• Title/Summary/Keyword: OLS회귀분석

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An Analysis of the Effects of Customer Characteristics on Sales of Alley Market Area Using Geographically Weighted Regression (지리가중회귀분석을 이용한 고객특성별 골목상권 매출액 영향 연구)

  • Kang, Hyun Mo;Lee, Sang-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.611-620
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    • 2018
  • With the revitalization of alley market area becoming a major goal of the urban regeneration project, an understanding on customer characteristics that affect the sales of alley market areas is needed. As spatial heterogeneity appears to exist in alley market areas, the use of GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) is required as an alternative to OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) regression. This study analyzes effects of customer characteristics on sales of 1007 alley market areas in Seoul. Comparing R squared and AICc, results show that GWR is better than OLS regression. According to OLS regression, the ratio of female, the ratio of 40's and 50's, the number of employees, the opening rate of establishment, the density of building and the size of alley market area have positive effects on sales, while the ratio of 20's and 30's, the distance of bus stop and that of subway station have negative effects. As a result of comparing local regression coefficients of geographically weighted regression analysis, the ratio of female customers has the greatest effect on the northwestern region, followed by the southwestern region, the central region and the northeastern region. The ratio of 20's and 30's and that of 40's and 50's effect on the southeastern and northeastern regions, and then the southwestern region. It is expected that this study will help to identify marketing target for each alley market area.

Spatial Econometrics Analysis of Fire Occurrence According to Type of Facilities (시설물 유형에 따른 화재 발생의 공간 계량 분석)

  • Seo, Min Song;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.129-141
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    • 2019
  • In recent years, fast growing cities in Korea are showing signs of being vulnerable to more disasters as their population and facilities increase and intensify. In particular, fire is one of the most common disasters in Korea's cities, along with traffic accidents. Therefore, in this study, we analyze what type of factors affect the fire that threatens urban people. Fire data were acquired for 10 years, from 2007 to 2017, in Jinju, Korea. Spatial distribution pattern of fire occurrence in Jinju was assessed through the spatial autocorrelation analysis. First, spatial autocorrelation analysis was carried out to grasp the spatial distribution pattern of fire occurrence in Jinju city. In addition, correlation and multiple regression analysis were used to confirm spatial dependency and abnormality among factors. Based on this, OLS (Ordinary Least Square) regression analysis was performed using space weighting considering fire location and spatial location of each facility. As a result, First, LISA (Local Indicator of Spatial Association) analysis of the occurrence of fire in Jinju shows that the most central commercial area are fire department, industrial area, and residential area. Second, the OLS regression model was analyzed by applying spatial weighting, focusing on the most derived factors of multiple regression analysis, by integrating population and social variables and physical variables. As a result, the second kind of neighborhood living facility showed the highest correlation with the fire occurrence, followed by the following in the order of single house, sales facility, first type of neighborhood living facility, and number of households. The results of this study are expected to be useful for analyzing the fire occurrence factors of each facility in urban areas and establishing fire safety measures.

Geographically Weighted Regression on the Environmental-Ecological Factors of Human Longevity (장수의 환경생태학적 요인에 관한 지리가중회귀분석)

  • Choi, Don Jeong;Suh, Yong Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2012
  • The ordinary least square (OLS) regression model is assumed that the relationship between distribution of longevity population and environmental factors to be identical. Therefore, the OLS regression analysis can't explain sufficiently the spatial characteristics of longevity phenomenon and related variables. The geographically weighted regression (GWR) model can be representing the spatial relationship of adjacent area using geographically weighted function. It also characterized which can locally explain the spatial variation of distribution of longevity population by environmental characteristics. From this point of view, this study was performed the comparative analysis between OLS and GWR model for ecological factors of longevity existing studies. In the results, GWR model has higher corresponded to model than OLS model and can be accounting for spatial variability about effect of specific environmental variables.

An Empirical Study on the Estimation of Housing Sales Price using Spatiotemporal Autoregressive Model (시공간자기회귀(STAR)모형을 이용한 부동산 가격 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Chun, Hae Jung;Park, Heon Soo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2014
  • This study, as the temporal and spatial data for the real price apartment in Seoul from January 2006 to June 2013, empirically compared and analyzed the estimation result of apartment price using OLS by hedonic price model for the problem of space-time correlation, temporal autoregressive model (TAR) considering temporal effect, spatial autoregressive model (SAR) spatial effect and spatiotemporal autoregressive model (STAR) spatiotemporal effect. As a result, the adjusted R-square of STAR model was increased by 10% compared that of OLS model while the root mean squares error (RMSE) was decreased by 18%. Considering temporal and spatial effect, it is observed that the estimation of apartment price is more correct than the existing model. As the result of analyzing STAR model, the apartment price is affected as follows; area for apartment(-), years of apartment(-), dummy of low-rise(-), individual heating (-), city gas(-), dummy of reconstruction(+), stairs(+), size of complex(+). The results of other analysis method were the same. When estimating the price of real estate using STAR model, the government officials can improve policy efficiency and make reasonable investment based on the objective information by grasping trend of real estate market accurately.

Exploring the Spatial Relationships between Environmental Equity and Urban Quality of Life (환경적 형평성과 도시 삶의 질의 공간적 관계에 대한 탐색)

  • Jun, Byong-Woon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.223-235
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    • 2011
  • Although ordinary least squares (OLS) regression analysis can be used to examine the spatial relationships between environmental equity and urban quality of life, this global method may mask the local variations in the relationships between them. These geographical variations can not be captured without using local methods. In this context, this paper explores the spatially varying relationships between environmental equity and urban quality of life across the Atlanta metropolitan area by geographically weighted regression (GWR), a local method. Environmental equity and urban quality of life were quantified with an integrated approach of GIS and remote sensing. Results show that generally, there is a negatively significant relationship between them over the Atlanta metropolitan area. The results also suggest that the relationships between environmental equity and urban quality of life vary significantly over space and the GWR (local) model is a significant improvement on the OLS (global) model for the Atlanta metropolitan area.

A Study on the Treatment of Uncertainty in Linear Regression Method for Chemical Analysis (회귀식 사용에 따른 화학 분석 과정의 불확도 처리 연구)

  • Woo, Jin-Chun;Suh, JungKee;Lim, MyungChul;Park, MinSu
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2003
  • We applied modified least square method (MLS) and ordinary least square method (OLS) to 1st order equation for the comparison of the uncertainties calculated by these methods. The uncertainty calculated by OLS covered statistically safe interval because it was over-estimated in many cases of measurement and concentration level. But, if the uncertainty of the concentration as a reference value was comparably large (about 5% of the relative standard deviation of random scattering from the regression line and about 7% of relative standard uncertainty of reference values), then uncertainty calculated by OLS was seriously under-estimated at high concentration level. It was revealed that the calculated uncertainty didn't cover statistically safe interval at the stated confidence level. It was found that the method, MLS, described in the previously article would be valid for this calculation of uncertainty.

Testing Non-Stationary Relationship between the Proportion of Green Areas in Watersheds and Water Quality using Geographically Weighted Regression Model (공간지리 가중회귀모형(GWR)을 이용한 유역 녹지비율과 하천수질의 비균질적 관계 검증)

  • Lee, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to examine the presence of non-stationary relationship between water quality and land use in watersheds. In investigating the relationships between land use and water quality, most previous studies adopted OLS method which is assumed stationarity. However, this approach is difficult to capture the local variation of the relationships. We used 146 sampling data and land cover data of Korean Ministry of Environment to build conventional regressions and GWR models for BOD, TN and TP. Regression model and GWR models of BOD, TN, TP were compared with $R^2$, AICc and Moran's I. The results of comparisons and descriptive statistics of GWR models strongly indicated the presence of Non-Stationarity between water quality and land use.

回歸分析에 있어서의 多共線性과 名稱을 保全시키는 資料變換 技法

  • 兪浣
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 1979
  • 두 개의 변수의 대체효과(substitution effect)를 연구하기 위하여 수요 또는 공급의 모형을 만들었을 경우 이에 관련된 변수들의 이름이 중요시 된다. 실제 관측 자료를 사용하였을 경우 흔히 일어나는 다공선성(multicollinearity) 문제를 다루기 위한 대안으로써 선형회귀선을 예로 들어 능형회귀기법(ridge regression technique)과 요인분석기법(factor analytic technique)을 소개하였으며 이에서 얻어지는 계수(coefficient)를 OLS 추정치로 설명하기 위하여 원래의 자료를 변환하였다. 실지 수요와 공급의 모형이 비선형일 경우 일반적으로 능형회귀나 요인분석을 쓰지 못한다는 점을 감안, 이러한 방법을 자료의 변환방법으로 설명함으로써 비선형모형에서도 다공선성문제를 위하여 능형회귀분석법이나 요인분석기법을 사용할 수 있도록 하였다.

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A Study on the Factors Determining Officetel Price in Busan (부산지역 오피스텔 가격 결정요인 분석)

  • Choi, Yeol;Kim, Hyeong Jun;Yeo, Jung Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.725-735
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    • 2015
  • The aim of this study is to specifically understand the officetel market by empirical analysis for the determining factors that affect determining the price of the officetel in Busan. In my opinion, it can help officetel providers to select the appropriate size and location that analysis for the factors determining officetel price with market price, and also it can help customers officetel to choice depending on the purpose. So I was conducting this study. In this study, I analyzes the factors determining the price of Officetel using a OLS linear regression, semi-log model, and a robust regression-Busan area Officetel Real Transaction Price as the dependent variable and factors representing the physical characteristics, locational characteristics and regional characteristics as independent variables.

Analysis of Eunpyeong New Town Land Price Using Geographically Weighted Regression (지리가중회귀분석을 이용한 은평뉴타운 지가 분석)

  • Jung, Hyo-jin;Lee, Jiyeong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2015
  • Newtown Business of Seoul had been performed to reduce deterioration of Gangbuk and economic inequality between Gangnam and Gangbuk. According to this, Eunpyeong-gu was set as test-bed for Newtown business and Newtown business had been completed until 2013. This study aims to analyze the influence of social and economical factors which affect land price using GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) considered spatial effect. As a result of analysis, GWR model demonstrated a better goodness-of-fit than OLS (Ordinary least square) model typically used in most study. Furthermore, AIC value and Moran's I of residual prove that GWR model is more suitable than OLS model. GWR model enable to explain more detailed than global regression model as coefficient and sign show different value locally. In future, this research will be helpful to develop Eunpyeong-gu considering spatial characters and strength effectiveness of development.