• 제목/요약/키워드: Output Uncertainty

검색결과 318건 처리시간 0.023초

상수도관망 내 데이터 불확실성에 따른 절점 압력 예측 ANN 모델 수행 성능 비교 (Comparison of ANN model's prediction performance according to the level of data uncertainty in water distribution network)

  • 장혜운;정동휘;전상훈
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권spc1호
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    • pp.1295-1303
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    • 2022
  • 안정적인 수도 공급을 위한 상수도관망의 역할이 더욱 주목받음에 따라 비정상 상황에 대한 신속한 탐지와 적절한 대처 역시 중요시되고 있다. 장치에 의존한 탐지기법 등 기존의 방법론에는 한계가 존재하므로 데이터를 이용한 모델 기반의 방법이 개발되었다. 하지만 상수도관망 내 측정 데이터는 불확실성을 가져 실제 사용량과 다르다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기계학습 방법의 하나인 인공신경망 모델을 이용하여 상수도관망 압력값을 예측함에 있어 데이터 불확실성의 영향을 조사한다. 정규분포를 따르는 임의의 값을 고려하여 데이터에 측정치 오류를 형성하고 측정치 오류 여부 및 종류에 따라 총 9가지 데이터를 인공신경망 모델을 통해 예측해 경향성을 비교한다. 분석을 통해 데이터 불확실성이 증가할수록 모델 성능이 감소하며, 출력데이터의 측정치 오류가 모델 성능에 미치는 정도가 더 큼을 확인하였다. 특히 입력데이터와 출력데이터의 측정 오차 크기가 동일한 경우 예측 정확도는 각각 72.25%, 38.61%로 큰 차이를 보였다. 따라서 ANN 모델 예측 성능 향상을 위해서는 입력 데이터보다 출력데이터인 주절점의 측정 오류 크기를 줄이는 것이 중요하다.

전과정평가에 있어 확률론적 건강영향분석기법 적용 -Part I : 전과정평가에 있어 확률론적 위해도 분석기법 적용방안에 관한 연구 (Application of Probabilistic Health Risk Analysis in Life Cycle Assessment -Part I : A General Framework for Uncertainty and Variability Analysis of Health Risk in Life Cycle Assessment)

  • 최광수;박재성
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.185-202
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    • 2000
  • Uncertainty and variability in Life Cycle Assessment(LCA) have been significant key issues in LCA methodology with techniques in other research area such as social and political science. Variability is understood as stemming from inherent variations in the real world, while uncertainty comes from inaccurate measurements, lack of data, model assumptions, etc. Related articles in this issues were reviewed for classification, distinguish and elaboration of probabilistic/stochastic health risk analysis application in LCA. Concept of focal zone, streamlining technique, scenario modelling and Monte Carlo/Latin Hypercube risk analysis were applied to the uncertainty/variability analysis of health risk in LCA. These results show that this general framework of multi-disciplinary methodology between probabilistic health risk assessment and LCA was of benefit to decision making process by suppling information about input/output data sensitivity, health effect priority and health risk distribution. There should be further research needs for case study using this methodology.

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Robust $H_{\infty}$ Control for Bilinear Systems with Parameter Uncertainties via output Feedback

  • Kim, Young-Joong;Lee, Su-Gu;Chang, Sae-Kwon;Kim, Beom-Soo;Lim, Myo-Taeg
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.386-391
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    • 2003
  • This paper focuses on robust $H_{\infty}$ control for bilinear systems with time-varying parameter uncertainties and exogenous disturbance via output feedback. $H_{\infty}$ control is achieved via separation into a $H_{\infty}$ state feedback control problem and a $H_{\infty}$ state estimation problem. The suitable robust stabilizing output feedback control law can be constructed in term of approximated solution to x-dependent Riccati equation using successive approximation technique. Also, the $H_{\infty}$ filter gain can be constructed in term of solution to algebraic Riccati equation. The output feedback control robustly stabilizes the plant and guarantees a robust $H_{\infty}$ performance for the closed-loop systems in the face of parameter uncertainties and exogenous disturbance.

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저차 출력 궤환 슬라이딩 모드 제어기의 LMI 기반 설계법 (LMI-based Design of Reduced Order Output Feedback Sliding Mode Controllers)

  • 최한호
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권8호
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    • pp.1592-1594
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents an LMI-based method to design a reduced order output feedback sliding mode controller for a class of uncertain systems. Using LMIs we derive an existence condition of a reduced order sliding mode control law. And we give explicit formulas of the gain matrices. Finally, we give a numerical design example, together with a design algorithm.

다중퍼지목표계획법을 이용한 PULP 제조공정의 최적화에 관한 연구 (Optimal Design of PULP Process Using Multiple Fuzzy Goal Programming)

  • 박주영;신태용;이동현
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제15권26호
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 1992
  • This Paper, first, tries to optimize the output specifications with uncertain characteristics. And then aims to solve the problem not only by making use of transformed multiple regression equation which can yield objective function of output characteristics but also by formulating developed multiple fuzzy goal programming using fuzzy set theory which can treat uncertainty easily, and the efficiency of these techniques, will be also demonstrated through a case study.

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시간 지연을 갖는 불확실 대형 연결 시스템의 분산 $H_\infty$ 제어 (Decentralized $H_\infty$ Control with Performance for Uncertain Linear Interconnected Systems with Time Delay)

  • 심덕선;김연재
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제6권5호
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    • pp.333-338
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    • 2000
  • This paper considers the decentralized control problem of linear time-invariant interconnected systems with delays. A decentralized output-feedback controller to obtain both stability and performance of the interconnected system is designed using the standard $H_\infty$ control theory, This paper provides sufficient conditions for such a controller to exist and provides an output feedback controller.

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포구속도측정레이더의 불확도에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Uncertainty of MVRS)

  • 박용석;최주호
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.94-100
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    • 2007
  • MVRS's measuring principles are based on the Doppler principle. It measures the velocities near the muzzle using the doppler signal output from the antenna and then predicts the velocity of the bullet leaving the muzzle by performing the regression analysis on previous measured velocities. There are a number of error sources when calculating the muzzle velocity. Antenna has long term frequency stability error and the doppler signal from the antenna has noise. These two error sources influence the accuracy of estimated velocities from the doppler signal. Estimated velocity errors result in the random error of data statistics. And when performing a regression analysis these random error components are transferred to the fitting error component. This study also analyzed the error components according to the hardware limitations of MVRS-700 and the signal processing method, and presented the calculated uncertainty of muzzle velocity.

로봇의 이동 및 센싱 불확실성이 고려된 네트워크 기반 로봇 시뮬레이션 프로그램 (Network Based Robot Simulator Implementing Uncertainties in Robot Motion and Sensing)

  • 서동진;고낙용;전세웅;이종배
    • 로봇학회논문지
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2010
  • This paper suggests a multiple robot simulator which considers the uncertainties in robot motion and sensing. A mobile robot moves with errors due to some kinds of uncertainties from actuators, wheels, electrical components, environments. In addition, sensors attached to a mobile robot can't make accurate output information because of uncertainties of the sensor itself and environment. Uncertainties in robot motion and sensing leads researchers find difficulty in building mobile robot navigation algorithms. Generally, a robot algorithm without considering unexpected uncertainties fails to control its action in a real working environment and it leads to some troubles and damages. Thus, the authors propose a simulator model which includes robot motion and sensing uncertainties to help making robust algorithms. Sensor uncertainties are applied in range sensors which are widely used in mobile robot localization, obstacle detection, and map building. The paper shows performances of the proposed simulator by comparing it with a simulator without any uncertainty.

A servo design method for MIMO Wiener systems with nonlinear uncertainty

  • Kim, Sang-Hoon;Kunimatsu, Sadaaki;Fujii, Takao
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.1960-1965
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents theory for stability analysis and design of a servo system for a MIMO Wiener system with nonlinear uncertainty. The Wiener system consists of a linear time-invariant system(LTI) in cascade with a static nonlinear part ${\psi}$(y) at the output. We assume that the uncertain static nonlinear part is sector bounded and decoupled. In this research, we treat the static nonlinear part as multiplicative uncertainty by dividing the nonlinear part ${\psi}$(y) into ${\phi}$(y) := ${\psi}$(y)-y and y, and then we reduce this stabilizing problem to a Lur'e problem. As a result, we show that the servo system with no steady state error for step references can be constructed for the Wiener system.

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A Probabilistic Approach to Quantifying Uncertainties in the In-vessel Steam Explosion During Severe Accidents at a Nuclear Power Plant

  • Mun, Ju-Hyun;Kang, Chang-Sun;Park, Gun-Chul
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1995년도 추계학술발표회논문집(2)
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    • pp.509-516
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    • 1995
  • The uncertainty analysis for the in-vessel steam explosion during severe accidents at a nuclear power plant is performed using a probabilistic approach. This approach consists of four steps; 1) screening, 2) quantification of uncertainty 3) propagation of uncertainty, and 4) output analysis. And the specific methods which satisfy the sub-objectives of each step are prepared and presented. Compared with existing ones, the unique feature of this approach is the improved estimation of uncertainties through quantification, which ensures the defensibility of the resultant failure probability distributions. Using the approach, the containment failure probability due to in-vessel steam explosion is calculated. The results of analysis show that 1) pour diameter is the most dominant factor and slug condensed phase fraction is the least and 2) fraction of core molten is the second most dominant factor, which is identified as distinct feature of this study as compared with previous studies.

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