• 제목/요약/키워드: Ocean Model

검색결과 5,135건 처리시간 0.027초

Proposal of Parameter Range that Offered Optimal Performance in the Coastal Morphodynamic Model (XBeach) Through GLUE

  • Bae, Hyunwoo;Do, Kideok;Kim, Inho;Chang, Sungyeol
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.251-269
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    • 2022
  • The process-based XBeach model has numerous empirical parameters because of insufficient understanding of hydrodynamics and sediment transport on the nearshore; hence, it is necessary to calibrate parameters to apply to various study areas and wave conditions. Therefore, the calibration process of parameters is essential for the improvement of model performance. Generally, the trial-and-error method is widely used; however, this method is passive and limited to various and comprehensive parameter ranges. In this study, the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method was used to estimate the optimal range of three parameters (gamma, facua, and gamma2) using morphological field data collected in Maengbang beach during the four typhoons that struck from September to October 2019. The model performance and optimal range of empirical parameters were evaluated using Brier Skill Score (BSS) along with the baseline profiles, sensitivity, and likelihood density analysis of BSS in the GLUE tools. Accordingly, the optimal parameter combinations were derived when facua was less than 0.15 and simulated well the shifting shape, from crescentic sand bar to alongshore uniform sand bars in the surf zone of Maengbang beach after storm impact. However, the erosion and accretion patterns nearby in the surf zone and shoreline remain challenges in the XBeach model.

ROMS-NPZD 접합모델을 이용한 한반도 주변해역의 표층 영양염 및 클로로필의 계절변동성 (Application of ROMS-NPZD Coupled Model for Seasonal Variability of Nutrient and Chlorophyll at Surface Layer in the Northwestern Pacific)

  • 이준호;김태훈;문재홍
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2016
  • Recently, there has been a growing interest in physical-biological ocean-modeling systems by communities in the fields of science and business. In this paper, we present preliminary results from a coupled physical-biological model for the Northwestern Pacific marginal seas. The ocean circulation component is an implementation of the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS), and the lower trophic level ecosystem component is a Nutrient-Phytoplankton-Zooplankton-Detritus (NPZD) model. The ROMS-NPZD coupled system, with a 25 km resolution, is forced by climatological atmospheric data and predicts the physical variables and concentrations of nitrate, phytoplankton, zooplankton, and detritus. Model results are compared with remote-sensed sea surface temperature and chlorophyll, and with climatological sea surface salinity and nitrate. Our model adequately reproduces the observed spatial distribution and seasonal variability of nitrate and chlorophyll concentrations as well as physical variables, showing a high correlation in the East Sea (ES) and Kuroshio/Oyashio Extension (KOE) region but relatively low correlation in the Yellow Sea (YS) and East China Sea (ECS). Although some deficiencies were found in the biological components, such as the over/underestimation of the intensity of phytoplankton blooms in the ES and KOE/the YS and ECS, our system demonstrates the capability of the model to capture and record dominant seasonal variability in physical-biological processes and this holds out the promise of coming to a better understanding of such processes and making better predictions .

심해용 무인 잠수정의 동역학 계수의 추정에 관한 연구 (Estimation of the Hydrodynamic Coefficients for the Deep-sea UUV "HEMIRE")

  • 백혁;김기훈;전봉환;이판묵;임용곤
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 2008
  • This paper represents the experimental identification of a finite-dimensional dynamical plant model for the HEMIRE Remotely Operated Vehicle. The experiments were conducted during sea trials in the East Sea in October 2006 and peer testing by the South Sea Research Institute in January 2007. A least-squares method was employed to identify decoupled single degree-of-freedom plant dynamical models for the X, Y, Z and heading degree-of-freedom from experimental data. The performance of the identified plant dynamical model was evaluated by directly comparing simulations of the identified plant model to the experimentally observed motion data from the actual vehicle.

운송 바지선의 예인안정성에 관한 모형시험 및 수치해석 연구 (Experimental and Numerical Study on Towing Stability of Transportation Barge)

  • 남보우;홍사영;김진하;최성권;김종욱
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.102-110
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents the results of an experimental and numerical study on the towing characteristics of a barge. A series of model tests were carried out at the Ocean Engineering Basin of KRISO. A model with a 1:50 scale ratio was constructed out of wood. First, force coefficient tests were performed in order to obtain the surge, sway, and yaw force coefficients of the barge. The focus was the effect of skeg on the force coefficients. The stability parameter was calculated from the force coefficients. Next, towing tests in calm sea were carried out with different towline lengths and towing speeds. The trajectories of the barge and the towline tensions were measured during the tests. The measured trajectories were compared with numerical simulation results using a cross-flow model. The towing stability of the barge in a calm sea is discussed in detail.

Real Time Current Prediction with Recurrent Neural Networks and Model Tree

  • Cini, S.;Deo, Makarand Chintamani
    • International Journal of Ocean System Engineering
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.116-130
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    • 2013
  • The prediction of ocean currents in real time over the warning times of a few hours or days is required in planning many operation-related activities in the ocean. Traditionally this is done through numerical models which are targeted toward producing spatially distributed information. This paper discusses a complementary method to do so when site-specific predictions are desired. It is based on the use of a recurrent type of neural network as well as the statistical tool of model tree. The measurements made at a site in Indian Ocean over a period of 4 years were used. The predictions were made over 72 time steps in advance. The models developed were found to be fairly accurate in terms of the selected error statistics. Among the two modeling techniques the model tree performed better showing the necessity of using distributed models for different sub-domains of data rather than a unique one over the entire input domain. Typically such predictions were associated with average errors of less than 2.0 cm/s. Although the prediction accuracy declined over longer intervals, it was still very satisfactory in terms of theselected error criteria. Similarly prediction of extreme values matched with that of the rest of predictions. Unlike past studies both east-west and north-south current components were predicted fairly well.

Development of Ship Vibration Analysis Software PFADS-R3 and Its Applications

  • Hong Suk-Yoon;Seo Seong-Hoon;Park Young-Ho;Lee Ho-Won
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2004
  • PFFEM software, PFADS has been developed for the vibration predictions and analysis of coupled system structures in medium-to-high frequency ranges. PFFEM is numerical method which solves energy governing equation using finite element technique for complicated structures where the exact solutions are not available. Through the upgrades, present PFADS R3 could cover the general beam and plate structures including various kinds of beam-plate rigid joints and other joint systems such as spring-damper junction and rigid bar connection. This software is composed of 3 parts; translator, model converter and solver. The translator makes its own FE-model from bulk data of commercial FE software, and the model converter is used to convert FE-model to PFFE-model automatically. The solver calculates vibrational energy density and intensity for PFFE-model by solving global matrix equations of PFFEM. For the applications of real transportation systems, a container ship model has been examined with respect to major parameters, and reliable results have been obtained.

심해저 망간단괴에서 추출되는 금속가격 예측 및 적합도 분석 (Analysis of Price Forecasting and Goodness-of-Fit of the Metals Extracted from Deep Seabed Manganese Nodules)

  • 권석재;정선영
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2014
  • The development of deep seabed manganese nodules has been carried out with the aim of commercial development in 2023. It is important to forecast the price of the four metals (copper, nickel, cobalt, and manganese) extracted from manganese nodules because price change is a criterion for investment decision. The main purpose of the study is to forecast the price of four metals using the ARIMA model and VAR model, and calculate the MAPE to compare a goodness-of-fit between the two models. The estimated results of the two models reveal statistical significance and are in keeping with economic theory. The results of MAPE for goodness-of-fit show that the VAR model is between 0.1 and 0.2, and the ARIMA model is between 0.4 and 0.6. That is, the VAR model is better than the ARIMA model in forecasting changes in the price of metals.

투과성 해안구조물의 Wave Run-up에 대한 CADMAS-SURF의 적용 (An Application of CADMAS-SURF to the Wave run-up in Permeable Coastal Structures)

  • 윤한삼;차종호;강윤구
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2005
  • We constructed and demonstrated a numerical CADMAS-SURF(V4.0) model that reproduces the wave run-up characteristics on the slope of coastal structures and applied it to a permeable coastal structure. We also compared the numerical model with published experimental results on the hydrodynamic phenomena of structures and some numerical results for a modified Pbreak model. In conclusion, the CADMAS-SURF model efficiently simulated wave run-up on the slope of a permeable coastal structure. The inflow/outflow effects from the porous structure boundary were approximately $15\%$ more than with the modified Pbreak model. Nevertheless, the descriptions of the internal hydraulic characteristics still could not be full!! exacted from the result(Fig. 1 참조)s obtained in our model experiment.

동해안 이상 너울 추산에 관한 고찰 (Examinations on the Wave Hindcasting of the Abnormal Swells in the East Coast)

  • 김태림;이강호
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2008
  • Abnormally large swells that appeared on the coast of the East Sea in October in 2005 and 2006 were simulated using SWAN model to examine the accuracy of the model for future forecasting Seawind data calculated based on the weather chart ant bottom topography were used for input data, and the model was operated more than 20 days before the observed swells to avoid the problems from the cold start of the model. The comparisons with observed wind and wave data were unsatisfactory and neededmore improvement in terms of swell component in the wave model as well as the quality of seawind data. The satellite wind and wave data can be good candidates for future comparison of the wave model results in the East Sea.

Model test and numerical simulation of OC3 spar type floating offshore wind turbine

  • Ahn, Hyeon-Jeong;Shin, Hyunkyoung
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2019
  • Nowadays, the study on Floating Offshore Wind Turbines (FOWTs) is being performed globally. Dozens of numerical simulation tools have been developed for designing FOWTs and simulating their performances in combined wave and wind environments. On the other hand, model tests are still required to verify the results obtained from numerical simulation tools. To predict seakeeping performance of the OC3-Hywind platform, a OC3 spar model moored by a 3-leg catenary spread mooring system with a delta connection was built with a 1/128 scale ratio. The model tests were carried out for various sea states, including rotating rotor effect with wind in the Ocean Engineering Wide Tank, University Of Ulsan (UOU). The model test results are compared with the numerical simulations by UOU in-house code and FAST.