• KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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• 제5A권1호
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• pp.62-69
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• 2005

The optimal design of transmission system expansion planning is an important part of the overall planning task of electric power system under competitive electricity market environments. One of main keys of the successful grid expansion planning comes from optimal reliability level/criteria decision, which should be given for constraint in the optimal expansion problem. However, it's very difficult to decide logically the optimal reliability criteria of a transmission system as well as generation system expansion planning in a society. This paper approaches a methodology for deciding the optimal reliability criteria for an optimal transmission system expansion planning. A deterministic reliability criteria, BRR (Bus Reserve Rate) is used in this study. The optimal reliability criteria, BRR/sup */, is decided at minimum cost point of total cost curve which is the sum of the utility cost associated with construction cost and the customer outage cost associated with supply interruptions for load considering bus reserve rate at load buses in long term forecasting. The characteristics and effectiveness of this methodology are illustrated by the case study using IEEE-RTS.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제57권4호
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• pp.560-566
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• 2008

Today, as the power trades between generation companies and power customer are liberalized, the uncertainty level of operated power system is rapidly increased. Therefore, transmission operators as decision makers for transmission expansion are required to establish a deliberate investment plan for effective operations of transmission facilities considering forecasted conditions of power system. This paper proposes the methodology for the optimal solution of transmission expansion in deregulated power system. The paper obtains the expected value of transmission congestion cost for various scenarios by using occurrence probability. In addition, the paper assumes that increasing rates of loads are the probability distribution and indicates the location of expanded transmission line, the time for transmission expansion with the minimum cost for the future by performing the Montecarlo simulation. To minimize the investment risk as the variance of the congestion cost, Mean-Variance Markowitz portfolio theory is applied to the optimization model by the penalty factor of the variance. By the case study, the optimal solution for transmission expansion plan considering the feature of market participants is obtained.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.239-245
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• 2010

Today, as power trades between generators and loads are liberalized, the uncertainty level of power systems is rapidly increasing. Therefore, transmission operators are required to incorporate these uncertainties when establishing an investment plan for effective operation of transmission facilities. This paper proposes the methodology for an optimal solution of transmission expansion plans for the long-term in a deregulated power system. The proposed model uses the probabilistic cost of transmission congestion for various scenarios and the annual increasing rates of loads. The locations and the installation times of expanded transmissions lines with minimum cost are acquired by the model. To minimize the investment risk, the Mean-Variance Markowitz portfolio theory is applied to the model. In a case study, the optimal solution of a transmission expansion plan is obtained considering the uncertain power market.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제58권11호
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• pp.2136-2141
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• 2009

Transmission planning is an important part of power system planning to meet an increasing demand for electricity. The objective of transmission expansion is to minimize operational and construction costs subject to system constraints. There is inherent uncertainty in transmission planning due to errors in forecasted demand and fuel costs. Therefore, transmission planning process is not reliable if the uncertainty is not taken into account. The paper presents a systematic method to find the optimal location and amount of transmission expansion using Cross-Entropy (CE) incorporating uncertainties about future power system conditions. Numerical results are presented to demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.21-27
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• 2010

This paper examines the long-run social welfare maximization problems facing public utilities, which includes consideration of the cost of capital or other fixed costs of production, from which it derives optimal investment decisions in a reliability differentiated pricing based market. Reliability differentiated pricing policies lead to straightforward mathematical results on optimal investment decisions in generation and transmission expansion planning. This paper presents the mathematical conditions for optimal investment decisions.

• KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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• 제5A권1호
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• pp.46-55
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• 2005

This paper proposes a new method for choice of the best transmission system expansion plan on the side of highest satisfaction level of decision maker using fuzzy integer programming. The proposed method considers the permissibility and ambiguity of the investment budget (economics) for constructing the new transmission lines and the delivery marginal rate (reliability criteria) of the system by modeling the transmission expansion problem as a fuzzy integer programming one. It solves the optimal strategy (reasonable as well as flexible) using a fuzzy set theory-based on branch and bound method that utilizes a network flow approach and the maximum flow-minimum cut set theorem. Under no or only a very small database for the evaluation of reliability indices, the proposed technique provides the decision maker with a valuable and practical tool to solve the transmission expansion problem considering problem uncertainties. Test results on the 63-bus test system show that the proposed method is practical and efficiently applicable to transmission expansion planning.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.895-904
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• 2015

This paper presents a probabilistic approach of reliability evaluation and economic assessment for solving transmission network expansion planning problems. Three methods are proposed for TNEP, which are reorganizing the existing power system focused on the buses of interest, selecting candidates using modified system operating state method with healthy, marginal and at-risk states, and finally choosing the optimal alternative using cost-optimization method. TNEP candidates can be selected based on the state reliability such as sufficient and insufficient indices, as proposed in this paper. The process of economic assessment involves the costs of construction, maintenance and operation, congestion, and outage. The case studies are carried out with modified IEEE-24 bus system and Jeju island power system expansion plan in Korea, to verify the proposed methodology.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제15권3_4호
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• pp.47-59
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• 1994

A capacity expansion planning problem with buy-or-lease decisions is considered. Demands for capacity are deterministic and are given period-dependently at each period. Capacity additions occur by buying or leasing a capacity, and leased capacity at any period is reconverted to original source after a fixed length of periods, say, lease period. All cost functions (buying, leasing and idle costs) are assumed to be concave. And shortages of capacity and disposals are not considered. The properties of an optimal solution are characterized. This is then used in a tree search algorithm for the optimal solution and other two algorithms for a near-optimal solution are added. And these algorithms are illustrated with numerical examples.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2005년도 제36회 하계학술대회 논문집 A
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• pp.748-750
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• 2005

This paper approaches a methodology for deciding the optimal reliability criteria for an optimal composite power system expansion planning considering generation and transmission systems simultaneously. A probabilisticreliability criterion, $LOLE_R$(Loss of Load Expectation), is used in this study. The optimalreliability criterion $LOLE_R*$ is decided at minimum cost point of total cost curve which is the sum of the utility cost associated with construction cost and the customer outage cost associated with supply interruptions for load considering forced outage rates of elements(generators and lines) in long term forecasting. The characteristicsand effectiveness of this methodology are illustrated by the case study using MRBTS size system.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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• pp.479-483
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• 2003

The outage cost has very important position for determination of the optimal level or optimal range of reliability in power system expansion planning. Establishing the worth of service reliability is a very difficult and subjective task. This paper suggests strategies for the role, need and assessment algorithm and methodology of the outage cost in power system expansion planning. Organization, data collections and method about D/B for outage cost assessment is proposed in the this study.