• Title/Summary/Keyword: Occurrence distribution

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The Spatial Distribution and Change of Frequency of the Yellow Sand Days in Korea (한국의 황사 발생 빈도 분포와 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Sunyoung;Lee, Seungho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the spatial distribution and change of the frequency of Yellow Sand days and to examine their relationship with atmospheric circular characteristics at the surroundings of the Korean peninsula. Yellow Sand days data are used by intensity, Siberian High Index and monthly mean temperature of the Northern Hemisphere. In the Middle-western region, the occurrence frequency of Yellow Sand days was higher during the study period (1973-2004). Also, the occurrence frequency of Yellow Sand days increased to latter half 16 years compared with the first half 16 years, and be clearer in Middlewest regions. Yellow Sand days frequency increased, and the trend was distinct in the Jungbu region during the study period. Increasing trend of Yellow Sand days frequency was significant for the recent 22 years. Yellow Sand days had a negative relationship with Siberian High Index in February and March. Therefore, Siberian High Index became weaker in the spring, and possibility for the occurrence of Yellow Sand days was generating larger. Yellow Sand days had a positive relationship in monthly mean temperature of the Northern Hemisphere. Especially, the case of the strong Yellow Sand days is significant. Recently, global warming might be affecting the occurrence of strong Yellow Sand days.

A Study of Infinite Failure NHPP Software Reliability Growth Model base on Record Value Statistics with Gamma Family of Lifetime Distribution (수명분포가 감마족인 기록값 통계량에 기초한 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Sin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2006
  • Infinite failure NHPP models for a record value satisfies mode proposed in the literature exhibit either monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, propose comparative study of software reliability model using Erlang distribution, Rayleigh and Gumbel distribution. Equations to estimate the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of infinite failure NHPP model based on failure data collected in the form of interfailure times are developed. For the sake of proposing distribution, we used to the special pattern. Analysis of failure data set using arithmetic and Laplace trend tests, goodness-of-fit test, bias tests is presented.

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A Comparative Study of Software finite Fault NHPP Model Considering Inverse Rayleigh and Rayleigh Distribution Property (역-레일리와 레일리 분포 특성을 이용한 유한고장 NHPP모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Shin, Hyun Cheul;Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2014
  • The inverse Rayleigh model distribution and Rayleigh distribution model were widely used in the field of reliability station. In this paper applied using the finite failure NHPP models in order to growth model. In other words, a large change in the course of the software is modified, and the occurrence of defects is almost inevitable reality. Finite failure NHPP software reliability models can have, in the literature, exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, proposes the inverse Rayleigh and Rayleigh software reliability growth model, which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of efficient model, were employed. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In many aspects, Rayleigh distribution model is more efficient than the reverse-Rayleigh distribution model was proved. From this paper, software developers have to consider the growth model by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can helped.

A Study on the Prediction of Stock Return in Korea's Distribution Industry Using the VKOSPI Index

  • Jeong-Hwan LEE;Gun-Hee LEE;Sam-Ho SON
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of the VKOSPI index on short-term stock returns after a large-scale stock price shock of individual stocks of firms in the distribution industry in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology: This study investigates the effect of the change of the VKOSPI index or investor mood on abnormal returns after the event date from January 2004 to July 2022. The significance of the abnormal return, which is obtained by subtracting the rate of return estimated by the market model from the rate of actual return on each trading day after the event date, is determined based on T-test and multifactor regression analysis. Results: In Korea's distribution industry, the simultaneous occurrence of a bad investor mood and a large stock price decline, leads to stock price reversals. Conversely, the simultaneous occurrence of a good investor mood and a large-scale stock price rise leads to stock price drifts. We found that the VKOSPI index has strong explanatory power for these reversals and drifts even after considering both company-specific and event-specific factors. Conclusions: In Korea's distribution industry-related stock market, investors show an asymmetrical behavioral characteristic of overreacting to negative moods and underreacting to positive moods.

The Spatial Distribution and Recent Trend of Frost Occurrence Days in South Korea (최근 한국의 서리 현상의 공간 분포와 시계열 변화 경향)

  • Kwon Young-Ah
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.41 no.3 s.114
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    • pp.361-372
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze temporal trends and spatial distribution of frost occurrence days using 54 weather stations under the Korea Meteorological Administration during the recent 30years ($1971{\sim}2000$). The frost occurrence days in the middle inland area was more than in the coastal area, but the period of free-frost days in the coastal area was longer than that in the middle inland. In the southern and eastern coastal areas, the frost day was more than in the western coastal area. The distribution of the first frost day was similar to that of the last frost day. The first frost day in the coastal area appeared a month later than that in the middle inland. The last frost day in the coastal area appeared $20{\sim}25$ days later than that in the middle inland. At most of stations which the first frost day was getting delayed and the last frost day earlier, the frost occurrence days showed a decreasing trend. However, in some stations, the frost occurrence day was increasing. As the frost days in October, March and April at some stations showed an increasing trend, the damage due to the frost might be increased in some areas in South Korea.

An Analysis of Statistical Characteristics of Nonlinear Ocean Waves (비선형 해양파의 통계적 특성에 대한 해석)

  • Kim, Do-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.112-120
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    • 2010
  • In this paper time series wave data measured continuously for 24 hours during a storm in Yura Sea Area are used to investigate statistical characteristics of nonlinear waves. The exceedance probability of wave height is compared using the Rayleigh distribution and the Edgeworth-Rayleigh (ER) distribution. Wave data which show stationary state for 10 hours contain 4600 waves approximately. The Gram-Chalier distribution fits the probability of wave elevation better than the Gaussian distribution. The Rayleigh ($H_{rms}$) distribution follows the exceedance probability of wave height in general and predicts the probability of freak waves well. The ER distribution overpredicts the exceedance probability of wave heights and the occurrence of freak waves. If wave data measured for 30 minute period which contains 250 waves are used, the ER distribution can predict the occurrence probability of freak waves well. But it overpredicts the probability of overall wave height If no freak wave occurs, the Rayleigh ($H_{rms}$) distribution agrees well with wave height distribution for the most of wave height ranges. The wave height distribution of freak waves of which height are less than 10 m shows similar tendency compared with freak waves greater than 10 m. The value of $H_{max}/H_{1/3}$ is related to the kurtosis of wave elevation. It seems that there exists threshold value of the kurtosis for the occurrence of freak waves.

A Study on the Distribution of Rainfall over the Korean Peninsula for the Generation of Rainfall Operational Specifications for Weapon Systems using Electromagnetic and Optical Sensors (전자기 및 광학 센서를 적용한 무기체계의 강수 운용규격 설정을 위한 한반도 강수량 분포에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Dong-Ju;Kim, Jai-Ha
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.227-234
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    • 2010
  • When a weapon system is developed, climate elements such as temperature, rainfall, and so on have an effect on development costs and a developing period. Therefore, effects of environment and climate must be examined throughly before the design of weapon systems and be applied to their developments. And so, operational and storage requirements for weapon systems are determined and are applied to related tests through analyzing not only environmental factors such as vibration, shock, and so on, but also climate factors. In this paper, the distribution and the frequency of occurrence of rainfall were analyzed and were suggested as a good guide to determine standards of tests for weapon systems when it's raining.

The Occurrence and Distribution of Cellular Slime Molds in Major Deciduous Forests of South Korea (한국의 주요 낙엽수림에서 세포성 점균의 출현 및 분포)

  • 홍정수
    • Journal of Plant Biology
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.159-168
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    • 1990
  • The occurrence and distribution of cellular slime molds in major deciduous forests of South Korea were investigated. Ten species were isolated from the soils collected at ten sampling areas and cultured in hay infusion agar with E. coli. These include: Dictyostelium minutum Raper, Dictyostelium mucoroides Brefeld, Dictyostelium lacteum Van Tiegham, Dictyostelium polycephalum Raper, Dictyostelium fasciculutum Traub, Hohl and Cavender, Dictyostelium sp. Polysphondylium pallidum Olive, Polyshpondylium violaceum Brefeld, Copromyxellar sp. and Guttulinopsis vulgaris Olives. Among these species, Dictyostelium sp. and Copromyxellar sp. could not be identified. D. minutum and D. mucoroides occurred the most frequently in almost all the deciduous forests investigated in this study. Dictyostelium sp., D. fasciculutum and Copromyxella sp. occurred only in the north of the central region, but D. lacteum and D. polycephalum were found only in the south of that region. This indicates that distribution of these species may be affected by climate. The number of isolates per sampling site ranged from 2 to 6, averaging 4.3.

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A Simulation Model for the Intermittent Hydrologic Process(I) - Alternate Renewal Process (ARP) and Continuous Probability Distribution - (간헐(間歇) 수문과정(水文過程)의 모의발생(模擬發生) 모형(模型)(I) - 교대재생과정(交代再生過程)(ARP)과 연속확률분포(連續確率分布) -)

  • Lee, Jae Joon;Lee, Jung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.509-521
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    • 1994
  • This study is an effort to develop computer simulation model that produce precipitation patterns from stochastic model. A stochastic model is formulated for the process of daily precipitation with considering the sequences of wet and dry days and the precipitation amounts on wet days. This study consists of 2 papers and the process of precipitation occurrence is modelled by an alternate renewal process (ARP) in paper (I). In the ARP model for the precipitation occurrence, four discrete distributions, used to fit the wet and dry spells, were as follows; truncated binomial distribution (TBD), truncated Poisson distribution (TPD), truncated negative binomial distribution (TNBD), logarithmic series distribution (LSD). In companion paper (II) the process of occurrence is developed by Markov chain. The amounts of precipitation, given that precipitation has occurred, are described by a Gamma. Pearson Type-III, Extremal Type-III, and 3 parameter Weibull distribution. Daily precipitation series model consists of two models, A-Wand A-G model, by combining the process of precipitation occurrence and a continuous probability distribution on the precipitation of wet days. To evaluate the performance of the simulation model, output from the model was compared with historical data of 7 stations in the Nakdong and Seomjin river basin. The results of paper (1) show that it is possible to design a model for the synthetic generation of IX)int precipitation patterns.

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Relations Among Sunspots, CMEs and Geomagnetic Storms in Solar Cycle 23 (태양주기 23의 흑점, CME 및 지자기폭풍의 빈도간 상관관계 연구)

  • Rho, Su-Lyun;Chang, Heon-Young
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.9-24
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    • 2009
  • We compare the relation among the annual distribution of sunspots: coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and geomagnetic storms and North-South asymmetry during solar cycle 23. For this purpose, we calculate correlation coefficients between (i) annual distribution and N-S asymmetry of CMEs - sunspots (ii) distribution of CMEs - occurrence number of geomagnetic storms (iii) distribution of sunspots - occurrence number of geomagnetic storms. We find that (i) the annual distribution of total CMEs has good correlation with distribution of annual average of sunspots but poor correlation with N-S asymmetry of sunspots, N-S asymmetry of CMEs has good correlation with N-S asymmetry of sunspots: (ii) total and N-S asymmetry of CMEs have poor correlation with occurrence number of geomagnetic storms, it's, however, well correlated with the classified groups of CMEs (Ap, Dst and an indices vs. fast CMEs($\upsilon$ > $1000kms^{-1}$), Dst index vs. Halo CMEs), and (iii) sunspot numbers and area are correlated with occurrence number of geomagnetic storms. We conclude that annual distribution of CMEs and sunspots have well correlated with geomagnetic storms, N-S asymmetry of CMEs and sunspots have poor correlated with the geomagnetic storms.