• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.291-303
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• 2020

The deformation of the rock surrounding a tunnel manifests due to the stress redistribution within the surrounding rock. By observing the deformation of the surrounding rock, we can not only determine the stability of the surrounding rock and supporting structure but also predict the future state of the surrounding rock. In this paper, we used grey system theory to analyse the factors that affect the deformation of the rock surrounding a tunnel. The results show that the 5 main influencing factors are longitudinal wave velocity, tunnel burial depth, groundwater development, surrounding rock support type and construction management level. Furthermore, we used seismic prospecting data, preliminary survey data and excavated section monitoring data to establish a neural network learning model to predict the total amount of deformation of the surrounding rock during tunnel collapse. Subsequently, the probability of a change in deformation in each predicted section was obtained by using a Bayesian method for detecting change points. Finally, through an analysis of the distribution of the change probability and a comparison with the actual situation, we deduced the survey mark at which collapse would most likely occur. Surface collapse suddenly occurred when the tunnel was excavated to this predicted distance. This work further proved that the Bayesian method can accurately detect change points for risk evaluation, enhancing the accuracy of tunnel collapse forecasting. This research provides a reference and a guide for future research on the probability analysis of tunnel collapse.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.859-869
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• 2011

Interest has increased in academic research regarding key factors that drive box-office success as well as the ability to predict the box-office success of a movie from a commercial perspective. This study analyzed the relationship between key success factors of a movie and box office records based on movies released in 2010 in Korea. At the pre-production investment decision-making stage, the movie genre, motion picture rating, director power, and actor power were statistically significant. At the stage of distribution decision-making process after movie production, among other factors, the influence of star actors, number of screens, power of distributors, and social media turned out to be statistically significant. We verified movie success factors through the application of a Multinomial Logit Model that used the concept of choice probabilities. The Multinomial Logit Model resulted in a higher level of accuracy in predicting box-office success compared to the Artificial Neural Network and Discriminant Analysis.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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• v.30 no.1
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• pp.13-19
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• 2010

In this paper, we study a new estimation system for the prediction of steam generator tube defects. In the previous research works, defect size estimators were independently designed for each defect types in order to estimate the defect size. As a result, the structure of estimation system is rather complex and the estimation performance gets worse if the classification performance is degraded for some reason. This paper studies a new estimation system that does not require the classification of defect types. Although the previous works are expected to achieve much better estimation performance than the proposed system since it uses the estimator specialized in each defect, the performance difference is not so large. Therefore, it is expected that the proposed estimator can be effectively used for the case where the defect type classification is imperfect.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.403-418
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• 2020

In recent years, the use of Fiber Reinforced Polymers (FRPs) as one of the most common ways to increase the strength of concrete samples, has been introduced. Evaluation of the final strength of these specimens is performed with different experimental methods. In this research, due to the variety of models, the low accuracy and impact of different parameters, the use of new intelligence methods is considered. Therefore, using artificial intelligent-based models, a new solution for evaluating the bond strength of FRP is presented in this paper. 150 experimental samples were collected from previous studies, and then two new hybrid models of Imperialist Competitive Algorithm (ICA)-Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Artificial Bee Colony (ABC)-ANN were developed. These models were evaluated using different performance indices and then, a comparison was made between the developed models. The results showed that the ICA-ANN model's ability to predict the bond strength of FRP is higher than the ABC-ANN model. Finally, to demonstrate the capabilities of this new model, a comparison was made between the five experimental models and the results were presented for all data. This comparison showed that the new model could offer better performance. It is concluded that the proposed hybrid models can be utilized in the field of this study as a suitable substitute for empirical models.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.10 no.11
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• pp.3465-3472
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• 2009

The aims of this study is to medical record data warehouse which had been collected from hospital information systems. continuous patient 2,118 60.5%, informally patient 1,385 39.5%. In using survival factors sex, age, area, insurance, admission-course, medical treatment, out-patient lesson, out-patient form, conference diagnosis, operation, cancer, medical reservation. As a result of making a predictive modeling using the logistic regression, the fitness of the predictive modeling of informally patient was 66.0% and neural network, the predictive was 66.72% and CHAID, the predictive was 63.25%, which is a data mining. The expected modeling of the informally patients, the hospital through the continuous patient management and trust of hospital.

• Journal of Digital Contents Society
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.47-52
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• 2006

This paper proposes an algorithm for human sensibility evaluation using 4-channel EEG signals of the prefrontal and the parietal lobes. The algorithm uses an artificial neural network and the multiple templates. The linear prediction coefficients are used as the feature parameters of human sensibility. Comfortableness and temperature/humidity are evaluated. Many conventional researches have emphasized that a wave of left prefrontal lobe is activated in case of positive sensibility and that of right prefrontal lobe is activated in case of negative sensibility. So the power ratio of n wave is obtained from for computation and the results are compared. The results of the comfortableness evaluation for temperature and humidity showed that the outputs of the proposed algorithm coincided with corresponding sensibilities depending on the task of the temperature and the humidity. The conventional method using a wave is hardly related with comfortableness. And it is also observed that the uncomfortable state due to the high temperature and humidity can be easily changed to the comfortable state by small drop of the temperature and the humidity.

• Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.1-6
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• 2015

The purpose of this study is to suggest the effective operation method by developing prediction model for the gas production rate, an indicator of the effectiveness of anaerobic digestion tank, using data mining. At the result, gas production estimate model is developed by using ANN within 10% error. It is expected to help operation of anaerobic digestion by suggesting selected parameter. Meanwhile case based reasoning is applied to develop dewatering cake management technology. Case based reasoning uses the most similar examples of past when a new problem occurs, therefore in this study, management measures are developed that proposes dewatering cake minimization with the minimum change by applying the case based reasoning to sludge disposal process.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2010.05a
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• pp.1159-1163
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• 2010

최근의 극심한 기상이변으로 인하여 발생되는 유출량의 예측에 관한 사항은 치수 이수는 물론 방재의 측면에서도 역시 매우 중요한 관심사로 부각되고 있다. 강우-유출 관계는 유역의 수많은 시 공간적 변수들에 의해 영향을 받기 때문에 매우 복잡하여 예측하기 힘든 요소이다. 과거에는 추계학적 예측모형이나 확정론적 예측모형 혹은 경험적 모형 등을 사용하여 유출량을 예측하였으나 최근에는 인공신경망과 퍼지모형 그리고 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 인공지능기반의 모형들이 많이 사용되고 있다. 하지만 유출량을 예측하고자 할 때 학습자료 및 검정자료로써 사용되는 유출량은 수위-유량 관계곡선식으로부터 구하는 경우가 대부분으로 이렇게 유도된 유출량의 경우 오차가 크기 때문에 그 신뢰성에 문제가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 선행우량 및 수위자료로부터 단시간 수위예측에 관해 연구하였다. 신경망은 과거자료의 입 출력 패턴에서 정보를 추출하여 지식으로 보유하고, 이를 근거로 새로운 상황에 대한 해답을 제시하도록 하는 인공지능분야의 학습기법으로 인간이 과거의 경험과 훈련으로 지식을 축적하듯이 시스템의 입 출력에 의하여 연결강도를 최적화함으로서 모형의 구조를 스스로 조직화하기 때문에 모형의 구조에 적합한 최적 매개변수를 추정할 수 있다. 따라서 정확한 예측이 어려운 하천수위를 과거의 자료로 부터 학습된 신경망의 수학적 알고리즘을 통해 유출량의 예측에 적용할 수 있을 것이다. 유전자 알고리즘은 적자생존의 생물학 원리에 바탕을 둔 최적화 기법중의 하나로 자연계의 생명체 중 환경에 잘 적응한 개체가 좀 더 많은 자손을 남길 수 있다는 자연선택 과정과 유전자의 변화를 통해서 좋은 방향으로 발전해 나간다는 자연 진화의 과정인 자연계의 유전자 메커니즘에 바탕을 둔 탐색 알고리즘이다. 즉, 자연계의 유전과 진화 메커니즘을 공학적으로 모델화함으로써 잠재적인 해의 후보들을 모아 군집을 형성한 뒤 서로간의 교배 혹은 변이를 통해서 최적 해를 찾는 계산 모델이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 인공신경망의 가중치를 유전자 알고리즘에 의해 최적화시킨후 오류역전파알고리즘에 의해 신경망의 학습을 진행하는 모형으로 감천유역의 선산수위표지점의 수위를 1시간~6시간까지 예측하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.1385-1395
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• 2014

Economic traits of livestock are affected by environmental factors and genetic factors. In addition, it is not affected by one gene, but is affected by interaction of genes. We used a linear regression model in order to adjust environmental factors. And, in order to identify gene-gene interaction effect, we applied data mining techniques such as neural network, logistic regression, CART and C5.0 using five-SNPs (single nucleotide polymorphism) of FASN (fatty acid synthase). We divided total data into training (60%) and testing (40%) data, and applied the model which was designed by training data to testing data. By the comparison of prediction accuracy, C5.0 was identified as the best model. It were selected superior genotype using the decision tree.

• Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.1134-1142
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• 2019

Detection of double compression is one of the most efficient ways of remarking the validity of videos. Many methods have been introduced to detect HEVC double compression with different coding parameters. However, HEVC double compression detection under the same coding environments is still a challenging task in video forensic. In this paper, we introduce a novel method based on the frame partitioning information in intra prediction mode for detecting double compression in with the same coding environments. We propose to extract statistical feature and Deep Convolution Neural Network (DCNN) feature from the difference of partitioning picture including Coding Unit (CU) and Transform Unit (TU) information. Finally, a softmax layer is integrated to perform the classification of the videos into single and double compression by combing the statistical and the DCNN features. Experimental results show the effectiveness of the statistical and the DCNN features with an average accuracy of 87.5% for WVGA and 84.1% for HD dataset.