• Title/Summary/Keyword: Outlook Model

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The Development Strategy of the Future Aviation Weather Service Technologies and Realization of NARAE-Weather (미래 항공기상서비스 기술개발 전략과 NARAE-Weather 실현)

  • Park, Y.M.;Kang, T.G.;Ku, B.J.;Kim, S.I.;Kim, S.C.;Ahn, D.S.;Lee, J.H.;Jung, I.G.;Ryu, J.G.
    • Electronics and Telecommunications Trends
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.48-60
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    • 2021
  • Following the global air-traffic market growth outlook, urgency of technical development is needed in responding to changes in the international air-traffic management paradigm and to prepare technology securing and spreading strategies, which are consistent with systematic aviation weather service policies and evolution direction. Although air traffic has decreased significantly due to COVID-19, normalcy is expected from 2024, as announced by IATA. According to the future air transportation market outlook and development trends of related technologies, Korea has established and implementing the next-generation air transportation system construction plan(NARAE) to secure international competitiveness and leadership in the future. Therefore, this paper describes the technical, economic background and requirements of numerical model-based aviation weather R&D projects for successful implementation of domestic NARAE plans and providing aviation safety and air traffic service efficiency. Furthermore, we proposed numerical-model-based technology development content, strategies and detailed load-map.

Linear Programming Model and Forecasting for Financing Operation of civil Service Pension Fund (공무원 연금기금의 중장기전망과 재정운용 성현계확 모형)

  • 황현식;김지수
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 1986
  • The outlook for the Civil Service Pension (CSP) program in Korea indicates several problems. First, the balance of the benefit among the pension recipients is not well maintained. Second, the program is running out of funds as benefit increases exceed the growth in revenues. In this article, we analyze these problems by using linear programming model and discuss the alternatives. We propose an addition of the age limit to the benefit eligibility and a reconsideration of the government subsidy's level.

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An Exploratory Study on the Factors Related to Women's Voluntary Ever-Singleness: Focusing on Marriage and Family Values (비혼 여성의 비혼 자발성 관련요인 탐색: 결혼 및 가족 가치관을 중심으로)

  • Kang, Eun-Young;Chin, Mee-Jung;Ok, Sun-Wha
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2010
  • This study explores whether or not marriage and other family values operate as factors that influence the willingness of women to voluntarily remain ever-single. The study includes as variables the sub-fields of marriage and family values that consist of traditional gender role awareness, freedom in sexual attitude, open outlook on marriage, familism, an acceptance of diverse families, fear of marriage, and assignment of value to extramarital factors. Participants of this study were 259 women in their twenties to forties with no experience of marriage, which were selected from the data used in the Korean Women's Development Institute's Investigation of Single Households(2007). Upon inserting value-related variables and sociodemographic variables into a binomial logistic model for analysis, age, open outlook on marriage, assigned value on extramarital factors, and an acceptance of diverse families were shown to be factors influencing the willingness of women to remain ever-single. That is, as the age spectrum is lower, outlook on marriage is open, more values are granted on the extramarital factors, and the degree of an acceptance of diverse views on family is higher, the chances that women would remain ever-single voluntarily were shown to increase.

A Study on Demand Forecasting Model of Domestic Rare Metal Using VECM model (VECM모형을 이용한 국내 희유금속의 수요예측모형)

  • Kim, Hong-Min;Chung, Byung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2008
  • The rare metals, used for semiconductors, PDP-LCS and other specialized metal areas necessarily, has been playing a key role for the Korean economic development. Rare metals are influenced by exogenous variables, such as production quantity, price and supplied areas. Nowadays the supply base of rare metals is threatened by the sudden increase in price. For the stable supply of rare metals, a rational demand outlook is needed. In this study, focusing on the domestic demand for chromium, the uncertainty and probability materializing from demand and price is analyzed, further, a demand forecast model, which takes into account various exogenous variables, is suggested, differing from the previously static model. Also, through the OOS(out-of-sampling) method, comparing to the preexistence ARIMA model, ARMAX model, multiple regression analysis model and ECM(Error Correction Mode) model, we will verify the superiority of suggested model in this study.

An Analysis on Supply-Demand Outlook of Korean Omija(Medicinal Plant) (약용작물 오미자의 중장기 수급전망 분석)

  • Choi, Byung-Ok;Kim, Bae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.2689-2694
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    • 2014
  • This study analyze the impact of omija(maximowiczia chinensis) market by Korea-China FTA and review the change of mid and long term supply-demand from 2014 to 2018. A scenario is also imported to simulate and measure the impacts of the Korea-China FTA. The scenario is that tariff rates for Chinese product(omija) will be zero after 5 years from 2014. A partial equilibrium model of Omija is specified to forecast mid and long term supply-demand and prices. Equations in the model were estimated by using econometric techniques. The results based on scenario are compared with the results by the baseline case(maintenance of current situation). Our study show that when the tariff rates for Chinese product(Omija) will be zero after 5 years from 2014, the cultivated area of Omija is forecasted to decline until 3,370ha in 2018, and the consumption is forecasted to increase up to 12,040.8MT in 2018, and also total revenue of about 9.8 billion korean won will be decreased during 5 years(2014-2018).

Outlook for consumption of subtropical vegetables and required cultivation area (아열대채소의 소비량과 필요재배면적 전망)

  • Lee, Hong-Jin;Kim, Sung-Yong;Kim, Yun-Sik;Jeon, Sang-Gon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.425-434
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    • 2013
  • Nowadays, the korean peninsula has endured weather changes toward to the subtropical climate. Also demographical structure has changed into multi-cultural society in which many people from subtropical areas have immigrated into Korea. Therefore, consumption and production of subtropical vegetables become important. For the analysis, we choose eight important subtropical crops. EDM (Equilibrium Displacement Model) with many parameters and elasticities is used for the forecast of consumption and required cultivation area. The simulation focuses on the changes of the number of foreign workers and immigrated women in Korea to predict the quantity of consumption and required area in Korea. The results show that we need additional land area about 581~1,065 ha for the cropping subtropical vegetables in Korea. Finally, these required area can be provided by the cities and counties in coast area in Gyeongsangnam-Do, Jeonranam-Do and Jeju-Do. Climate change will be continued in the future. Together with climate change, the change of demographical structure into multi-culture may increase consumption and production of subtropical vegetables. Forecasting of increased consumption and required cultivation area for subtropical vegetables is significant.

The Practical Application of Bluetooth Media Technology and Outlook for Development

  • Song, Zheng-Hua;Shin, Hyun-Sik;Kim, Chun-Suk;Shin, Yun-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2006
  • This is paper, with the development of computer and network communications technology, the technology of digital computer and modern communications has integrated into the field of intelligent home appliances, making them intelligentize with the function of a network information terminal. The paper introduces the Bluetooth SIG(Special Interesting Group) and the development of the standard of the Bluetooth. Researches the application model and the practical application of the Bluetooth technology, and the component elements of the Bluetooth. Finally deals with the outlook for the development of the Bluetooth technology.

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Generation capacity constitution outlook of Korea using WADE Economic Model (WADE Economic Model에 의한 우리나라 전원구성)

  • Kim, Y.H.;Son, H.S.;Lee, W.G.;Lee, S.J.;Oh, S.H.;Woo, S.M.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2007.07a
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    • pp.65-66
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    • 2007
  • 현재 수립된 3차전력수급기본계획의 전원구성을 WADE Economic Model을 사용하여 친환경적이며, 경제적이고 기존 대형발전소의 보완 역할이 기대되는 분산형전원으로 우리나라의 전원을 구성하였다. 즉, WADE Economic Model로서 신규수요를 CG(Centralized Generation) 및 DE(Decentralized Energy)의 담당비율에 따라 시나리오를 구성하여 3차전력수급기본계획의 전원구성을 WADE Economic Model에 의한 시나리오로 전원을 구성한 경우와 비교 분석하였다.

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A Study on Information Revitalization Plans of Integrated Agriculture Information System (농업 종합 정보 시스템의 제안과 활성화 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Cha Jin-Man;Kang Min-Soo;Park Teoun-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.991-997
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    • 2006
  • Agriculture is usually the basis of a society, as well as the solution of dietary life. However, compared to other fields in which information-oriented system is rapidly accomplished, information system of agriculture certainly has slow growth since agriculture deals with a living thing. In addition, since government bodies related to filming have faced the difficulty of information system, they have tried establishing independent information system. The current agriculture-informationizing system can be considered as Agricultural Outlook Information System, Integrated agricultural marketing Information System and Outlook & Agricultural Statistics Information System but these systems are not effectively operated contrary to rut expectation, which$\sim\sim\sim$. Actually, there are some problems of bothinvestment duplicated and management by each independent government body, as well as Korea Rural Economic Institute-Commodity Model improper to real situation. In this paper, Agricultural Outlook Information, Integrated agricultural marketing Information, and Outlook h Agricultural Statistics Information System independently operated are integrated; Circulation Control, Technical Support, and integrated Database system are established; new integrated agricultural information system and various kinds of measures for activation of this system are suggested.

Employee's Business Outlook Disclosed Through Social Media And Employment Growth : The Case of Jobplanet (소셜미디어를 통한 직원의 기업전망 평가와 고용증가와의 상관성 : 잡플래닛 기업전망을 대상으로)

  • Byeongsoo, Kim;Ju Young, Kang
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.11 no.10
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2022
  • The recent expansion of the use of social media has served as an opportunity to express users' opinions in real time in various fields such as society, economy, politics, and culture, and brought many platforms that provide various information about companies. Among them, Glassdoor.com which started 2008 in US provides users with evaluations of the current and the former employees of their companies and also provides a outlooks for the company's growth Such a platform has the utility of providing necessary information to whom want to find a job or change jobs. In addition to this, variable studies have shown that the company information provided through these platforms is useful for investors as well. In this study, it was tested whether the corporate growth prospects of employees provided by Jobplanet, a platform with a typical function similar to Glassdoor.com in Korea, have predictive power to predict actual corporate growth. The forecast provided by Jobplanet and the company's financial indicator data received from FnGuide were collected and composed of panel data and analyzed using fixed effect model regression analysis. As a result, it was found that companies with positive prospects had higher employment growth than companies with negative prospects. When the outlook was neutral, the employment growth rate was higher than that of companies with a negative outlook.