• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.37 no.2
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• pp.123.1-123.1
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• 2012

We have compared near-real time Kp forecast models based on neural network (NN) and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms. We consider four models as follows: (1) a NN model using ACE solar wind data; (2) a SVM model using ACE solar wind data; (3) a NN model using ACE solar wind data and preliminary kp values from US ground-based magnetometers; (4) a SVM model using the same input data as model 3. For the comparison of these models, we estimate correlation coefficients and RMS errors between the observed Kp and the predicted Kp. As a result, we found that the model 3 is better than the other models. The values of correlation coefficients and RMS error of the model 3 are 0.93 and 0.48, respectively. For the forecast evaluation of models for geomagnetic storms ($Kp{\geq}6$), we present contingency tables and estimate statistical parameters such as probability of detection yes (PODy), false alarm ratio (FAR), bias, and critical success index (CSI). From a comparison of these statistical parameters, we found that the SVM models (model 2 and model 4) are better than the NN models (model 1 and model 3). The values of PODy and CSI of the model 4 are the highest among these models (PODy: 0.57 and CSI: 0.48). From these results, we suggest that the NN models are better than the SVM models for predicting Kp and the SVM models are better than the NN models for forecasting geomagnetic storms.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.188-188
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• 2017

Rainfall is an important input to hydrological models. The accuracy of hydrological studies for water resources and floods management depend primarily on the estimation of rainfall. Thailand is among the countries that have regularly affected by floods. Flood forecasting and warning are necessary to prevent or mitigate loss and damage. Merging near real time satellite-based precipitation estimation with relatively high spatial and temporal resolutions to ground gauged precipitation data could contribute to reducing uncertainty and increasing efficiency for flood forecasting application. This study tested the applicability of satellite-based rainfall for water resources management and flood forecasting. The objectives of the study are to assess uncertainty associated with satellite-based rainfall estimation, to perform bias correction for satellite-based rainfall products, and to evaluate the performance of the bias-corrected rainfall data for the prediction of flood events. This study was conducted using a case study of Thai catchments including the Chao Phraya, northeastern (Chi and Mun catchments), and the eastern catchments for the period of 2006-2015. Data used in the study included daily rainfall from ground gauges, telegauges, and near real time satellite-based rainfall products from TRMM, GSMaP and PERSIANN CCS. Uncertainty in satellite-based precipitation estimation was assessed using a set of indicators describing the capability to detect rainfall event and efficiency to capture rainfall pattern and amount. The results suggested that TRMM, GSMaP and PERSIANN CCS are potentially able to improve flood forecast especially after the process of bias correction. Recommendations for further study include extending the scope of the study from regional to national level, testing the model at finer spatial and temporal resolutions and assessing other bias correction methods.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.280-280
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• 2023

강수의 정확한 시·공간적 추정은 홍수 대응, 가뭄 관리, 수자원 계획 등 수문학적 모델링의 핵심 기술이다. 우주 기술의 발전으로 전지구 강수량 측정 프로젝트(Global Precipitation Measurement, GPM)가 시작됨에 따라 위성의 여러 센서를 이용하여 다양한 고해상도 강수량 자료가 생산되고 있으며, 기후변화로 인한 수재해의 빈도가 증가함에 따라 준실시간(Near-Real-Time) 위성 강수 자료의 활용성 및 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 하지만 준실시간 위성 강수 자료의 경우 빠른 지연시간(latency) 확보를 위해 관측 이후 최소한의 보정을 거쳐 제공되므로 상대적으로 강수 추정치의 불확실성이 높다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 앙상블 머신러닝 기반 수집된 위성 강수 자료들을 관측 자료와 병합하여 보정된 준실시간 강수량 자료를 생성하고자 한다. 모형의 입력에는 시단위 3가지 준실시간 위성 강수 자료(GSMaP_NRT, IMERG_Early, PERSIANN_CCS)와 방재기상관측 (AWS)의 온도, 습도, 강수량 지점 자료를 활용하였다. 지점 강수 자료의 경우 결측치를 고려하여 475개 관측소를 선정하였으며, 공간성을 고려한 랜덤 샘플링으로 375개소(약 80%)는 훈련 자료, 나머지 100개소(약 20%)는 검증 자료로 분리하였다. 모형의 정량적 평가 지표로는 KGE, MAE, RMSE이 사용되었으며, 정성적 평가 지표로 강수 분할표에 따라 POD, SR, BS 그리고 CSI를 사용하였다. 머신러닝 모형은 개별 원시 위성 강수 자료 및 IDW 기법보다 높은 정확도로 강수량을 추정하였으며 공간적으로 안정적인 결과를 나타내었다. 다만, 최대 강수량에서는 다소 과소추정되므로 이는 강수와 관련된 입력 변수의 개수 업데이트로 해결할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 불확실성이 높은 개별 준실시간 위성 자료들을 관측 자료와 병합하여 보정된 최적 강수 자료를 생성하는 머신러닝 기법은 돌발성 수재해에 실시간으로 대응 가능하며 홍수 예보에 신뢰도 높은 정량적인 강수량 추정치를 제공할 수 있다.

• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.46 no.2
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• pp.62.1-62.1
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• 2021

Interstellar objects originate from other stellar systems. Thus, they contain information about the stellar systems that cannot be directly explored; the information includes the formation and evolution of the stellar systems and the possibility of life. The examples observed so far are 1l/Oumuamua in 2017 and 2l/Borisov in 2019. In this talk, we present the possibility of detecting interstellar objects using the Heliospheric Imagers designed for space weather research and forecasting by observing solar wind in interplanetary space between the Sun and Earth. Because interstellar objects are unpredictable events, the detection requires observations with wide coverage in spatial and long duration in temporal. The near-real time data availability is essential for follow-up observations to study their detailed properties and future rendezvous missions. Heliospheric Imagers provide day-side observations, inaccessible by traditional astronomical observations. This will dramatically increase the temporal and spatial coverage of observations and also the probability of detecting interstellar objects visiting our solar system, together with traditional astronomical observations. We demonstrate that this is the case. We have used data taken from Solar TErrestrial RElation Observatory (STEREO)/Sun Earth Connection Coronal and Heliospheric Investigation (SECCHI) HI-1. HI-1 is off-pointed from the Sun direction by 14 degrees with 20 degrees of the field of view. Using images observed from 2007 to 2019, we have found a total of 223 small objects other than stars, galaxies, or planets, indicative of the potential capability to detect interstellar objects. The same method can be applied to the currently operating missions such as the Parker Solar Probe and Solar Orbiter and also future L5 and L4 missions. Since the data can be analyzed in near-real time due to the space weather purposes, more detailed properties can be analyzed by follow-up observations in ground and space, and also future rendezvous missions. We discuss future possible rendezvous missions at the end of this talk.

• Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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• 2008.11a
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• pp.490-494
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• 2008

We simulated a forest fire which was occurred in Yangyang area on 2005 and compared a results between two different weather conditions(real weather condition and mean weather condition since 1968) using FARSITE, which is a forest fire spread simulator for preventing and predicting fire in USDA. And, we researched a problem in the transition for introducing, so we serve the basic method for prevention and attacking fire. In the result, severe weather condition on 2005 effected a forest fire behavior. The rate of spread under real weather condition was about 4 times faster than mean weather condition. Damaged area was about 10 time than mean weather condition. Therefore, Climate change will make a more sever fire season. As we will encounter to need for accurate prediction in near future, it will be necessary to predict a forest fire linked with future wether and fuel condition.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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• v.27 no.11
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• pp.1595-1603
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• 2003

Droplet combustion at high ambient pressures is studied numerically by formulating one dimensional combustion model in the mixture of n-heptane fuel and air. The ambient pressure is supercritical conditions. The modified Soave-Redlich-Kwong state equation is used in the evaluation of thermophysical properties to account for the real gas effect on fluid p-v-T properties in high pressure conditions. Non-ideal thermodynamic and transport property at near critical and supercritical conditions are also considered. Several parametric studies are performed by changing ambient pressure and initial droplet diameter. Droplet lifetime decreased with increasing pressure. Surface temperature increased with increasing pressure. Ignition time increased with increasing initial droplet diameter. Temporal or spatial distribution of mass fraction, mass diffusivity, Lewis number, thermal conductivity, and specific heat were presented.

• Journal of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.135-139
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• 1993

Events of eclipses as well as other major astronomical events observable in the eastern sector of Asian continent are computed and checked with astronomical records of antiquity. Particular attention was given to two types of the events recorded in remaining records of Dangun Chosun Period (DCP): (1) concentration of major planets near the constellation of Nu-Sung $(\beta\;Aries)$ and (2) a large ebb-tide. We find them most likely to have occurred in real time. i.e., when the positions of the sun, moon, and planets happen to be aligned in the most appropriate position. For solar eclipses data, however, we find among 10 solar eclipse events recorded, only 6 of them are correct up to months, implying its statistical significance is no less insignificant. We therefore conclude that the remaining history books of DCP indeed contains important astronomical records, thereby the real antiquity of the records of DCP cannot be disproved.

• Journal of the Korean Magnetic Resonance Society
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.66-72
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• 2001

The noise suppression of time domain NMR data by discrete wavelet transform with high order Daubechies wavelet coefficients exhibits severe peak distortion and incomplete noise suppression near real signal. However, the fact that even a shift averaged Harr wavelet transform with a set of Daubechies wavelet coefficients (1/2, -l/2) can be used as a new and excellent tool to distinguish real peaks from the noise contaminated NMR signal is introduced. New algorithms of shift averaged Harr wavelet were developed and quantitatively evaluated in terms of threshold and signal to noise ratio (SNR).

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2005.04a
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• pp.268-270
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• 2005

A tendency to erect more wind turbines can be observed in order to reduce the environmental consequences of electric power generation. As a result of this, in the near future, wind turbines may start to influence the behavior of electric power systems by interacting with conventional generation and loads. Therefore, wind turbine models that can be integrated into power system simulation software are needed. In this paper, a model that can be used to represent all types of variable speed wind turbines in power system simulations is presented. Wind turbine characteristic equation of a wind turbine is implemented in the RTDS, and the real data of weather conditions are interfaced to the RTDS for the purpose of real time simulation of grid-connection wind power system. The outcomes of the simulation demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed simulation scheme in this paper. The results show that the cost effective verifying for the efficiency and stability of WPGS.

• ETRI Journal
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.580-593
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• 2021

When operating in confined spaces or near obstacles, collision-free path planning is an essential requirement for autonomous exploration in unknown environments. This study presents an autonomous exploration technique using a carefully designed collision-free local planner. Using LiDAR range measurements, a local end-point selection method is designed, and the path is generated from the current position to the selected end-point. The generated path showed the consistent collision-free path in real-time by adopting the Euclidean signed distance field-based grid-search method. The results consistently demonstrated the safety and reliability of the proposed path-planning method. Real-world experiments are conducted in three different mines, demonstrating successful autonomous exploration flights in environment with various structural conditions. The results showed the high capability of the proposed flight autonomy framework for lightweight aerial robot systems. In addition, our drone performed an autonomous mission in the tunnel circuit competition (Phase 1) of the DARPA Subterranean Challenge.