjis, made of bast and whole stalk pulps by different pulping methods, such as alkali, alkali-peroxide and sulfomethylated pulping. Two species of Morus, M. alba and M. lhou, were used. Effect of morphological properties of pulp stocks on the sheet formation and its gray levels based on optical property were evaluated using an Image analyzer. In addition, the effect of fiber distribution index(FDI) which was calculated from tile data of Confocal laser scanning microscopy(CLSM) on the sheet formation and optical properties of Morus Hanji were also discussed. On the sheet formation, Hanji from whole stalk pulp was superior than that of bast pulp. The more the sheet formation improved, the more paper opacity decreased. In the aspect of Hanji's surface characteristics analyzed by an Image analyzer, the average gray level and its standard deviation of Hanji from the whole stalk pulp were rather lower than those of bast pulp because of better sheet formation of the former. However, high brightness Hanji showed high value of gray level. The sheet formation and paper opacity were increased with the decrease of standard deviation of gray level. From these results, gray level measurement could be used to predict the paper opacity as well as sheet formation. Sheet formation of whole stalk Hanji and its FDI measured by CLSM were higher than those of bast fibers. In conclusion, the sheet formation and opacity of Hanji could be evaluated by standard deviation value of Hanji's gray level using an Image analyzer and by fiber distribution index using CLSM.

Analysis of PRI Pattern with the Second Deviation of LASER Pulse Train (레이저 펄스열의 2차 차분을 이용한 PRI 패턴 분석)

  • Lim, Joong-Soo;Hong, Kyung-Ho;Jun, Gab-Song;Moon, Sung-Chul;Lee, Chang-Jae;Suh, Suhk-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a method of PRI do-interleaving for LASER pulse signals. When the PRI of LASER pulse is periodically changed, the first deviation and the second deviation of TOA is used to calculate the PRI pattern of input LASER signals of receiver. If the standard deviation of the first difference of TOA is less than 5% of the average of the first difference of TOA, the PRI pattern of LASER signal is fixed or jittered type. If the standard deviation is larger than 5% of the average, those are triangular PRI patterns or sawtooth PRI patterns.

Chernoff Bound and the Refined Large Deviation Approximation for Connection Admission Control in CDMA Systems

  • Yeong Min Jang
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.27 no.4B
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    • pp.338-344
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    • 2002
  • This paper proposes a transient (predictive) connection admission control (CAC) scheme using the transient quality of service (QoS) measure for CDMA cellular systems with bursts On-Off sources. We need an approximate and bounded approach for real-time CAC applications. We derive the transient outage probability as the QoS measure using the Chernoff bound and the refuted large deviation approximation. Numerical results show that the predictive CAC is a promising approach for the multicell CDMA systems.