• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.293-299
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• 2009

이 논문에서는 대구 두 개 동의 시간별 오존농도를 예측하는 모형으로 회귀, 자기회귀누적이동평균, 자기회귀누적이동평균 오차를 가지는 회귀 같은 선형모형들을 고려하였다. 평균제곱오차제곱근에 근거하여 보았을 때 한 개 동에서는 자기회귀누적이동평균 모형이 최적의 모형으로 선택되었고, 다른 동에서는 자기회귀누적이동평균 오차를 가지는 회귀 모형이 최적 모형으로 선택되었다. 이 최적의 모형으로부터 나온 잔차들의 변동석 분석을 수행하였는데 이를 통해 120 ppb를 넘는 오존 주의보 날짜를 예측하였다. 2000년에서 2003년까지의 훈련용 자료에 근거하여 보았을 때 잔차값의 경계값으로 35 ppb를 잡았을 때 오존주의보 날짜를 예측하는데 좋은 결과를 보였다. 하나의 동에서는 2004년의 오존주의보가 발령된 이틀 중 하루와 나머지 주의보가 발령되지 않은 364일을 모두 정확히 예측하였다. 다른 동에서는 2004년의 오존주의보가 발령된 하루와 주의보가 발령되지 않은 365일을 모두 정확히 예측하였다.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.267-280
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• 1999

To investigate the characteristics of high-ozone occurrences in the Greater Seoul Area(GSA), three high-ozone episodes were selected, for which the ozone warning for concentration above 120 ppb might be issued. The selection was on the basis of morning wind directions and speeds, and daily maximum ozone concentrations measured between 1990 and 1997. The episodes chosen to meet selection criteria were seven days in July 1992, nine days in July 1994, and three days in August 1994, as respectively characterized by southwesterly, easterly, and calm winds in the morning. However, more than 80% of high-ozone days in the GSA were associated with calm winds and the concomitant accumulation of local emission in the morning, rather than being due to transport of ozone or its precursors. This is believed to be the primary reason why ozone concentrations in the GSA varied in a completely different manner even between adjacent monitoring stations. Several premises for initiating research studies for resolving these local variations of ozone concentrations in the GSA are also discussed.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제24권8호
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• pp.993-1001
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• 2015

Comparing to the other air pollutants like $SO_2$, CO, the number of exceedance of the ozone national ambient air quality standard(NAAQS) and the ozone warning increased recently in Busan. The purpose of this study is to find out the preliminary symptoms for high ozone days in Busan area. In order to find out the preliminary symptoms, the hourly ozone data at air quality monitoring stations and the hourly meterological parameters at Busan regional meteorological 2007 to 2013 were used for the analysis. Averaged daily max ozone concentration was the highest(0.055 ppm) at Noksan and Youngsuri in the ozone season from 2007 to 2013. The horizontal distributions of daily max. ozone including all stations in Busan at high ozone days(the day exceeding 0.1 ppm of ozone concentration at least one station) were classified from two to five clusters by hierarchial cluster analysis. The meteorological variables showing strong correlation with daily max. ozone were the daily mean dew point temperature, averaged total insolation, the daily mean relative humidity and the daily mean cloud amount. And the most frequent levels were $19-23^{\circ}C$ in dew point temperature, $21-24 MJ/m^2$ in total insolation on the day before, $2.6-3.0 MJ/m^2$ on the very day, 67-80% in relative humidity and 0-3 in cloud amount.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.215-224
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• 2004

We report the high concentration episodes for PM$_{10}$, SO$_2$, NO$_2$, and $O_3$ in many urban areas Korea during 2002. The high concentration episodes are identified based on the National Ambient Air Quality Standards and the observations obtained from the Regional Air Monitoring Network composed of approximately 160 air pollution monitoring stations located in a number of major or big cities in South Korea including Seoul, Pusan, Daegu, and Incheon cities. The results show that the twenty cases of high concentration episodes in 2002 consists of both ozone warning episodes (6 cases) and high PM$_{10}$ concentration cases (14 cases), and one half of the latter are found to occur in association with the Yellow Sand (Asian Dust) phenomena. The most outstanding characteristics of the reported episodes are the excessively high levels of maximum PM$_{10}$ concentrations during the Yellow Sand period (i.e., exceeding 3,000$\mu\textrm{g}$/㎥ in April, 2002) and their variable occurrence frequencies across seasons. The high ozone concentration episode days are mainly resulting from both the high photochemical reactions and poor ventilations. The high PM$_{10}$ concentration days during non Yellow Sand periods, however, mostly occurred under the influence of synoptic meteorological conditions such as stagnant or slowly passing high pressure centers, and consequently prevailing weak wind speeds over the Korean peninsula. The overall results of our study thus suggest the importance of both synoptic and local meteorological factors for high concentration levels in the major and/or big cities in Korea.n Korea.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.283-296
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• 2005

본 연구에서는 복사전달모델을 통하여 $9.7{\mu}m$오존 흡수대에 미치는 오존 및 열적(i.e., 지표 온도) 효과를 각각 조사하였다. 또한 오존주의보가 수도권 지역(37.2-37.7 N, 125.7-127.2 E)에 발령되었던 2003년 4일에 대한 위성(MODIS Aqua; ECT 13:30) 및 지상 오존(79개 관측소)의 동시 관측 자료를 기초로 지상 오존에 대한 원격탐사 방법을 제시하였다. 여기서 구름 효과를 제거하고 오존 연직 분포를 분석하기 위하여 종관기상 자료도 사용하였다. 주어진 오존 농도($327\~391$ DU)에 대하여 산출된 $9.6{\mu}m$에서의 상향 복사휘도는 표면온도 Ts = 290 K에서 $5.52\~5.78Wm^{-2}sr^{-1}$, 그리고 Ts = 325 K에서는 $9.00\~9,57Wm^{-2}sr^{-1}$이었다. 따라서 오존 흡수 세기(i.e., $11{\mu}m$와 $9.7{\mu}m$ 밝기온도 간의 차; $T_{11-9.7}$)를 이용한 오존 원격탐사 시에 세기 변화에 대한 순수한 오존 효과는$0.26Wm^{-2}sr^{-1}/64\;DU$, 그리고 열적 효과는 $0.31Wm^{-2}sr^{-1}/35 K$이었다. 본 연구에서는 흡수 세기와 지상 관측 간에 유의적인 상관을 보이는 경우에 대하여 적외선 위성 관측에서 지상 오존을 원격탐사하는 경험식을 유도하였다. 유도된 지상 오존 농도와 관측값과의 상관은 $49\~63\%$로 유의수준 $1\%$에서 유의미하였다. 경험식을 개선하기 위하여는 지상 오존 대신에 대류권 오존 자료를 사용하고, 성층권 오존 변화도 고려하는 후속 연구가 요구된다.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.79-89
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• 1997

In order to reduce the outbreaks of short-term high concentrations and its impacts, we developed the models which predicted tomorrow's maximum hourly concentrations of $O_3$, TSP, SO$_2$, NO$_2$ and CO. Statistical methods like multi regressions were used because it must be operated easily under the present conditions. 47 independent variables were used, which included observed concentrations of air pollutants, observed and forcasted meteorological data in 1994 at Seoul and its surrounding areas. We subdivided Seoul into 4 areas coinciding with the present ozone warning areas. 4 kinds of seasonal models were developed due to the seasonal variations of observed concentrations, and 2 kinds of data models for the unavailable case of forecasted meteorological data. By comparing the $R^2$and root mean square error(hearafter 'RMSE') of each model, we confirmed that the models including forecasted data showed higher accuracy than ones using observed only. It was also shown that the higher the seasonal mean concentrations, the larger the RMSE. There was no distinct difference between the results of 4 areal models. In case of test run using 1995's data, the models predicted well the trends of daily variation of concentrations and the days when the possibility of outbreak of high concentarion was high. This study showed that it was reasonable to use those models as operational ones, because the $R^2$ and RMSE of models were smaller than those of operational/research models such as in South Coast Air Basin, CA, USA.