• Title/Summary/Keyword: PRICE S Model

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Consideration on Precedence of Crime Occurrence on Stock Price of Security Company (범죄 발생의 경비업체 주가에 대한 선행성 고찰)

  • Joo, Il-Yeob
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.34
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    • pp.313-336
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to derive an optimal regression model for occurrences of major crimes on a security company's stock price through identifying precedence of the occurrences of major crimes on the security company's stock price, relationship between the occurrences of major crimes and the security company's stock price. Followings are the results of this study. First, the occurrences of murder crime, robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime move along the security company's monthly stock price simultaneously, and the occurrence of violence crime precedes 6 months to the security company's monthly stock price depending on the results of cross-correlation analysis of precedence of occurrences of major crimes, such as murder crime, robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime, violence crime on the security company's monthly stock price. Second, the explanation of the occurrences of robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime on the security company's monthly stock price is 61.7%($R^2$ = .617) excluding murder crime, violence crime depending on the results of multiple regression analysis(stepwise method) by putting the occurrences of major crimes, such as murder crime, robbery crime, rape crime, theft crime, violence crime into the security company's monthly stock price.

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Optimization-Based Buyer-Supplier Price Negotiation: Supporting Buyer's Scenarios with Suppler Selection

  • Lee, Pyoungsoo;Jeon, Dong-Han;Seo, Yong-Won
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - The paper aims to propose an optimization model for supporting the buyer-seller negotiations. We consider the price, quality, and delivery as evaluation criteria, also recognized as objectives for negotiation. Research design, data, and methodology - The methodology used in this paper involves the input-oriented DEA with the inverse optimization. Under the existence of several potential suppliers, the price would be considered to be the decision variable to conclude the negotiation so as to meet the desired level of the quality and delivery. The data set for six suppliers with three criteria is examined by the proposed approach. Results - We present the decision aid model by displaying the price spectrum as the changes of desired output levels. It overcomes the shortcomings from previous researches mainly based on the discrete types of scenario generations. This approach shows that the obtained results help the buyer understand the trade-offs between price and performance when he/she considers the negotiation. Conclusions - The paper contributes to the numerical models for buyer-supplier negotiation in that the model for the supplier evaluation and selection is closely linked with the model for negotiation. In addition, it eliminates the unrealistic negotiation strategy, and provides the negotiation strategies that the buyer would not shift the burden on suppliers by maintaining the current efficiency.

An Empirical Study on Asymmetric Price Transmissions in the Distribution Channels of Fisheries Market (수산물 시장의 유통단계별 가격전달의 비대칭성에 관한 실증 분석)

  • Lee, Jung-Mi;Kim, Ki-Soo
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.59-78
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    • 2010
  • This paper tries to apply the asymmetrical price transmission(APT) behavior observed in the agricultural industry to supply chains of the domestic fishery industry by a statistical manner. The fore mentioned asymmetrical price transmission refers to when price movements in the later stage of the supply chain do not move in a normal or symmetrical manner corresponding to price movements in the earlier stage of the supply chain. Therefore, when the earlier stage price increase and the later stage price increases to a larger degree, it is called positive(+) asymmetry and the opposite behavior is called negative(-) asymmetry. The study examines the data from domestic producers of three fresh fish types, hairtail, mackerel, and cuttlefish, and tries to examine the price asymmetry between the producer or farm, wholesaler, and retail prices via an APT test utilizing unit root, cointegration, and error correction model. The study found, hairtail wholesale and retail pricing bas a negative asymmetric relationship while mackerel has a negative asymmetric pricing relationship at the producer and retail levels of the supply chain. In the case of cuttlefish, all levels of the supply chain showed negative asymmetrical behavior in the supply chain price transmission, meaning the earlier stage price changes are more rapidly and greatly inputted in the later stage of the supply chain pricing. We believe that the reason why the analysis results show negative price asymmetry is due to the uniqueness of fishery products having an important variable such as freshness. If price increases are greater and quicker than price decreases, then consumer demand, which is sensitive to price increases will decrease and subsequently result in the increase of inventory levels, reducing profits for retailers. Also, frozen hairtail, mackerel, and cuttlefish will act as substitute goods to fresh fishery products. Therefore, fresh fishery products have a high demand of price elasticity. When prices increase, demand quickly decreases. Therefore the profit of wholesalers and retailers to decrease, I think this is the main reason of APT in the supply chain of Korea' s fisheries industry.

A Deterministic Model for Optimal Pricing Decisions with Price-Driven Substitution (가격차에 의해 발생하는 수요대체효과를 고려한 정태적 최적가격결정 모형 수립)

  • Kim, Sang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2008
  • Market segmentation is a key strategic factor in increasing the expected profits, especially in the practice of revenue management. A manufacturing firm should manage both manufacturing quantities and pricing decisions over its segmented markets to maximize the expected profits, setting different price for each different segment. Also, market segments should be kept separate in order to prevent demand leakages between different market segments. In fact, even though the markets for different products are firmly segmented, it is not easy to keep separate segmentation because many products might be substitutable by customer buying behavior. That is, customers respond to price changes by purchasing other market's products instead of purchasing the originally requested products, which causes demand substitution effect ; This kind of substitution is referred to as price-driven substitution. Therefore, decisions on optimal prices should take into account the differences in customers' valuation of the different products. We consider a deterministic model for deciding optimal prices in the presence of price-driven substitution, and we compare both symmetrical-and asymmetrical-type demand substitutions between two segmented markets. The objective of this study is to develop analytical and numerical models to examine the impact of price-driven substitution on the optimal price levels and the total expected profits.

Dynamic Optimal Pricing for New Products in a Duopoly (복점시장에서 신상품의 동태적 최적가격설정에 관한 연구)

  • Jun, Duk-Bin;Choi, Li-Koon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.545-557
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    • 1997
  • This paper deals with dynamic optimal pricing for new products by a firm which maximizes the discounted profit stream of it's own in a duopoly. The problem is constructed as differential games and dynamic optimization theory. Cost is assumed to decline as time goes on. A modified customer's choice model is formulated as a diffusion model and we solve a dynamic optimization problem by adopting the diffusion model. Since this paper focus on deriving real prices not showing a time trend, we formulate recursive form equations of costate variables(shadow price) and a simultaneous equation of price. Hence we derive a dynamic optimal pricing model for using in real market. In particular, we construct a dynamic optimal pricing model in the case that there are benefits from not only new subscribers but also previous subscribers. We analyze instant camera market in U.S.A(1976-1985) by utilizing the above model.

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Measuring Preferences for Leaf Mustard Kimchi across Visit Purpose (방문목적에 따른 갓김치에 대한 구매 선호도 평가)

  • Kang, Jong-Heon;Jeong, Hang-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.659-667
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the combinated factors of leaf mustard kimchi which confer the highest utility on tourists, and to establish the relative factors of importance in terms of tourists' contribution to total utility to their tour purpose. Conjoint model, $X^2$ analysis, Max. Utility model, BTL model, Logit model, K-means cluster analysis, and one-way ANOVA analysis are used for this study. The findings from this study are as follows: First, the Pearson's R and Kendall's tau($\tau$) statistics shows that the model fits the data well to the tourists' visit purpose. Second, when they choose a sightseeing place, tourists' taste for food renowned in the local area is a very important factor. Third, the leaf mustard kimchi some tourists most prefer has light red color and mild taste, and they buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly at the kimchi factory. The leaf mustard kimchi the other tourists most prefer has light red color and highly pungent taste, and they buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly at the kimchi factory. Fourth, by the results of BTL model and Logit Model analysis, some tourists most prefer an experimental model of leaf mustard kimchi which has light red color and mild taste. They want to buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly at the kimchi factory. The other tourists most prefer an experimental model of leaf mustard kimchi which has light red color and highly pungent taste. They want to buy it in a shaped packing, at a cheap price and directly in the kimchi factory. Finally, the writer hopes this study will provide the kimchi marketers with some insights into the types of popular leaf mustard kimchi designs that could be successfully developed.

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A Fair Investigation on Safety Factor of Slope by Model Tests (모형실험에 의한 사면 안전율의 적정성 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Sik;Park, Choon-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2008.03a
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    • pp.1313-1323
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to understand behaviors of slopes and determine soil parameters of slopes through the triaxial compression test and the direct shear test. Following results were obtained by comparing and analyzing model tests and analysis programs of slope stability. The safety factors of the Bishop's simple method, the Morgenstern Price method, the Spencer method and the GLE method were similar to each other but safety factors of the Fellenius method and the Janbu method were different from the formers. It was found that the Bishop's simple method, the Morgenstern Price method, the Spencer method and the GLE method could be used for design but attention should be paid to the Fellenius method and the Janbu method since they underestimated safety factor.

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시내외 전화서비스 가격의 최적결정에 관한 실증연구

  • Ji, Gyeong-Yong
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.146-160
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    • 1988
  • The purpose of the present study is to build a model to determine the structure of long-term quasi-optimal rates of local and toll telephone services. The outline of this study is as follows : Telephone business, providing social goods, is capital-intensive industry which needs huge fixed cost to operate exchanges and telephone networks nationwide. The nature of above industry justifies the market structure of telephone business to be natural monopoly and makes a good reason for government's direct regulation, that is, price regulation. Three is a gap between the present rates and the quasi-optimal ones because some administrative processes intervene in rate making process before execution. On the above diagnostic basis, the present study made an empirical test for the optimality of present rates structure in connection with Ramsey-Boiteux model to maximize the sum of producer's and consumer's surplus and also the current study proposed a qusasi-optimal rates structure for better market performance. From the empirical analysis, we can deduce a policy recommendation the local price should be increased to 47% whereas toll price decreased to 24% in order to improve the net welfare worth of 32.6 billion won.

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Volatility Analysis of Housing Prices as the Housing Size (주택 규모에 따른 가격 변동성 분석)

  • Kim, Jongho;Chung, Jaeho;Baek, Sungjoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.432-439
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we evaluate the volatility of housing prices by using literature review and empirical analysis and furthermore we suggest how to improve. In order to diagnose housing market, the KB Bank's House Price Index, Real estate 114;s materials were compared. In addition, to examine the volatility, GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) and EGARCH (Exponential GARCH) model are used. By analysis of this research, we found the volatility of housing price also was reduced in the medium and the large houses since 1998, while the volatility of small housing price relatively was large. We proved that the price change rate of small housing was higher than the medium's. On the order hand, the supply of small apartments fell down sharply. The short-term oriented policy should be avoided, and the efficiency and credibility of policy should be increased. Furthermore, the long-term policy system should be established. and rental market's improvement is necessary for stabilization of housing market.

Development of the Roundwood Demand Prediction Model

  • Kim, Dong-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.95 no.2
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    • pp.203-208
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    • 2006
  • This study compared the roundwood demand prediction accuracy of econometric and time-series models using Korean data. The roundwood was divided into softwood and hardwood by species. The econometric model of roundwood demand was specified with four explanatory variables; own price, substitute price, gross domestic product, dummy. The time-series model was specified with lagged endogenous variable. The dummy variable reflected the abrupt decrease in roundwood demand in the late 1990's in the case of softwood roundwood, and the boom of plywood export in the late 1970's in the case of hardwood roundwood. On the other hand, the prediction accuracy was estimated on the basis of Residual Mean Square Errors(RMSE). The results showed that the softwood roundwood demand prediction can be performed more accurately by econometric model than by time-series model. However, the hardwood roundwood demand prediction accuracy was similar in the case of using econometric and time-series model.