• Title/Summary/Keyword: PRICE S 모델

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A Time Series Graph based Convolutional Neural Network Model for Effective Input Variable Pattern Learning : Application to the Prediction of Stock Market (효과적인 입력변수 패턴 학습을 위한 시계열 그래프 기반 합성곱 신경망 모형: 주식시장 예측에의 응용)

  • Lee, Mo-Se;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.167-181
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    • 2018
  • Over the past decade, deep learning has been in spotlight among various machine learning algorithms. In particular, CNN(Convolutional Neural Network), which is known as the effective solution for recognizing and classifying images or voices, has been popularly applied to classification and prediction problems. In this study, we investigate the way to apply CNN in business problem solving. Specifically, this study propose to apply CNN to stock market prediction, one of the most challenging tasks in the machine learning research. As mentioned, CNN has strength in interpreting images. Thus, the model proposed in this study adopts CNN as the binary classifier that predicts stock market direction (upward or downward) by using time series graphs as its inputs. That is, our proposal is to build a machine learning algorithm that mimics an experts called 'technical analysts' who examine the graph of past price movement, and predict future financial price movements. Our proposed model named 'CNN-FG(Convolutional Neural Network using Fluctuation Graph)' consists of five steps. In the first step, it divides the dataset into the intervals of 5 days. And then, it creates time series graphs for the divided dataset in step 2. The size of the image in which the graph is drawn is $40(pixels){\times}40(pixels)$, and the graph of each independent variable was drawn using different colors. In step 3, the model converts the images into the matrices. Each image is converted into the combination of three matrices in order to express the value of the color using R(red), G(green), and B(blue) scale. In the next step, it splits the dataset of the graph images into training and validation datasets. We used 80% of the total dataset as the training dataset, and the remaining 20% as the validation dataset. And then, CNN classifiers are trained using the images of training dataset in the final step. Regarding the parameters of CNN-FG, we adopted two convolution filters ($5{\times}5{\times}6$ and $5{\times}5{\times}9$) in the convolution layer. In the pooling layer, $2{\times}2$ max pooling filter was used. The numbers of the nodes in two hidden layers were set to, respectively, 900 and 32, and the number of the nodes in the output layer was set to 2(one is for the prediction of upward trend, and the other one is for downward trend). Activation functions for the convolution layer and the hidden layer were set to ReLU(Rectified Linear Unit), and one for the output layer set to Softmax function. To validate our model - CNN-FG, we applied it to the prediction of KOSPI200 for 2,026 days in eight years (from 2009 to 2016). To match the proportions of the two groups in the independent variable (i.e. tomorrow's stock market movement), we selected 1,950 samples by applying random sampling. Finally, we built the training dataset using 80% of the total dataset (1,560 samples), and the validation dataset using 20% (390 samples). The dependent variables of the experimental dataset included twelve technical indicators popularly been used in the previous studies. They include Stochastic %K, Stochastic %D, Momentum, ROC(rate of change), LW %R(Larry William's %R), A/D oscillator(accumulation/distribution oscillator), OSCP(price oscillator), CCI(commodity channel index), and so on. To confirm the superiority of CNN-FG, we compared its prediction accuracy with the ones of other classification models. Experimental results showed that CNN-FG outperforms LOGIT(logistic regression), ANN(artificial neural network), and SVM(support vector machine) with the statistical significance. These empirical results imply that converting time series business data into graphs and building CNN-based classification models using these graphs can be effective from the perspective of prediction accuracy. Thus, this paper sheds a light on how to apply deep learning techniques to the domain of business problem solving.

A Path Analytic Exploration of Consumer Information Search in Online Clothing Purchases (온라인 의복구매를 위한 소비자 정보탐색의 경로분석적 탐구)

  • Kim, Eun-Young;Knight, Dee K.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.1721-1732
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    • 2007
  • This study identified types of information source, and explored a path model for consumer information search by shopping attributes in the context of online decision making. Participants completed self-administered questionnaires during regularly scheduled classes. A total of 219 usable questionnaires were obtained from respondents who enroll at universities in the southwestern region of the United States. For data analysis, factor analysis and path model estimation were used. Consumer information source was classified into three types for online clothing purchases: Online source, Offline retail source, and Mass media. Consumers were more likely to rely on offline retail source for online clothing purchases, than other sources. In consumer information search by shopping attributes, online sources were more likely to be related to transaction-related attributes(e.g., incentive service), whereas offline retail source(e.g., displays in stores, manufacturer's catalogs and pamphlets) were more likely to be related to product and market related attributes(e.g., aesthetics, price) when purchasing clothing online. Also, the path model emphasizes the effect of shopping attributes on traditional retailer search behavior, leading to online purchase intention for clothing. This study supports consumer information search by attributes, and discusses a managerial implication of multi-channel retailing for apparel.

A Study on the Security Problems of Smart TV and Consumer's Purchase Intention (스마트TV의 보안 문제와 소비자의 구매의도에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Sung-Phil;Lee, Gi-Hyouk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.382-393
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    • 2017
  • Smart TV sareequipped with an operating system and combined with internet functionality. They can use various apps and contents, and provide personalized and interactive services. However, the Internet connectivity of smart TVs has several security vulnerabilities that can cause significant personal and social harm. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a smart TV with a higher level of security than is currently available. In this study, we analyze consumers' purchase intention for smart TVs with security reinforcement by applying the UTAUT2 model. The results are as follows. Firstly, it was found that performance expectancy, social influence, facilitating conditions and price value, as important variables under the existing UTAUT2 model, have significant effects on purchase intention. Secondly, effort expectancy did not have a positive impact on purchase intention. Thirdly, there was a moderating effect of gender on social influence. According to the results of this study, social influence has the most powerful effect on the purchase intention of smart TVs with security reinforcement. Therefore, in order to improve the purchase intention of smart TVs, it is necessary to expand the publicity activities designed to promote the necessity and importance of reinforcing the security of smart TVs and make them easier to use.

Railroad Companies' competition structure in Tokyo, Japan (일본 동경권 철도회사의 경쟁구조와 경영비교분석)

  • Lim, Chai-Sung
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2006.11b
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2006
  • Japanese railroad companies continued growing by developing diversification based on a railroad enterprise. However, after entering in the 1990s, the diversification model of a railroad company reached the management limit. Under economic depression, A decrease in the birthrate and aging progressed and passenger transport changed to the downward tendency. Nevertheless, since railroad investment was expanded, railroad achievements got worse and price competitiveness with JR East Japan became weak. But the achievements of a diversification section got worse compared with the railroad enterprise. Therefore, group management was thought as important and enterprise reorganization was developed.

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A Numerical Study of the Effects of Land Characteristics on the Air Cooling (지표면 특성에 따른 대기 냉각 효과에 관한 수치적 연구)

  • An, Jae-Ho;Kim, Tae-Wan;Lee, Sang-Eun
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.264-271
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    • 2004
  • A three-dimensional numerical mesoscale model by Pielke's estimation (University of Virginia Mesoscale Model, UVMM) was applied to investigate the effects of land characteristics including land-humidity, land-roughness and land-albedo on some micro-climatic coefficients and the air cooling capacity. The results indicated that land-characteristics exposed a significant effect on air cooling. Air cooling effects between in urban and agricultural areas were compared and the effects were much higher in agricultural area. Air cooling effects of weed species were different and when converted into economic values by diesel oil price the effects were ranged from 411 to 816 Won/plant.

A Study on the Prediction of the Construction Cost in Planning Stage of Local Housing Union Project (지역주택조합사업 기획단계의 공사비 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.653-659
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    • 2018
  • The accurate prediction of construction cost is a key factor in a project's success. However, it is hard to predict the construction costs in the planning stages rapidly and precisely when drawings, specifications, construction cost calculation statements are incomplete, among other factors. Accurate construction-cost prediction in the planning stage of a project is also important for project feasibility studies and successful completion. Therefore, various techniques have been applied to accurately predict construction costs at an early stage when project information is limited. There are many factors that affect the construction cost prediction. This paper presents a construction-cost prediction method as multiple regression model with seven construction factors as independent variables. The method was used to predict the construction cost of a local housing union project, and the error rate was 4.87%. It is not possible to compare the cost of the project at the planning stage of the local housing union project, but it has high prediction accuracy compared to the unit price of an existing unit area. It is likely to be applied in construction-cost calculation work and to contribute to the establishment of the budget for the local housing union project.

Cosmetics Buying Patterns and Satisfaction among Female University Students in China, Japan and Korea (한.중.일 삼국여대생들의 화장품구매실태 연구)

  • Choi, Ju-Young;Kim, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Mi-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.1772-1783
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    • 2007
  • This study aimed to investigate differences in the purchasing patterns of and the levels of satisfaction with cosmetic products, and the method of disposing dissatisfied cosmetics for female university students among China, Japan and Korea. Survey was conducted with 1,200 female coeducational university students in Beijing, Tokyo and Seoul and 1,115 were used for the data analysis. Data were analysed by frequency analysis, Cronbach's ${\alpha}$, chi-square analysis, analysis of variance, Duncan's Multiple Range test. The results showed significant differences in purchasing behaviors in China, Japan and Korea. Japanese students mainly got information through objective sources, while Koreans did so through human network. Regrading the evaluative criteria for basic care items, function and effect were the most important criteria for Chinese and Korean consumers and skin compatibility for Japanese. For color make-up, Chinese, Japanese and Korean respondents respectively cared the most on brand image, convenience of purchase and the current trend. Chinese tended to shop cosmetics at department stores due to store reputation, Japanese preferred supermarkets and pharmacies and Koreans shopped at discount stores for low price. The most influential human sources were friends and colleagues for Chinese and Korean, and models on advertisements and magazines for Japanese. Korean respondents displayed the highest level of satisfaction with cosmetics followed by Japanese and Chinese. As for the methods of disposing dissatisfactory cosmetics, Chinese were the most active in exchanging for other product; Japanese and Korean were not likely to use or throw the products away.

Development of Standardized Model of Staffing Demand through Comparative Analysis of Labor Productivity by Foodservice's Meal Scale in Contract Foodservice Management Company (위탁급식전문업체의 급식소 식수 규모별 노동생산성 비교 분석에 따른 인력산정 모델 개발)

  • Park Moon-Kyung;Cho Sun-Kyung;Cha Jin-A;Yang Il-Sun
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.417-425
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study were to a) investigate operation of human resource in contract foodservice management company (CFMC), b) identify the staffing indices for the establishment an labor productivity for CFMC, and c) develop standardized model of staffing demand as foodservice's scale in CFMC. The data was collected using FS intra-net system from 138 contract-managed foodservice operations in A CFMC and statistical analysis was completed using the SAS/win package (ver. 8.0) for description analysis, ANOVA, Duncan multiple comparison, pearson correlation analysis, and regression analysis. The types of operation were included factory (45%), small scale operation (26%), office (11%), department store (10%), training institute (4%), and hospital (3%). The distribution of foodservice scale was classified by meal served was as follows; 'less than 500 meals (47%)', 'from 500 to 1500 meals (25%)', 'from 1500 to 2500 meals (17%)', and 'more than 2500 meals (12%)'. There was two types of contract method, fee-contract (53%) and profit-and-loss contract (46%) Some variables were significantly high operation indices such as selling price, food cost, monthly sales, net profit and others were significantly low operation indices such as labor, meal time a day in the small foodservice on meal scale (p<.001). The more foodservice was large, the more human resource was disposed on dietitian, cook, cooking employee altogether (p<.001). Foodservice in A CFMC was divided into 2 groups by 500 meals a day, according to comparative analysis of labor productivity as meal scale per working hour, meal scale a day and operation indices as meal per foodservice employee, meal per cooking employee (p<.001). The regression equation model was developed as 'the number of employees=1.82+0.014 ${\times}$ meal served' in the operation of less than 500 meals, 'the number of employees=9.42+0.013 ${\times}$ meal scale a day -0.94 ${\times}$ meal scale per working hour' in the operation over 500 meal scale using labor productivity indices and operation indices. Therefore, CFMC could be enhanced efficiency of human resource arrangement using the standardized model of staffing demand and would be increased effectiveness of profit.

Process Model for 6 Sigma(${\sigma}$) in Construction Management(CM) (건설사업관리(CM)에서의 6시그마(${\sigma}$) 적용 조건 분석을 통한 추진 모델 구축)

  • Kim, Chan-Gyo;Lee, Jea-Sauk;Chun, Jae-Youl
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.478-482
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    • 2006
  • The domestic enterprises in order to secure the freshness location of market from the international competition which is keen are propelling a price and a quality high position strategy steadily. It is put in competitive situation with the overseas enterprises and even from construction industry it follows in construction market opening and there is not another idea to the research the management strategies, directions and focus competitive elements of the enterprise against, what it sees consequently and to rise to the priority where the competitive power reinforcement of the enterprise is important, it becomes. Competitive power of like this enterprise for a reinforcement the technique which induces a big interest 6 Sigma is technique from the many companies. 6 sigma preceding researches of manufacturing and service industry the fact that it is accomplished with the object which will carry most. The research which relates with construction industry is staying to an introduction of 6 sigma the investigation phase, the actual introduction introduces and "S" construction there is not only a possibility against the application result of having a limit because it is applying. It is like that but like referring to a minute description for the international competitive power security which it follows in the change which market environment is sudden 6 sigma the introduction will judge, indispensability development of the logical propriety against hereupon and it will reach and it verifies the question investigation for to lead, 6 sigma of the construction companies it confirms the application possibility and presents the propulsion model as 6 sigma the fact that overcoming the limit characteristic of that introduction application as objective of sample research means it will do.

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Configuration of Premium Mobility Customer's Experience Using a Critical Incident Technique (결정적 사건기법을 이용한 프리미엄 모빌리티 고객의 이용경험 구성요인 분석)

  • Jeong, Hyein;Hong, Seokpyo;Chung, Namho
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.135-153
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    • 2024
  • With the recent emergence of smart tourist cities, premium mobility is being considered an important means of transportation in the tourism. However, there has been insufficient research conducted on the experience of premium mobility among its users. Accordingly, this study used CIT to analyze the components of the user experience of customers who used premium mobility. In order to specifically identify the factors that make up the premium mobility experience, 366 cases of satisfaction and 13 cases of dissatisfaction were collected through a total of 273 online surveys. As a result of the study, based on the customer's experience using premium mobility, CIT was applied to derive 6 categories and 9 sub-factors that constitute the perception of premium mobility. In particular, this study is different from existing studies in that convenience was added as a new category out of the 6 categories, and wide ride comfort and high price were derived as new sub-factors among the 9 sub-factors. Because of this, it has academic significance. Therefore, if scales suitable for quantitative research are developed based on the derived constructs, they could be widely applied to various topics related to premium mobility in the tourism field.