• Title/Summary/Keyword: PRICE S 모델

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Effects of Growth Controls on Homebuilding in California Local Jurisdictions: Focusing on the late 1980s (캘리포니아 주내 지방정부의 성장관리 규제가 주택건설에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 1980년대말을 중심으로)

  • Pillsung Byun
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.906-921
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    • 2003
  • This paper discusses the price effects of local growth controls on the housing markets of California jurisdictions in the late 1980s empirically. Particularly, based on spatial econometric modeling, the study focuses on the homebuilding constrained by growth controls which is one of the price effects. The modeling produces the California-wide generalizable results, differentiates among the individual effects of various growth controls on homebuilding, and covers spatial effects. Thereby, this study intends to supplement the existing work on the price effects of growth controls. The modeling results find that restrictive residential zoning had the effect of significantly restricting housing construction in the late 1980s. On the other hand, urban growth boundaries had the effect of accommodating homebuilding. Population growth or housing permit caps and adequate public facility ordinances had no significant effects on housing construction.

International Diesel Price Prediction Model based on Machine Learning with Global Economic Indicators (세계 경제 지표를 활용한 머신러닝 기반 국제 경유 가격 예측 모델 개발)

  • A-Rin Choi;Min Seo Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.251-256
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    • 2023
  • International diesel prices play a crucial role in various sectors such as industry, transportation, and energy production, exerting a significant impact on the global economy and international trade. In particular, an increase in international diesel prices can burden consumers and potentially lead to inflation. However, previous studies have primarily focused on gasoline. Therefore, this study aims to propose an international diesel price prediction model. To achieve this goal, we utilize various global economic indicators and train a linear regression model, which is one of the machine learning methodologies. This model clearly identifies the relationship between global economic indicators and international diesel prices while providing highly accurate predictions. It is expected to aid in understanding overall economic trends including market changes.

Deep Learning-based Stock Price Prediction Using Limit Order Books and News Headlines (호가창(Limit Order Book)과 뉴스 헤드라인을 이용한 딥러닝 기반 주가 변동 예측)

  • Ryoo, Euirim;Kim, Chaehyeon;Lee, Ki Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2021.11a
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    • pp.541-544
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문은 어떤 기업의 주식 주문 정보를 담고 있는 호가창(limit order book)과 해당 기업과 관련된 뉴스 헤드라인을 사용하여 해당 기업의 주가 등락을 예측하는 딥러닝 기반 모델을 제안한다. 제안 모델은 호가창의 중기 변화와 단기 변화를 모두 고려하는 한편, 동기간 발생한 뉴스 헤드라인까지 예측에 고려함으로써 주가 등락 예측 정확도를 높인다. 제안 모델은 호가창의 변화의 특징을 CNN(convolutional neural network)으로 추출하고 뉴스 헤드라인을 Word2vec으로 생성된 단어 임베딩 벡터를 사용하여 나타낸 뒤, 이들 정보를 결합하여 특정 기업 주식의 다음 날 등락여부를 예측한다. NASDAQ 실데이터를 사용한 실험을 통해 제안 모델로 5개 종목(Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google, Tesla)의 일일 주가 등락을 예측한 결과, 제안 모델은 기존 방법에 비해 정확도를 최대 17.14%, 평균 10.7% 향상시켰다.

U.S. FRESH SALMON MARKET (미국의 연어 시장 가격 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Dae-Kyum Kim
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.99-114
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    • 1987
  • U. S. commercial landings of wild salmon have remained relatively stable for the past 5 years, averaging 300,000 MT. While the same period, U. S. imports of fresh salmon have increased over ten fold from 1.8 to over 19 million pounds. Over 70 percent of the new supplies of fresh salmon come from Norway. Norway exports to the United States were negligible in 1980 and 1981. However, U. S. imported 1,768 M. T. in 1983, 3,896 M. T. in 1984, and 6,272 M. T. in 1985. Over the past 5 years, import price of fresh wild salmon from Canada has declined steadily from $2.58 per pound to $1.25 per pound in 1985, while those from Norway had remained unchanged, ranging from $3.28 to $3.45 over the same period. Norway's cultured salmon entered the United States in 1985 at about $3.35/1b., roughly triple the price of Canadian fresh wild salmon imports. U. S. apparent consumption of fresh and frozen salmon has sharply increased from 50,000 MT in 1981 to 92,000 MT in 1985, up 86 percent over the five years. Annual per capita consumption has increased steadily from 0.47 pounds in 1981 to 0.85 pounds in 1985. The estimated demand models show that the annual wholesale price of fresh salmon in the U. S. market would be declined by increase in supplies and would be raised by increase in the U. S. GNP. The empirical results in this study show that wholesale price of fresh salmon in 1990 would remain unchanged at the 1985 level, under the following condition: 1) Norwegian production of Atlantic fresh salmon would reach 80,000 MT (176 million pounds by 1990) 2) Imports of Norwegian Atlantic fresh salmon would keep the same percentage (21%) of Norwegian productions in 1990 3) Imports from other countries and U. S. domestic production would increase and maintain the same level of 25% of U. S. total supplies in 1990 4) U. S. GNP would increase by $200 billion annually, slightly less than in the past years.

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Business Model Evaluation based on WTP Model: Pricing-by-rating(PBR) as the Baseline of Pricing Policy and a Criterion of Business Model Evaluation (WTP모델 기반의 비즈니스모델 평가: PBR, 가격책정과 비즈니스모델 평가기준)

  • Kim, In-Ho Stephen;Ku, Tae-Yong Daniel
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.157-165
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    • 2016
  • To provide the baseline for pricing, this paper proposes pricing-by-rating (PBR) as pricing model at micro-foundations level that can work as the baseline for all pricing models as well as an assessment criterion of business model in all circumstances. It sets up firstly WTP (willingness to pay/purchase) model from explicit needs and develops PBR based on the ordinal scale of the difference between the WTP and the WTS (willingness to supply/sell) by comparing individually the corresponding element/component of a firm's actual marketing mix 4P with that of the best SPEC (solution, price indicator by WTP, encouragement, channel) as an ideal 4P a customer expects and also by comparing the interaction between the 4P and the best SPEC as a whole collectively. And through illustrations it shows its applicability to evaluating business model in practice and finally asserts that PBR works as the baseline for pricing policy and as a criterion of business model evaluation in any circumstances.

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Generation Investment Model Development and Behavior Analysis using System Dynamics Approach (System Dynamics에 의한 발전설비투자 모델개발 및 행태 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Shil;Yoon, Yong-Beum
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.56 no.10
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    • pp.1731-1737
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    • 2007
  • The Korea electricity wholesale market is operated under the cost-based-pool system and the government regulation to the new generation capacities in order to insure the resource adequacy. The goal of government's regulation is the electricity market stability by attracting proper generation investment while keeping the reliability of system. Generation companies must mandatory observe that government plan by now. But if the restructuring is to be complete, generation companies should not bear any obligation to invest unless their profitability is guaranteed. Namely the investors' behavior will be affected by the market prices. In this paper, the system dynamics model for Korea wholesale electricity market to examine whether competitive market can help to stabilize is developed and analyzes the investors behavior. The simulation results show that market controlled by government will be operated stable without resulting in price spike but there is no lower price because of maintaining the reasonable reserve margin. However, if the competition is introduced and the new investment is determined by the investor's decision without government intervention, the benefits from lower wholesale price are expected. Nevertheless, the volatility in the wholesale market increases, which increases the investment risks.

The Optimal Timing of Markdowns: A Decision Model for Jean Market (가격인하 최적시기 연구: Jean Market을 대상으로 한 Decision Model를 중심으로)

  • 곽영식;김용준;남용식;이진화
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.606-617
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a decision model that helps manufacturers and retailers determine the optimal timing of markdown in order to maximize their profit. An optimal timing decision model was developed based on three steps; conjoint measurement, scenario analysis and simulation. Data were collected from the sample of 149 out of 170 undergraduate and graduate students in Seoul in 1997. From the Jeans market, 8 brands; Levi's, lee, Guess, Calvin Klein, Pintos, Get used, MFG, and Basic, were selected as competitors for this study. In the conjoint measurement, respondents estimated the level of preference, from 1 to 100, for each item in which brand, price, style, and colors were used to explain product characteristics. Then, in order to reflect competitive situation in Jeans market, four types of scenarios were developed. In each scenario, simulations were applied to decide optimal timing of markdowns that leads to maximal profitability and sales volume. The profit was calculated based on the equation; Profit = Jean's market volume x market share of each brand - cost, where market volume was obtained by integral calculus for market utility function, and market share by logit value of part-worth from the conjoint analysis. For the purpose of the parsimony of the research, costs and the level of markdown were fixed to 30% of the regular price. In results, the optimal timing decision model identified 3 different types of brands. The brands that do not need to take markdown were Ievi's, MFG, and Basic Jeans characterized by the highest brand power and the highest price zone. The brands that needed to take early markdowns were Guess, Lee, Calvin Klein, and Get Used with the intermediate level of brand power and price. The brand that need late markdown was Pintos with the weakest brand power among the competitors and the lowest price. The optimal range of markdown remains for further research.

A Study on the Prediction Model for Sales of Women's Golfwear with Data Mining: Focus on Macroeconomic Factors and Consumer Sales Price (데이터마이닝을 적용한 여성 골프웨어 판매 예측 모델 연구: 거시경제요인과 소비자판매가격을 중심으로)

  • Han, Ki-Hyang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.445-456
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the importance of variables affecting women's golf wear sales with macroeconomic variables and consumer selling prices that affect consumers' purchasing behavior, and to propose a price strategy to increase sales of golf wear. Data of domestic women's golf wear brands were analyzed using decision tree algorithms and ensemble. Consumer selling price is the most significant factors in terms of sales volume for T-shirt, pants and knit, while categories were found to be the most important factors in addition to consumer sales prices for skirt and one piece dress. These findings suggest that items have different economic variables that affect consumers' purchasing behavior, suggesting that sales and profits can be maximized through appropriate price strategies.

A study on stock price prediction system based on text mining method using LSTM and stock market news (LSTM과 증시 뉴스를 활용한 텍스트 마이닝 기법 기반 주가 예측시스템 연구)

  • Hong, Sunghyuck
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.223-228
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    • 2020
  • The stock price reflects people's psychology, and factors affecting the entire stock market include economic growth rate, economic rate, interest rate, trade balance, exchange rate, and currency. The domestic stock market is heavily influenced by the stock index of the United States and neighboring countries on the previous day, and the representative stock indexes are the Dow index, NASDAQ, and S & P500. Recently, research on stock price analysis using stock news has been actively conducted, and research is underway to predict the future based on past time series data through artificial intelligence-based analysis. However, even if the stock market is hit for a short period of time by the forecasting system, the market will no longer move according to the short-term strategy, and it will have to change anew. Therefore, this model monitored Samsung Electronics' stock data and news information through text mining, and presented a predictable model by showing the analyzed results.

Decision of optimal incentives and total order quantity with consideration of return rate of remanufacturing product (재생산 제품의 회수율을 고려한 최적 인센티브 및 총 주문량 결정)

  • Lee, Yong-Hyun;Lee, Chul-Ung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we develop the cost minimization model to select two incentives and total order quantity with consideration of remanufacture company's return incentive. Return rate is sensitive to the incentive that the manufacture company offers. Using a EOQ(Economic Order Quantity) model of a cost minimization, we show concavities of the model about two incentives and total order quantity respectively. According to the proposed algorithm using the concavities, we find out the optimized incentive prices and total order quantity. Through numerical study, we examine sensitive analysis of the incentive price and order quantity for each parameter when the return rate is sensitive to incentive. Company lessens incentive to reduce total price. However, this makes the total price increase due to a diminution of return quantity. We expect that domestic or overseas remanufacture businesses are able to decide optimal incentive and total order quantity by this research.