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The Methodological Aspects of Forecasting and the Analysis of Macroeconomic Indicators

  • VYBOROVA, Elena Nikolaevna
    • East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.31-42
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The main research goals by macroeconomic analysis is to assess the effectiveness of state regulation, the sustainability of development, and the financial stability of the state. Research design, Data, and methodology - The research were analyzed using the methods of multivariate statistics and application of the software package Stat graphics. The volume of data from the 1995 to the 2021 was analyzed by Russian Federation. The scale of research on Belarus: to be analyzed the amount of data from the 2015 by 2021, on Kazakhstan - from the 19941, on Kyrgyzstan - from the 2002, on Tajikistan - from the 2008, on Armenia - from the 2021, on Japan - since the 1970, on China - since the 1950, on South Korea - since the 1953. Result - The methods of multivariate statistics was demonstrated exact of result in forecasting of macroeconomic indicators. The most of tendency with the accurate results of are described using the second-degree polynomials. In the most research of country there are the macroeconomic proportion are broken. Conclusion - In the countries studied, the monetary aggregates have a significant growth rate. The shares with a substantial monetary stock and the speed of its growth are divided in the two groups: having placements in the real sectors of the economy and not having received the same result of development from the growth of the monetary stock.

Polynomial Time Algorithm for Worker Assignment Problem (작업자 배정 문제의 다항시간 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Sang-Un
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.159-164
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    • 2022
  • The linear assignment problem (LAP) and linear bottleneck assignment problem (LBAP) has been unknown the algorithm to solve the optimal solution within polynomial-time. These problems are classified by NP-hard. Therefore, we can be apply metaheuristic methods or linear programming (LP) software package or Hungarian algorithm (HA) with O(m4) computational complexity. This paper suggests polynomial time algorithm with O(mn)=O(m2),m=n time complexity to LAP and LBAP. The select-delete method is simply applied to LAP, and the delete-select method is used to LBAP. For the experimental data without the unique algorithm can be apply to whole data, the proposed algorithm can be obtain the optimal solutions for whole data.

Optimization of safety factor by adaptive simulated annealing of composite laminate at low-velocity impact

  • Sidamar, Lamsadfa;Said, Zirmi;Said, Mamouri
    • Coupled systems mechanics
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2022
  • Laminated composite plates are utilized extensively in different fields of construction and industry thanks to their advantages such as high stiffness-to-weight ratio. Additionally, they are characterized by their directional properties that permit the designer to optimize their stiffness for specific applications. This paper presents a numerical analysis and optimization study of plates made of composite subjected to low velocity impact. The main aim is to identify the optimum fiber orientations of the composite plates that resist low velocity impact load. First, a three-dimensional finite element model is built using LS DYNA computer software package to perform the impact analyses. The composite plate has been modeled using solid elements. The failure criteria of Tsai-Wu's criterion have been used to control the strength of the composite material. A good agreement has been found between the predicted numerical results and experimental results in the literature which validate the finite element model. Then, an Adaptive Simulated Annealing (ASA) has been used to optimize the response of impacted composite laminate where its objective is to maximize the safety factor by varying the ply angles. The results show that the ASA is robust in the sense that it is capable of predicting the best optimal designs.

International Trade between Colombia and Asia in the Framework of Logistics Processes: A Bibliometric Review

  • NIEBLES-NUNEZ, William;RAMIREZ, Javier;GARCIA-TIRADO, Jhony
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.20 no.10
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This report aimed to review the literature on the research topic "Imports and exports between Colombia and Asian countries in the framework of logistics processes in international trade" of the last ten years. Research design, data and methodology: Documents indexed in the Web of Science metasearch engine were used as a source of information. The 500 most relevant downloaded in bibTex format were worked on and their processing was carried out using the statistical software Excel and R, through the Bibliometrix package. Results: The results indicate that the country that makes the most contributions to the research area is the United States (274), the author that publishes the most is Bahmani-Oskooee M., with (11) research, 424 of the documents found are journal articles, and the institution that contributes the most in this area is the University of Wisconsin. Conclusions: It is concluded that scientific production within the framework of international trade between Asia and Colombia has had a notable increase, which can be explained by the opening of both continents as strategic allies and the new vision of logistics processes taking advantage of the strategic location of countries within the Pacific Ocean.

Polynomial Time Algorithm for Advertising and Publicity Campaign Problem (광고홍보활동 문제의 다항시간 알고리즘)

  • Sang-Un, Lee
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2023
  • This paper deals with the optimization problem that decides the number of advertising for any media among various medium to maximize the perception quality index of new product meets the given budget and over the minimum reached people constraints. For this problem, there is only in used the mathematical approach as linear programming (LP) software package and has been unknown the polynomial time algorithm. In this paper we suggest the heuristic algorithm with O(nlog n)time complexity to solve the optimal solution for this problem. This paper suggests the evaluation index to select the media most economically-efficient way and decides the media and the number of advertisement. While we utilize Excel, the proposed algorithm can be get the same optimal solution as LP for experimental data.

Investigation of trace elements in incisor and molar teeth from two different geographical areas in Sudan using micro-particle induced x-ray emission (µ-PIXE)

  • M.E.M. Eisa;J.A. Mars;S. Naidoo;R.A. Shibrain;K.J. Cloete;M. Maaza
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2023
  • Trace elements (TEs) have significant effects on both dental health and human health. Toxic effects are caused by deficiency or excess of TEs. This study was performed to determine levels of toxic and trace elements in incisor and molar teeth sampled from male and female participants residing in the north and south regions of Sudan. The tooth enamel of 18 extracted human teeth was analyzed using particle-induced x-ray emission (µ-PIXE) to determine its elemental profile and distribution. GeoPIXEII software package was used for the analysis of µ-PIXE data. The main elements determined were Na, Mg, P, S, Cl, K, Ca, Mn, Fe, Zn, Co, and Sr which were homogeneously distributed in the areas of the tooth enamel mapped with micro-PIXE.

A novel hybrid control of M-TMD energy configuration for composite buildings

  • ZY Chen;Yahui Meng;Ruei-Yuan Wang;T. Chen
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.475-483
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, a new energy-efficient semi-active hybrid bulk damper is developed that is cost-effective for use in structural applications. In this work, the possibility of active and semi-active component configurations combined with suitable control algorithms, especially vibration control methods, is explored. The equations of motion for a container bridge equipped with an MDOF Mass Tuned Damper (M-TMD) system are established, and the combination of excitation, adhesion, and control effects are performed by a proprietary package and commercial custom submodel software. Systematic methods for the synthesis of structural components and active systems have been used in many applications because of the main interest in designing efficient devices and high-performance structural systems. A rational strategy can be established by properly controlling the master injection frequency parameter. Simulation results show that the multiscale model approach is achieved and meets accuracy with high computational efficiency. The M-TMD system can significantly improve the overall response of constrained structures by modestly reducing the critical stress amplitude of the frame. This design can be believed to build affordable, safe, environmentally friendly, resilient, sustainable infrastructure and transportation.

Comparative Effect of Interventions for Fall Prevention in Hospitals: Network Meta-analysis (병원 입원 환자를 위한 낙상예방중재 효과의 비교우위: 네트워크 메타분석)

  • Kang, Hyunwook;Ko, Ji Woon
    • Journal of muscle and joint health
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.218-229
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aimed to assess and compare the effectiveness of various fall prevention interventions in hospitals through a network meta-analysis. Methods: A network meta-analysis was conducted using the "netmeta" package in R software (v4.1), employing a frequency method. Odds ratios of fall rates and injurious fall rates were utilized to confirm the effects of interventions for fall prevention. Comparative rankings of these interventions were determined using cumulative probability (P-score). Results: Comparative rankings via cumulative probability (P-scores) revealed individualized education as the most effective intervention for fall incidence (P-Score 87.8%). Followed by fall-preventing sensors (60.9%), multicomponent interventions (47.4%), usual care (33.2%), and environmental modification (20.7%). For fall-related injuries, individualized education ranked highest (P-Score 97.1%), followed by multicomponent interventions (76.0%), usual care (47.6%), environmental modification (24.2%), and fall-preventing sensors (5.1%). Conclusion: This study provides valuable insights into the relative effectiveness of diverse interventions in preventing fall incidence through network meta-analysis. The findings aim to support nurses in making informed decisions when implementing fall prevention strategies in clinical practice.

Brain Activation Pattern and Functional Connectivity Network during Experimental Design on the Biological Phenomena

  • Lee, Il-Sun;Lee, Jun-Ki;Kwon, Yong-Ju
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.348-358
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate brain activation pattern and functional connectivity network during experimental design on the biological phenomena. Twenty six right-handed healthy science teachers volunteered to be in the present study. To investigate participants' brain activities during the tasks, 3.0T fMRI system with the block experimental-design was used to measure BOLD signals of their brain and SPM2 software package was applied to analyze the acquired initial image data from the fMRI system. According to the analyzed data, superior, middle and inferior frontal gyrus, superior and inferior parietal lobule, fusiform gyrus, lingual gyrus, and bilateral cerebellum were significantly activated during participants' carrying-out experimental design. The network model was consisting of six nodes (ROIs) and its six connections. These results suggested the notion that the activation and connections of these regions mean that experimental design process couldn't succeed just a memory retrieval process. These results enable the scientific experimental design process to be examined from the cognitive neuroscience perspective, and may be used as a basis for developing a teaching-learning program for scientific experimental design such as brain-based science education curriculum.

Optimization and investigations of low-velocity bending impact of thin-walled beams

  • Hossein Taghipoor;Mahdi Sefidi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.159-181
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    • 2024
  • In the present study, the effect of geometrical parameters of two different types of aluminum thin-walled structures on energy absorption under three-bending impact loading has been investigated experimentally and numerically. To evaluate the effect of parameters on the specific energy absorption (SEA), initial peak crushing force (IPCF), and the maximum crushing distance (δ), a design of experiment technique (DOE) with response surface method (RSM) was applied. Four different thin-walled structures have been tested under the low-velocity impact, and then they have simulated by ABAQUS software. An acceptable consistency between the numerical and experimental results was obtained. In this study, statistical analysis has been performed on various parameters of three different types of tubes. In the first and the second statistical analysis, the dimensional parameters of the cross-section, the number of holes, and the dimensional parameter of holes were considered as the design variables. The diameter reduction rate and the number of sections with different diameters are related to the third statistical analysis. All design points of the statistical method have been simulated by the finite element package, ABAQUS/Explicit. The final result shows that the height and thickness of tubes were more effective than other geometrical parameters, and despite the fact that the deformations of the cylindrical tubes were around forty percent greater than the rectangular tubes, the top desirability was relevant to the cylindrical tubes with reduced cross-sections.