• 제목/요약/키워드: Panel Dynamic Regression

검색결과 37건 처리시간 0.024초

Determinants of Indonesian Islamic Rural Banks' Profitability: Collusive or Non-Collusive Behavior?

  • WIDARJONO, Agus;MIFRAHI, Mustika Noor;PERDANA, Andika Ridha Ayu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.657-668
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates the effect of market structure, including some bank-specific variables and macroeconomic conditions, on the profitability of Indonesian Islamic rural banks. We apply the structure conduct performance (SCP) and the relative market power (RMP) hypothesis. Panel data comprising 142 Islamic rural banks from 2013Q1 to 2018Q4 are employed. This study breaks them apart, associated with the level of economic development consisting of Java as developed regions and outside Java as less developed regions. This study employs static and dynamic panel regression. The GMM method, however, is appropriate because of the dynamic nature of profitability. Our results confirm the SCP hypothesis and fail to support the RMP hypothesis. The higher market concentration allows Islamic rural banks to generate a significantly higher profit by conducting a collusive strategy. More interestingly, the collusive behavior may result in more profit for Islamic rural banks located in the developed regions than those in less developed regions. Evidence also highlights the importance of operating efficiency and impaired financing on profitability. High operating efficiency and low impaired financing can improve profit. Our results suggest that capitalizing market share by improving efficiency and optimizing financing contracts between PLS and non-PLS contracts also improve profit.

Counter-Cyclical Capital Buffer and Regional Development Bank Profitability: An Empirical Study in Indonesia

  • ANDAIYANI, Sri;HIDAYAT, Ariodillah;DJAMBAK, Syaipan;HAMIDI, Ichsan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.829-837
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    • 2021
  • The study investigates the impact of the Counter-Cyclical Buffer Policy (CCB) on regional development bank profitability in Sumatra, Indonesia. CCB requires banks to hold capital at times when credit is growing rapidly so that the buffer can be reduced if the financial cycle turns down or the economic and financial environment becomes substantially worse. This study employs time series data of regional development banks (RDBs) in Sumatra Island, Indonesia. The methodology applied in this study is a panel dynamic model with Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM). The results show that increasing capital through the implementation of CCB did not have a significant effect on RDBs' profitability. The findings of this study suggest that the activation and implementation of CCB lead to an increase in the amount and cost of loans to companies but do not affect the profitability of RDBs. The value of a Non-Performing Loan (NPL) proved to have a negative and significant effect on bank profitability. The CCB policy aims to overcome the pro-cyclicality of credit growth and improve bank resilience through increased capital which is expected to reduce excessive credit growth as a source of systemic risk. This causes a lack of lending to the community so that the profits obtained by the bank decrease.

재고-신규주택 상대가격이 주택공급에 미치는 영향 (The Impact of Stock-to-Flow Price Ratio on Housing Starts)

  • 지규현;최성호
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2020
  • This thesis investigates relationship between Stock-to-Flow price and housing starts in Seoul metropolitan form 2008 year to 2019 year. The paper tests the relationship through two time-series models such as a vector error correction model and Dynamic Panel regression model. The model results show evidence of positive correlation between Stock-to-Flow price and housing starts in the long run. By transforming the regional data into a panel data set and running a fixed effects model, we test the explanatory power of PBR on housing starts. The result of VECM confirms that one unit uprising PBR raises up apartment construction by 7.4%. This result supports that PBR is a major factor in choosing a start of housing construct. Base on the result of empirical model, We also suggest that the market self-regulation function of housing providers is operating in the entire metropolitan area market.

우리나라 소득불평등에 도시화가 미치는 영향 분석: 지니계수의 시차 자기상관, 공간의존성, 공통요인 효과를 고려하여 (An Analysis of Impact of Urbanization on Income Inequality in Korea: Considering Serial Correlations, Spatial Dependence and Common Factor Effect)

  • 김소연;류수열
    • 한국경제지리학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.310-323
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    • 2023
  • 도시화 현상과 소득분배 문제는 세계적 관심사이며, 소득불평등에 도시화가 미치는 영향에 대한 연구들의 결과는 분석 국가와 기간마다 상이하게 나타났다. 본 연구는 2000-2021년 기간의 지역 데이터를 사용하여 우리나라 소득불평등에 도시화가 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 특히 지니계수에 시차 자기상관과 공간의존성 및 공통요인 효과가 존재함을 확인하고, 이를 고려한 동적공간패널회귀모형을 통해 분석하였다. 추정 결과, 지역의 도시화는 소득불평등 감소에 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 소득분배 문제의 개선을 위해 지역별 도시화를 지속적으로 추진할 필요가 있으며, 이미 도시화율이 높은 지역은 저숙련 노동자의 교육훈련 기회 확대로 임금격차를 줄임으로써 소득불평등을 감소시켜야 하며, 도시화 종착 단계에서 발생할 수 있는 역도시화 현상을 방지하기 위한 방안을 마련해야 한다.

China Shocks to Korea's ICT Exports

  • Ko, Dong-Whan
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.146-163
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper examines China's impact on Korea's ICT exports considering the direct competition channel, the production shift channel, and the indirect demand channel at once. This paper also takes China's economic rebalancing into account and discusses whether it makes any differences in the effect of the three channels. Design/methodology - To quantify the effect of the three channels, I constructed a linear panel regression model and estimated it with various estimation methods including the system GMM. China's exports toward the same destination as Korea's exports, Korea's exports toward China, and the third countries' exports toward China respectively reflect the three channels. China's GVC indicators are included as well to evaluate the effect of further China's economic rebalancing. Since the present paper has a greater interest in the effect of China rather than the determinant of bilateral trade, a (fixed effect) panel model becomes more appropriate than the gravity model because timeinvariant variables in the gravity model, such as the distance and the language, are eliminated during the estimation process. Findings - The estimation results indicate that Chinese ICT exports are complementary to Korea's ICT exports in general. However, when markets are considered in subgroups, China's ICT exports could have a negative effect in the long run, especially for SITC75 and SITC76 markets, implying a possible competitive threat of China. The production shift effect turns significant during China's economic rebalancing in the markets for the advanced economies and the SITC76 product. China's indirect demand channel is also in effect significantly for the advanced economy and SITC75 commodities during China's economic rebalancing periods. In addition, this paper shows that China's transition toward upstream in the global value chain could have a positive impact on Korea's ICT exports, especially at the Asian market. Originality/value - The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, it focuses on the ICT industry for which Korea increasingly depends on China and China becomes a global hub of the GVC. Second, this paper quantitatively studies three channels in a model in contrast to the literature which mostly examines those channels separately and pays less attention to the GVC aspect. Third, by utilizing relatively recent data from the period of 2001-2017, this paper discusses whether China's economic rebalancing affects the three channels.

A Dynamic Approach to Understanding Business Performance

  • Kusuma Indawati HALIM
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study's objective is to examine the impact of firm-specific and macroeconomic factors on the business performance of non-cyclical and cyclical sectors in Indonesian listed firms. The evaluation of business performance holds paramount importance for the achievement and long-term viability of a company. Research Design Data and Methodology: The data for 61 non-cyclicals sector companies and 57 cyclicals sector companies was gathered over a 4-year period from 2018-2021. The model integrates firm size, leverage, and sales growth as firm-specific factors, with real GDP growth and inflation rate as macroeconomic variables. ROA and ROE are indicators of a firm's business performance. The regression models are estimated using the distribution of a dynamic approach with Arellano-Bond Panel Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimation. Results: The results of the pooled sample indicate that the historical ROA and ROE have a positive relationship with the business performance of all sectors, including both non-cyclical and cyclical industries. The ROE of non-cyclical enterprises is primarily influenced by firm-specific characteristics and macroeconomic influences. Conclusion: To ensure the successful implementation of the distribution of a dynamic approach towards enhancing corporate business performance, organizations need to take into account a combination of firm-specific factors and macroeconomic factors.

한국 재벌기업들의 성장 동력에 관한 재무적 결정요인 분석 (Searching for Growth Engine: For the Firms Belonging to the Chaebol in the Korean Capital Markets)

  • 김한준
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제15권12호
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    • pp.7134-7147
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 현대 재무적 측면에서 이론적 혹은 실무적으로 주요 이슈가 되고 있는 국내 자본시장에서의 재벌소속 계열기업들의 성장성관련 결정요인들에 대한 분석을 수행하였다. 2가지의 가설들이 실증적인 방법론에 의하여 검정되었는 바, 첫번째 가설관련 동 재벌기업들의 국제금융위기 이후의 표본기간 동안, 성장률에 대한 재무적 결정요인들을 동적패널분석과 정적패널분석의 방법론을 응용하여 다음과 같이 규명하였다. 즉, 장부가 기준의 성장률에 영향을 주는 요인들은 부채비율, 전 기간의 성장률, 기업규모, 그리고 외국인지분율 등이었으며, 이와 더불어 시장가 기준의 성장률에 대한 분석도 수반되었다, 두번째 가설은 조건부 분위회귀모형을 응용하여 4개의 구간별로 각 성장률관련 통제변수들에 대한 영향력을 분석하였으며, 그 결과로서 총자산수익률, 유가증권시장 유형, 2010년과 2011년의 거시경제 더미변수들, 그리고 산업더미들 중 화학업종과 유통업종의 변수들이 통계적으로 유의한 특징을 나타내었다. 국내 자본시장에서 상대적으로 높은 비중을 차지하고 있는 재벌기업들의 재무적 측면에서의 상호 비교관점을 기준으로, 금융위기 이후 현재까지 지속, 심화되고 있는 주요 재무지표들의 소수 재벌기업들 중심으로의 분포상 편중 가능성을 연구결과의 활용을 통하여 재균형 혹은 개선시킬 수 있다는 점등이 본 연구의 기여점이라고 판단된다.

인터넷뱅킹시스템이 은행의 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석 (An Analysis of the Impact of Internet Banking Systems on the Business Performance of Bank)

  • 심선영
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.23-42
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    • 2014
  • This study investigates the impact of Internet Banking Systems on the business performance of bank. Although Internet Banking Systems were introduced about 15 years ago in Korea, there were few studies which evidenced the relationship between Internet Banking Systems and the performance of banks. For this empirical investigation, this study collected the panel data of 13 domestic banks over 8.5 years and divided the dataset into two parts-the first half period (2003~2007) and the second half period (2008~2011) in order to examine the dynamic changes in the impact of Internet Banking Systems. The fixed-effects panel regression results were different in the two parts of dataset. Internet Banking Systems showed only cost-efficiency impact in the first half period. However, in the second half period, Internet Banking Systems showed positive impact on the bank profitability. Moreover, the dummy variable regarding local bank showed no additional impact on this result, implying that the impact of Internet Banking Systems was still significant for the local banks. The results will deliver managerial interpretation on the value of Internet Banking Systems and additional implication on the strategic planning of Internet Banking Systems for many domestic banks.

Infrastructure-Growth Link and the Threshold Effects of Sub-Indices of Institutions

  • OGBARO, Eyitayo Oyewunmi;OLADEJI, Sunday Idowu
    • Asian Journal of Business Environment
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: This study extends previous empirical work on the threshold effects of institutions on the relationship between infrastructure and economic growth. It does so by using three sub-indices of institutions as the threshold variable in place of aggregate index. This is with a view to determining the roles of the sub-indices in the nexus between infrastructure and economic growth. Research design, data and methodology: The analysis is based on a dynamic panel threshold regression model using a panel data set comprising 41 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa over the sample period of 1996-2015. Data are obtained from Ogbaro (2019). Results: The study finds that infrastructure exerts significant positive effects on economic growth below and above the threshold values of the three sub-indices, with higher effects above the threshold values. Results also show that on average, the Sub-Saharan African countries are not able to satisfy any of the threshold conditions, which accounts for their poor growth experience. Conclusion: The study concludes that countries with weak institutions do not benefit maximally from infrastructure development policies. The paper, therefore, recommends that countries in Sub-Saharan Africa need to focus on improving their institutional patterns if they are to reap the optimum benefits from their infrastructure development efforts.

The Impact of Capital Requirement on Bank Performance: Empirical Evidence from Vietnamese Commercial Banks

  • LE, Trung Hai;NGUYEN, Ngan Bich;NGUYEN, Duong Thuy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2022
  • This paper examines the effects of regulatory capital on a bank's profitability and risk. We employ annual data from Vietnamese commercial banks from 2005 to 2020 and use the dynamic GMM regression method to address the potential endogeneity issue, more suitable for panel data with relatively low time dimensions. Our panel regressions indicate that higher regulatory capital would significantly improve the bank's profitability and lower the bank risks. In particular, a one percent increase in the regulatory capital would significantly increase the bank's return on assets by 1.9%. We further explore the heterogeneous impacts of regulatory capital on the Vietnamese bank's performance across bank characteristics. We find that smaller, non-state-owned and non-listed banks would benefit from stringent regulatory capital requirements. The improvements in bank performance are mainly driven by reductions in the risk premium of the banks, resulting in lower funding costs and higher profitability. These findings are essential since Vietnam, as an emerging market, has only implemented the Basel II reform recently on a stable and fast-growing background rather than as a reaction to the global financial crisis. Thus, our empirical results support stringent regulatory capital in emerging countries to ensure a stable banking sector and boost economic growth.