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The Study for NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model based on Exponentiated Exponential Distribution (지수화 지수 분포에 의존한 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.5 s.43
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2006
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, Goel-Okumoto and Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed, proposes the exponentiated exponential distribution reliability model, which maked out efficiency substituted for gamma and Weibull model(2 parameter shape illustrated by Gupta and Kundu(2001) Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE, AIC statistics and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure using NTDS data set for the sake of proposing shape parameter of the exponentiated exponential distribution was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the exponentiated exponential distribution model and the existing model (using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, bias tests) is presented.

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Application of Pharmacovigilance Methods in Occupational Health Surveillance: Comparison of Seven Disproportionality Metrics

  • Bonneterre, Vincent;Bicout, Dominique Joseph;De Gaudemaris, Regis
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.92-100
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: The French National Occupational Diseases Surveillance and Prevention Network (RNV3P) is a French network of occupational disease specialists, which collects, in standardised coded reports, all cases where a physician of any specialty, referred a patient to a university occupational disease centre, to establish the relation between the disease observed and occupational exposures, independently of statutory considerations related to compensation. The objective is to compare the relevance of disproportionality measures, widely used in pharmacovigilance, for the detection of potentially new disease ${\times}$ exposure associations in RNV3P database (by analogy with the detection of potentially new health event ${\times}$ drug associations in the spontaneous reporting databases from pharmacovigilance). Methods: 2001-2009 data from RNV3P are used (81,132 observations leading to 11,627 disease ${\times}$ exposure associations). The structure of RNV3P database is compared with the ones of pharmacovigilance databases. Seven disproportionality metrics are tested and their results, notably in terms of ranking the disease ${\times}$ exposure associations, are compared. Results: RNV3P and pharmacovigilance databases showed similar structure. Frequentist methods (proportional reporting ratio [PRR], reporting odds ratio [ROR]) and a Bayesian one (known as BCPNN for "Bayesian Confidence Propagation Neural Network") show a rather similar behaviour on our data, conversely to other methods (as Poisson). Finally the PRR method was chosen, because more complex methods did not show a greater value with the RNV3P data. Accordingly, a procedure for detecting signals with PRR method, automatic triage for exclusion of associations already known, and then investigating these signals is suggested. Conclusion: This procedure may be seen as a first step of hypothesis generation before launching epidemiological and/or experimental studies.

Design Sensitivity and Reliability Analysis of Plates (판구조물의 설계감도해석 및 신뢰성해석)

  • 김지호;양영순
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 1991
  • For the purpose of efficiently calculating the design sensitivity and the reliability for the complicated structures in which the structural responses or limit state functions are given by implicit form, the probabilistic finite element method is introduced to formulate the deterministic design sensitivity analysis method and incorporated with the second moment reliability methods such as MVFOSM, AFOSM and SORM. Also, the probabilistic design sensitivity analysis method needed in the reliability-based design is proposed. As numerical examples, two thin plates are analyzed for the cases of plane stress and plate bending. The initial yielding is defined as failure criterion, and applied loads, yield stress, plate thickness, Young's modulus and Poisson's ratio are treated as random variables. It is found that the response variances and the failure probabilities calculated by the proposed PFEM-based reliability method show good agreement with those by Monte Carlo simulation. The probabilistic design sensitivity evaluates explicitly the contribution of each random variable to probability of failure. Further, the design change can be evaluated without any difficulty, and their effect on reliability can be estimated quickly with high accuracy.

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The Study for NHPP Software Reliability Model based on Chi-Square Distribution (카이제곱 NHPP에 의한 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.1 s.39
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2006
  • Finite failure NHPP models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, Goel-Okumoto and Yamada-Ohba-Osaki model was reviewed, proposes the $x^2$ reliability model, which can capture the increasing nature of the failure occurrence rate per fault. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on SSE, AIC statistics and Kolmogorov distance, for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure using real data set, SYS2(Allen P.Nikora and Michael R.Lyu), for the sake of proposing shape parameter of the $x^2$ distribution using the degree of freedom, was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the $x^2$ model and the existing model using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, Kolmogorov test is presented.

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Warping and Buckling Prediction Model of Wooden Hollow Core Flush Door due to Moisture Content Change (I) : Comparison of Prediction Model with Experimental Results (목제(木製) 프러쉬 문의 함수율 변동에 따른 틀어짐과 좌굴 예측모델 (I) : 예측모델과 실측치 비교)

  • Kang, Wook;Jung, Hee-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.99-116
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    • 1999
  • Wooden hollow core flush door is one of the main products of furniture manufacturing and woodworking industries. Warping and buckling of the door is serious problems in service. It has been reported that warping is caused by differences of physical and mechanical properties of face and back of skin panel for the door. This study focused on the prediction of warping and buckling phenomena of the flush door using numerical models. Predictions from the models were also compared with the experimental results obtained from the doors with plywood and hardboard skin panels under various environmental conditions. Three elastic constitutive models, so called elastic beam model, plate model and plate-buckling model, were employed to predict warping and buckling of the doors. It was observed that warping was more pronounced in low humidity condition than in high humidity condition. The plate model considering Poisson's effect was reliable to predict warping more closely than elastic beam model in low humidity condition. The plate-buckling model, however, was the best in the fitting of predictions with the experimental results under high humidity condition because buckling was developed in face and back of skin panel at that condition.

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Development of a Numerical Method for the Evaluation of Ship Resistance and Self-Propulsion Performances (선박의 저항 및 자항성능 해석을 위한 수치기법 개발)

  • Kim, Jin;Park, Il-Ryong;Kim, Kwang-Soo;Van, Suak-Ho;Kim, Yoo-Chul
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2011
  • A RANS(Reynolds averaged Navier-Stokes) based numerical method is developed for the evaluation of ship resistance and self-propulsion performances. In the usability aspect of CFD for the hull form design, the field grid around practical hull forms is generated by solving a grid Poisson equation based on the hull surface grid generated from station offsets and centerline profile. A body force technique is introduced to model the effects of the propeller in which the propeller loads are obtained from potential flow analysis using an unsteady lifting surface method. The free surface is captured by using a two-phase level-set method and the realizable $k-{\varepsilon}$ model is used for turbulence closure. The hull attitude in vertical plane, i.e., trim and sinkage, is calculated by using a quasi-steady method and then considered in the computation by translating and rotating the grid system according to the values. For the validation of the proposed method, the numerical results of resistance tests for KCS, KLNG, and KVLCC1 and of self-propulsion test for KCS are compared with experimental data.

Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment for Campylobacter spp. on Ham in Korea

  • Lee, Jeeyeon;Ha, Jimyeong;Kim, Sejeong;Lee, Heeyoung;Lee, Soomin;Yoon, Yohan
    • Food Science of Animal Resources
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.674-682
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of illness from Campylobacter spp. on ham. To identify the hazards of Campylobacter spp. on ham, the general characteristics and microbial criteria for Campylobacter spp., and campylobacteriosis outbreaks were investigated. In the exposure assessment, the prevalence of Campylobacter spp. on ham was evaluated, and the probabilistic distributions for the temperature of ham surfaces in retail markets and home refrigerators were prepared. In addition, the raw data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHNES) 2012 were used to estimate the consumption amount and frequency of ham. In the hazard characterization, the Beta-Poisson model for Campylobacter spp. infection was used. For risk characterization, a simulation model was developed using the collected data, and the risk of Campylobacter spp. on ham was estimated with @RISK. The Campylobacter spp. cell counts on ham samples were below the detection limit (<0.70 Log CFU/g). The daily consumption of ham was 23.93 g per person, and the consumption frequency was 11.57%. The simulated mean value of the initial contamination level of Campylobacter spp. on ham was −3.95 Log CFU/g, and the mean value of ham for probable risk per person per day was 2.20×10−12. It is considered that the risk of foodborne illness for Campylobacter spp. was low. Furthermore, these results indicate that the microbial risk assessment of Campylobacter spp. in this study should be useful in providing scientific evidence to set up the criteria of Campylobacter spp..

Performance Evaluation of High Strength Concrete with Composite Fibers in Accordance with High Temperature (복합섬유가 혼입된 고강도 콘크리트의 고온가열에 따른 성능 평가)

  • Kim, Seung-Ki;Kim, Woo-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2015
  • The objective of the present study is to investigate how elevated temperature ranging from $100^{\circ}C$ to $800^{\circ}C$ as well as room temperature affects the variation of mechanical properties of high strength concrete ($over\;f_{ck}=60MPa\;grade$). In this experiment, specimens were exposed for a period of $2^{\circ}C/min$ to temperatures of $20^{\circ}C$, $100^{\circ}C$, $200^{\circ}C$, $300^{\circ}C$ $400^{\circ}C$, $500^{\circ}C$, $600^{\circ}C$, $700^{\circ}C$ and $800^{\circ}C$, respectively. Accordingly, the study investigated the fire resistance performance of high strength concrete mixed with composite fibers which composed with hybrid fibers and steel fibers. After cooling down to ambient temperature, the following basic mechanical properties were then evaluated and compared with reference values obtained prior to thermal exposure: (i) compressive strength in room temperature; (ii) residual compressive strength; (iii) Poisson's ratio; (iv) weight change; (v) SEM analysis & XRD analysis In addition, XRD and SEM Images analyses were performed to investigate chemical and physical characteristics of high strength concrete with composite fibers according to high temperature.

Calculation of Wave Resistance of a Hybrid Hydrofoil (복합지지형 고속선의 조파저항 계산)

  • Yoo, J.H.;Kim, Y.G.;Lew, J.M.
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1996
  • A potential-based panel method has been developed for numerical computation of wave resistance on a hybrid hydrofoil. Hybrid hydrofoil is composed of a main body, two struts and two hydrofoils. The main body, which is assumed to be an axisymmetric body for the present analysis, is normally used to support displacement of a body with its buoyancy. Normal dipoles and the sources are distributed on the body(main body, struts, hydrofoils) and the sources are distributed on the free surface. Linearized free surface and the radiation conditions are satisfied using the fourth order finite difference operator and the semi-linear pressure Kutta condition is used for the numerical computation of the hydrofoils. Poisson type free surface condition has been used for the numerical computation and hyperboloidal panel method has been used for better numerical accuracy. To verify this numeric method, model tests are performed in circulation water channel. From the comparison of experimental results with numeric ones, the present method can be used as a useful tool for the design of high speed vessels.

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Physics-based Algorithm Implementation for Characterization of Gate-dielectric Engineered MOSFETs including Quantization Effects

  • Mangla, Tina;Sehgal, Amit;Saxena, Manoj;Haldar, Subhasis;Gupta, Mridula;Gupta, R.S.
    • JSTS:Journal of Semiconductor Technology and Science
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2005
  • Quantization effects (QEs), which manifests when the device dimensions are comparable to the de Brogile wavelength, are becoming common physical phenomena in the present micro-/nanometer technology era. While most novel devices take advantage of QEs to achieve fast switching speed, miniature size and extremely small power consumption, the mainstream CMOS devices (with the exception of EEPROMs) are generally suffering in performance from these effects. In this paper, an analytical model accounting for the QEs and poly-depletion effects (PDEs) at the silicon (Si)/dielectric interface describing the capacitance-voltage (C-V) and current-voltage (I-V) characteristics of MOS devices with thin oxides is developed. It is also applicable to multi-layer gate-stack structures, since a general procedure is used for calculating the quantum inversion charge density. Using this inversion charge density, device characteristics are obtained. Also solutions for C-V can be quickly obtained without computational burden of solving over a physical grid. We conclude with comparison of the results obtained with our model and those obtained by self-consistent solution of the $Schr{\ddot{o}}dinger$ and Poisson equations and simulations reported previously in the literature. A good agreement was observed between them.