• Title/Summary/Keyword: P&A 모형

Search Result 1,461, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

Survival Analysis of Forest Fire-Damaged Korean Red Pine (Pinus densiflora) using the Cox's Proportional Hazard Model (콕스 비례위험모형을 이용한 산불피해 소나무의 생존분석)

  • Jeong Hyeon Bae;Yu Gyeong Jung;Su Jung Ahn;Won Seok Kang;Young Geun Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.113 no.2
    • /
    • pp.187-197
    • /
    • 2024
  • In this study, we aimed to identify the factors influencing post-fire mortality in Korean red pine (Pinus densiflora) using Cox's proportional hazards model and analyze the impact of these factors. We monitored the mortality rate of fire-damaged pine trees for seven years after a forest fire. Our survival analysis revealed that the risk of mortality increased with higher values of the delta normalized difference vegetation index (dNDVI), delat normalized burn ratio (dNBR), bark scorch index (BSI), bark scorch height (BSH) and slope. Conversely, the risk of mortality decreased with higher elevation, greater diameter at breast height (DBH), and higher value of delta moisture stress index (dMSI) (p < 0.01). Verification of the proportional hazards assumption for each variable showed that all factors, except slope aspect, were suitable for the model and significantly influenced fire occurrence. Among the variables, BSI caused the greatest change in the survival curves (p < 0.0001). The environmental change factors determined through remote sensing also significantly influenced the survival rates (p < 0.0001). These results will be useful in establishing restoration plans considering the potential mortality risk of Korean red pine after a forest fire.

Evaluation of Correlation between Chlorophyll-a and Multiple Parameters by Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (다중회귀분석을 이용한 낙동강 하류의 Chlorophyll-a 농도와 복합 영향인자들의 상관관계 분석)

  • Lim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Young-Woo;Lee, Jae-Ho;Park, Tae-Joo;Byun, Im-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.37 no.5
    • /
    • pp.253-261
    • /
    • 2015
  • In this study, Chlorophyll-a (chl-a) prediction model and multiple parameters affecting algae occurrence in Mulgeum site were evaluated by statistical analysis using water quality, hydraulic and climate data at Mulgeum site (1998~2008). Before the analysis, control chart method and effect period of typhoon were adopted for improving reliability of the data. After data preprocessing step two methods were used in this study. In method 1, chl-a prediction model was developed using preprocessed data. Another model was developed by Method 2 using significant parameters affecting chl-a after data preprocessing step. As a result of correlation analysis, water temperature, pH, DO, BOD, COD, T-N, $NO_3-N$, $PO_4-P$, flow rate, flow velocity and water depth were revealed as significant multiple parameters affecting chl-a concentration. Chl-a prediction model from Method 1 and 2 showed high $R^2$ value with 0.799 and 0.790 respectively. Validation for each prediction model was conducted with the data from 2009 to 2010. Training period and validation period of Method 1 showed 20.912 and 24.423 respectively. And Method 2 showed 21.422 and 26.277 in each period. Especially BOD, DO and $PO_4-P$ played important role in both model. So it is considered that analysis of algae occurrence at Mulgeum site need to focus on BOD, DO and $PO_4-P$.

Computation of Tides for Off Kyungnam Coast with Dynamically Combined Two-Dimensional and Three-Dimensional Tidal Model (2차원 및 3차원 동적복합조석모형에 의한 경남해역의 조석산정)

  • 최병호;우승범
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.7 no.2
    • /
    • pp.176-197
    • /
    • 1995
  • Two-dimensional and three-dimensional structures of tidal currents on southeastern waters of Korea off Kyungnam coast were investigated via a series of numerical models based on dynamic principles. With a two-dimensional tidal model, tidal regimes of major eight tidal constituents (M$_2$, S$_2$, K$_1$, O$_1$, N$_2$, K$_2$, P$_1$, Q$_1$) were computed. Model results showed that the computed results were in good agreement with coastal observations. On the basis of these results the model was further improved to compute three-dimensional structure of tidal current in inner Jinhai and Masan Bay regions of the model area where severe pollutions occur due to red tide by combination of the previous two-dimensional model and inner three-dimensional model. For this work, three-dimensional Galerkin-Spectral model and two-dimensional depth-integrated model are dynamically combined by the method presented by Davies (1980). In addition to the previous work by Davies, the advective term and quadratic bottom friction term are included in present Three-dimensional numerical model. The computed results of M$_2$ tidal current ellipses with respect to depth showed general agreements with those of current observations by KORDI (1990).

  • PDF

Development of AI Convergence Education Model Based on Machine Learning for Data Literacy (데이터 리터러시를 위한 머신러닝 기반 AI 융합 수업 모형 개발)

  • Sang-Woo Kang;Yoo-Jin Lee;Hyo-Jeong Lim;Won-Keun Choi
    • Advanced Industrial SCIence
    • /
    • v.3 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-16
    • /
    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a machine learning-based AI convergence class model and class design principles that can foster data literacy in high school students, and to develop detailed guidelines accordingly. We developed a machine learning-based teaching model, design principles, and detailed guidelines through research on prior literature, and applied them to 15 students at a specialized high school in Seoul. As a result of the study, students' data literacy improved statistically significantly (p<.001), so we confirmed that the model of this study has a positive effect on improving learners' data literacy, and it is expected that it will lead to related research in the future.

Analysis and Prediction of Anchovy Fisheries in Korea ARIMA Model and Spectrum Analysis (한국 멸치어업의 어획량 분석과 예측 ARIMA 모델 및 스펙트럼 해석)

  • PARK Hae-Hoon;YOON Gab-Dong
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.29 no.2
    • /
    • pp.143-149
    • /
    • 1996
  • Forecasts of the monthly catches of anchovy in Korea were carried out by the seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and spectral analysis. The seasonal ARIMA model is as follows: $$(1-0.431B)(1-B^{12})Z_t=(1-0.882B^{12})e_t$$ where: $Z_t=value$ at month $t;\;B^{p}$ is a backward shift operator, that is, $B^pZ_t=Z_{t-p};$ and $e_t=error$ term at month t, which is to forecast 24 months ahead the anchovy catches in Korea. The prediction error by the Box-Cox transformation on monthly anchovy catches in Korea was less than that by the logarithmic transformation. The equation of the Box-Cox transformation was $Y'=(Y^{0.58}-1)/0.58$. Forecasts of the monthly anchovy catches for $1991\~1992$, which were compared with the actual catches, had an absolute percentage error (APE) range of $1.0\~63.2\%$. Total observed annual catches in 1991 and 1992 were 170,293 M/T and 168,234 M/T respectively, while the predicted catches were 148,201 M/T and 148,834 M/T $(API\;13.0\%\;and\;11.5\%,\;respectively)$. The spectrum analysis of the monthly catches of anchovy showed some dominant fluctuations in the periods of 2.2, 6.1, 10.2 12.0 and 14.7 months. The spectrum analysis was also useful for selecting the ARIMA model.

  • PDF

Monitoring of Seawater Intrusion in Unconfined Physical Aquifer Model using Time Domain Reflectometry (자유면 대수층 모형에서의 TIME DOMAIN REFLECTOMETRY를 이용한 해수침투 모니터링)

  • 김동주;하헌철;온한상
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.13 no.1
    • /
    • pp.17-27
    • /
    • 2003
  • In this study, a phenomenon of saltwater intrusion was monitored under various conditions regarding recharge and pumping rate using time domain reflectometry for a laboratory scale unconfined aquifer to verify the basic theory behind seawater intrusion and to investigate movement of salt-freshwater interface in accordance with the ratio of pumping and recharge rate. Results showed that a thick mixing zone was formed at the boundary instead of a sharp salt-freshwater interface that was assumed by Ghyben and Herzberg who derived an equation relating the water table depth $(H_f)$ to the depth to the interface $(H_s)$. Therefore our experimental results did not agree with the calculated values obtained from the Ghyben and Herzberg equation. Position of interface which was adopted as 0.5 g/L isochlor moved rapidly as the Pumping rate $(Q_p)$ increased for a given recharge rate $(Q_r)$. In addition, interface movement was found to be about 7 times the ratio of $Q_p/Q_r$ in our experimental condition. This indicates that Pumping rate becomes an important factor controlling the seawater intrusion in coastal aquifer.

Performance of Angstrom-Prescott Coefficients under Different Time Scales in Estimating Daily Solar Radiation in South Korea (시간규모가 다른 Angstrom-Prescott 계수가 남한의 일별 일사량 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Mi-Hee;Yun, Jin-I.;Chung, U-Ran;Moon, Kyung-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.12 no.4
    • /
    • pp.232-237
    • /
    • 2010
  • While global solar radiation is an essential input variable in crop models, the observation stations are relatively sparse compared with other meteorological elements. Instead of using measured solar radiation, the Angstrom-Prescott model estimates have been widely used. Monthly data for solar radiation and sunshine duration are a convenient basis for deriving Angstrom-Prescott coefficients (a, b), but it is uncertain whether daily solar radiation could be estimated with a sufficient accuracy by the monthly data - derived coefficients. We derived the Angstrom-Prescott coefficients from the 25 years observed global solar radiation and sunshine duration data at 18 locations across South Korea. In order to figure out any improvements in estimating daily solar radiation by replacing monthly data with daily data, the coefficients (a, b) for each month were derived separately from daily data and monthly data. Local coefficients for eight validation sites were extracted from the spatially interpolated maps of the coefficients and used to estimate daily solar radiation from September 2008 to August 2009 when, pyranometers were operated at the same sites for validation purpose. Comparison with the measured radiation showed a better performance of the daily data - derived coefficients in estimating daily global solar radiation than the monthly data - derived coefficients, showing 9.3% decrease in the root mean square error (RMSE).

Validity, Reliability and Reproducibility of Space Analysis using Digital Model taken via Model Scanner and Intraoral Scanner: An In vivo Study (모델 스캐너와 구내 스캐너로 획득한 디지털 모형에서 시행한 공간 분석의 타당도, 신뢰도, 재현성 평가)

  • Park, Seohyun;Kim, Jongsoo;Oh, Sohee
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
    • /
    • v.47 no.2
    • /
    • pp.176-187
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate validity, reliability and reproducibility of tooth width (TW), arch length (AL) and arch length discrepancy (ALD) measured on a digital model taken via 3-dimensional model scanner and intraoral scanner compared to a plaster model. A total of 30 patients aged 12 to 18 were eligible for the study. 3 types of models were acquired from each patient: a conventional plaster model (P), a model scanned digital model (MSD) taken via Freedom UHD® and an intraoral scanned digital model (ISD) taken via CS3600® in-vivo. The reliability of TW and AL in each group was evaluated using Pearson's correlation coefficient, while the reproducibility was evaluated with intraclass correlation coefficient. The validity of space analysis was assessed by paired t-test. As a result, all measurements of P, MSD and ISD groups showed favorable reliability and reproducibility. Most of measurements for space analysis in MSD group and TW in ISD group also presented high validity. AL and ALD presented statistically significant difference between P and ISD group. The validity of measurements of space analysis in ISD group was short in doubt to valid, but clinically acceptable. Both MSD and ISD are clinically acceptable to use for space analysis but clinician should be aware that errors can be found using a digital model.

Analysis of Relationship between Housing Tenure and Birth in Newlywed Couples by Using Panel Data (패널자료를 이용한 신혼가구의 주택점유형태와 출산 관계 연구)

  • Shin, Hyungsub
    • Land and Housing Review
    • /
    • v.13 no.3
    • /
    • pp.39-55
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this study, we investigate the interrelationship between housing tenure and childbirth by exploiting the correlation probability effect method that accounts for household heterogeneity. Using the newlywed household panel from 2011 to 2022, we find that home ownership has a positive impact on childbirth in newlyweds. Specifically, newlywed households with housing tenure show a 6.2%p higher birth rate and a 5.7%p higher second childbirth than newlywed households living in rented houses. For the case of first childbirth, we employ the probability effect probit model since the endogeneity was not detected between housing tenure and birth rate. We document the differential effects of housing tenure on childbirth in that the first childbirth rate is higher for households without housing tenures. The negative effects on first childbirth could be attributed to the economic burden due to initial housing ownership, while housing tenure could eventually provide housing stability, leading to positive effects on more than one childbirth. Finally, we identify that households with childbirth over the last year show a 4.2%p and 3.9%p lower probabilities of housing tenure in the total sample and second childbirth sample, respectively. This suggests that the increased living cost due to childbirth could delay home ownership.

A Study of a Model for Calculating Passing Sight Distance (추월시거 산정 모형에 관한 연구)

  • 김영호;손봉수;전경수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.75-92
    • /
    • 1997
  • 추월가능성을 판단하기 위해서 앞을 바라볼 수 있어야 하는 거리를 추월시거라 한다. 적절한 추원시거의 확보는 2차선 도로의 효율성과 운전자의 안전성 제고 및 도로설계시 매우 중요하다. 이러한 목적을 위하여 추월시거를 산정할 수 있는 여러 모형이 개발되었으나, 실제 교통상황을 반영하기에 많은 문제점을 안고 있음이 지적되고 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 기존 모형들의 이론적 배경을 고찰하고, 각 모형의 단점과 한계를 파악하여, 운전자의 실제 추월형태를 고려한 새로운 추월시거산정모형을 개발하는데 주안점을 두고 있다. 본 논문에서 개발한 PASS모형은 현재 미국에서 도로설계시 기준으로 사용되고 있는 AASHTO모형을 보완하여 구축하였다. 기존의 모형들은 서로 다른 조건을 가정하여 개발되었기 때문에 각 모형들의 추월시거 산정값을 비교분석하는데 어려움이 있다. 하지만 PASS모형은 운전자의 반응시간, 차량의 길이, 차량의 가속능력 등 실제 추월시거 산정시 반드시 고려해야 할 중요한 요소들을 특성치로 반영할 수 있게 함으로써 다양한 추월 상황과 현실적인 교통상황을 폭넓게 수용할 수 있는 장점을 갖고 있다. 본 논문에서는 새로 개발한 P SS모형을 이용하여 얻은 결과와 기존의 AASHTO모형, MUTCD모형, Glennon모형을 통해 얻은 결과를 비교하였으며, PASS모형에 우리나라 현실에 적합한 특성치를 적용하여 2차로 도로의 추월시거를 산정하였다. 이 결과 현재 우리나라 도로용량편람에서 제시하고 있는 추월기능구간 기준인 450m가 설계속도가 낮은 일반국도에는 타당함을 확인할수 있었다. 그러나, 설계속도가 높은 화물타의 운행빈도가 높은 고속국도의 경우, 재검토가 필요할 것으로 판단된다.기존의 광유계 윤활제에 비하여 대단히 고가하는 문제점을 갖고 있다. 그러나 윤활 마찰면의 다양화와 가혹한 사용조건은 자성유체 윤활제의 연구개발 필요성을 크게 증대시키고 있다.xed Effects Model)을 결정하고, 각각에 해당하는 통계모형을 구축하였다. 이 결과 (1) 업종 및 기업규모별로 그룹간에 유의한 특성이 발견되었으며, (2) R&D 및 광고투자는 기업의 시장성과를 설명하는 중요한 변수이나, (3) R&D 투자의 경우는 광고에 비해 불확실성이 존재하는 것으로 나타났고, (4) 수리모형에서 도출된 한계원리가 통계모형에서도 유효한 것으로 드러났다.등을 토대로 한 10대 산업을 육성하기 위하여 과학기술부는 기술수요조사를 바탕으로 49개 주요기술을 도출하여, 과학기술 일류 국가 실현, 국민소득 2만불 달성이라는 국가적 슬로건을 내걸고 “차세대 성장동력” 창출을 위한 범정부차원의 기획과 연구비의 집중투자를 추진하고 있다.달성하기 위해서는 종합류류 전산망의 시급한 구축과 함께 화물차의 적재율을 높이고 공차율을 낮출 수 있는 운송체계의 수립이 필요한 것으로 판단된다. 그라나 이러한 화물전용차선의 효과는 단기적인 치유책일 수밖에 없기 때문에 물류유통 시설의 확충을 위한 사회간접자본의 구축을 서둘러 시행하여야 할 것이다.으로 처리한 Machine oil, Phenthoate EC 및 Trichlorfon WP는 비교적 약효가 낮았다.>$^{\circ}$E/$\leq$30$^{\circ}$NW 단열군이 연구지역 내에서 지하수 유동성이 가장 높은 단열군으로 추정된다. 이러한 사실은 3개 시추공을 대상으로 실시한 시추공 내 물리검층과

  • PDF