• Title/Summary/Keyword: Oceanic warming

검색결과 31건 처리시간 0.021초

HadGEM2-AO RCP8.5 모의에서 나타난 지구온난화 멈춤 (The Global Warming Hiatus Simulated in HadGEM2-AO Based on RCP8.5)

  • 위지은;문병권;김기영;이조한
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.249-258
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    • 2014
  • 대기 중 이산화탄소 등의 농도가 지속적으로 증가하고 있음에도 최근 10여 년 동안(2002-현재) 전지구 지표 온도는 거의 답보상태에 머물러 있다. 이처럼 온실기체 강제력에도 불구하고, 지구 온난화 경향이 사라진 듯 보이는 현상을 지구 온난화 멈춤(hiatus)이라 한다. 이 연구는 HadGEM2-AO가 모의한 RCP8.5 시나리오 실험(95년간) 자료를 분석하여, 온난화 멈춤 시기의 특징을 분석하였다. 온난화 멈춤 기간을 나타내는 시계열은 동서 평균한 연직 해수 온도 분포를 EOF 분석하여 구한 두 번째 PC (PC2)로 정의하였다. PC2를 이용하여 온난화 멈춤과 엔소와의 관련성, 기후시스템의 변화 등을 분석하였다. 라니냐 지수(NINO3지수에 -1을 곱하여 정의)가 PC2를 약 11개월 앞서는 것으로 보아 라니냐 발생이 온난화 멈춤을 유도할 수 있음을 발견하였다. 또한 기후시스템의 냉각은 해수 표층의 열이 해양 내부로 침강으로 나타남을 보였다. 이는 해양의 열흡수에 의해 전지구 온도 상승률이 약화되었음을 의미한다. 온난화 멈춤 시기에 북태평양과 북반구 극지는 양의 온도 편차가 나타났으며, 열대 해양에서는 무역풍이 강화되었다.

ECHO-G/S에 나타난 기후변화에 따른 엘니뇨 변화 특성 분석 (ENSO Response to Global Warming as Simulated by ECHO-G/S)

  • 이효신;권원태;안중배;부경온;차유미
    • 대기
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.365-379
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    • 2007
  • Global warming may shift the properties and dynamics of ENSO. We study the changes in ENSO characteristics in a coupled general circulation model, ECHO-G/S. First, we analyse the mean state changes by comparing present day simulation and various high $CO_2$ climates. The model shows a little El Nino-like changes in the sea surface temperature and wind stress in the eastern tropical Pacific. As the mean temperature rises, the ENSO amplitude and the frequency of strong El Ninos and La Nina decrease. The analysis shows that the weakening of the oceanic sensitivities is related to the weakening of ENSO. In addition to the surface changes, the remote subsurface sea temperature response in the western Pacific to the wind stress in the eastern Pacific influences the subsequent ENSO amplitude. However, ENSO amplitude does not show linear response to the greenhouse gas concentrations.

NOAA/AVHRR SST 자료를 이용한 한반도 주변해역에서의 수온과 어장변화특성 연구 (Relations NOAA/AVHRR SST between Migratory Fishes in the Korean Seas)

  • 서원찬;윤홍주
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.2265-2270
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    • 2008
  • 최근 대두 되고 있는 지구 온난화 및 기후 변화와 관련해서 수온이 해양 생태계에 미치는 영향을 알기 위하여 한반도 주변 해역을 중심으로 $1988{\sim}2000$년까지 NOAA SST자료를 활용하여 어류 회류의 변동성에 대하여 조사하였다. 위성자료를 분석해 본 결과 우리나라는 전반적으로 온난화 경향이 나타나고 있다. 연근해의 수온상승과 비교해 볼 때, 오징어, 멸치, 정어리, 꽁치 등 회유성 어종의 분포해역이 점차 북상하고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 난류성 어종인 오징어와 멸치의 어획량은 증가한 반면, 한류성 어종인 꽁치와 정어리는 감소하는 경향을 보였다. 그러나 어황에 영향을 미치는 요인에는 수온뿐만 아니라 염분 및 오염도 등 여러 가지 요소가 존재하기 때문에 수온상승으로 인해 생기는 어황의 변화라고 단정 짓기는 어렵다. 따라서 금후 기후 변동과 연근해 어황 변화에 대해서도 계속적인 연구가 필요하다.

수자원 영향평가를 위한 기후변화 시나리오의 불확실성 평가 (Uncertainties estimation of AOGCM-based climate scenarios for impact assessment on water resources)

  • 박이형;임은순;권원태;이은정
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.138-142
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    • 2005
  • The change of precipitation and temperature due to the global. warming eventually caused the variation of water availability in terms of potential evapotranspiration, soil moisture, and runoff. In this reason national long-term water resource planning should be considered the effect of climate change. Study of AOGCM-based scenario to proposed the plausible future states of the climate system has become increasingly important for hydrological impact assessment. Future climate changes over East Asia are projected from the coupled atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations based on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 and B2 scenarios using multi-model ensembles (MMEs) method (Min et al. 2004). MME method is used to reduce the uncertainty of individual models. However, the uncertainty increases are larger over the small area than the large area. It is demonstrated that the temperature increases is larger over continental area than oceanic area in the 21st century.

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How does Land respond to Sea-level Changes\ulcorner

  • Jeon, Dongchull
    • 한국해안해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해안해양공학회 1995년도 정기학술강연회 발표논문 초록집
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    • pp.101-103
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    • 1995
  • Beaches and low-tying coastal areas have been seriously eroding at many places along the global coastlines during the past century. The coastal erosion problem during the next century is said to be potentially worse due to the sea-level rise by global warming. Coastal erosion, whatever the time scale is, is the result as a response of land to oceanic, atmospheric, and human impacts. (omitted)

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SL/SST variations and their correlations in the North East Asian Sens by remote sensing (Topex/Poseidon, NOAA)

  • Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • 한국GIS학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국GIS학회 2003년도 공동 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.297-299
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    • 2003
  • Altimeter(Topex/Poseidon) and AVHRR(NOAA) data were used to study the variations and correlations of Sea Level(SL) and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the North East Asian Seas from November 1993 to May 1998. This region is influenced simultaneously to continental and oceanic climate as the border of the East Sea(Japan Sea). SL and SST have increased gradually every year because the global warming, and presented usually a strong annual variations in Kuroshio extension region with the influence of bottom topography.

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SL/SST variations and their Correlations in the North East Asian Seas by Remote Sensing

  • Yoon, Hong-Joo
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.58-60
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    • 2003
  • Altimeter(Topex/Poseidon) and AVHRR(NOAA) data were used to study the variations and correlations of Sea Level(SL) and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the North East Asian Seas from November 1993 to May 1998. This region is influenced simultaneously to continental and oceanic climate. SL and SST have increased gradually every year because the global warming, and presented usually a strong annual variations in Kuroshio extension region with the influence of bottom topography.

위성자료(NOAA, Topex/Poseidon)를 이용한 한반도 주변해역의 기후적 특성 (On Climatic Characteristics in the East Asian Seas by satellite data(NOAA, Topex/Poseidon))

  • 윤홍주
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제10권6호
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2001
  • Satellite data, with sea surface temperature(557) by NOAA and sea level(SL) by Topex/poseidon, are used to estimate characteristics on the variations and correlations of 557 and SL in the East Asian Seas from January 1993 through May 1998. We found that there are two climatic characteristics in the East Asian seas the oceanic climate, the eastern sea of Japan, and the continental climate, the eastern sea of China, respectively. In the oceanic climate, the variations of SL have the high values in the main current of Kuroshio and the variations of 557 have not the remarkable seasonal variations because of the continuos compensation of warm current by Kuroshio. In the continental climate, SL has high variations in the estuaries(the Yellow River, the Yangtze River) with the mixing the fresh water and the saline water in the coasts of continent and 557 has highly the seasonal variations due to the climatic effect of continents. In the steric variations of summer, the eastern sea of Japan, the East China Sea and the western sod of Korea is increased the sea level about 10~20cm. But the Bohai bay in China have relatively the high values about 20~30cm due to the continental climate. generally the trends of SST and SL increased during all periods. That is say, the slopes of 557 and SL Is presented 0.29$^{\circ}C$/year and 0.84cm/year, respectively. The annual and semi-annual amplitudes have a remarkable variations in the western sea of Korea and the eastern sea of Japan. In the case of the annual peaks, there appeared mainly In the western sea of Korea and the eastern sea of .Japan because of the remarkable variations of SL associated with Kuroshio. But in the case of the semi-annual peaks, there appeared in the eastern sea of Japan by the influence of current, and in the western sea of Korea by the influence of seasonal temperature, respectively. From our results, it should be believed that 557 and SL gradually Increase in the East Asian seas concerning to the global warming. So that, it should be requested In the international co-operation against In the change of the abnormal climate.

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열대 해역 지표종 Ornithocercus 속 와편모조의 출현 동향으로 본 한반도 온난화 (The Korean Peninsula Warming Based on Appearance Trend of Tropical Dinoflagellate Species, Genus Ornithocercus)

  • 김형신;정민민;이준백
    • 한국해양학회지:바다
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.303-307
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    • 2008
  • 제주도 서부해역인 차귀도 연안 해역에서 2006년 10월부터 2007년 11월 사이 5회에 걸쳐 식물 플랑크톤의 일종인 와편모조의 종 조성 변화를 조사하였으며 총 32종의 와편모조가 관찰되었다. 이들 와편모조 중 19종 즉, Amphisolenia bidentata, Ceratium gravidum, C. hexacanthum, C. platycorne, C. praelongum, C. ranipes, C. reflexum, C. geniculatum, Dissodinium elegans, D. bicorne, Ornithocercus heteroporus, O. magnificus, O. quadratus, O. splendidus, O. steinii, Protoperidinium excentricum, Pseliodinium vaubanii, Ptychodiscus noctiluca, Pyrocystis hamulus 등의 종은 한국 연안 해역에서는 매우 드물게 출현이 보고된 종이거나 미기록 종이었다. 그리고 채집된 시료에서 열대 해역 지표종인 Ornithocercus 속의 월별 단위체적당 출현량을 분석한 결과 2006년 10월, 2007년 2, 4, 9 및 11월에 각각 28, 22, 0, 3 및 $502\;cells/m^3$이었다. 또한 월별 총 와편모조류 출현량에 대한 Ornithocercus 속의 점유율은 각각 8, 3.9, 0, 0.2 및 97.9%로 2007년 11월에 최고치를 나타내었다. 이상의 연구 결과는 심각하게 진행되고 있는 지구 온난화에 발맞추어 한반도 연안 해역 역시 온난화 되어지고 있음을 부분적으로 나타내고 있다고 판단된다.

지구환경 변화와 관련된 한국 연근해 해양 이상변동 (Anomalous Variation of the Oceanic Features around Korean Waters Related to the Global Change)

  • 서영상;장이현;황재동
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.257-263
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    • 2003
  • Oceanographic features around Korean waters related to the global change were studied by analysis of the longterm variation of water temperature, dissolved oxygen, sea level of the surface layer with 1$^{\circ}C$ temperature, spatial position of the subpolar front in the East Sea/Japan Sea (the East sea hereafter) and the Wolf Sunspot Number. With the global warming, the temperature of Korean waters has been increased 0.5∼1.0$^{\circ}C$ for 33years (1968∼2000). In case of the dissolved oxygen in the East Sea has been decreased 0.46$m\ell$/$\ell$. Year to year vertical fluctuations of the monthly anomalies of the surface layer with 1$^{\circ}C$water in the East Sea have predominant periods with 15years as the longterm variation of Arctic climate, 12 and 18years as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Spatial position of the subpolar front in the East Sea moved to northern part of the sea from the southern part of the sea with the increasing sea surface temperature. The relationship between the number of Wolf Sunspot and the anomalies of sea surface temperature was very closer after the late of 1980s than those before the early of 1980s in Korean waters.