• 제목/요약/키워드: Objective Prediction

검색결과 1,082건 처리시간 0.028초

태풍에 따른 지역별 건물피해액 예측모델 개발 기초연구 (A Basic Study on Reginal Prediction Model for Building Damage Costs acrroding to Hurricane)

  • 김부영;양성필;김상호;조한병;손기영
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2015년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.253-254
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    • 2015
  • Currently, according to the climate change, the damages due to the hurricane is more increased than before. In this respect, several countries have been conducted the studies regarding the damage prediction model of buildings to minimize the damages from natural disaster. As hurricane is the complex disaster including a strong wind and heavy rain, to predict the damage of hurricane, various factors has to be considered. However, mostly research has been conducted to consider only hurricane properties. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develop the regression model for predicting damages of buildings considering geography, socio-economy, construction environment and hurricane information. In the future, this study can be utilized to developing damage prediction model for building from hurricane in South Korea.

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드러난 영역 예측을 이용한 초저 비트율 동영상 부호화 (Very Low Bit Rate Video Coding Algorithm Using Uncovered Region Prediction)

  • 정영안;한성현;최종수;정차근
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.771-781
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    • 1997
  • In order to solve the problem of uncovered background region due to the region-due to the region-based motion estimation, this paper presents a new method which generates the uncovered region memory using motion estimation and shows the application of the algorithm for very low bit rate video coding. The proposed algorithm can be briefly described as follows it detects the changed region by using the information of FD(frame difference) and segmentation, and then as for only that region the backward motion estimation without transmission of shape information is done. Therefore, from only motion information the uncovered background region memory is generated and updated. The contents stored in the uncovered background region memory are referred whenever the uncovered region comes into existence. The regions with large prediction error are transformed and coded by using DCT. As results of simulation, the proposed algorithm shows the superior improvement in the subjective and objective image quality due to the remarkable reduction of transmission bits for prediction error.

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다항회귀분석을 활용한 혼합경량토의 강도산정 모델 개발 (Development of Strength Prediction Model for Lightweight Soil Using Polynomial Regression Analysis)

  • 임병권;김윤태
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study was to develop a strength prediction model using a polynomial regression analysis based on the experimental results obtained from ninety samples. As the results of a correlation analysis between various mixing factors and unconfined compressive strength using SPSS (statistical package for the social sciences), the governing factors in the strength of lightweight soil were found to be the crumb rubber content, bottom ash content,and water-cement ratio. After selecting the governing factors affecting the strength through the correlation analysis, a strength prediction model, which consisted of the selected governing factors, was developed using the polynomial regression analysis. The strengths calculated from the proposed model were similar to those resulting from laboratory tests (R2=87.5%). Therefore, the proposed model can be used to predict the strength of lightweight mixtures with various mixing ratios without time-consuming experimental tests.

건설소음 예방을 위한 현장용 간이 합성소음 예측프로그램 개발 (Development of the Simple Prediction Program to Prevent Construction Noise in Site)

  • 방종대;송희수;경태욱;임병근
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2005년도 추계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2005
  • The research is an objective which prevents a construction noise by developing prediction program on utility, helps comprehension of construction noise by case study. The program developed with Visual Basic of the Excel Logic. The standard noise is a data with report of the construction machine (National Institute of Environmental Research), construction noise of sound pressure level applied the distance decrease of the point source. The decrease effect of the barrier noise wall used the data of 5, 10, 15, 20dB where the diffraction is reflected. used a program, case study is suggested Prevention method to prevent noise of construction site.

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머신러닝을 통한 건축 도시 데이터 분석의 기초적 연구 - 딥러닝을 이용한 유동인구 모델 구축 - (Machine Learning Based Architecture and Urban Data Analysis - Construction of Floating Population Model Using Deep Learning -)

  • 신동윤
    • 한국BIM학회 논문집
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we construct a prototype model for city data prediction by using time series data of floating population, and use machine learning to analyze urban data of complex structure. A correlation prediction model was constructed using three of the 10 data (total flow population, male flow population, and Monday flow population), and the result was compared with the actual data. The results of the accuracy were evaluated. The results of this study show that the predicted model of the floating population predicts the correlation between the predicted floating population and the current state of commerce. It is expected that it will help efficient and objective design in the planning stages of architecture, landscape, and urban areas such as tree environment design and layout of trails. Also, it is expected that the dynamic population prediction using multivariate time series data and collected location data will be able to perform integrated simulation with time series data of various fields.

머신러닝 데이터의 우울증에 대한 예측 (Prediction of Depression from Machine Learning Data)

  • Jeong Hee KIM;Kyung-A KIM
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.17-21
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    • 2023
  • The primary objective of this research is to utilize machine learning models to analyze factors tailored to each dataset for predicting mental health conditions. The study aims to develop appropriate models based on specific datasets, with the goal of accurately predicting mental health states through the analysis of distinct factors present in each dataset. This approach seeks to design more effective strategies for the prevention and intervention of depression, enhancing the quality of mental health services by providing personalized services tailored to individual circumstances. Overall, the research endeavors to advance the development of personalized mental health prediction models through data-driven factor analysis, contributing to the improvement of mental health services on an individualized basis.

Assessment of genomic prediction accuracy using different selection and evaluation approaches in a simulated Korean beef cattle population

  • Nwogwugwu, Chiemela Peter;Kim, Yeongkuk;Choi, Hyunji;Lee, Jun Heon;Lee, Seung-Hwan
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제33권12호
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    • pp.1912-1921
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    • 2020
  • Objective: This study assessed genomic prediction accuracies based on different selection methods, evaluation procedures, training population (TP) sizes, heritability (h2) levels, marker densities and pedigree error (PE) rates in a simulated Korean beef cattle population. Methods: A simulation was performed using two different selection methods, phenotypic and estimated breeding value (EBV), with an h2 of 0.1, 0.3, or 0.5 and marker densities of 10, 50, or 777K. A total of 275 males and 2,475 females were randomly selected from the last generation to simulate ten recent generations. The simulation of the PE dataset was modified using only the EBV method of selection with a marker density of 50K and a heritability of 0.3. The proportions of errors substituted were 10%, 20%, 30%, and 40%, respectively. Genetic evaluations were performed using genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) and single-step GBLUP (ssGBLUP) with different weighted values. The accuracies of the predictions were determined. Results: Compared with phenotypic selection, the results revealed that the prediction accuracies obtained using GBLUP and ssGBLUP increased across heritability levels and TP sizes during EBV selection. However, an increase in the marker density did not yield higher accuracy in either method except when the h2 was 0.3 under the EBV selection method. Based on EBV selection with a heritability of 0.1 and a marker density of 10K, GBLUP and ssGBLUP_0.95 prediction accuracy was higher than that obtained by phenotypic selection. The prediction accuracies from ssGBLUP_0.95 outperformed those from the GBLUP method across all scenarios. When errors were introduced into the pedigree dataset, the prediction accuracies were only minimally influenced across all scenarios. Conclusion: Our study suggests that the use of ssGBLUP_0.95, EBV selection, and low marker density could help improve genetic gains in beef cattle.

Application of deep learning with bivariate models for genomic prediction of sow lifetime productivity-related traits

  • Joon-Ki Hong;Yong-Min Kim;Eun-Seok Cho;Jae-Bong Lee;Young-Sin Kim;Hee-Bok Park
    • Animal Bioscience
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.622-630
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    • 2024
  • Objective: Pig breeders cannot obtain phenotypic information at the time of selection for sow lifetime productivity (SLP). They would benefit from obtaining genetic information of candidate sows. Genomic data interpreted using deep learning (DL) techniques could contribute to the genetic improvement of SLP to maximize farm profitability because DL models capture nonlinear genetic effects such as dominance and epistasis more efficiently than conventional genomic prediction methods based on linear models. This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of DL for the genomic prediction of two SLP-related traits; lifetime number of litters (LNL) and lifetime pig production (LPP). Methods: Two bivariate DL models, convolutional neural network (CNN) and local convolutional neural network (LCNN), were compared with conventional bivariate linear models (i.e., genomic best linear unbiased prediction, Bayesian ridge regression, Bayes A, and Bayes B). Phenotype and pedigree data were collected from 40,011 sows that had husbandry records. Among these, 3,652 pigs were genotyped using the PorcineSNP60K BeadChip. Results: The best predictive correlation for LNL was obtained with CNN (0.28), followed by LCNN (0.26) and conventional linear models (approximately 0.21). For LPP, the best predictive correlation was also obtained with CNN (0.29), followed by LCNN (0.27) and conventional linear models (approximately 0.25). A similar trend was observed with the mean squared error of prediction for the SLP traits. Conclusion: This study provides an example of a CNN that can outperform against the linear model-based genomic prediction approaches when the nonlinear interaction components are important because LNL and LPP exhibited strong epistatic interaction components. Additionally, our results suggest that applying bivariate DL models could also contribute to the prediction accuracy by utilizing the genetic correlation between LNL and LPP.

병원의 미래 현금흐름 정보예측 (A Study on the Predictability of Hospital's Future Cash Flow Information)

  • 문영전;양동현
    • 한국병원경영학회지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.19-41
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    • 2006
  • The Objective of this study was to design the model which predict the future cash flow of hospitals and on the basis of designed model to support sound hospital management by the prediction of future cash flow. The five cash flow measurement variables discussed in financial accrual part were used as variables and these variables were defined as NI, NIDPR, CFO, CFAI, CC. To measure the cash flow B/S related variables, P/L related variables and financial ratio related variables were utilized in this study. To measure cash flow models were designed and to estimate the prediction ability of five cash flow models, the martingale model and the market model were utilized. To estimate relative prediction outcome of cash flow prediction model and simple market model, MAE and MER were used to compare and analyze relative prediction ability of the cash flow model and the market model and to prove superiority of the model of the cash flow prediction model, 32 Regional Public Hospital's cross-section data and 4 year time series data were combined and pooled cross-sectional time series regression model was used for GLS-analysis. To analyze this data, Firstly, each cash flow prediction model, martingale model and market model were made and MAE and MER were estimated. Secondly difference-test was conducted to find the difference between MAE and MER of cash flow prediction model. Thirdly after ranking by size the prediction of cash flow model, martingale model and market model, Friedman-test was evaluated to find prediction ability. The results of this study were as follows: when t-test was conducted to find prediction ability among each model, the error of prediction of cash flow model was smaller than that of martingale and market model, and the difference of prediction error cash flow was significant, so cash flow model was analyzed as excellent compare with other models. This research results can be considered conductive in that present the suitable prediction model of future cash flow to the hospital. This research can provide valuable information in policy-making of hospital's policy decision. This research provide effects as follows; (1) the research is useful to estimate the benefit of hospital, solvency and capital supply ability for substitution of fixed equipment. (2) the research is useful to estimate hospital's liqudity, solvency and financial ability. (3) the research is useful to estimate evaluation ability in hospital management. Furthermore, the research should be continued by sampling all hospitals and constructed advanced cash flow model in dimension, established type and continued by studying unified model which is related each cash flow model.

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RFID를 활용한 적산온도방식의 콘크리트 강도 추정 시스템 기초 연구 (Concrete Strength Prediction System by Maturity Method using RFID)

  • 박소현;오용석;송정화;오건수
    • 한국주거학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국주거학회 2008년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.399-404
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is to develop the predicting method of concrete strength when remove concrete form-work without making cement test piece at construction site. For this purpose, this study catches the Maturity Method by using RFID, the usability of which is now being emphasized at site, accumulates and record the strength data, which can be gained with the results of existing Maturity Method method that is accompanied with strength estimation study, in database, and finally proposes the system structure which can check the estimated strength by Maturity Method. The merits of this method by using of Maturity Method are as follows; More objective, precise, and rapid decision can be made to the concrete strength and about the maintaining period of concrete form and form support. More efficient control of integrated material management system can be possible. Architectural field example using RFID can be suggested more concretely. RFID applicability can be extended by using DB of material integration management system.

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