• Title/Summary/Keyword: Panel linear regression model

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Test of Linearity in Panel Regression Model (패널회귀모형에서 선형성검정)

  • 송석헌;최충돈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.351-364
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    • 2003
  • This paper derives Lagrange multiplier tests based on Double-Length Artificial Regression and Outer-Product Gradient for testing linear and log-linear panel regressions against Box-Cox alternatives. The proposed DLR based LM tests are easy to implement in an error component model. From the Monte Carlo study, the DLR based LM tests are recommended for testing functiona forms.

Predicting claim size in the auto insurance with relative error: a panel data approach (상대오차예측을 이용한 자동차 보험의 손해액 예측: 패널자료를 이용한 연구)

  • Park, Heungsun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.697-710
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    • 2021
  • Relative error prediction is preferred over ordinary prediction methods when relative/percentile errors are regarded as important, especially in econometrics, software engineering and government official statistics. The relative error prediction techniques have been developed in linear/nonlinear regression, nonparametric regression using kernel regression smoother, and stationary time series models. However, random effect models have not been used in relative error prediction. The purpose of this article is to extend relative error prediction to some of generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) with panel data, which is the random effect models based on gamma, lognormal, or inverse gaussian distribution. For better understanding, the real auto insurance data is used to predict the claim size, and the best predictor and the best relative error predictor are comparatively illustrated.

Analysis of health-related quality of life using Beta regression (베타회귀분석 방법을 이용한 건강 관련 삶의 질 자료 분석)

  • Jang, Eun Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.547-557
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    • 2017
  • The health-related quality of life data are commonly skewed and bounded with spike at the perfect health status, and the variance tended to be heteroscedastic. In this study, we have developed a prediction model for EQ-5D using linear regression model, beta regression model, and extended beta regression model with mean and precision submodel, and also compared the predictive accuracy. The extended beta regression model allows to model skewness and differences in dispersion related to covariates. Although the extended beta regression model has higher prediction accuracy than the linear regression model, the overlapped confidence intervals suggested that the extended beta regression model was superior to the linear regression model. However, the expended beta regression model could explain the heteroscedasticity and predict within the bounded range. Therefore, the expended beta regression model are appropriate for fitting the health-related quality of life data such as EQ-5D.

A Study on Industry Characteristics of Technology Trade in Korea : evidence from OECD Countries (우리나라 기술무역의 산업별 특성에 관한 연구 : OECD 국가를 대상으로)

  • Baek, Eun-Young;Moon, Hee-Cheol
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.151-170
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    • 2010
  • The present study made an empirical analysis for investigating the competitiveness of technology trades in Korea. In particular, the study deduced the correlation between technology export and technology import using the variables of Gross Domestic Expenditure on R&D and Per capita industry value added Productivity and employed fixed effect model in panel linear regression model. It is found that the R&D expenditure of OECD countries made a significant effect on the technology import and the value-added labor productivity made a significant result on both technology export and import. Therefore, it showed that the technology trade in Korea made a sensitive response to labor productivity in OECD countries. By panel analysis, machine, construction, ICT, and service industry affect most on technology export in Korea for recent 5 years. For technology import, electric-electron, chemical, service, and construction industry have significant effects. This study contributed to understanding of industrial characteristics affecting technology trades in Korea and empirical analysis to show correlation between the factors affecting technology trade.

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A computational note on maximum likelihood estimation in random effects panel probit model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.315-323
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    • 2019
  • Panel data sets have recently been developed in various areas, and many recent studies have analyzed panel, or longitudinal data sets. Often a dichotomous dependent variable occur in survival analysis, biomedical and epidemiological studies that is analyzed by a generalized linear mixed effects model (GLMM). The most common estimation method for the binary panel data may be the maximum likelihood (ML). Many statistical packages provide ML estimates; however, the estimates are computed from numerically approximated likelihood function. For instance, R packages, pglm (Croissant, 2017) approximate the likelihood function by the Gauss-Hermite quadratures, while Rchoice (Sarrias, Journal of Statistical Software, 74, 1-31, 2016) use a Monte Carlo integration method for the approximation. As a result, it can be observed that different packages give different results because of different numerical computation methods. In this note, we discuss the pros and cons of numerical methods compared with the exact computation method.

Maximum likelihood estimation of Logistic random effects model (로지스틱 임의선형 혼합모형의 최대우도 추정법)

  • Kim, Minah;Kyung, Minjung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.957-981
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    • 2017
  • A generalized linear mixed model is an extension of a generalized linear model that allows random effect as well as provides flexibility in developing a suitable model when observations are correlated or when there are other underlying phenomena that contribute to resulting variability. We describe maximum likelihood estimation methods for logistic regression models that include random effects - the Laplace approximation, Gauss-Hermite quadrature, adaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature, and pseudo-likelihood. Applications are provided with social science problems by analyzing the effect of mental health and life satisfaction on volunteer activities from Korean welfare panel data; in addition, we observe that the inclusion of random effects in the model leads to improved analyses with more reasonable inferences.

Study on the Drawbead Expert Models (드로우비드 전문모델에 관한 연구)

  • 김준환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.26-29
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    • 2000
  • drawbead expert models are developed for calculating drawbead restraining force and drawbead-exit thinnings which are boundary conditions in FEM stamping simulation employing the linear multiple regression method by which the deviation of drawing characteristics between drawing test and mathematical model is minimized. In order to show the efficiency and accuracy of an expert drawbead model a finite element simulation of auto-body panel stamping is carried out. The finite element simulation shows that the expert drawbead model provides the accurate solution guarantees the stable convergence and the merit in the computation time.

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Empirical Analysis on the Factors Affecting the Net Income of Regional and Industrial Fisheries Cooperatives Using Panel Data (패널자료를 이용한 지구별·업종별 수산업협동조합의 수익에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석)

  • Kim, Cheol-Hyun;Nam, Jong-Oh
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze factors affecting the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives in South Korea using panel data. This paper utilizes linear or GLS regression models such as pooled OLS model, fixed effects model, and random effects model to estimate affecting factors of the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives. After reviewing various tests, we eventually select random effects model. The results, based on panel data between 2013 and 2018 year and 64 fisheries cooperatives, indicate that capital and area dummy variables have positive effects and employment has negative effect on the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives as predicted. However, debt are opposite with our predictions. Specifically, it turns out that debt has positive effect on the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives although it has been increased. Additionally, this paper shows that the member of confreres does not show any significant effect on the net income of regional and industrial fisheries cooperatives in South Korea. This study is significant in that it analyzes the major factors influencing changes in the net income that have not been conducted recently for the fisheries cooperatives by region and industry.

Prediction Model on Delivery Time in Display FAB Using Survival Analysis (생존분석을 이용한 디스플레이 FAB의 반송시간 예측모형)

  • Han, Paul;Baek, Jun Geol
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.283-290
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    • 2014
  • In the flat panel display industry, to meet production target quantities and the deadline of production, the scheduler and dispatching systems are major production management systems which control the order of facility production and the distribution of WIP (Work In Process). Especially the delivery time is a key factor of the dispatching system for the time when a lot can be supplied to the facility. In this paper, we use survival analysis methods to identify main factors of the delivery time and to build the delivery time forecasting model. To select important explanatory variables, the cox proportional hazard model is used to. To make a prediction model, the accelerated failure time (AFT) model was used. Performance comparisons were conducted with two other models, which are the technical statistics model based on transfer history and the linear regression model using same explanatory variables with AFT model. As a result, the mean square error (MSE) criteria, the AFT model decreased by 33.8% compared to the statistics prediction model, decreased by 5.3% compared to the linear regression model. This survival analysis approach is applicable to implementing the delivery time estimator in display manufacturing. And it can contribute to improve the productivity and reliability of production management system.

Wage Determinants Analysis by Quantile Regression Tree

  • Chang, Young-Jae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.293-301
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    • 2012
  • Quantile regression proposed by Koenker and Bassett (1978) is a statistical technique that estimates conditional quantiles. The advantage of using quantile regression is the robustness in response to large outliers compared to ordinary least squares(OLS) regression. A regression tree approach has been applied to OLS problems to fit flexible models. Loh (2002) proposed the GUIDE algorithm that has a negligible selection bias and relatively low computational cost. Quantile regression can be regarded as an analogue of OLS, therefore it can also be applied to GUIDE regression tree method. Chaudhuri and Loh (2002) proposed a nonparametric quantile regression method that blends key features of piecewise polynomial quantile regression and tree-structured regression based on adaptive recursive partitioning. Lee and Lee (2006) investigated wage determinants in the Korean labor market using the Korean Labor and Income Panel Study(KLIPS). Following Lee and Lee, we fit three kinds of quantile regression tree models to KLIPS data with respect to the quantiles, 0.05, 0.2, 0.5, 0.8, and 0.95. Among the three models, multiple linear piecewise quantile regression model forms the shortest tree structure, while the piecewise constant quantile regression model has a deeper tree structure with more terminal nodes in general. Age, gender, marriage status, and education seem to be the determinants of the wage level throughout the quantiles; in addition, education experience appears as the important determinant of the wage level in the highly paid group.