• 제목/요약/키워드: Output growth

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Bibliometrics in Practice in Developing Nations: A Study on the Development of Scientometrics and Bibliometrics Careers in Iran

  • Asadi, Saeid;Deligani, Fatemeh Atash;Rasuli, Behrooz;Majd, Majid Shaian
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.24-35
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    • 2018
  • Developing countries may pay attention to bibliometric indicators in accordance with their scientific development plans. Bibliometrics research topics and bibliometric indicators have grown dramatically in Iran since 2000 as a part of the post-war reconstruction programs. This paper aims to highlight how scientometrics may attract attention in developing countries such as Iran in response to national movements in education and science. An in-depth review on available guidelines for promotion of innovation, science, and technology in Iran was done followed by a review on previous research in this topic. Further data were gathered from Scopus and other sources. The findings show a considerable growth in research output of Iran in recent years and expansion of bibliometrics studies and jobs accordingly. Combined with research output measures, more attention was found in academia about cross-section development of science and technology in Iran. The demand in society has led to the foundation of scientometrics programs in Iranian universities as well as scientometrics departments in central libraries and research deputies in major academic institutions. The changing image of science and research in Iran has a relation with the growth of scientometrics academic and professional departments. The lessons taught from this mutual collaboration can be used in other developing nations.

Neural Network Analysis in Forecasting the Malaysian GDP

  • SANUSI, Nur Azura;MOOSIN, Adzie Faraha;KUSAIRI, Suhal
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to develop basic artificial neural network models in forecasting the in-sample gross domestic product (GDP) of Malaysia. GDP is one of the main indicators in presenting the macro economic condition of a country as set by the world authority bodies such as the World Bank. Hence, this study uses an artificial neural network-based approach to make predictions concerning the economic growth of Malaysia. This method has been proposed due to its ability to overcome multicollinearity among variables, as well as the ability to cope with non-linear problems in Malaysia's growth data. The selected inputs and outputs are based on the previous literatures as well as the economic growth theory. Therefore, the selected inputs are exports, imports, private consumption, government expenditure, consumer price index (CPI), inflation rate, foreign direct investment (FDI) and money supply, which includes M1 and M2. Whilst, the output is real gross domestic product growth rate. The results of this study showed that the neural network method gives the smallest value of mean error which is 0.81 percent with a total difference of 0.70 percent. This implies that the neural network model is appropriate and is a relevant method in forecasting the economic growth of Malaysia.

Growth, Fecundity, Egg Size and Recruitment of Palaemon serrifer (Decapoda: Caridea: Palaemonidae)

  • Kim, Sung-Han
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2008
  • Growth and reproduction of Palaemon serrifer were described and analyzed in a population inhabiting tide pools in warm temperate waters in Korea. The water temperature varied greatly in the tide pools, ranging from 8$^{\circ}C$ to 27.8$^{\circ}C$ Population structure and growth were investigated using size frequency distribution data collected from January to December 2003. Sex ratios fluctuated, but were almost equal during the breeding period. Growth was continuous and size increased gradually throughout the year. Adult females were larger and grew faster than males. von Bertalanffy growth parameters for a one-year sample of females and males were estimated as $L_{i\ddot{A}}$ = 11.32, K = 0.311, $t_0$ = -0.4115 and $L_{i\ddot{A}}$ = 8.36, K = 0.228, $t_0$ = -0.9693 respectively. Breeding was seasonal, starting in May, peaking in August, and finishing by the end of August. The species showed continuous production of successive broods. Laboratory observation showed that females with embryos near hatching had ovaries filled with vitellogenic oocytes ready for spawning. The reproductive output (effort) of each female (mean number of eggs: $552{\sim}1355$) was not high. The mean embryo volume, $0.078mm^3$, is relatively small, indicative of low energy allocation to each embryo. Recruitment of juveniles was closely linked to the breeding period, beginning in September.

한국 도로 자본이 산업에 미친 영향과 생산성 분석 (Study on The Influence of Road Capital to Industry and Productivity Growth in South Korea)

  • 국우각
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.169-181
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : This study is to suggest the Influence of road capital to industry and productivity growth in South Korea. METHODS : Based on the literature review, The relevant policy questions addressed in this report are : cost reduction and Scale elasticities of road, effect of road capital stock on demand for labor, capital and materials, marginal effect of road, industry TFP growth decomposition. RESULTS : The marginal benefits of the road capital at the industry level were calculated using the estimated cost elasticities. Demand for the road capital services varies across industries as do the marginal effects. The marginal benefits are positive for the principal industries. This suggests that for these industries the existing stock of road capital may be under supplied. The contribution of road capital to TFP growth is positive in principal industries. The main contribution of road capital is in the manufacturing industries ; the magnitudes of contribution varies among industries. These results indicate that growth in exogenous demand is most important contributor to TFP growth. CONCLUSIONS : The road capital have a significant effect on employment, private capital and demand for materials inputs in all industries. At a given level of output, an increase in road capital lead to variety to demand for all inputs in all industries.

Effects of Technology and Innovation Management and Total Factor Productivity on the Economic Growth of China

  • LEE, Jung Wan;XUAN, Ye
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to investigate relationships between technology and innovation management, total factor productivity and economic growth in China. By comparing the trends in total factor productivity growth of industrialized economies (i.e. OECD), this study intends to showcase the importance of total factor productivity progress in the Chinese economy. The study employs time series data of an annual basis for the period from 1977 to 2016 retrieved from the World Development Indicator. The study employs unit root test, cointegration test, fully modified least squares estimation method, canonical cointegrating regression and dynamic least squares estimation method to test the hypotheses. The results of the cointegrating regression analysis show that manufacturing growth leads to an increase of total factor productivity in the short-run in China. The findings of the study suggest that manufacturing (i.e. technology and product innovation) is positively related to the increase of total factor productivity in the short-run and total output growth in the long-run. The findings suggest that promoting technology and innovation management and supporting R&D subsidies may reduce the marginal cost of conducting R&D and increase the rate of technology and innovation management and R&D activity and therefore, the total factor productivity growth rate.

시계열 분석 모형 및 머신 러닝 분석을 이용한 수출 증가율 장기예측 성능 비교 (Comparison of long-term forecasting performance of export growth rate using time series analysis models and machine learning analysis)

  • 남성휘
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.191-209
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, various time series analysis models and machine learning models are presented for long-term prediction of export growth rate, and the prediction performance is compared and reviewed by RMSE and MAE. Export growth rate is one of the major economic indicators to evaluate the economic status. And It is also used to predict economic forecast. The export growth rate may have a negative (-) value as well as a positive (+) value. Therefore, Instead of using the ReLU function, which is often used for time series prediction of deep learning models, the PReLU function, which can have a negative (-) value as an output value, was used as the activation function of deep learning models. The time series prediction performance of each model for three types of data was compared and reviewed. The forecast data of long-term prediction of export growth rate was deduced by three forecast methods such as a fixed forecast method, a recursive forecast method and a rolling forecast method. As a result of the forecast, the traditional time series analysis model, ARDL, showed excellent performance, but as the time period of learning data increases, the performance of machine learning models including LSTM was relatively improved.

FDM(Fused Deposition Modeling) 방식 3D 프린터를 이용한 불규칙한 표면 출력 (Irregular surface output using FDM (Fused Deposition Modeling) 3D printer)

  • 이정수;차경철
    • 한국결정성장학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2022
  • 3D 프린터 관련 특허가 만료되고 주요 기술이 공개되면서 3D 프린터 가격이 하락하면서 원하는 제품을 쉽게 찾을 수 있는 환경이 조성되고 있다. 특히 가장 저렴한 FDM(Fused Deposition Modeling) 3D 프린터가 다양한 분야에서 사용되고 있다. FDM 방식은 형상을 출력할 때 특정 조건이상에서는 지지대(Support)를 붙여야만 형상의 무너짐 없이 제작이 가능하다. 지지대를 달지 않고 형상을 출력할 때 특정 각도에서 발생하는 불규칙한 표면은 제품에 있어서는 불량이지만 예술과 공예적 측면에서는 또 다른 재미를 느낄 수 있는 요소로 활용될 수 있다고 사료된다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 불규칙한 표면을 얻기 위해 출력에 영향을 줄 수 있는 요인들을 제어하고 출력 각도만 변위요소로 실험하였다. 실험 결과 수직에서 62°~70°의 각도로 프린팅 시 필라멘트가 흘러내리지 않고 불규칙한 표면을 얻을 수 있었다. 또한 인위적으로 불규칙한 표면을 공예적인 제품에 적용해 보았다.

Oil Price Forecasting : A Markov Switching Approach with Unobserved Component Model

  • Nam, Si-Kyung;Sohn, Young-Woo
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.105-118
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    • 2008
  • There are many debates on the topic of the relationship between oil prices and economic growth. Through the repeated processes of conformations and contractions on the subject, two main issues are developed; one is how to define and drive oil shocks from oil prices, and the other is how to specify an econometric model to reflect the asymmetric relations between oil prices and output growth. The study, thus, introduces the unobserved component model to pick up the oil shocks and a first-order Markov switching model to reflect the asymmetric features. We finally employ unique oil shock variables from the stochastic trend components of oil prices and adapt four lags of the mean growth Markov Switching model. The results indicate that oil shocks exert more impact to recessionary state than expansionary state and the supply-side oil shocks are more persistent and significant than the demand-side shocks.

Macroeconomic and Bank-Specific Variables and the Liquidity of Jordanian Commercial Banks

  • AL-QUDAH, Ali Mustafa
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권12호
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    • pp.85-93
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to explore the impact of macroeconomic (Real GDP growth (GDPG), Inflation rate (INF)) and bank -specific variables (profitability (ROA), capital adequacy (CADEQ), non-performing loans (NPL), deposit growth (DEPG)) on the liquidity (lIQ) of 13 listed Jordanian commercial banks for the period 2011-2018. Panel data analysis, Pooled least square, fixed effects model and random effects model, Lagrange multiplier test, and Hausman test were used. The random effects model output shows that, macroeconomic variables have a significant impact on Jordanian commercial banks liquidity since inflation has a positive impact while GDPG has a negative impact on banks (LIQ). On the other hand among the bank-specific variables capital adequacy and deposit growth have a positive significant impact on banks (LIQ), while (NPL) and (SIZE) have a negative significant impact on Jordanian commercial banks liquidity. But ROA has a negative insignificant impact on (LIQ). The findings of the study suggest that commercial banks departments need to pay attention to the economic and internal variables of banks in order to maintain acceptable levels of liquidity.

Measurement of Velocity and Temperature Field at the Low Prand시 Number Melt Model of the CZ Crystal Growth

  • Kim, Min-Cheol;Lee, Sang-Ho;Yi, Kyung-Woo
    • 한국결정성장학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국결정성장학회 1998년도 PROCEEDINGS OF THE 14TH KACG TECHNICAL MEETING AND THE 5TH KOREA-JAPAN EMGS (ELECTRONIC MATERIALS GROWTH SYMPOSIUM)
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    • pp.169-172
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    • 1998
  • A phyaical model of the Czochralski method for silicon single crystals is designed to measure the change of velocities and temperature profilles in the melt. Wood's metal(Bi 50%, Pb 26.7%, Sn 13.3%, Cd 10%, m.p. 70℃) is used to simulate the silicon melt in the crucible. To measure the local velocity change, electromagnetic probe is adopted as a velocity sensor. The output voltage of the sensor shows linear relationship to the velocity of the melt.

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