• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• v.10 no.1
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• pp.84-94
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• 2011

In this paper, we propose a method to provide the distribution of option price under local volatility model when market-provided implied volatility data are given. The local volatility model is one of the most widely used smile-consistent models. In local volatility model, the volatility is a deterministic function of the random stock price. Before estimating local volatility surface (LVS), we need to estimate implied volatility surfaces (IVS) from market data. To do this we use local polynomial smoothing method. Then we apply the Dupire formula to estimate the resulting LVS. However, the result is dependent on the bandwidth of kernel function employed in local polynomial smoothing method and to solve this problem, the proposed method in this paper makes use of model averaging approach by means of bandwidth priors, and then produces a robust local volatility surface estimation with a confidence interval. After constructing LVS, we price barrier option with the LVS estimation through Monte Carlo simulation. To show the merits of our proposed method, we have conducted experiments on simulated and market data which are relevant to KOSPI200 call equity linked warrants (ELWs.) We could show by these experiments that the results of the proposed method are quite reasonable and acceptable when compared to the previous works.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.459-487
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• 2011

A/R CDM project has properties such as irreversibility and uncertainty that Real Option Analysis can be applied to its modelling. This study tries to model A/R CDM using Real Option under CER price uncertainty, and conducts empirical test with the Posco A/R CDM Project case. For precise comparison and decision-making, l-CER's expected present value is calculated from the Spot CER price. As a result, the critical value of the project is lower than the expected l-CER price, which means that the decision to invest made by the project owner is profitable. We can also find out that the level and the range of the discount rate, where is applied to, affect the result; the critical value of the project and the decision-making.

• Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.31 no.1
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• pp.199-207
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• 2016

A chained option is a barrier option activated in the event that the underlying asset price crosses barrier or barriers prior to maturity in a specified order. In this paper, we study the pricing of chained options with the quanto property called the "Quanto chained option". A quanto chained option is a chained option starting at time when the foreign exchange rate has the multiple crossing of specified barriers. We provide closed-form formulas for valuing the quanto chained options based on probabilistic approach.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.639-666
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• 2018

This paper analyses the investment options of groundwater development project under water price uncertainty. The optimal investment threshold price which trigger the investment are calibrated base on monopolistic real options model. Stochastic dynamic model is set to reflect the uncertainty of water price which follows the GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) process. Our finding from non-cooperative investment decision model is that uncertainty of water price could deter the groundwater investment by considering the existence of option values. For policy markers, it is easy to manage 'charges for utilization of groundwater' rather than 'performance guarantee ratio' when managing groundwater investment with pricing policy. And it is necessary to make comprehensive and well-designed policies considering the characteristics of regional groundwater reservoir and groundwater developers.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.943-964
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• 2005

This study estimated a wide range of stochastic process models using the frameworks of CKLS (1992) and Nowman and Wang (2001). For empirical analysis, the GMM estimation procedure is adopted for the monthly Brent crude oil prices from January 1996 to January 2005. Using the simulated price series, European call option premiums were calculated and compared each other. The empirical results suggest that the crude oil price has a strong dependency of volatility on the price level. Contrary to the results of previous related studies, it shows a weak tendency of mean reversion. In addition, the models provide different implications for pricing derivatives on crude oil.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.485-495
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• 2008

A floating-strike lookback call option gives the holder the right to buy at the lowest price of the underlying asset. Similarly, a floating-strike lookback put option gives the holder the right to sell at the highest price. This paper will present explicit pricing formulas for these floating-strike lookback options with flexible monitoring periods. The monitoring periods of these options start at an arbitrary date and end at another arbitrary date before maturity. Sections 3 and 4 assume that the underlying assets pay no dividends. In contrast, Section 5 will derive explicit pricing formulas for these options when their underlying asset pays dividends continuously at a rate proportional to its price.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.819-835
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• 2012

A floating-strike lookback call (or put) option gives the holder the right to buy (or sell) at some percentage of the lowest (or highest) price of the underlying asset. This paper will propose an outside lookback call (or put) option that gives the holder the right to buy (or sell) one underlying asset at its guaranteed floating-strike price that is some percentage times the smaller (or the greater) of a specific guaranteed amount and the lowest (or highest) price of the other underlying asset. In addition, this paper derives explicit pricing formulas for these outside lookback options. Section 3 and Section 4 assume that the underlying assets pay no dividends. In contrast, Section 5 derives explicit pricing formulas for these options when their underlying assets pay dividends continuously at a rate proportional to their prices. Some numerical examples are also discussed.

• Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.60 no.2
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• pp.361-388
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• 2023

In this study, we deal with American lookback option prices on dividend-paying assets under a stochastic volatility (SV) model. By using the asymptotic analysis introduced by Fouque et al. [17] and the Laplace-Carson transform (LCT), we derive the explicit formula for the option prices and the free boundary values with a finite expiration whose volatility is driven by a fast mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. In addition, we examine the numerical implications of the SV on the American lookback option with respect to the model parameters and verify that the obtained explicit analytical option price has been obtained accurately and efficiently in comparison with the price obtained from the Monte-Carlo simulation.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.501-507
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• 2021

Neural networks with differentiable activation functions are differentiable with respect to input variables. We improve the approximation capability of neural networks by using the gradient and Hessian of neural networks to satisfy the differential equations of the problems of interest. We apply differential neural networks to the pricing of financial options, where stochastic differential equations and the Black-Scholes partial differential equation represent the differential relation of price of option and underlying assets, and the first and second derivatives of option price play an important role in financial engineering. The proposed neural network learns - (a) the sample paths of option prices generated by stochastic differential equations and (b) the Black-Scholes equation at each time and asset price. Experimental results show that the proposed method gives accurate option values and the first and second derivatives.

• Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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• v.10 no.2
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• pp.50-55
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• 2018

Choosing automobile safety options is price-performance matter. The best fit options to buyer who has a certain driving habit are problem of MCDM (Multi Criteria Decision Making) because price of safety option, statistics of relating accident, consequence of accident, and driving habit are the multi criteria to be evaluated. In this paper, PROMETHEE-GAIA methodology is applied for solving this MCDM problem. The result shows that a different driving habit makes different choosing priority of safety options.