• Title/Summary/Keyword: Objective Prediction

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Measurement of the Device Properties of a Ionization Smoke Detector to Improve Predictive Performance of the Fire Modeling (화재모델링 예측성능 개선을 위한 이온화식 연기감지기의 장치물성 측정)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hwa;Hwang, Cheol-Hong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2013
  • The high prediction performance of fire detector models is essentially needed to assure the reliability of fire and evacuation modeling in the process of PBD (Performance Based fire safety Design). The main objective of the present study is to measure input information in order to predict the accurate activation time of smoke detector into a Large Eddy Simulation (LES) fire model such as FDS (Fire Dynamics Simulator). To end this, FDE (Fire Detector Evaluator) which can measure the device properties of detector was developed, and the input information of Heskestad and Cleary's models was measured for a ionization smoke detector. In addition, the activation times of smoke detectors predicted using default values into FDS and measured values in the present study were systematically compared. As a result, the device properties of smoke detector examined in the present study showed a significant difference compared to the default values used into FDS, which resulted in the considerable difference of up to 15 minutes or more in terms of the activation time of smoke detector. The database (DB) on device properties of various smoke and heat detectors will be built to improve the reliability of PBD in future studies.

Estimation of Ultimate Methane Yields and Biodegradability from Urban Stream Sediments Using BMP Test (BMP(Biochemical Methane Potential) test를 통한 도심하천 퇴적물의 최종메탄발생수율 및 생분해도 산정)

  • Song, Jaehong;Kim, Seogku;Lee, Junki;Koh, Taehoon;Lee, Taeyoon
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2010
  • The main objective of this study was to offer informations about the current conditions of stream sediments and to evaluate biochemical methane potentials of stream sediments from the urban streams in Busan city using conventional BMP tests. First we select total 5 urban streams and collect sediment samples. Then, COD, proximate analysis, volatile solid, organic carbon content and elemental analysis were conducted to determine characteristics of the sediments. Results show that COD, volatile solid and organic carbon content are determined in the range of $15.20{\sim}75.07mg\;g^{-1}$, 2.34~11.54% and 1.28~34.21%, respectively. Also, several biochemical methane potential tests were performed in a laboratory. As a result, pH values of the reactors generally increased and then stabilized at 7.11~7.35. In addition, C/N ratio, ultimate methane and carbon dioxide yield (mL/g VS) and biodegradability (%) were determined to 1.05~10.27, 10.1~179.4, 10.3~34.4 and 4.0~30.1, respectively. For the determination of the correlations between ultimate methane yield and ultimate carbon dioxide yield, C/N ratio, COD, volatile solid and organic carbon content, a linear model was fitted to the data using a least-squares algorithm. As a result, except for COD ($r^2=0.7586$) and volatile solid ($r^2=0.7876$), Linear model was well fitted to each data with good values of the correlation coefficient ($r^2=0.9795{\sim}0.9858$). Finally, we propose empirical equations, which contain C/N ratio or TOC, for the prediction of ultimate methane yield for the urban streams in Busan city.

Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emission Models and Evaluation of Their Application on Agricultural Lands in Korea (토양 온실가스 배출 예측 모델 분석 및 국내 농경지 적용성 평가)

  • Hwang, Wonjae;Park, Minseok;Kim, Yong-Seong;Cho, Kijong;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Hyun, Seunghun
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2015
  • Greenhouse gas (GHG) emission from agricultural lands is recognized as one of important factors of global warming. The objective of this short communication was to evaluate the applicability of different soil GHG emission prediction models on agricultural systems in Korea. Four models, namely, DNDC, DAYCENT, EXPERT-N and COUP, were selected and the basic structure (e.g., components and sub-model), input variables, and output variables were compared. In particular, the availability and compilation of essential input variables were assessed. Major input variables needed for operating these predictive models were found to be available through database systems established by national organizations such as the Korea Meteorological Administration, the Korean Soil Information System, and the Rural Development Administration. However, in order to apply these models in Korea, it was necessary to calibrate and validate each of the models for the domestic landscape settings and climate conditions. In addition, field data of long-term monitoring of GHG emission from agricultural lands are limited and therefore should be measured.

Estimation of Heading Date for Rice Cultivars Using ORYZA (v3) (ORYZA (v3) 모델을 사용한 벼 품종별 출수기 예측)

  • Hyun, Shinwoo;Kim, Kwang Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.246-251
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    • 2017
  • Crop models have been used to predict a heading date for efficient management of fertilizer application. Recently, the ORYZA (v3) model was developed to improve the ORYZA2000 model, which has been used for simulation of rice growth in Korea. Still, little effort has been made to assess applicability of the ORYZA (v3) model to rice farms in Korea. The objective of this study was to evaluate reliability of heading dates predicted using the the ORYZA (v3) model, which would indicate applicability of the model to a decision support system for fertilizer application. Field experiments were conducted from 2015-2016 at the Rural Development Administration (RDA) to obtain rice phenology data. Shindongjin cultivar which is mid-late maturity type was grown under a conventional fertilizer management, e.g., application of fertilizer at the rate of 11 Kg N/10a. Another set of heading dates was obtained from annual reports at experiment farms operated by the National Institute of Crop Science and Agricultural Technology Centers in each province. The input files for the ORYZA (v3) model were prepared using weather and soil data collected from the Korean Meteorology Administration (KMA) and the Korean Soil Information System, respectively. Input parameters for crop management, e.g., transplanting date and planting density, were set to represent management used for the field experiment. The ORYZA (v3) model predicted heading date within 1 day for two seasons. The crop model also had a relatively small error in prediction of heading date for three ecotypes of rice cultivars at experiment farms where weather input data were obtained from a near-by weather station. Those results suggested that the ORYZA (v3) model would be useful for development of a decision support system for fertilizer application when reliable input data for weather variables become available.

The prediction of shelf-life of Commercially Sterilized Korean Soups using accelerated experiment (가속실험을 이용한 상업적 멸균처리 한식 탕반류의 유통기한 평가)

  • Han Kyung-Soo;Lee Eun-Jung;Hong Sang-Pil
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.21 no.2 s.86
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    • pp.149-154
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this research was to estimate the shelf-life of 4 kinds of Korean soup (Yukkaejang, Sagol-woogeojitang, Kalbitang, and Seolleongtang), under an accelerated experiment, based on the changes in the selected physico-chemical, microbiological and sensory characteristics. The 4 kinds of Korean soup (Yukkaejang, Sagol-woogeojitang, Kalbitang and Seolleongtang) were 1.sated at $121^{\circ}C$ for 30 min. and the shelf life was evaluatedthrough accelerated experiment, based on tile changes in the physico-chemical, microbiological and sensory characteristics. No viable cells were detected in any of the treatments and no significant differences were shown in pH, TBA and Hunter's color values for 3 weeks at $37^{\circ}C$. The periods found to be acceptable by sensory evaluation were 1 days for Yukkaejang and Kalbitang, 14 days for Sagol-woogeojitang, and 21 days for Seolleongtang. For an assumed $Q_10$ value of 2.5, shelf-life was predicted as 109 days for Yukkaejang and Kalbitang, 219 days for Sagol-woogeojitang, an d 328 days for Seolleongtang at $5^{\circ}C$, suggesting that these 4 kinds of Korean soup are suitable for commercial distribution.

Analysis of Proliferative Potentials in Meningiomas by Ki-67, Proliferating Cell Nuclear Antigen, and Flow Cytometry (Ki-67, Proliferating Cell Nuclear Antigen, Flow Cytometry를 이용한 수막종의 증식력 분석)

  • Ahn, Jae Sung;Kim, Jeong Hoon;Kwun, Byung Duk
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.30 no.7
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    • pp.861-869
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    • 2001
  • Objective : In this study, we investigated the relationship between the histologic grading of meningiomas and proliferative potentials determined by the Ki-67, proliferating cell nuclear antigen(PCNA) and flow cytometry (FCM) with the aim of determining whether these potentials can be used as a parameter to the proliferative activity, in particular of atypical and malignant meningiomas. Methods : This study consisted of 47 meningiomas(6 malignant, 14 atypical, and random sampled 27 benign meningiomas). By immunohistochemical staining of Ki-67 and PCNA on formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded sections, the anti-human rabbit polyclonal antibody against Ki-67 antigen and anti-PCNA monoclonal antibody(PC10) scores were counted. FCM was also performed on paraffin-embedded tissue using a selective staining technique for DNA. DNA ploidy, S-phase fraction, and proliferative index(PI)) were determined. Results : The results are summarized as follows ; 1) Proliferation rates as assessed by Ki-67 and PCNA closely correlated with the degree of anaplastic histologic features. 2) Proliferative potentials determined by FCM(S-phase fraction and PI) were not able to distinguish between benign and atypical/malignant meningiomas. 3) DNA ploidy was not a useful indicator of histologic grade in these tumors. 4) Proliferative potentials such as Ki-67 staining index(SI) and PCNA SI did not correlate with the ploidy pattern. 5) There was a linear correlation between Ki-67 SI and PCNA SI, but we could not find a correlation between Ki-67 SI and S-phase fraction or PI. Our results also did not show a statistically signficant correlation between PCNA SI and S-phse fraction or PI. Conclusions : We conclude that evaluation of the proliferative potentials with Ki-67 and PCNA is important as an additional factor for the prediction of malignancy in meningiomas. A dual study of Ki-67 and PCNA SIs on the same tissue might improve the accuracy with which the proliferative potential of a tumor can be predicted. We demonstrated that FCM in meningiomas is not valuable in predicting the behavior of these neoplasms, but we did observe a trend toward more malignancy with higher percent S-phase fraction and higher PI. Analysis of the S-phase fraction and PI might therefore be a useful tool to discriminate among histologic grades of meningiomas.

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A Study on Inundation Analysis Considering Inland and River Flood (내수 및 외수영향을 고려한 침수해석에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Hyeon-Sik;Kim, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.74-89
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to present countermeasures for mitigation of flood damage with inundation analysis considering the effect of inland and river flood and prediction of flood inundation area, depth and time against emergencies caused by abnormal flood and local torrential rainfall. In this study, 2-D inundation analysis was fulfilled on the basis of river flood analysis applying to HEC-HMS and FLDWAV model and inundation analysis applying to SWMM model for the area of Shineum-dong, Gimcheon-si. Also expected inundation depth and area about probable rainfall of 100 and 200 years frequency were suggested. If expected inundation depth and flooding area is presented on the basis of this inundation analysis considering the effect of inland and river flood, it would be an important preliminary data to establish structural and nonstructural countermeasures for flood prevention. Also if flood risk map is prepared based on the result of inundation analysis, it would be useful to evacuate residents in high-risk area and regulate road and vehicle.

Trend Analysis using Topic Modeling for Simulation Studies (토픽 모델링을 이용한 시뮬레이션 연구 동향 분석)

  • Na, Sang-Tae;Kim, Ja-Hee;Jung, Min-Ho;Ahn, Joo-Eon
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2016
  • The recent diversification in terms of the scope and techniques used for simulations has highlighted the importance of analyzing state of the art trends and applying these for educational and study purposes. While qualitative methods such as literature research or experts' assessments have previously been used, such methods are in fact likely to reflect the subjective viewpoint of experts, and to involve too much time and money for the results obtained. For the purpose of an objective analysis, a quantitative analysis that included the examination of topics found in domestic academic journal articles was conducted in the present study. In this regard, simulation was found to be most actively used domestically in the electrical and electronic fields. In addition, simulation was also found to be employed for the purpose of education and entertainment in the social sciences. The results of this study are expected to help to facilitate the prediction of the direction of the development of not only the Korea Society for Simulation, but also domestic simulation studies. This study also raises the possibility of applying text mining to trend analysis, and proves that it can be a useful method for deriving future key topics and helping experts' decisions regarding quantitative data.

Classification Modeling for Predicting Medical Subjects using Patients' Subjective Symptom Text (환자의 주관적 증상 텍스트에 대한 진료과목 분류 모델 구축)

  • Lee, Seohee;Kang, Juyoung
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2021
  • In the field of medical artificial intelligence, there have been a lot of researches on disease prediction and classification algorithms that can help doctors judge, but relatively less interested in artificial intelligence that can help medical consumers acquire and judge information. The fact that more than 150,000 questions have been asked about which hospital to go over the past year in NAVER portal will be a testament to the need to provide medical information suitable for medical consumers. Therefore, in this study, we wanted to establish a classification model that classifies 8 medical subjects for symptom text directly described by patients which was collected from NAVER portal to help consumers choose appropriate medical subjects for their symptoms. In order to ensure the validity of the data involving patients' subject matter, we conducted similarity measurements between objective symptom text (typical symptoms by medical subjects organized by the Seoul Emergency Medical Information Center) and subjective symptoms (NAVER data). Similarity measurements demonstrated that if the two texts were symptoms of the same medical subject, they had relatively higher similarity than symptomatic texts from different medical subjects. Following the above procedure, the classification model was constructed using a ridge regression model for subjective symptom text that obtained validity, resulting in an accuracy of 0.73.

Analytic study on thermal management operating conditions of balance of 100kW fuel cell power plant for a fuel cell electric vehicle (100kW급 연료전지 열관리 시스템 실도로 운전조건 해석적 연구)

  • Lee, Ho-Seong;Lee, Moo-Yeon;Cho, Choong-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study was to investigate performance characteristics of thermal management system(TMS) in a fuel cell electric vehicle with 100kW Fuel Cell(FC) system. In order to build up analytic modelling for TMS, each component was installed and tested under various operating conditions, such as water pump, radiator, 3-Way valve, COD heater, and FC stack etc. and as the results of them, correlations reflecting component's characteristics with flow rate, air velocity were developed. Developed analytic modelling was carried out under various operating conditions on the road. To verify modelling's accuracy, after prediction for optimum coolant flow rate was fulfilled under certain operating conditions, such as FC system, water pump speed, opening of 3-way valve, and pipe resistance, analytic and experimental values were compared and good agreement was shown. In order to predict cold-start operating performance for analytic modelling, coolant temperature variation was analyzed with $-20^{\circ}C$ ambient temperature and duration was predicted to rise in optimum temperature for FC. Because there is appropriate temperature difference between inlet and outlet of FC stack to operate FC system properly, related analysis was performed with respect to power consumption for TMS and heat rejection rate and performance map was depicted along with FC operating conditions.