• Title/Summary/Keyword: PDF(Probabilistic Density Function)

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Approximate Probability Density for the Controlled Responses of Randomly Excited Saturated Oscillator (불규칙 가진을 받는 포화 진동계의 응답제어에 관한 확률밀도 추정)

  • 박지훈;김홍진;민경원
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2003
  • The non linear control algorithm with actuator saturation for a randomly excited oscillator has been widely explored and has shown promising results, but the probabilistic analysis of the algorithm has been rarely made due to its non-linear nature and the fact that the analytical solution of probability density function (PDF) for controlled responses does not exist. In this paper, a method for the probabilistic analysis on the non linear control algorithm with actuator saturation is proposed based on the equivalent non linear system method. Numerical examples are given to verify the approximation solution of PDF comparing to a statistically obtained PDF using a Gaussian white noise and a Kanai - Tagimi filtered Gaussian white noise.

Probabilistic Distribution of Displacement Response of Frictionally Damped Structures under Earthquake Loads (지진하중을 받는 마찰형 감쇠를 갖는 구조물의 변위 응답 확률 분포)

  • Lee, Sang-Hyun;Park, Ji-Hun;Youn, Kyung-Jo;Min, Kyung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.639-644
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    • 2007
  • The accurate peak response estimation of a seismically excited structure with frictional damping system(FDS) is very difficult since the structure with FDS shows nonlinear behavior dependent on the structural period, loading characteristics, and relative magnitude between the frictional force and the excitation load. Previous studies have estimated that by replacing a nonlinear system with an equivalent linear one or by employing the response spectrum obtained based on nonlinear time history and statistical analysis. In the case that on earthquake load is defined with probabilistic characteristics, the corresponding response of the structure with FDS has probabilistic distribution. In this study, nonlinear time history analyses were performed for the structure with FDS subjected to artificial earthquake loads generated using Kanai-Tajimi filter. An equation for the probability density function (PDF) of the displacement response is proposed by adapting the PDF of the normal distribution. Finally, coefficients of the proposed PDF is obtained by regression analysis of the statistical distribution of the time history responses. Finally, the correlation between PDFs and statistical response distribution is presented.

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Probabilistic assessment on the basis of interval data

  • Thacker, Ben H.;Huyse, Luc J.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.331-345
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    • 2007
  • Uncertainties enter a complex analysis from a variety of sources: variability, lack of data, human errors, model simplification and lack of understanding of the underlying physics. However, for many important engineering applications insufficient data are available to justify the choice of a particular probability density function (PDF). Sometimes the only data available are in the form of interval estimates which represent, often conflicting, expert opinion. In this paper we demonstrate that Bayesian estimation techniques can successfully be used in applications where only vague interval measurements are available. The proposed approach is intended to fit within a probabilistic framework, which is established and widely accepted. To circumvent the problem of selecting a specific PDF when only little or vague data are available, a hierarchical model of a continuous family of PDF's is used. The classical Bayesian estimation methods are expanded to make use of imprecise interval data. Each of the expert opinions (interval data) are interpreted as random interval samples of a parent PDF. Consequently, a partial conflict between experts is automatically accounted for through the likelihood function.

Probabilistic distribution of displacement response of frictionally damped structures excited by seismic loads

  • Lee, S.H.;Youn, K.J.;Min, K.W.;Park, J.H.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2010
  • Accurate peak response estimation of a seismically excited structure with frictional damping system (FDS) is very difficult since the structure with FDS shows nonlinear behavior dependent on the structural period, loading characteristics, and relative magnitude between the frictional force and the excitation load. Previous studies have estimated the peak response of the structure with FDS by replacing a nonlinear system with an equivalent linear one or by employing the response spectrum obtained based on nonlinear time history and statistical analysis. In case that earthquake excitation is defined probabilistically, corresponding response of the structure with FDS becomes to have probabilistic distribution. In this study, nonlinear time history analyses were performed for the structure with FDS subjected to artificial earthquake excitation generated using Kanai-Tajimi filter. An equation for the probability density function (PDF) of the displacement response is proposed by adapting the PDF of the normal distribution. Coefficients of the proposed PDF are obtained by regression of the statistical distribution of the time history responses. Finally, the correlation between the resulting PDFs and statistical response distribution is investigated.

Verification and estimation of a posterior probability and probability density function using vector quantization and neural network (신경회로망과 벡터양자화에 의한 사후확률과 확률 밀도함수 추정 및 검증)

  • 고희석;김현덕;이광석
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.325-328
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we proposed an estimation method of a posterior probability and PDF(Probability density function) using a feed forward neural network and code books of VQ(vector quantization). In this study, We estimates a posterior probability and probability density function, which compose a new parameter with well-known Mel cepstrum and verificate the performance for the five vowels taking from syllables by NN(neural network) and PNN(probabilistic neural network). In case of new parameter, showed the best result by probabilistic neural network and recognition rates are average 83.02%.

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In-plane response of masonry infilled RC framed structures: A probabilistic macromodeling approach

  • De Domenico, Dario;Falsone, Giovanni;Laudani, Rossella
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.68 no.4
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    • pp.423-442
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, masonry infilled reinforced concrete (RC) frames are analyzed through a probabilistic approach. A macro-modeling technique, based on an equivalent diagonal pin-jointed strut, has been resorted to for modelling the stiffening contribution of the masonry panels. Since it is quite difficult to decide which mechanical characteristics to assume for the diagonal struts in such simplified model, the strut width is here considered as a random variable, whose stochastic characterization stems from a wide set of empirical expressions proposed in the literature. The stochastic analysis of the masonry infilled RC frame is conducted via the Probabilistic Transformation Method by employing a set of space transformation laws of random vectors to determine the probability density function (PDF) of the system response in a direct manner. The knowledge of the PDF of a set of response indicators, including displacements, bending moments, shear forces, interstory drifts, opens an interesting discussion about the influence of the uncertainty of the masonry infills and the resulting implications in a design process.

Advance Probabilistic Design and Reliability-Based Design Optimization for Composite Sandwich Structure (복합재 샌드위치 구조의 개선된 확률론적 설계 및 신뢰성 기반 최적설계)

  • Lee, Seokje;Kim, In-Gul;Cho, Wooje;Shul, Changwon
    • Composites Research
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2013
  • Composite sandwich structure can improve the specific bending stiffness significantly and save the weight nearly 30 percent compared with the composite laminates. However, it has more inherent uncertainties of the material property caused by manufacturing process than metals. Therefore, the reliability-based probabilistic design approach is required. In this paper, the PMS(Probabilistic Margin of Safety) is calculated for the simplified fuselage structure made of composite sandwich to provide the probabilistic reasonable evidence that the classical design method based on the safety factor cannot ensure the structural safety. In this phase, the probability density function estimated by CMCS(Crude Monte-Carlo Simulation) is used. Furthermore, the RBDO(Reliability-Based Design Optimization) under the probabilistic constraint are performed, and the RBDO-MPDF(RBDO by Moving Probability Density Function) is proposed for an efficient computation. The examined results in this paper can be helpful for advanced design techniques to ensure the reliability of structures under the uncertainty and computationally inexpensive RBDO methods.

Harmonics Analysis of AC High Speed Railroad(HSR) System using Probabilistic Approach (확률론적 방법을 이용한 교류 고속철도 시스템의 고조파 해석)

  • Song Hak-Seon;Lee Jun-Kyong;Kim Jin-O;Kim Hyong-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.782-787
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    • 2005
  • Magnitude of generated harmonic currents along with the operation of AC traction has nonlinear characteristics, and generated harmonic currents for high speed traction are more and more in high speed railroad(HSR) systems, especially. This paper presents probabilistic approximation method for the harmonic currents analysis about the operating speed of AC traction. To use probabilistic method for HSR system, probability density function(PDF) for collected operating speed based measure data is calculated. Mean and variance of harmonic currents of single traction are obtained based on the operating speed PDF and electrical traction model. The results of Monte Carlo Simulation(MCS) are in well accordance with the experimental and analytic methods. The harmonics of different number of trainloads are systematically investigated. It is assessed by the total demand distortion(TDD) for the HSR system.

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Probabilistic Assessment of life Time for Gas Pipe Lines (통계적 방법을 통한 가스배관의 잔여수명 예측)

  • Choe, B.H.;Lee, S.H.;Kim, Y.P.;Kim, W.S.;Ko, Y.T.
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.234-239
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    • 2004
  • A study on the probabilistic methodology for the estimation of the remaining life of Pressurized pipelines containing active corrosion defects is presented. This reliability assessment is earned out using extream value distribution of the corroded defects instead of already published failure perssure moded like NG18 or ASME B31G. The failure probability of pipelines depends on the number of corroded defects. and it could be calculated directly as the area exceeded a defined L V(Limited Value of corrosion depth). The remaining life of pressurized pipelines can also be estimated by the PDF of extream value distribution as calculating the exceeded area with a defined failure probability.

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Harmonics Analysis of Railroad Systems using Probabilistic Approach (철도계통 고조파 분석에 확률론적 방법 적용)

  • Song, Hak-Seon;Lee, Jun-Kyong;Lee, Seung-Hyuk;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.214-216
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    • 2005
  • A magnitude of generated harmonic currents along with the operation of traction has nonlinear characteristics. The harmonic currents generated along with the operating speed of electrical railroad traction is to analyze very difficulty. This paper therefore presents probabilistic approach for the harmonic currents evaluation about the operating speed of the arbitrary single traction. To use probabilistic method for railroad system, probability density function(PDF) using measuring data based on the realistic harmonic currents per operating speed is calculated. Mean and variance of harmonic currents of single traction also are obtained the PDF of the operating speed and electrical railroad traction model. Uncertainty of harmonic currents expects to results through mean and variance with PDF. The probability of harmonic currents generated with the operating of arbitrary many tractions is calculated by the convolution of functions. The harmonics of different number of tractions are systematically investigated. It is assessed by the total demand distortion(TDD) for the railroad system.

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