• 한국해양환경ㆍ에너지학회지
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• 제6권1호
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• pp.30-43
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• 2003

반폐쇄성인 북서태평양 해역은 지형, 해류순환, 생태학적 관점에서 하나의 큰 시스템으로 간주되어 관리되어야 한다 현재 북서태평양권에서 진행되고 있는 해양환경 관련 다자간 협력 활동은 WESTPAC, PEMSEA, PICES, NOWPAP 등 다양하다. 본 논문에서는 특히 유엔환경계획의 주관하에 한ㆍ중ㆍ일ㆍ러가 지난 1994년부터 채택하여 수행중인 북서태평양보전실천계획(NOWPAP)사업을 중심으로 하여 북서태평양에서 진행되고 있는 지역협력 활동의 제반현황과 문제점을 살펴보고 이의 가능한 해결책을 제시하고자 하였다. 주요 제안으로는 (1) 북서태평양 인접국들은 해양환경 관련 국제협력 활동에 있어서 법적 구속력 있는 지역 차원의 협약의 중요성을 인식하고 실질적인 지역 협력활동을 수행함에 있어 큰 우산으로 작용할 수 있는 해양환경 관련 협약을 개발하여야 하며, 이에 (2) 현재의 제반 상황을 고려하여 현 단계에서는 국가의 영해나 관할권 등의 이슈를 침해하지 않는 느슨한 형태의 협약 개발을 시도할 필요가 있다. 아울러 (3) 지역내 다양한 정치 사회적 문제로 인해 환경분야의 협력사업이 종종 중단되거나 간섭받지 않도록 하기 위하여 유엔환경계획이나 다른 국제기구로부터의 지도력이 계속 발휘되어야 한다 (4) 재정적 및 제도적 기반을 계속 강화시켜야 하며, (5) 또한 북서태평양에서 연안 및 해양환경에의 위해 요소에 대응하기 위한 지역내 다자간 협력활동을 지속적으로 수행하여야 한다

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.133-145
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• 2010

이 연구에서는 2009년 북서태평양 태풍활동의 특성과 이에 영향을 끼친 대기 순환장을 분석하였다. 2009년에 북서태평양에서는 평년(1979~2009 평균값: 25.8개)보다 적은 22개의 태풍이 발생했는데, 7~10월에 집중적으로 발생하였다. 태풍의 발생은 필리핀 북쪽 해역과 북서태평양 동쪽 지역에서 많았고, 발생한 태풍은 대기순환 흐름에 의해서 대부분 남중국해와 일본 동쪽으로 향했다. 상대적으로 동중국해와 우리나라로 접근하는 태풍은 적었다. 대기대순환 관점에서 보았을 때, 2009년 태풍활동은 엘니뇨 현상과 서태평양 지역의 평년보다 활발한 대류활동에 의해 유도된 대기순환에 의해 영향을 받았다. 잘 알려진 바와 같이, 엘니뇨 시기에는 열대 해수면 온도의 동서 경도에 의해 서태평양 적도 지역에서는 강한 서풍 아노말리가 유도되는데, 2009년에도 이들의 영향으로 북서태평양 몬순 기압골이 동쪽으로 크게 확장되었고, 태풍의 발생 위치도 평년보다 동쪽으로 치우쳤다. 또한, 서태평양 지역의 강한 대류활동으로부터 유도된 로스비파가 남중국해로부터 중위도로 전파되면서 남중국 지역에서는 지향류의 동풍 아노말리, 동중국해 및 한국 근처에서는 북서풍 아노말리, 일본 동쪽에서는 남서풍 아노말리가 연이어 나타났다. 이로 인해 태풍의 진로가 동중국해 및 한국으로 진행하지 못하고 남중국해와 일본 동쪽 해상으로 유도되었다. 결과적으로 우리나라는 최근 21년 만에 직접적으로 영향을 준 태풍이 없는 무태풍년으로 기록되었다. 2009년의 예와 같이 평년과 크게 다른 태풍의 활동과 관련 대규모 순환장 패턴을 분석하는 연구를 통해 앞으로 기후변화에 따른 동아시아에서 지역별 태풍 영향에 대한 예측성 향상에 도움을 줄 것으로 기대한다.

• 대기
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.99-112
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• 2018

In this study, the accuracy of ocean analysis data, which are produced from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean/Variational Data Assimilation (NEMO/NEMOVAR, hereafter NEMO) system and the HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model/Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (HYCOM/NCODA, hereafter HYCOM) system, was evaluated using various oceanic observation data from March 2015 to February 2016. The evaluation was made for oceanic thermal environments in the tropical Pacific, the western North Pacific, and the Korean peninsula. NEMO generally outperformed HYCOM in the three regions. Particularly, in the tropical Pacific, the RMSEs (Root Mean Square Errors) of NEMO for both the sea surface temperature and vertical water temperature profile were about 50% smaller than those of HYCOM. In the western North Pacific, in which the observational data were not used for data assimilation, the RMSE of NEMO profiles up to 1000 m ($0.49^{\circ}C$) was much lower than that of HYCOM ($0.73^{\circ}C$). Around the Korean peninsula, the difference in RMSE between the two models was small (NEMO, $0.61^{\circ}C$; HYCOM, $0.72^{\circ}C$), in which their errors show relatively big in the winter and small in the summer. The differences reported here in the accuracy between NEMO and HYCOM for the thermal environments may be attributed to horizontal and vertical resolutions of the models, vertical coordinate and mixing scheme, data quality control system, data used for data assimilation, and atmosphere forcing. The present results can be used as a basic data to evaluate the accuracy of NEMO, before it becomes the operational model of the KMA providing real-time ocean analysis and prediction data.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.140-146
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• 2015

본 연구에서는 최근 20년간(1992-2011년)의 기상 데이터를 이용하여 태풍의 전향에 대하여 분석하였다. 연구 결과, 연별 전향하는 태풍의 수는 연별 태풍 발생 수의 감소와 함께 서서히 줄어드는 경향을 보였다. 전향하는 태풍은 특히 8-10월에 많고, 7-10월에 전향하는 태풍의 수는 전체 전향 태풍의 71 %를 차지하였다. 남중국해를 제외한 북태평양에서 전향한 태풍의 수명은 5일과 7일이 가장 많았고, 전향한 태풍의 평균 수명은 6.8일이었다. 이는 전향, 비전향의 모든 태풍의 평균 수명보다 다소 긴 값이다. 전향 태풍의 대부분은 태풍으로 발달한 후 5일 이내에 북위 20-34도, 동경 120-139도에서 북동쪽으로 전향하였다. 평균 전향 위도는 북위 25도, 평균 전향 경도는 동경 135도이었다.

• 대기
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.205-220
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• 2013

Upper ocean response to typhoon Ewiniar (0603) and its impact on the following typhoon Bilis (0604) are investigated using observational data and numerical experiments. Data used in this study are obtained from the Ieodo Ocean Research Station (IORS), ARGO, and satellite. Numerical simulations are conducted using 3-dimensional Princeton Ocean Model. Results show that when Ewiniar passes over the western North Pacific, unique oceanic responses are found at two places, One is in East China Sea near Taiwan and another is in the vicinity of IORS. The latter are characterized by a strong sea surface cooling (SSC), $6^{\circ}C$ and $11^{\circ}C$ in simulation and observation, under the condition of typhoon with a fast translation speed (8m $s^{-1}$) and lowering intensity (970 hPa). The record-breaking strong SSC is caused by the Yellow Sea Bottom Cold Water, which produces a strong vertical temperature gradient within a shallow depth of Yellow Sea. The former are also characterized by a strong SSC, $7.5^{\circ}C$ in simulation, with a additional cooling of $4.5^{\circ}C$ after a storm's passage mainly due to enhanced and maintained upwelling process by the resonance coupling of storm translation speed and the gravest mode internal wave phase speed. The numerical simulation reveals that the Ewiniar produced a unfavorable upper-ocean thermal condition, which eventually inhibited the intensification of the following typhoon Bilis. Statistics show that 9% of the typhoons in western North Pacific are influenced by cold wakes produced by a proceeding typhoon. These overall results demonstrate that upper ocean response to a typhoon even after the passage is also important factor to be considered for an accurate intensity prediction of a following typhoon with similar track.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.2583-2589
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• 2013

Purpose: Studies have indicated that diabetes mellitus (DM) is a risk factor for bladder cancer; however, not all evidence supports this conclusion. The aim of this meta-analysis was to collate and evaluate all primary observational studies investigating the risk of bladder cancer associated with DM. Methods: The PubMed and Google Scholar databases were searched to identify studies that estimated the association of DM and bladder cancer. Summary effect estimates were derived using a random-effects meta-analysis model. Results: A total of 23 studies (8 case-control studies, 15 cohort studies) including 643,683 DM and 4,819,656 non-DM cases were identified. Analysis of all studies showed that DM was associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer compared with non-DM overall (OR=1.68, 95% CI 1.32-2.13). Analysis of subgroups demonstrated this to be the case in both case-control studies (OR=1.59, 95% CI 1.28-1.97, $I^2$=58%) and cohort studies (RR=1.70, 95% CI 1.23-2.33, $I^2$=96%). There was no gender difference in DM-associated bladder cancer risk. Bladder cancer risk was increased in Asia and the North America region, but not in Europe. Furthermore, DM-associated bladder cancer risk was obviously higher in Asia than North America and Europe or in those with Caucasian ethnicity. With extension of follow-up time, the bladder cancer risk was not increased for the patients with DM. Conclusions: This meta-analysis provided further evidence supporting theDM association with a significantly higher risk of bladder cancer obtained from observational studies.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제13권9호
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• pp.4801-4805
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• 2012

This qualitative research within the project entitled "Multiprofessional Intervention and training for Ongoing Volunteer-based Community Health Programs in the Northeast of Thailand (MITV-NET)" was aimed at explaining changes of health behavior of community people in the Northeast after the intervention. The participants comprised 15 community volunteers and 27 villagers. Data were collected by indepth interview, focus group discussion, participation and non-participation observation, and note taking. Analyses were conducted in parallel with data collection, through content and comparative analysis. It was found that the health behavior fell into 2 categories: easy-to-change. The former involved fun activities joined by community people that improved their health or made them recover from illnesses after a short period without becoming addicted. These activities could be done by themselves, for example, exercising and cooking. The difficult-to-change health behavior is habitual, for example, chewing betel nuts or eating uncooked food. The following factors were found affecting behavioral changes: 1) underlying disease; 2) enjoyment in doing activities; 3) habitual behaviour; 4) improved health in a short period; 5) ability of community leaders and volunteers; and 6) community health-supporting resources. It is suggested that improving people's health requires cooperation of community people through fun activities and some initial external support. People who persist in bad habits should be encouraged to stop by showing them health deteriorating effects.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권11호
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• pp.4507-4511
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• 2014

Background: Breast cancer is a heterogeneous disease comprising of distinct biological subtypes with many targeted prognostic biomarkers having therapeutic implications. However, no specific targeted therapy for triple negative breast cancer has been discovered to date and hence further research is needed. Aim: The aim and objectives of the present study were to examine the prevalence of triple negative breast cancer (TNBC) in North-East India and to compare the clinicopathological parameters in two study groups defined by immunohistochemistry (IHC) - "TNBC" and "Others". Materials and Methods: We carried out a retrospective study in a cohort of 972 patients diagnosed with invasive breast carcinoma in the Department of Pathology, Dr. B. Borooah Cancer Institute, a Regional Cancer Centre for treatment and research, Guwahati, for a period of 3 years and 10 months from January 2010 to October 2013. Based on IHC findings, patients were divided into two groups - "TNBC" and "Others". All relevant clinicopathological parameters were compared in both. TNBC were defined as those that were estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR), and HER2/neu negative while those positive for any of these markers were defined as "Others". Results: In this study, out of total 972 cases 31.9% (310 cases) were defined as TNBC and 662 cases (68.1%) as "Others" based on IHC markers. Compared to the "Others" category, TNBC presented at an early age (mean 40 years), were associated with high grade large tumours and high rate of node positivity, IDC NOS being the most common histological subtype in TNBC. Conclusions: TNBC accounts for a significant portion of breast cancers in this part of India and commonly present at younger age and tend to be large high grade tumours.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.3865-3869
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• 2013

Background: Cigarette per day (CPD) use is a key smoking behaviour indicator. It reflects smoking intensity which is directly proportional to the occurrence of tobacco induced cancers. Self reported CPD assessment in surveys may suffer from digit bias and under reporting. Estimates from such surveys could influence the policy decision for tobacco control efforts. In this context, this study aimed at identifying underlying factors of digit bias and its implications for Global Adult Tobacco Surveillance. Materials or Methods: Daily manufactured cigarette users CPD frequencies from Global Adult Tobacco Survey (GATS) - India data were analyzed. Adapted Whipple Index was estimated to assess digit bias and data quality of reported CPD frequency. Digit bias was quantified by considering reporting of '0' or '5' as the terminal digits in the CPD frequency. The factors influencing it were identified by bivariate and logistic regression analysis. Results: The mean and mode of CPD frequency was 6.7 and 10 respectively. Around 14.5%, 15.1% and 15.2% of daily smokers had reported their CPD frequency as 2, 5 and 10 respectively. Modified Whipple index was estimated to be 226.3 indicating poor data quality. Digit bias was observed in 38% of the daily smokers. Heavy smoking, urban residence, North, South, North- East region of India, less than primary, secondary or higher educated and fourth asset index quintile group were significantly associated with digit bias. Discussion: The present study highlighted poor quality of CPD frequency data in the GATS-India survey and need for its improvement. Modeling of digit preference and smoothing of the CPD frequency data is required to improve quality of data. Marketing of 10 cigarette sticks per pack may influence CPD frequency reporting, but this needs further examination. Exploring alternative methods to reduce digit bias in cross sectional surveys should be given priority.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권6호
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• pp.3921-3924
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• 2013

Background: To investigate the role of surgical treatment for locally advanced esophageal cancer, we compared the outcomes of chemoradiotheroy alone (CRT) to postoperative chemoradiotherapy (S/CRT), using, Regional Radiotherapy Center, database. Materials and Methods: This retrospective study was conducted in North-West of Iran, included of 255 consecutive patients with esophageal cancer. Eligible operable and non-operable, were treated with S/CRT and CRT respectively. Radiotherapy (RT) was delivered at 1.8-2 Gy/day for five consecutive days in a given week. Chemotherapy (CT) consisted of cisplatin and 5-fluorouracil. Results: From March 2006 to March 2011 255 patients: male/female 129/96, median age 68 (35-90), squamous/adeno 213/12, received CRT/S+CRT 166/59, median radiation dose $45{\pm}13.6Gy$, Median survival 13.5 (11-15), overall survival (OS) One/Two/Three 57/21/16%, Died/alive 158/97, Univariate analysis prognostic factors: age/stag/differentiation/dose of RT/fraction/treatment, Multivariate analysis predictor factor: dose of RT/fraction. Conclusions: Although this treatment offers some possibility for improvement of patients with esophageal cancer, there remains a significant need for development of new drug and new therapeutic approaches that can substantially impact survival.